PCISA #5 - Gaucho GOLD

HostUnregistered - PCISA
Date03/12/2016
TypeIn-District
BoatCFJ
Scoring2 Divisions

#	School	Team	A	B	TOT
1	Newport Harbor High School	Sailors 1	21	33	54
2	Newport Harbor High School	Sailors 2	30	29	59
3	Sage Hill School	Lightning 1	61	24	85
4	Corona del Mar High School	Sea Kings Varsity 1	20	77	97
5	Santa Barbara High School	Dons	75	31	106
6	Newport Harbor High School	Sailors 3	34	75	109
7	Point Loma High School	Pointers 2	71	40	111
8	Long Beach Wilson High School	Bruins 2	50	67	117
9	Point Loma High School	Pointers 1	93	28	121
10	Cathedral Catholic High School	Dons	83	52	135
11	Francis Parker School	Parker	93	67	160
12	Dos Pueblos	Chargers	56	107	163
13	Branson School	Bulls	113	65	178
14	The Bay School of San Francisco	Breakers	77	105	182
15	Corona del Mar High School	Sea Kings Varsity 2	145	59	204
16	Coronado Islanders	Islanders 1	110	97	207
17	Redondo Union High School	Varsity	126	84	210
18	Redwood High School	Giants	157	62	219
19	Mira Costa High School	Mustangs	44	178	222
20	Convent and Stuart Hall High Schools	Cubs	136	95	231
21	Long Beach Wilson High School	Bruins 1	149	84	233
22	Long Beach Polytechnic HS	Jackrabbits	62	185	247
23	Point Loma High School	Pointers 3	151	102	253
24	Palos Verdes High School	Sea Kings	107	150	257
25	Windward School	Varsity	102	157	259
26	Tamalpais High School	Red Tailed Hawks	135	138	273
27	Sage Hill School	Lightning 2	126	151	277
28	Bishop's School	Knights	109	174	283
29	Corona del Mar High School	Sea Kings Varsity 3	147	141	288
30	Coronado Islanders	Islanders 2	161	133	294
31	Alameda High School	Varsity	140	156	296
32	Marin Academy	Wildcats	166	145	311

School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	R6	TOT	Sailors
Corona del Mar High School	Sea Kings Varsity 1	1	2	2	8	BKD	4	20	Rhodes Garner '16 [1-6] Sammy Pickell '18 [1-2, 5-6] Kate Madigan '16 [3-4]
Newport Harbor High School	Sailors 1	13	4	1	1	1	1	21	Sean Segerblom '16 Briggs D'Eliscu '16
Newport Harbor High School	Sailors 2	3	1	8	4	7	7	30	Joseph Hou '18 Eliza Moody '16
Newport Harbor High School	Sailors 3	8	7	4	7	2	BKD	34	Andrew Person '17 Grace Vandervort '17
Mira Costa High School	Mustangs	14	17	6	2	3	2	44	Peter Neal '16 Leah James '17
Long Beach Wilson High School	Bruins 2	4	6	15	11	6	8	50	Trent Turigliatto '18 Keltin Hill '17
Dos Pueblos	Chargers	7	8	7	3	16	15	56	Ryan Eastwood '18 [1-6] Sara Muir '18 [1-2, 5-6] Yannick Gloster '18 [3-4]
Sage Hill School	Lightning 1	5	3	12	16	14	11	61	Jacob Rosenberg '16 Madison Nadelman '16
Long Beach Polytechnic HS	Jackrabbits	6	9	5	13	19	10	62	Cameron Feves '18 Beth Golison '16
Point Loma High School	Pointers 2	9	11	BKD	BKD	10	17	71	Jack Reiter '18 [1-6] Kenny Moats '17 [1-2, 5-6] Jeremy Cienfuegos '16 [3-4]
Santa Barbara High School	Dons	28	19	3	6	13	6	75	Evan Heffernan '16 [1-6] Jodie Jacobs '16 [1-2, 5-6] Caden Scheiblauer '19 [3-4]
The Bay School of San Francisco	Breakers	21	21	14	14	4	3	77	Spencer Paulsen '16 [1-6] Chloe Bohannon '16 [1-2, 5-6] William Hale '18 [3-4]
Cathedral Catholic High School	Dons	10	15	23	17	5	13	83	Ryan Ratliffe '17 [1-6] Elizabeth Matheson '16 [1-2, 5-6] Carter Lynn '16 [3-4]
Point Loma High School	Pointers 1	17	22	17	5	12	20	93	Jack Mcgraw '16 Katharine Bowman '16
Francis Parker School	Parker	18	5	18	18	20	14	93	Cole Harris '18 [1-6] Madeleine Mcgrath '18 [1-2, 5-6] Jeremy Mcculloch '18 [3-4]
Windward School	Varsity	24	20	20	24	9	5	102	William Line '16 Gillian Lyons '16
Palos Verdes High School	Sea Kings	2	10	24	20	29	22	107	Kyle Collins '17 Justin Zmina '19
Bishop's School	Knights	12	27	DNF	10	11	16	109	Amanda Majernik '18 Gabe Cappetta '17
Coronado Islanders	Islanders 1	16	16	16	22	21	19	110	Nicole Simon '16 Tanner Chapko '17
Branson School	Bulls	26	24	10	9	26	18	113	Jackson Ritter '16 Andrew Fisher '19
Sage Hill School	Lightning 2	11	23	22	23	23	24	126	Wells Drayton '17 Isabelle Meegan '19
Redondo Union High School	Varsity	27	25	9	19	18	28	126	Emi Stephanoff '17 [1-6] Calvin Tiernan '18 [1-2] Angela Stuckey '16 [3-4] Alex Shapiro '19 [5-6]
Tamalpais High School	Red Tailed Hawks	23	14	21	21	DNF	23	135	Hayden Potter '16 Francis Streitman '17
Convent and Stuart Hall High Schools	Cubs	30	29	11	12	28	26	136	Emiliano Bache '16 [1-4] Mats Keldsen '19 [5-6] Paige Dunlevy '16 [1-4]
Alameda High School	Varsity	29	26	DNF	26	17	9	140	Drake Hayes '17 Zack Taylor '19
Corona del Mar High School	Sea Kings Varsity 2	20	12	DNF	DNF	22	25	145	John Horton '17 Carah Reddin '18
Corona del Mar High School	Sea Kings Varsity 3	31	13	DNF	DNF	8	29	147	Cameron Wood '18 Christopher Sandoval '18
Long Beach Wilson High School	Bruins 1	32	32	13	15	27	30	149	Jack Berg '17 Hailey Thompson '18
Point Loma High School	Pointers 3	22	28	19	25	30	27	151	Jack Joslin '18 [1-6] Emma Batcher '18 [1-2, 5-6] James Ozaki '19 [3-4]
Redwood High School	Giants	15	30	DNF	DNF	15	31	157	Will Martens '16 [1-6] Chloe Holder '19 [1-2, 5-6] Chloe Belgum '16 [3-4]
Coronado Islanders	Islanders 2	19	31	DNF	DNF	24	21	161	Owen Schafer '17 Carolyn Kearns '18
Marin Academy	Wildcats	25	18	DNF	DNF	25	32	166	Alyson Crowley '16 [1-6] Elise Lamarre '19 [1-2] Jack Lamarre '17 [3-6]

School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	R6	TOT	Sailors
Sage Hill School	Lightning 1	3	2	5	6	3	5	24	Bobby Briggs '16 Paige Okey '17
Point Loma High School	Pointers 1	5	8	3	2	4	6	28	Steven Leuck '16 Megan Lansdale '16
Newport Harbor High School	Sailors 2	2	1	12	8	2	4	29	Patrick Shannon '16 [1-6] Emily Overstreet '17 [1-4] Maddie Kraus '16 [5-6]
Santa Barbara High School	Dons	1	13	6	1	BKD	BKD	31	Lucas Pierce '17 Lauren Seigel '16
Newport Harbor High School	Sailors 1	15	5	4	3	5	1	33	Michael Sabourin '16 [1-6] Madeline Bubb '16 [1-4] Trenton Bashaw '18 [5-6]
Point Loma High School	Pointers 2	11	BKD	2	4	9	7	40	Cole Baker '16 James (Jd) Schrady '18
Cathedral Catholic High School	Dons	4	7	15	10	6	10	52	Jesse Mcknight '16 [1-6] Kylie Freitas '16 [1-2] Ryan Mcconnville '18 [3-6]
Corona del Mar High School	Sea Kings Varsity 2	9	10	7	11	14	8	59	Sean Dahl '17 Laurel Foster '18
Redwood High School	Giants	6	17	18	18	1	2	62	Harry Schmidt '16 Liam Farese '18
Branson School	Bulls	13	12	14	12	11	3	65	Kamila Harting '18 Ben Hoffner '16
Long Beach Wilson High School	Bruins 2	8	3	BKD	BKD	15	19	67	Ryan Schack '17 Kyle Cater '17
Francis Parker School	Parker	26	18	1	5	8	9	67	Samuel Merson '18 [1-6] Athena Malcolm '16 [1-2] Jeremy Mcculloch '18 [3-6]
Newport Harbor High School	Sailors 3	18	15	9	9	10	14	75	Marley Mais '17 [1-6] Grace Blackman '16 [1-2] Max Brennan '20 [3-6]
Corona del Mar High School	Sea Kings Varsity 1	14	21	8	7	16	11	77	Derek Pickell '16 [1-2] Porter Killian '18 [3-6] Victoria Thompson '17 [1-2]
Long Beach Wilson High School	Bruins 1	7	6	23	BKD	13	21	84	Alan Peoples '17 Christina Vandyke '19
Redondo Union High School	Varsity	20	22	10	13	7	12	84	Daniel Belton '16 [1-6] Jack Polnisch '17 [1-4] Micky Munns '19 [5-6]
Convent and Stuart Hall High Schools	Cubs	19	4	11	16	19	26	95	Gwynie Dunlevy '16 [1-6] Sarah Paulsen '16 [1-2] Lulu Desai '18 [3-6]
Coronado Islanders	Islanders 1	12	9	19	20	22	15	97	Grace Yakutis '16 Pj Eaton '17
Point Loma High School	Pointers 3	16	20	BKD	15	18	16	102	Taisei Hatter '19 Max Magnus '19
The Bay School of San Francisco	Breakers	10	25	16	19	17	18	105	Sumner Strumph '17 [1-6] Cali Salinas '19 [1-2] John Deruff '17 [3-6]
Dos Pueblos	Chargers	23	16	17	17	21	13	107	Chris Kayda '19 [1-6] Sophie Thompson '17 [1-2] Sachin Suri '19 [3-6]
Coronado Islanders	Islanders 2	22	14	21	DNS	23	20	133	Evan Arnold '17 Casey King '16
Tamalpais High School	Red Tailed Hawks	24	11	DNF	DNS	20	17	138	Andy Strike '16 [1-6] Makena Barkus '18 [1-2, 5-6] Kate Hofele '17 [3-4]
Corona del Mar High School	Sea Kings Varsity 3	17	19	DNF	DNF	12	27	141	Michael Farris '17 Ian Sellinger '18
Marin Academy	Wildcats	25	23	25	24	24	24	145	Madeline Kuhn '16 [1-6] Emily Ritter '16 [1-2] Elise Lamarre '19 [3-6]
Palos Verdes High School	Sea Kings	30	27	22	22	27	22	150	Kaili Campbell '17 Emily Collins '19
Sage Hill School	Lightning 2	21	31	24	23	29	23	151	Jonathan Chance '19 Joshua Cheadle '19
Alameda High School	Varsity	27	28	20	25	26	30	156	Miles Orozco '16 Liam Orozco '19
Windward School	Varsity	29	24	26	21	28	29	157	Elan Molko '19 Andie Munoz '16
Bishop's School	Knights	32	26	DNF	DNS	25	25	174	Jack Plavan '19 Lizzie Russell '17
Mira Costa High School	Mustangs	31	DNF	27	26	DNF	28	178	Chris Andrews '17 Sara James '17
Long Beach Polytechnic HS	Jackrabbits	28	30	DNF	DNF	30	31	185	Jake Zieba '18 Taylor Milefchek '18

