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VISA Maury Fleet Race JV Regatta

# SchoolTeam A TOT
1 Nansemond-Suffolk Academy Nansemond-Suffolk Academy Saints 10 10
2 Maury High School Maury High School Commodores 1 10 10
3 Maury High School Maury High School Commodores 2 14 14
4 York High School York High School Varsity 17 17
5 Poquoson High School Poquoson High School Islanders 27 27
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 TOT Sailors
Nansemond-Suffolk Academy Nansemond-Suffolk Academy Saints 1 3 1 1 4 10 Kyle Pfrang '22 [1-4]
Jack Butler '23 [5]
Jack Butler '23 [1-4]
Kyle Pfrang '22 [5]
Maury High School Maury High School Commodores 1 2 1 3 3 1 10 Caleb Mccrillis '21 [1-5]
Sophia Bibbo '20 [1-2, 5]
Chloe Cowan '22 [3-4]
Maury High School Maury High School Commodores 2 5 2 2 2 3 14 Robert Chase '22 [1-5]
Jackson Walsh '20 [1-2, 5]
Asher Harris '23 [3-4]
York High School York High School Varsity 3 4 4 4 2 17 Ethan White '21 [1-5]
Kai Vylet '19 [1-2, 5]
Hunter Bryson '22 [3-4]
Poquoson High School Poquoson High School Islanders 4 5 DNS DNS DNS 27 Charlotte Patterson '20
David Hanna '21
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.050+0.05
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2017 (1 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A
Maury High SchoolMaury High School Commodores 1114114114114114
Maury High SchoolMaury High School Commodores 2115115115115115
Nansemond-Suffolk AcademyNansemond-Suffolk Academy Saints112112112112112
Poquoson High SchoolPoquoson High School Islanders117117117117117
York High SchoolYork High School Varsity118118118118118
SchoolTeam SkipperCrew
Maury High School Maury High School Commodores 1 Caleb Mccrillis '21 [1-5] Sophia Bibbo '20 [1-2, 5]
Chloe Cowan '22 [3-4]
Maury High School Maury High School Commodores 2 Robert Chase '22 [1-5] Jackson Walsh '20 [1-2, 5]
Asher Harris '23 [3-4]
Nansemond-Suffolk Academy Nansemond-Suffolk Academy Saints Kyle Pfrang '22 [1-4]
Jack Butler '23 [5]		 Jack Butler '23 [1-4]
Kyle Pfrang '22 [5]
Poquoson High School Poquoson High School Islanders Charlotte Patterson '20 David Hanna '21
York High School York High School Varsity Ethan White '21 [1-5] Kai Vylet '19 [1-2, 5]
Hunter Bryson '22 [3-4]

Conditions — 03/11/2017 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 42%  ·  Pressure 1024.9 hPa

Temperature

40°F
↑ 46°F   ↓ 35°F
Feels like 32°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
7.3 kn
avg  ·  max 10.1 kn
Gusts to 21.0 kn
From NNW (332°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover31% Sunshine10.4 hrs Humidity42% Pressure1024.9 hPa

What this breeze does at Maury — from fleet racing

Breeze: NW about 10 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In fleet races at Maury in this breeze: a favourites’ day (+0.03)
Favourites’ conditions: in fleet racing here the results follow the ratings more closely than usual, and the top seeds hold their places.

Orderliness is how tightly a fleet race’s finishing order follows the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0): positive is the favourites’ day, negative the underdogs’. A value of ±0.03 means a rating gap counts about 3% more than on a typical day. This event is not a fleet race the rating model scores, so there is no actual value for it: this is what this venue’s fleet racing history says about the breeze on the day, read off the chart at the star. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Maury by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 5 labelled days at Maury, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →