DCDS/PYC JV

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Bloomfield Hills High School Bloomfield Hills High School MIXED Orchids 9 16 25
2 Detroit Country Day School Detroit Country Day School Mixed Iris 18 10 28
3 Grosse Pointe South High School Grosse Pointe South High School Yellow (Mixed) 17 12 29
4 West Bloomfield High School West Bloomfield High School MIXED Lily 18 35 53
5 Detroit Country Day School Detroit Country Day School Mixed Marigold 34 26 60
6 Detroit Country Day School Detroit Country Day School MIXED Daffodil 34 38 72
7 Lansing Catholic Lansing Catholic Skeleton Crew Mixed 43 32 75
8 Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI BRMS-black 42 47 89
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Bloomfield Hills High School Bloomfield Hills High School MIXED Orchids 2 1 1 1 3 1 9 Bill Fan '20
Susanne Denner '19
Grosse Pointe South High School Grosse Pointe South High School Yellow (Mixed) 1 3 3 4 4 2 17 Aidan King '21
Matt Schulte '20
Detroit Country Day School Detroit Country Day School Mixed Iris 3 5 2 3 2 3 18 Jenna Kozal '20
Anna Sauer '20
West Bloomfield High School West Bloomfield High School MIXED Lily 4 2 5 2 1 4 18 Walter Paliga '22
Ethan Gulati '22
Detroit Country Day School Detroit Country Day School Mixed Marigold 5 4 6 6 8 5 34 Anthony Dziuba '21
Jay Hannah '21
Detroit Country Day School Detroit Country Day School MIXED Daffodil 6 6 4 5 7 BKD 34 Christopher Gilmer-Hill '18
Li Chenhao '21
Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI BRMS-black 7 8 7 7 6 7 42 Lauren Scolari '20
Madison Rosiek '18
Lansing Catholic Lansing Catholic Skeleton Crew Mixed 8 7 8 DNF 5 6 43 Talena Monasmith '22 [1-6]
Derrek Zhen '20 [1-2]
Alice Pellemoine '22 [3-6]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Detroit Country Day School Detroit Country Day School Mixed Iris 1 1 1 2 3 2 10 Marina Lamphier '20
Alex Acosta '20
Grosse Pointe South High School Grosse Pointe South High School Yellow (Mixed) 5 2 2 1 1 1 12 No Show [1-6]
Charlotte Martinez '19 [1-2]
Will Turner '23 [3-6]
Bloomfield Hills High School Bloomfield Hills High School MIXED Orchids 2 3 3 3 2 3 16 Anna Russo '20
Natalia Luna '20
Detroit Country Day School Detroit Country Day School Mixed Marigold 4 5 4 5 4 4 26 Max Rosenthal '20
Dwight Ellis '20
Lansing Catholic Lansing Catholic Skeleton Crew Mixed 3 4 5 7 6 7 32 Liam Hounsell '23 [1-6]
Elizabeth Reese '19 [1-2, 5-6]
Derrek Zhen '20 [3-4]
West Bloomfield High School West Bloomfield High School MIXED Lily 8 7 6 4 5 5 35 Jack Turpen '21
Ike Schell '23
Detroit Country Day School Detroit Country Day School MIXED Daffodil 6 6 7 6 7 6 38 Dayton Mcgrail '20
Abby Singer-Miller '19
Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI BRMS-black 7 8 8 8 BKD BKD 47 Zac Brown '20
Lilly Neill '18
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.100+0.10
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2017 (3 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
Bloomfield Hills High SchoolBloomfield Hills High School MIXED Orchids111113131515
Brother Rice/Marian High School - MIBrother Rice/Marian High School - MI BRMS-black121214141616
Detroit Country Day SchoolDetroit Country Day School MIXED Daffodil131315151818
Detroit Country Day SchoolDetroit Country Day School Mixed Iris151518181111
Detroit Country Day SchoolDetroit Country Day School Mixed Marigold141416161919
Grosse Pointe South High SchoolGrosse Pointe South High School Yellow (Mixed)161619191212
Lansing CatholicLansing Catholic Skeleton Crew Mixed181811111313
West Bloomfield High SchoolWest Bloomfield High School MIXED Lily191912121414

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B
Bloomfield Hills High SchoolBloomfield Hills High School MIXED Orchids121214141616
Brother Rice/Marian High School - MIBrother Rice/Marian High School - MI BRMS-black131315151818
Detroit Country Day SchoolDetroit Country Day School MIXED Daffodil141416161919
Detroit Country Day SchoolDetroit Country Day School Mixed Iris161619191212
Detroit Country Day SchoolDetroit Country Day School Mixed Marigold151518181111
Grosse Pointe South High SchoolGrosse Pointe South High School Yellow (Mixed)181811111313
Lansing CatholicLansing Catholic Skeleton Crew Mixed191912121414
West Bloomfield High SchoolWest Bloomfield High School MIXED Lily111113131515
School / Team SkipperCrew
Bloomfield Hills High School Bloomfield Hills High School Bill Fan '20 Susanne Denner '19
MIXED Orchids Anna Russo '20 Natalia Luna '20
Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI Lauren Scolari '20 Madison Rosiek '18
BRMS-black Zac Brown '20 Lilly Neill '18
Detroit Country Day School Detroit Country Day School Christopher Gilmer-Hill '18 Li Chenhao '21
MIXED Daffodil Dayton Mcgrail '20 Abby Singer-Miller '19
Detroit Country Day School Detroit Country Day School Jenna Kozal '20 Anna Sauer '20
Mixed Iris Marina Lamphier '20 Alex Acosta '20
Detroit Country Day School Detroit Country Day School Anthony Dziuba '21 Jay Hannah '21
Mixed Marigold Max Rosenthal '20 Dwight Ellis '20
Grosse Pointe South High School Grosse Pointe South High School Aidan King '21 Matt Schulte '20
Yellow (Mixed) No Show [1-6] Charlotte Martinez '19 [1-2]
Will Turner '23 [3-6]
Lansing Catholic Lansing Catholic Talena Monasmith '22 [1-6] Derrek Zhen '20 [1-2]
Alice Pellemoine '22 [3-6]
Skeleton Crew Mixed Liam Hounsell '23 [1-6] Elizabeth Reese '19 [1-2, 5-6]
Derrek Zhen '20 [3-4]
West Bloomfield High School West Bloomfield High School Walter Paliga '22 Ethan Gulati '22
MIXED Lily Jack Turpen '21 Ike Schell '23

Conditions — 04/29/2018 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 39%  ·  Pressure 1025.8 hPa

Temperature

47°F
↑ 54°F   ↓ 35°F
Feels like 40°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
7.6 kn
avg  ·  max 9.0 kn
Gusts to 21.0 kn
From NNW (328°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover10% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity39% Pressure1025.8 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: N 15 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Bloomfield Hills/Detroit Country Day/West Bloomfield: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.27)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.21 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.47
Actual: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.64 ± 0.23)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.27 means a rating gap counts about 23% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Bloomfield Hills/Detroit Country Day/West Bloomfield by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 2 labelled days at Bloomfield Hills/Detroit Country Day/West Bloomfield, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →