SSP Combined - SILVER

HostSail Sand Point
Date03/11/2017
TypeIn-District
BoatCFJ
ScoringCombined

#	School	Team	TOT
1	Lincoln High School - Portland, OR	Cardinals	61
2	Seahawks	Seahawks	71
3	Orcas High School	Vikings	148
4	Islanders	Islanders	155
5	Bellingham High School	Raiders	161
6	Nathan Hale High School	Raiders	208
7	Wolverines	Wolverines	218
8	Bainbridge High School	Spartans 1	236
9	Lycee Francais de Chicago	Red Hawks	237
10	Klahowya Secondary School	Eagles	252
11	Bainbridge High School	Spartans 2	262
12	Sehome High School	Mariners	265
13	North Kitsap High School	Dogfish	266
14	Olympia High School	Bears	315

School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	R6	R7	TOT	Sailors
Seahawks	Seahawks A	4	2	1	2	3	1	13	26
Lincoln High School - Portland, OR	Cardinals A	5	5	6	7	2	2	1	28	Hanna Brush '17 Laruen Wright '19
Lincoln High School - Portland, OR	Cardinals B	3	7	2	9	1	8	3	33	Anisha Arcott '18 Rebecca Reynolds '17
Seahawks	Seahawks B	2	11	5	6	4	11	6	45
Bellingham High School	Raiders A	7	6	13	13	5	10	12	66	Hannah Roy '17 Giselle Yaude '23
Islanders	Islanders A	9	3	7	10	8	12	17	66
Orcas High School	Vikings B	6	4	9	12	10	13	18	72	Levi Moss '19 [1-2, 5-6] Ronan Rankin '19 [3-4, 7] Emma Freedman '19 [1-2, 5-6]
Orcas High School	Vikings A	1	1	12	15	OCS	4	14	76	Aristotle Luna '20 Sol Mehl Zobriest '19
Bainbridge High School	Spartans 1 A	15	9	14	19	14	6	11	88	Lindsay Campbell '20 [1-7] Laine Pickell '20 [1-4] Zach Cooper '20 [5-7]
Wolverines	Wolverines A	19	DNS	8	11	9	5	7	88
Islanders	Islanders B	21	15	16	1	11	9	16	89
Nathan Hale High School	Raiders B	16	13	4	5	12	17	24	91	Avery Fulford '17 [1-2] Max Kauffman '18 [3-7] No Show [1-2] Formosa Huang '18 [3-7]
Bellingham High School	Raiders B	10	24	11	3	24	21	2	95	Jack Knowles '22 Morgan Seestrom '23
Klahowya Secondary School	Eagles A	25	DNS	3	16	7	14	8	102	Carson Short '19 [1-2] Reece Duitsman '18 [3-7] Mathew Terry '23 [1-2] Andre Alvarado '20 [3-7]
Lycee Francais de Chicago	Red Hawks A	18	25	20	4	OCS	3	4	103	Alejandro Montanez '17 Jackson Wilke '20
Nathan Hale High School	Raiders A	11	12	24	8	OCS	23	10	117	Reilly Hearne '18 [1-7] Jack Rovner '20 [1-6] Miles Williams '20 [7]
Bainbridge High School	Spartans 2 A	8	10	17	25	20	22	19	121	Max Doane '20 [1-7] Will Price '19 [1-2] Tristan Knoll '18 [3-4] Daniel Rentz '18 [5-7]
North Kitsap High School	Dogfish B	12	20	10	18	21	16	25	122	Anna Sherry '19 Isabelle Loverich '19
Sehome High School	Mariners A	23	23	22	26	15	7	9	125	Jacob Weston '22 Cole Sokolik '22
Wolverines	Wolverines B	14	8	27	28	18	15	20	130
Lycee Francais de Chicago	Red Hawks B	26	18	23	17	6	18	26	134	Jack Gibbons '20 Orion Pendley '20
Sehome High School	Mariners B	17	19	15	14	19	28	28	140	Colby Antico '23 [1-2, 5-7] Max Case '23 [3-4] Max Case '23 [1-2, 5-7] No Show [3-4]
Bainbridge High School	Spartans 2 B	27	16	21	23	13	19	22	141	Banning Jones '19 [1-7] Daniel Rentz '18 [1-2] Clayton Marsh '20 [3-7]
North Kitsap High School	Dogfish A	13	14	18	27	25	24	23	144	Julia Sherry '19 Alaina Marcotte '19
Bainbridge High School	Spartans 1 B	24	21	25	22	16	25	15	148	Sophie Crandell '18 [1-2] Amanda Gilmore '19 [3-7] Camden Lee '19 [1-2]
Olympia High School	Bears A	DNF	DNS	28	21	17	20	5	149	Ian Connolly '21 Kevin Hicks '19
Klahowya Secondary School	Eagles B	20	17	19	24	23	26	21	150	Everett Thompson '19 [1-2] Carson Short '19 [3-7] Andre Alvarado '20 [1-2] Mathew Terry '23 [3-7]
Olympia High School	Bears B	22	22	26	20	22	27	27	166	No Show Antonio Dunlap '18

