PCISA #4 Golden Bear SILVER

HostMarin Academy/Redwood/The Branson
Date02/20/2016
TypeIn-District
BoatCFJ
Scoring2 Divisions

#	School	Team	A	B	TOT
1	Windward School	Varsity	48	88	136
2	Woodside High School	Wildcat	80	62	142
3	Mater Dei High School	Monarchs 1	93	51	144
4	Miramonte High School	Matadors	63	91	154
5	Rolling Hills Prep and Renaissance Schools	Huskies	123	46	169
6	Palos Verdes High School	Sea Kings	67	125	192
7	Palo Alto High	Varsity	150	63	213
8	St. Ignatius College Prep - San Francisco	Varsity	118	103	221
9	Bishop's School	Knights	81	151	232
10	Monte Vista High School	Mustangs	111	126	237
11	La Jolla High School	Vikings 1	126	116	242
12	Redwood High School	Giants	149	99	248
13	Archie Williams High School	Varsity	126	135	261
14	Sequoia High School	Cherokees	182	131	313
15	The Bay School of San Francisco	Breakers	172	159	331
16	Lick-Wilmerding High School	Tigers	108	229	337
17	Tamalpais High School	Red Tailed Hawks	191	146	337
18	International HS - SF	Varsity	192	160	352
19	The Urban School	Varsity	137	232	369
20	Laguna Blanca School	Varsity	194	188	382
21	Berkeley High School	Varsity	226	165	391
22	Lynbrook High School	Vikings	131	261	392
23	Port of Los Angeles High School	Varsity	222	176	398
24	Torrey Pines High School	Falcons 1	169 MRP	230 MRP	399 MRP
25	La Jolla High School	Vikings 2	220	219	439
26	Campolindo High School	Cougars	226	220	446
27	Mater Dei High School	Monarchs 2	275	199	474
28	Davis High School	Blue Devils	227	269	496
29	Torrey Pines High School	Falcons 2	284 MRP	226 MRP	510 MRP
30	Lycee Francais de San Francisco	Varsity	247	275	522
31	The Athenian School	Varsity	267	288	555

School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	R6	R7	R8	R9	R10	TOT	Sailors
Windward School	Varsity	1	13	1	4	4	1	4	7	5	8	48	William Line '16 [1-10] Isabel Kibreab '16 [1-4, 7-8] Ben Meyer '19 [5-6, 9-10]
Miramonte High School	Matadors	3	3	2	11	1	5	13	11	7	7	63	Sally Wilmot '18 Molly Colwell '16
Palos Verdes High School	Sea Kings	2	2	4	22	5	3	5	3	10	11	67	Gavin Mcjones '19 [1-10] Hannah Rener '16 [1-4, 7-10] Sophia Lopez '19 [5-6]
Woodside High School	Wildcat	11	5	8	6	12	13	1	1	11	12	80	Patrick Wilkinson '16 Sophia Mcdevitt '17
Bishop's School	Knights	4	9	10	3	9	24	14	5	2	1	81	Gabe Cappetta '17 [1-10] Cal Pedroli '19 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10] Luke Furtek '19 [3-4, 7-8]
Mater Dei High School	Monarchs 1	12	14	6	14	8	7	8	2	12	10	93	Anthony Zorayan '18 Danielle Ahir '16
Lick-Wilmerding High School	Tigers	14	15	5	9	6	16	10	13	14	6	108	Parker Klebahn '17 James Scherr '20
Monte Vista High School	Mustangs	22	8	9	1	16	6	17	17	6	9	111	Michael Lively '18 Brennan O'Connell '18
St. Ignatius College Prep - San Francisco	Varsity	9	17	23	27	10	8	7	12	3	2	118	Ryder Easterlin '16 [1-10] Mackenzie Berwick '18 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10] Gabriella Schmidt '18 [3-4] Carolyne Ikeda '19 [7-8]
Rolling Hills Prep and Renaissance Schools	Huskies	26	18	30	8	11	4	3	19	1	3	123	Cade Morris '18 Daniel Erisman '19
La Jolla High School	Vikings 1	7	7	15	7	19	11	11	10	26	13	126	Sajan Alagiri '17 Lauren Matich '17
Archie Williams High School	Varsity	23	10	22	24	2	2	15	4	8	16	126	Dylan Meade '16 Cody Ocallahan '21
Lynbrook High School	Vikings	13	4	17	25	14	10	16	24	4	4	131	Thomas Samuels '17 Eric Hong '17
The Urban School	Varsity	10	23	21	12	3	12	6	8	23	19	137	Eli Gordon '20 [1-10] Hannah Schrank '19 [1-2] Sarah Paulsen '16 [3-10]
Redwood High School	Giants	6	11	19	10	18	28	9	9	15	24	149	Michael Brandon '16 [1-10] Jake Lopez '19 [1-6] Chloe Holder '19 [7-10]
Palo Alto High	Varsity	5	1	3	2	OCS	14	DNS	26	20	15	150	Andrew Huang '18 Anthony Xie '19
Torrey Pines High School	Falcons 1	8	12	14	20	13	18	23	23	13	5	169 MRP	Neil Gompf '17 Jacob Hand '17
The Bay School of San Francisco	Breakers	27	19	25	16	7	22	2	15	19	20	172	John Deruff '17 [1-10] Cali Salinas '19 [1-2, 5-10] Sarah Cuyler '19 [3-4]
Sequoia High School	Cherokees	20	6	7	23	24	20	22	21	9	30	182	Christian Brown '18 Gavin Bradley '18
Tamalpais High School	Red Tailed Hawks	24	22	18	5	OCS	19	18	6	25	22	191	Joe Rico '18 [1-10] Frances Tarpey-Schwed '19 [1-4, 7-8] Christian Rodriguez '18 [5-6, 9-10]
International HS - SF	Varsity	21	25	11	21	20	23	12	14	18	27	192	Keelin Davis '17 [1-10] Jade Greer '19 [1-6] Genna Corlett '17 [7-10]
Laguna Blanca School	Varsity	16	24	12	26	22	21	20	18	17	18	194	Carson Shevitz '16 Charlie Jacobs '20
La Jolla High School	Vikings 2	15	26	20	13	29	17	19	28	30	23	220	Liam Brinton '18 [1-10] Kieran Bauman '16 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10] Bruce Fleury '19 [3-4, 7-8]
Port of Los Angeles High School	Varsity	19	29	16	18	26	9	28	20	28	29	222	Tyler Cook '19 Catalina Murray '18
Campolindo High School	Cougars	17	16	28	19	17	31	30	29	22	17	226	Cooper Larhette '17 [1-10] Kristen Zarembinski '19 [1-6] Derek Nelson '18 [7-10]
Berkeley High School	Varsity	18	20	OCS	28	15	15	29	16	27	26	226	Raffi Altman-Allen '16 Laurel Richardson '16
Davis High School	Blue Devils	25	28	13	15	25	26	27	30	24	14	227	James Locker '16 Sophia Young '20
Lycee Francais de San Francisco	Varsity	31	30	26	17	23	25	21	25	21	28	247	Nolwenn Menard '19 Lorenzo Baldo '18
The Athenian School	Varsity	28	21	29	30	21	27	24	27	29	31	267	Jackson Kaplan '17 [1-10] Jonah Kirmse '17 [1-2, 5-8] Michael Krym '19 [3-4, 9-10]
Mater Dei High School	Monarchs 2	30	27	27	31	28	29	25	22	31	25	275	Samuel Bigelow '19 Sarah Wilkes '16
Torrey Pines High School	Falcons 2	29	31	24	29	27	30	26	31	16	21	284 MRP	Hunter Snyder '16 [1-10] Sierra Stewart '19 [1-4, 7-8] Maddie Brigandi '17 [5-6, 9-10]

School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	R6	R7	R8	R9	R10	TOT	Sailors
Rolling Hills Prep and Renaissance Schools	Huskies	2	1	3	2	2	9	4	4	8	11	46	Drea Keswater '19 Jacob Schnel '19
Mater Dei High School	Monarchs 1	1	7	9	3	7	2	1	7	6	8	51	Caden Wheeler '17 Sarah Politiski '17
Woodside High School	Wildcat	6	2	2	5	1	17	7	10	10	2	62	Judith Politi '21 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10] Joseph Politi '18 [3-4, 7-8] Jessica O'Neill '19 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10] Tyler Davis '18 [3-4, 7-8]
Palo Alto High	Varsity	5	14	12	1	5	5	5	5	4	7	63	Will Glasson '20 Jacob Kowalski '19
Windward School	Varsity	7	3	26	11	9	10	11	8	2	1	88	Elan Molko '19 [1-10] Esra Park '17 [1-6, 9-10] Andie Munoz '16 [7-8]
Miramonte High School	Matadors	4	17	7	15	16	3	18	3	5	3	91	Thomas Erisman '19 [1-10] Kai Otsmaa '17 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10] Devon Kurisu '19 [3-4, 7-8]
Redwood High School	Giants	13	10	15	8	17	27	2	2	1	4	99	Chloe Holder '19 [1-6] Tommy Young '18 [7-10] Jake Lopez '19 [1-8] Madeline Stull '19 [9-10]
St. Ignatius College Prep - San Francisco	Varsity	10	4	6	12	12	18	9	6	14	12	103	Jonar Tanguilig '16 [1-10] Isabel De La Torre '16 [1-2, 5-8] Maeve Clayton '17 [3-4, 9-10]
La Jolla High School	Vikings 1	3	9	11	4	10	4	20	11	12	OCS	116	Louis Sheid '19 Kyra Styner '16
Palos Verdes High School	Sea Kings	24	12	8	7	3	8	27	28	3	5	125	Evan Insley '19 [1-2, 7-8] Lukas Kraak '19 [3-6, 9-10] Grant Coors '19 [1-2, 7-8] Cameron Neligan '19 [3-6, 9-10]
Monte Vista High School	Mustangs	8	5	1	13	8	6	DNS	14	26	13	126	John Dilella '18 Thomas Laskarzewski '18
Sequoia High School	Cherokees	14	18	4	21	4	1	17	15	20	17	131	Albert Zhao '20 Amir Tadros '20
Archie Williams High School	Varsity	26	20	18	9	13	21	12	1	9	6	135	Gabe Reuter '19 Ryan Osier '18
Tamalpais High School	Red Tailed Hawks	25	15	13	16	11	11	10	9	15	21	146	Elisabeth Rowedder '16 Jacob Renneisen '18
Bishop's School	Knights	21	8	5	6	6	7	OCS	18	16	RAF	151	Charlie Michael '16 [1-10] Megan Mcglothlin '17 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10] Nate Struble '16 [3-4, 7-8]
The Bay School of San Francisco	Breakers	11	11	16	28	18	12	16	19	19	9	159	Alexandre Testa '16 [1-10] Alexander Holderness '17 [1-4, 9-10] Sarah Cuyler '19 [5-8]
International HS - SF	Varsity	16	6	20	27	21	16	8	12	24	10	160	Alexander Boccon- Gibod '17 [1-6, 9-10] Leo Findlay '16 [7-8] Colin Ruppert '16 [1-6] Jade Greer '19 [7-10]
Berkeley High School	Varsity	9	16	19	18	19	13	23	17	11	20	165	Max Rodman '18 Stuart Myers '17
Port of Los Angeles High School	Varsity	12	22	24	10	15	20	26	25	7	15	176	Patrick Garrett '21 Elizabeth Hermenegildo '19
Laguna Blanca School	Varsity	19	26	14	17	22	26	21	16	13	14	188	Rick Eickert '18 Jake Pelto '17
Mater Dei High School	Monarchs 2	18	13	23	14	20	22	15	26	21	27	199	Jonathan Mulville '19 Hannah Reh '16
La Jolla High School	Vikings 2	22	RAF	17	22	26	19	25	20	17	19	219	Loren Behumi-Davis '19 Shosanna Fleury '16
Campolindo High School	Cougars	23	DNF	25	19	14	14	14	24	29	26	220	Chao Isabella '18 [1-6] Daniel Warner '18 [7-10] Derek Nelson '18 [1-6] Kaitlyn Zarembinski '17 [7-10]
Torrey Pines High School	Falcons 2	20	25	10	23	24	15	22	22	22	23	226 MRP	Connor Wall '17 Hasti Khaksari '20
Lick-Wilmerding High School	Tigers	15	23	21	24	29	29	13	23	27	25	229	Quinn Donahue '16 [1-10] Ben Wheeler '20 [1-6] Pilar Mcdonald '19 [7-10]
Torrey Pines High School	Falcons 1	17	19	22	20	27	28	6	DNF	23	16	230 MRP	Justin Trenkle '16 [1-4, 7-8] Will Everett '16 [5-6, 9-10] Will Everett '16 [1-4, 7-8] Kendall Mayo '17 [5-6, 9-10]
The Urban School	Varsity	RAF	24	28	25	23	24	3	21	30	22	232	Hannah Schrank '19 [1, 3, 5, 7, 9] Anna Krylova '20 [2, 4, 6, 8, 10] Anna Krylova '20 [1, 3, 5, 7, 9] Hannah Schrank '19 [2, 4, 6, 8, 10]
Lynbrook High School	Vikings	28	RAF	29	26	25	25	19	13	RAF	RAF	261	Michael Zheng '19 Jack Lugliani '18
Davis High School	Blue Devils	30	27	30	30	30	30	24	DNF	18	18	269	Aj Bardsley '19 [1-6] John Locker '18 [7-10] Max Bardsley '19 [1-6] Kevin Lau '18 [7-10]
Lycee Francais de San Francisco	Varsity	27	DNF	31	29	28	23	29	27	25	24	275	Hugo Agnola '19 Sebastian Westerink '19
The Athenian School	Varsity	29	21	27	31	DNS	DNS	28	DNF	28	28	288	Jackson Yeomans '18 [1-10] Sunny Yang '18 [1-2, 7-8] Noah Cheyer '19 [3-6, 9-10]

Boat Speed Analyzer

SlowExpected boat effectFast

−0.300+0.30

Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2016 (1 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team	1A	2A	3A	4A	5A	6A	7A	8A	9A	10A
Berkeley High School Varsity	32	32	34	34	36	36	38	38	40	40
Campolindo High School Cougars	33	33	35	35	37	37	39	39	41	41
Davis High School Blue Devils	34	34	36	36	38	38	40	40	42	42
International HS - SF Varsity	35	35	37	37	39	39	41	41	43	43
La Jolla High School Vikings 1	36	36	38	38	40	40	42	42	44	44
La Jolla High School Vikings 2	37	37	39	39	41	41	43	43	45	45
Laguna Blanca School Varsity	38	38	40	40	42	42	44	44	46	46
Lick-Wilmerding High School Tigers	39	39	41	41	43	43	45	45	47	47
Lycee Francais de San Francisco Varsity	40	40	42	42	44	44	46	46	48	48
Lynbrook High School Vikings	41	41	43	43	45	45	47	47	49	49
Mater Dei High School Monarchs 1	42	42	44	44	46	46	48	48	50	50
Mater Dei High School Monarchs 2	43	43	45	45	47	47	49	49	51	51
Miramonte High School Matadors	44	44	46	46	48	48	50	50	52	52
Monte Vista High School Mustangs	45	45	47	47	49	49	51	51	53	53
Palo Alto High Varsity	46	46	48	48	50	50	52	52	54	54
Palos Verdes High School Sea Kings	47	47	49	49	51	51	53	53	55	55
Port of Los Angeles High School Varsity	48	48	50	50	52	52	54	54	56	56
Redwood High School Giants	49	49	51	51	53	53	55	55	57	57
Rolling Hills Prep and Renaissance Schools Huskies	50	50	52	52	54	54	56	56	58	58
Sequoia High School Cherokees	51	51	53	53	55	55	57	57	59	59
Archie Williams High School Varsity	52	52	54	54	56	56	58	58	60	60
St. Ignatius College Prep - San Francisco Varsity	53	53	55	55	57	57	59	59	61	61
Tamalpais High School Red Tailed Hawks	54	54	56	56	58	58	60	60	31	31
The Athenian School Varsity	31	31	33	33	35	35	37	37	39	39
The Bay School of San Francisco Breakers	55	55	57	57	59	59	61	61	32	32
Bishop's School Knights	56	56	58	58	60	60	31	31	33	33
The Urban School Varsity	57	57	59	59	61	61	32	32	34	34
Torrey Pines High School Falcons 1	58	58	60	60	31	31	33	33	35	35
Torrey Pines High School Falcons 2	59	59	61	61	32	32	34	34	36	36
Windward School Varsity	60	60	31	31	33	33	35	35	37	37
Woodside High School Wildcat	61	61	32	32	34	34	36	36	38	38

Division B

Team	1B	2B	3B	4B	5B	6B	7B	8B	9B	10B
Berkeley High School Varsity	33	33	35	35	37	37	39	39	41	41
Campolindo High School Cougars	34	34	36	36	38	38	40	40	42	42
Davis High School Blue Devils	35	35	37	37	39	39	41	41	43	43
International HS - SF Varsity	36	36	38	38	40	40	42	42	44	44
La Jolla High School Vikings 1	37	37	39	39	41	41	43	43	45	45
La Jolla High School Vikings 2	38	38	40	40	42	42	44	44	46	46
Laguna Blanca School Varsity	39	39	41	41	43	43	45	45	47	47
Lick-Wilmerding High School Tigers	40	40	42	42	44	44	46	46	48	48
Lycee Francais de San Francisco Varsity	41	41	43	43	45	45	47	47	49	49
Lynbrook High School Vikings	42	42	44	44	46	46	48	48	50	50
Mater Dei High School Monarchs 1	43	43	45	45	47	47	49	49	51	51
Mater Dei High School Monarchs 2	44	44	46	46	48	48	50	50	52	52
Miramonte High School Matadors	45	45	47	47	49	49	51	51	53	53
Monte Vista High School Mustangs	46	46	48	48	50	50	52	52	54	54
Palo Alto High Varsity	47	47	49	49	51	51	53	53	55	55
Palos Verdes High School Sea Kings	48	48	50	50	52	52	54	54	56	56
Port of Los Angeles High School Varsity	49	49	51	51	53	53	55	55	57	57
Redwood High School Giants	50	50	52	52	54	54	56	56	58	58
Rolling Hills Prep and Renaissance Schools Huskies	51	51	53	53	55	55	57	57	59	59
Sequoia High School Cherokees	52	52	54	54	56	56	58	58	60	60
Archie Williams High School Varsity	53	53	55	55	57	57	59	59	61	61
St. Ignatius College Prep - San Francisco Varsity	54	54	56	56	58	58	60	60	31	31
Tamalpais High School Red Tailed Hawks	55	55	57	57	59	59	61	61	32	32
The Athenian School Varsity	32	32	34	34	36	36	38	38	40	40
The Bay School of San Francisco Breakers	56	56	58	58	60	60	31	31	33	33
Bishop's School Knights	57	57	59	59	61	61	32	32	34	34
The Urban School Varsity	58	58	60	60	31	31	33	33	35	35
Torrey Pines High School Falcons 1	59	59	61	61	32	32	34	34	36	36
Torrey Pines High School Falcons 2	60	60	31	31	33	33	35	35	37	37
Windward School Varsity	61	61	32	32	34	34	36	36	38	38
Woodside High School Wildcat	31	31	33	33	35	35	37	37	39	39

School / Team	Skipper	Crew
Archie Williams High School	Dylan Meade '16	Cody Ocallahan '21
Varsity	Gabe Reuter '19	Ryan Osier '18
Berkeley High School	Raffi Altman-Allen '16	Laurel Richardson '16
Varsity	Max Rodman '18	Stuart Myers '17
Bishop's School	Gabe Cappetta '17 [1-10]	Cal Pedroli '19 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10] Luke Furtek '19 [3-4, 7-8]
Knights	Charlie Michael '16 [1-10]	Megan Mcglothlin '17 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10] Nate Struble '16 [3-4, 7-8]
Campolindo High School	Cooper Larhette '17 [1-10]	Kristen Zarembinski '19 [1-6] Derek Nelson '18 [7-10]
Cougars	Chao Isabella '18 [1-6] Daniel Warner '18 [7-10]	Derek Nelson '18 [1-6] Kaitlyn Zarembinski '17 [7-10]
Davis High School	James Locker '16	Sophia Young '20
Blue Devils	Aj Bardsley '19 [1-6] John Locker '18 [7-10]	Max Bardsley '19 [1-6] Kevin Lau '18 [7-10]
International HS - SF	Keelin Davis '17 [1-10]	Jade Greer '19 [1-6] Genna Corlett '17 [7-10]
Varsity	Alexander Boccon- Gibod '17 [1-6, 9-10] Leo Findlay '16 [7-8]	Colin Ruppert '16 [1-6] Jade Greer '19 [7-10]
La Jolla High School	Sajan Alagiri '17	Lauren Matich '17
Vikings 1	Louis Sheid '19	Kyra Styner '16
La Jolla High School	Liam Brinton '18 [1-10]	Kieran Bauman '16 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10] Bruce Fleury '19 [3-4, 7-8]
Vikings 2	Loren Behumi-Davis '19	Shosanna Fleury '16
Laguna Blanca School	Carson Shevitz '16	Charlie Jacobs '20
Varsity	Rick Eickert '18	Jake Pelto '17
Lick-Wilmerding High School	Parker Klebahn '17	James Scherr '20
Tigers	Quinn Donahue '16 [1-10]	Ben Wheeler '20 [1-6] Pilar Mcdonald '19 [7-10]
Lycee Francais de San Francisco	Nolwenn Menard '19	Lorenzo Baldo '18
Varsity	Hugo Agnola '19	Sebastian Westerink '19
Lynbrook High School	Thomas Samuels '17	Eric Hong '17
Vikings	Michael Zheng '19	Jack Lugliani '18
Mater Dei High School	Anthony Zorayan '18	Danielle Ahir '16
Monarchs 1	Caden Wheeler '17	Sarah Politiski '17
Mater Dei High School	Samuel Bigelow '19	Sarah Wilkes '16
Monarchs 2	Jonathan Mulville '19	Hannah Reh '16
Miramonte High School	Sally Wilmot '18	Molly Colwell '16
Matadors	Thomas Erisman '19 [1-10]	Kai Otsmaa '17 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10] Devon Kurisu '19 [3-4, 7-8]
Monte Vista High School	Michael Lively '18	Brennan O'Connell '18
Mustangs	John Dilella '18	Thomas Laskarzewski '18
Palo Alto High	Andrew Huang '18	Anthony Xie '19
Varsity	Will Glasson '20	Jacob Kowalski '19
Palos Verdes High School	Gavin Mcjones '19 [1-10]	Hannah Rener '16 [1-4, 7-10] Sophia Lopez '19 [5-6]
Sea Kings	Evan Insley '19 [1-2, 7-8] Lukas Kraak '19 [3-6, 9-10]	Grant Coors '19 [1-2, 7-8] Cameron Neligan '19 [3-6, 9-10]
Port of Los Angeles High School	Tyler Cook '19	Catalina Murray '18
Varsity	Patrick Garrett '21	Elizabeth Hermenegildo '19
Redwood High School	Michael Brandon '16 [1-10]	Jake Lopez '19 [1-6] Chloe Holder '19 [7-10]
Giants	Chloe Holder '19 [1-6] Tommy Young '18 [7-10]	Jake Lopez '19 [1-8] Madeline Stull '19 [9-10]
Rolling Hills Prep and Renaissance Schools	Cade Morris '18	Daniel Erisman '19
Huskies	Drea Keswater '19	Jacob Schnel '19
Sequoia High School	Christian Brown '18	Gavin Bradley '18
Cherokees	Albert Zhao '20	Amir Tadros '20
St. Ignatius College Prep - San Francisco	Ryder Easterlin '16 [1-10]	Mackenzie Berwick '18 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10] Gabriella Schmidt '18 [3-4] Carolyne Ikeda '19 [7-8]