Boat Speed Analyzer

SlowExpected boat effectFast

−0.140+0.14

Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2016 (1 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team	1A	2A	3A	4A	5A	6A
Alameda High School Varsity	1	1	3	3	5	5
Cathedral Catholic High School Dons	2	2	32	32	30	30
Convent and Stuart Hall High Schools Cubs	3	3	5	5	7	7
Corona del Mar High School Sea Kings Varsity 1	4	4	2	2	32	32
Corona del Mar High School Sea Kings Varsity 2	5	5	7	7	9	9
Corona del Mar High School Sea Kings Varsity 3	6	6	4	4	2	2
Coronado Islanders Islanders 1	7	7	9	9	11	11
Coronado Islanders Islanders 2	8	8	6	6	4	4
Dos Pueblos Chargers	9	9	11	11	13	13
Francis Parker School Parker	10	10	8	8	6	6
Long Beach Polytechnic HS Jackrabbits	11	11	13	13	15	15
Long Beach Wilson High School Bruins 1	12	12	10	10	8	8
Long Beach Wilson High School Bruins 2	13	13	15	15	17	17
Marin Academy Wildcats	14	14	12	12	10	10
Mira Costa High School Mustangs	15	15	17	17	19	19
Newport Harbor High School Sailors 1	16	16	14	14	12	12
Newport Harbor High School Sailors 2	17	17	19	19	21	21
Newport Harbor High School Sailors 3	18	18	16	16	14	14
Palos Verdes High School Sea Kings	19	19	21	21	23	23
Point Loma High School Pointers 1	20	20	18	18	16	16
Point Loma High School Pointers 2	21	21	23	23	25	25
Point Loma High School Pointers 3	22	22	20	20	18	18
Redondo Union High School Varsity	23	23	25	25	27	27
Redwood High School Giants	24	24	22	22	20	20
Sage Hill School Lightning 1	25	25	27	27	29	29
Sage Hill School Lightning 2	26	26	24	24	22	22
Santa Barbara High School Dons	27	27	29	29	31	31
Tamalpais High School Red Tailed Hawks	28	28	26	26	24	24
The Bay School of San Francisco Breakers	29	29	31	31	1	1
Bishop's School Knights	30	30	28	28	26	26
Branson School Bulls	31	31	1	1	3	3
Windward School Varsity	32	32	30	30	28	28

Division B

Team	1B	2B	3B	4B	5B	6B
Alameda High School Varsity	2	2	4	4	6	6
Cathedral Catholic High School Dons	1	1	31	31	29	29
Convent and Stuart Hall High Schools Cubs	4	4	6	6	8	8
Corona del Mar High School Sea Kings Varsity 1	3	3	1	1	31	31
Corona del Mar High School Sea Kings Varsity 2	6	6	8	8	10	10
Corona del Mar High School Sea Kings Varsity 3	5	5	3	3	1	1
Coronado Islanders Islanders 1	8	8	10	10	12	12
Coronado Islanders Islanders 2	7	7	5	5	3	3
Dos Pueblos Chargers	10	10	12	12	14	14
Francis Parker School Parker	9	9	7	7	5	5
Long Beach Polytechnic HS Jackrabbits	12	12	14	14	16	16
Long Beach Wilson High School Bruins 1	11	11	9	9	7	7
Long Beach Wilson High School Bruins 2	14	14	16	16	18	18
Marin Academy Wildcats	13	13	11	11	9	9
Mira Costa High School Mustangs	16	16	18	18	20	20
Newport Harbor High School Sailors 1	15	15	13	13	11	11
Newport Harbor High School Sailors 2	18	18	20	20	22	22
Newport Harbor High School Sailors 3	17	17	15	15	13	13
Palos Verdes High School Sea Kings	20	20	22	22	24	24
Point Loma High School Pointers 1	19	19	17	17	15	15
Point Loma High School Pointers 2	22	22	24	24	26	26
Point Loma High School Pointers 3	21	21	19	19	17	17
Redondo Union High School Varsity	24	24	26	26	28	28
Redwood High School Giants	23	23	21	21	19	19
Sage Hill School Lightning 1	26	26	28	28	30	30
Sage Hill School Lightning 2	25	25	23	23	21	21
Santa Barbara High School Dons	28	28	30	30	32	32
Tamalpais High School Red Tailed Hawks	27	27	25	25	23	23
The Bay School of San Francisco Breakers	30	30	32	32	2	2
Bishop's School Knights	29	29	27	27	25	25
Branson School Bulls	32	32	2	2	4	4
Windward School Varsity	31	31	29	29	27	27

School / Team	Skipper	Crew
Alameda High School	Drake Hayes '17	Zack Taylor '19
Varsity	Miles Orozco '16	Liam Orozco '19
Bishop's School	Amanda Majernik '18	Gabe Cappetta '17
Knights	Jack Plavan '19	Lizzie Russell '17
Branson School	Jackson Ritter '16	Andrew Fisher '19
Bulls	Kamila Harting '18	Ben Hoffner '16
Cathedral Catholic High School	Ryan Ratliffe '17 [1-6]	Elizabeth Matheson '16 [1-2, 5-6] Carter Lynn '16 [3-4]
Dons	Jesse Mcknight '16 [1-6]	Kylie Freitas '16 [1-2] Ryan Mcconnville '18 [3-6]
Convent and Stuart Hall High Schools	Emiliano Bache '16 [1-4] Mats Keldsen '19 [5-6]	Paige Dunlevy '16 [1-4]
Cubs	Gwynie Dunlevy '16 [1-6]	Sarah Paulsen '16 [1-2] Lulu Desai '18 [3-6]
Corona del Mar High School	Rhodes Garner '16 [1-6]	Sammy Pickell '18 [1-2, 5-6] Kate Madigan '16 [3-4]
Sea Kings Varsity 1	Derek Pickell '16 [1-2] Porter Killian '18 [3-6]	Victoria Thompson '17 [1-2]
Corona del Mar High School	John Horton '17	Carah Reddin '18
Sea Kings Varsity 2	Sean Dahl '17	Laurel Foster '18
Corona del Mar High School	Cameron Wood '18	Christopher Sandoval '18
Sea Kings Varsity 3	Michael Farris '17	Ian Sellinger '18
Coronado Islanders	Nicole Simon '16	Tanner Chapko '17
Islanders 1	Grace Yakutis '16	Pj Eaton '17
Coronado Islanders	Owen Schafer '17	Carolyn Kearns '18
Islanders 2	Evan Arnold '17	Casey King '16
Dos Pueblos	Ryan Eastwood '18 [1-6]	Sara Muir '18 [1-2, 5-6] Yannick Gloster '18 [3-4]
Chargers	Chris Kayda '19 [1-6]	Sophie Thompson '17 [1-2] Sachin Suri '19 [3-6]
Francis Parker School	Cole Harris '18 [1-6]	Madeleine Mcgrath '18 [1-2, 5-6] Jeremy Mcculloch '18 [3-4]
Parker	Samuel Merson '18 [1-6]	Athena Malcolm '16 [1-2] Jeremy Mcculloch '18 [3-6]
Long Beach Polytechnic HS	Cameron Feves '18	Beth Golison '16
Jackrabbits	Jake Zieba '18	Taylor Milefchek '18
Long Beach Wilson High School	Jack Berg '17	Hailey Thompson '18
Bruins 1	Alan Peoples '17	Christina Vandyke '19
Long Beach Wilson High School	Trent Turigliatto '18	Keltin Hill '17
Bruins 2	Ryan Schack '17	Kyle Cater '17
Marin Academy	Alyson Crowley '16 [1-6]	Elise Lamarre '19 [1-2] Jack Lamarre '17 [3-6]
Wildcats	Madeline Kuhn '16 [1-6]	Emily Ritter '16 [1-2] Elise Lamarre '19 [3-6]
Mira Costa High School	Peter Neal '16	Leah James '17
Mustangs	Chris Andrews '17	Sara James '17
Newport Harbor High School	Sean Segerblom '16	Briggs D'Eliscu '16
Sailors 1	Michael Sabourin '16 [1-6]	Madeline Bubb '16 [1-4] Trenton Bashaw '18 [5-6]
Newport Harbor High School	Joseph Hou '18	Eliza Moody '16
Sailors 2	Patrick Shannon '16 [1-6]	Emily Overstreet '17 [1-4] Maddie Kraus '16 [5-6]
Newport Harbor High School	Andrew Person '17	Grace Vandervort '17
Sailors 3	Marley Mais '17 [1-6]	Grace Blackman '16 [1-2] Max Brennan '20 [3-6]
Palos Verdes High School	Kyle Collins '17	Justin Zmina '19
Sea Kings	Kaili Campbell '17	Emily Collins '19
Point Loma High School	Jack Mcgraw '16	Katharine Bowman '16
Pointers 1	Steven Leuck '16	Megan Lansdale '16
Point Loma High School	Jack Reiter '18 [1-6]	Kenny Moats '17 [1-2, 5-6] Jeremy Cienfuegos '16 [3-4]
Pointers 2	Cole Baker '16	James (Jd) Schrady '18
Point Loma High School	Jack Joslin '18 [1-6]	Emma Batcher '18 [1-2, 5-6] James Ozaki '19 [3-4]
Pointers 3	Taisei Hatter '19	Max Magnus '19
Redondo Union High School	Emi Stephanoff '17 [1-6]	Calvin Tiernan '18 [1-2] Angela Stuckey '16 [3-4] Alex Shapiro '19 [5-6]
Varsity	Daniel Belton '16 [1-6]	Jack Polnisch '17 [1-4] Micky Munns '19 [5-6]
Redwood High School	Will Martens '16 [1-6]	Chloe Holder '19 [1-2, 5-6] Chloe Belgum '16 [3-4]
Giants	Harry Schmidt '16	Liam Farese '18
Sage Hill School	Jacob Rosenberg '16	Madison Nadelman '16
Lightning 1	Bobby Briggs '16	Paige Okey '17
Sage Hill School	Wells Drayton '17	Isabelle Meegan '19
Lightning 2	Jonathan Chance '19	Joshua Cheadle '19
Santa Barbara High School	Evan Heffernan '16 [1-6]	Jodie Jacobs '16 [1-2, 5-6] Caden Scheiblauer '19 [3-4]
Dons	Lucas Pierce '17	Lauren Seigel '16
Tamalpais High School	Hayden Potter '16	Francis Streitman '17
Red Tailed Hawks	Andy Strike '16 [1-6]	Makena Barkus '18 [1-2, 5-6] Kate Hofele '17 [3-4]
The Bay School of San Francisco	Spencer Paulsen '16 [1-6]	Chloe Bohannon '16 [1-2, 5-6] William Hale '18 [3-4]
Breakers	Sumner Strumph '17 [1-6]	Cali Salinas '19 [1-2] John Deruff '17 [3-6]
Windward School	William Line '16	Gillian Lyons '16
Varsity	Elan Molko '19	Andie Munoz '16

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

What a rating point is worthA one-point edge is a 73% chance to beat another boat in a race; two points is 88%.
Should the best sailor sail A?Add your two skippers’ ratings and compare with the field; above it the better skipper belongs in A.
Are the boats even?Boats differ by about 0.3 places a race; fleets are uneven from day one.
Which venues get orderly in a breeze?Some venues get orderly when it blows, a few get messier; the fleet comes first.

All notes →

Navigate

Menu

PCISA #5 - Gaucho GOLD

Division A

Division B

From the notes