Boat Speed Analyzer

SlowExpected boat effectFast

−0.250+0.25

Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2015 (29 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team	1A	2A	3A	4A	5A	6A	7A
Seahawks Seahawks	35	35	36	36	1	1	118
Bainbridge High School Spartans 1	36	36	1	1	118	118	113
Bainbridge High School Spartans 2	1	1	118	118	113	113	112
Bellingham High School Raiders	118	118	113	113	112	112	2
Wolverines Wolverines	113	113	112	112	2	2	3
Klahowya Secondary School Eagles	112	112	2	2	3	3	44
Lincoln High School - Portland, OR Cardinals	2	2	3	3	44	44	4
Lycee Francais de Chicago Red Hawks	5	5	6	6	32	32	33
Islanders Islanders	3	3	44	44	4	4	30
Nathan Hale High School Raiders	44	44	4	4	30	30	31
North Kitsap High School Dogfish	4	4	30	30	31	31	5
Olympia High School Bears	30	30	31	31	5	5	6
Orcas High School Vikings	31	31	5	5	6	6	32
Sehome High School Mariners	6	6	32	32	33	33	7

Division B

Team	1B	2B	3B	4B	5B	6B	7B
Seahawks Seahawks	32	32	33	33	7	7	119
Bainbridge High School Spartans 1	33	33	7	7	119	119	8
Bainbridge High School Spartans 2	7	7	119	119	8	8	51
Bellingham High School Raiders	119	119	8	8	51	51	9
Wolverines Wolverines	8	8	51	51	9	9	10
Klahowya Secondary School Eagles	51	51	9	9	10	10	45
Lincoln High School - Portland, OR Cardinals	9	9	10	10	45	45	11
Lycee Francais de Chicago Red Hawks	15	15			35	35	36
Islanders Islanders	10	10	45	45	11	11	12
Nathan Hale High School Raiders	45	45	11	11	12	12	14
North Kitsap High School Dogfish	11	11	12	12	14	14	15
Olympia High School Bears	12	12	14	14	15	15
Orcas High School Vikings	14	14	15	15			35
Sehome High School Mariners			35	35	36	36	1

School / Team	Skipper	Crew
Bainbridge High School	Lindsay Campbell '20 [1-7]	Laine Pickell '20 [1-4] Zach Cooper '20 [5-7]
Spartans 1	Sophie Crandell '18 [1-2] Amanda Gilmore '19 [3-7]	Camden Lee '19 [1-2]
Bainbridge High School	Max Doane '20 [1-7]	Will Price '19 [1-2] Tristan Knoll '18 [3-4] Daniel Rentz '18 [5-7]
Spartans 2	Banning Jones '19 [1-7]	Daniel Rentz '18 [1-2] Clayton Marsh '20 [3-7]
Bellingham High School	Hannah Roy '17	Giselle Yaude '23
Raiders	Jack Knowles '22	Morgan Seestrom '23
Klahowya Secondary School	Carson Short '19 [1-2] Reece Duitsman '18 [3-7]	Mathew Terry '23 [1-2] Andre Alvarado '20 [3-7]
Eagles	Everett Thompson '19 [1-2] Carson Short '19 [3-7]	Andre Alvarado '20 [1-2] Mathew Terry '23 [3-7]
Lincoln High School - Portland, OR	Hanna Brush '17	Laruen Wright '19
Cardinals	Anisha Arcott '18	Rebecca Reynolds '17
Lycee Francais de Chicago	Alejandro Montanez '17	Jackson Wilke '20
Red Hawks	Jack Gibbons '20	Orion Pendley '20
Nathan Hale High School	Reilly Hearne '18 [1-7]	Jack Rovner '20 [1-6] Miles Williams '20 [7]
Raiders	Avery Fulford '17 [1-2] Max Kauffman '18 [3-7]	No Show [1-2] Formosa Huang '18 [3-7]
North Kitsap High School	Julia Sherry '19	Alaina Marcotte '19
Dogfish	Anna Sherry '19	Isabelle Loverich '19
Olympia High School	Ian Connolly '21	Kevin Hicks '19
Bears	No Show	Antonio Dunlap '18
Orcas High School	Aristotle Luna '20	Sol Mehl Zobriest '19
Vikings	Levi Moss '19 [1-2, 5-6] Ronan Rankin '19 [3-4, 7]	Emma Freedman '19 [1-2, 5-6]
Sehome High School	Jacob Weston '22	Cole Sokolik '22
Mariners	Colby Antico '23 [1-2, 5-7] Max Case '23 [3-4]	Max Case '23 [1-2, 5-7] No Show [3-4]

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

What a rating point is worthA one-point edge is a 73% chance to beat another boat in a race; two points is 88%.
Should the best sailor sail A?Add your two skippers’ ratings and compare with the field; above it the better skipper belongs in A.
Are the boats even?Boats differ by about 0.3 places a race; fleets are uneven from day one.
Which venues get orderly in a breeze?Some venues get orderly when it blows, a few get messier; the fleet comes first.

All notes →

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SSP Combined - SILVER

Division A

Division B

From the notes