Varsity	Jonar Tanguilig '16 [1-10]	Isabel De La Torre '16 [1-2, 5-8] Maeve Clayton '17 [3-4, 9-10]
Tamalpais High School	Joe Rico '18 [1-10]	Frances Tarpey-Schwed '19 [1-4, 7-8] Christian Rodriguez '18 [5-6, 9-10]
Red Tailed Hawks	Elisabeth Rowedder '16	Jacob Renneisen '18
The Athenian School	Jackson Kaplan '17 [1-10]	Jonah Kirmse '17 [1-2, 5-8] Michael Krym '19 [3-4, 9-10]
Varsity	Jackson Yeomans '18 [1-10]	Sunny Yang '18 [1-2, 7-8] Noah Cheyer '19 [3-6, 9-10]
The Bay School of San Francisco	John Deruff '17 [1-10]	Cali Salinas '19 [1-2, 5-10] Sarah Cuyler '19 [3-4]
Breakers	Alexandre Testa '16 [1-10]	Alexander Holderness '17 [1-4, 9-10] Sarah Cuyler '19 [5-8]
The Urban School	Eli Gordon '20 [1-10]	Hannah Schrank '19 [1-2] Sarah Paulsen '16 [3-10]
Varsity	Hannah Schrank '19 [1, 3, 5, 7, 9] Anna Krylova '20 [2, 4, 6, 8, 10]	Anna Krylova '20 [1, 3, 5, 7, 9] Hannah Schrank '19 [2, 4, 6, 8, 10]
Torrey Pines High School	Neil Gompf '17	Jacob Hand '17
Falcons 1	Justin Trenkle '16 [1-4, 7-8] Will Everett '16 [5-6, 9-10]	Will Everett '16 [1-4, 7-8] Kendall Mayo '17 [5-6, 9-10]
Torrey Pines High School	Hunter Snyder '16 [1-10]	Sierra Stewart '19 [1-4, 7-8] Maddie Brigandi '17 [5-6, 9-10]
Falcons 2	Connor Wall '17	Hasti Khaksari '20
Windward School	William Line '16 [1-10]	Isabel Kibreab '16 [1-4, 7-8] Ben Meyer '19 [5-6, 9-10]
Varsity	Elan Molko '19 [1-10]	Esra Park '17 [1-6, 9-10] Andie Munoz '16 [7-8]
Woodside High School	Patrick Wilkinson '16	Sophia Mcdevitt '17
Wildcat	Judith Politi '21 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10] Joseph Politi '18 [3-4, 7-8]	Jessica O'Neill '19 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10] Tyler Davis '18 [3-4, 7-8]

Conditions — 02/20/2016 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast

Humidity 74% · Pressure 1023.1 hPa

Temperature

53°F

↑ 58°F ↓ 41°F

Feels like 50°F

Wind

● from ▲ toward

3.0 kn

avg · max 4.0 kn

Gusts to 8.9 kn

From N (357°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover73% Sunshine10.0 hrs Humidity74% Pressure1023.1 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NE 6 kn · NW 7 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)

In this breeze at Marin Academy/Redwood/The Branson: an underdogs’ day (−0.03)

Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.

Fleet adjustment +0.02 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast −0.00

Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.02 ± 0.07)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.03 means a rating gap counts about 2% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Marin Academy/Redwood/The Branson by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (no labelled days at Marin Academy/Redwood/The Branson: the all-venue pattern is shown).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

What a rating point is worthA one-point edge is a 73% chance to beat another boat in a race; two points is 88%.
Should the best sailor sail A?Add your two skippers’ ratings and compare with the field; above it the better skipper belongs in A.
Are the boats even?Boats differ by about 0.3 places a race; fleets are uneven from day one.
Which venues get orderly in a breeze?Some venues get orderly when it blows, a few get messier; the fleet comes first.

All notes →

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