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SEISA Double-Handed Championship

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Clear Falls High School Clear Falls High School Knights 24 18 42
2 Clear Lake High School Clear Lake High School Falcons 23 30 53
3 Fairhope High School Fairhope High School Varsity 26 30 56
4 St. Stanislaus St. Stanislaus Rock-A-Chaws 61 48 109
5 Ursuline Academy Ursuline Academy Lions 61 59 120
6 Pass Christian High School Sailing Club Pass Christian High School Sailing Club Pass Christian 55 67 122
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 TOT Sailors
Clear Lake High School Clear Lake High School Falcons 1 1 4 2 1 3 RDG 3 1 1 2 2 23 Nicolas Martin '19 [1-12]
Pilar Blanco Midulla '19 [1-10]
Jack Otto '19 [11-12]
Clear Falls High School Clear Falls High School Knights 3 2 1 1 3 2 1 1 2 2 3 3 24 Dutch Byerly '20 [1-10]
Julia Sheaffer '18 [11-12]
Matthew Morrell '20 [1-10]
Drake Tierney '18 [11-12]
Fairhope High School Fairhope High School Varsity 2 3 3 3 2 1 2 2 3 3 1 1 26 Camille Mcgriff '18
Liam Bishop '19
Pass Christian High School Sailing Club Pass Christian High School Sailing Club Pass Christian 5 6 5 4 4 6 3 4 4 4 5 5 55 Alex Rouse '18 [1-12]
Camp Steiner '20 [1-10]
Erin Dees '20 [11-12]
Ursuline Academy Ursuline Academy Lions 4 4 2 5 6 4 6 6 6 6 6 6 61 Alana Austin '17 [1-10]
Kaitlin Daly '17 [11-12]
Kennedy Cooper '20 [1-8]
Elizabeth Squires '18 [9-12]
St. Stanislaus St. Stanislaus Rock-A-Chaws 6 5 6 6 5 5 5 5 5 5 4 4 61 Joshua Grumme '20
Frederick Cabell '19
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 TOT Sailors
Clear Falls High School Clear Falls High School Knights 1 1 2 1 1 1 4 1 2 1 2 1 18 Asher Zittrer '19 [1-12]
Philip Adams '18 [1-10]
Alexander Hankins '18 [11-12]
Clear Lake High School Clear Lake High School Falcons 2 2 1 2 2 4 2 3 3 3 3 3 30 Yumi Yoshiyasu '20 [1-12]
Jack Otto '19 [1-10]
Pilar Blanco Midulla '19 [11-12]
Fairhope High School Fairhope High School Varsity 3 4 3 3 3 5 1 2 1 2 1 2 30 Max Morgan '18 [1-2]
Pete Mcgriff '20 [3-12]
Nathan Valentine '19 [1-2]
Max Morgan '18 [3-12]
St. Stanislaus St. Stanislaus Rock-A-Chaws 4 3 5 5 4 2 3 4 4 4 4 6 48 William Diaz '20
Fang Linjiang '18
Ursuline Academy Ursuline Academy Lions 5 6 4 4 5 3 5 5 6 5 6 5 59 Delaney Ligori '18 [1-12]
Corinne Martin '20 [1-2, 11-12]
Kaitlin Daly '17 [3-10]
Pass Christian High School Sailing Club Pass Christian High School Sailing Club Pass Christian 6 5 6 6 6 6 6 6 5 6 5 4 67 Sebastian Lopez '18 [1-12]
Erin Dees '20 [1-10]
Camp Steiner '20 [11-12]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.220+0.22
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2017 (5 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A12A
Clear Falls High SchoolClear Falls High School Knights112233445566
Clear Lake High SchoolClear Lake High School Falcons223344556611
Fairhope High SchoolFairhope High School Varsity334455661122
Pass Christian High School Sailing ClubPass Christian High School Sailing Club Pass Christian445566112233
St. StanislausSt. Stanislaus Rock-A-Chaws556611223344
Ursuline AcademyUrsuline Academy Lions661122334455

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B12B
Clear Falls High SchoolClear Falls High School Knights778899101011111212
Clear Lake High SchoolClear Lake High School Falcons889910101111121277
Fairhope High SchoolFairhope High School Varsity991010111112127788
Pass Christian High School Sailing ClubPass Christian High School Sailing Club Pass Christian101011111212778899
St. StanislausSt. Stanislaus Rock-A-Chaws111112127788991010
Ursuline AcademyUrsuline Academy Lions121277889910101111
School / Team SkipperCrew
Clear Falls High School Clear Falls High School Dutch Byerly '20 [1-10]
Julia Sheaffer '18 [11-12]		 Matthew Morrell '20 [1-10]
Drake Tierney '18 [11-12]
Knights Asher Zittrer '19 [1-12] Philip Adams '18 [1-10]
Alexander Hankins '18 [11-12]
Clear Lake High School Clear Lake High School Nicolas Martin '19 [1-12] Pilar Blanco Midulla '19 [1-10]
Jack Otto '19 [11-12]
Falcons Yumi Yoshiyasu '20 [1-12] Jack Otto '19 [1-10]
Pilar Blanco Midulla '19 [11-12]
Fairhope High School Fairhope High School Camille Mcgriff '18 Liam Bishop '19
Varsity Max Morgan '18 [1-2]
Pete Mcgriff '20 [3-12]		 Nathan Valentine '19 [1-2]
Max Morgan '18 [3-12]
Pass Christian High School Sailing Club Pass Christian High School Sailing Club Alex Rouse '18 [1-12] Camp Steiner '20 [1-10]
Erin Dees '20 [11-12]
Pass Christian Sebastian Lopez '18 [1-12] Erin Dees '20 [1-10]
Camp Steiner '20 [11-12]
St. Stanislaus St. Stanislaus Joshua Grumme '20 Frederick Cabell '19
Rock-A-Chaws William Diaz '20 Fang Linjiang '18
Ursuline Academy Ursuline Academy Alana Austin '17 [1-10]
Kaitlin Daly '17 [11-12]		 Kennedy Cooper '20 [1-8]
Elizabeth Squires '18 [9-12]
Lions Delaney Ligori '18 [1-12] Corinne Martin '20 [1-2, 11-12]
Kaitlin Daly '17 [3-10]

Conditions — 04/01/2017 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 53%  ·  Pressure 1016.9 hPa

Temperature

76°F
↑ 82°F   ↓ 64°F
Feels like 77°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
5.3 kn
avg  ·  max 7.9 kn
Gusts to 15.7 kn
From E (99°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover5% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity53% Pressure1016.9 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: W 10 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Fairhope Yacht Club: an underdogs’ day (−0.05)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.13 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.08
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.11 ± 0.15)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.05 means a rating gap counts about 4% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Fairhope Yacht Club by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 3 labelled days at Fairhope Yacht Club, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →