Herreshoff Qualifier - Marion

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 St. George's School St. George's School Dragons 27 16 43
2 Tabor Academy Tabor Academy Seawolves 26 21 47
3 Barnstable HS Barnstable HS Raiders 29 22 51
4 Sharon High School Sharon High School Eagles 46 20 66
5 Moses Brown School Moses Brown School Quakers 33 34 67
6 Barrington High School Barrington High School Eagles 14 57 71
7 Sandwich High School Sandwich High School Varsity 28 47 75
8 East Greenwich High School East Greenwich High School Avengers 47 30 77
9 Marthas Vineyard RHS Marthas Vineyard RHS Vineyarders 53 35 88
10 Newton Country Day School Newton Country Day School Falcons 35 63 98
11 The Williams School The Williams School Blues 59 52 111
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Barrington High School Barrington High School Eagles 4 2 2 2 1 3 14 Riley Kloc '18
Kaleigh Morgan '19
Tabor Academy Tabor Academy Seawolves 5 3 5 5 6 2 26 Blair Lalor '18 [1-6]
Lauren Kirk '21 [1-4]
Cynthia Huang '18 [5-6]
St. George's School St. George's School Dragons 3 8 1 4 2 9 27 Morgan Sailer '18 [1-4]
Megan Grimes '19 [5-6]
Katherine Wetzel '19 [1-4]
Charis Todd '18 [5-6]
Sandwich High School Sandwich High School Varsity 2 4 4 1 7 10 28 Kari Gould '19
Alli Tuden '18
Barnstable HS Barnstable HS Raiders 8 1 8 3 5 4 29 Taylor Eastman '20
Lilly Mathieu '19
Moses Brown School Moses Brown School Quakers 1 RAF 3 9 3 5 33 Aili Moffet '19
Francie Elliot '18
Newton Country Day School Newton Country Day School Falcons 9 5 6 6 8 1 35 Katelyn Mcgauley '20
Jamie Page '19
Sharon High School Sharon High School Eagles 10 6 10 10 4 6 46 Chava (Roni) Sosis '18 [1-3, 5-6]
Janelle Li '21 [4]
Lynn Fu '18 [1-3]
Fiona Wu '21 [4]
Jazmin Jennings '21 [5-6]
East Greenwich High School East Greenwich High School Avengers 7 7 7 8 10 8 47 Unregistered Sailors '22
Unregistered Sailors '22
Marthas Vineyard RHS Marthas Vineyard RHS Vineyarders 11 10 9 7 9 7 53 Ashtyn Watts '21 [1-2]
Greta Gannon '18 [3-6]
Elizabeth O'Brien '18 [1-2]
Sayln Yancey '18 [3-4]
Menasha Leport '21 [5-6]
The Williams School The Williams School Blues 6 9 11 11 11 11 59 Caelan Desmond '20 [1-6]
Brenna Henley '20 [1-4]
Samantha Karlson '21 [5-6]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
St. George's School St. George's School Dragons 1 1 4 2 7 1 16 Caroline Benson '19 [1-4]
Maisie Macgillivray '21 [5-6]
Charis Todd '18 [1-4]
Zoella Barros O'Haren '20 [5-6]
Sharon High School Sharon High School Eagles 4 5 3 1 4 3 20 Briana Chen '20
Alissa Chen '18
Tabor Academy Tabor Academy Seawolves 5 3 1 3 5 4 21 Ella Withington '18 [1-2, 5-6]
Anna Olsen '20 [3-4]
Cat Shakin '19 [1-4]
Mimi Macintyre '19 [5-6]
Barnstable HS Barnstable HS Raiders 2 2 2 5 6 5 22 Caroline Martone '18
Caroline Lewis '20
East Greenwich High School East Greenwich High School Avengers 3 4 5 8 1 9 30 Unregistered Sailors '22
Mara Oancea '23
Moses Brown School Moses Brown School Quakers 8 8 7 7 2 2 34 Maddy Kerr '19 [1-2, 5-6]
Greta Shuster '21 [3-4]
Olivia Rocchio-Giordano '21 [1-2, 5-6]
Marthas Vineyard RHS Marthas Vineyard RHS Vineyarders 6 6 8 6 3 6 35 Katie Morse '19 [1-6]
Maggie Mayhew '18 [1-4]
Abigail Hammerlund '20 [5-6]
Sandwich High School Sandwich High School Varsity RAF 9 6 4 9 7 47 Olivia Demmin '21
Sydney Kledeisch '18
The Williams School The Williams School Blues 7 7 11 11 8 8 52 Mary Madaus '21 [1-6]
Samantha Karlson '21 [1-2]
Elizabeth Li '21 [3-6]
Barrington High School Barrington High School Eagles 9 10 9 9 10 10 57 Emilia Dell'Antonio '18 [1-6]
Katie Cappello '21 [1-2]
Isabel Portugali '18 [3-6]
Newton Country Day School Newton Country Day School Falcons 10 11 10 10 11 11 63 Kaitlyn Bradshaw '19
Emily Naughton '21
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.060+0.06
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2015 (10 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
Barnstable HSBarnstable HS Raiders113355
Barrington High SchoolBarrington High School Eagles224466
East Greenwich High SchoolEast Greenwich High School Avengers335577
Marthas Vineyard RHSMarthas Vineyard RHS Vineyarders446688
Moses Brown SchoolMoses Brown School Quakers557799
Newton Country Day SchoolNewton Country Day School Falcons66881010
Sandwich High SchoolSandwich High School Varsity77991111
Sharon High SchoolSharon High School Eagles88101011
St. George's SchoolSt. George's School Dragons99111122
Tabor AcademyTabor Academy Seawolves10101133
The Williams SchoolThe Williams School Blues11112244

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B
Barnstable HSBarnstable HS Raiders224466
Barrington High SchoolBarrington High School Eagles335577
East Greenwich High SchoolEast Greenwich High School Avengers446688
Marthas Vineyard RHSMarthas Vineyard RHS Vineyarders557799
Moses Brown SchoolMoses Brown School Quakers66881010
Newton Country Day SchoolNewton Country Day School Falcons77991111
Sandwich High SchoolSandwich High School Varsity88101011
Sharon High SchoolSharon High School Eagles99111122
St. George's SchoolSt. George's School Dragons10101133
Tabor AcademyTabor Academy Seawolves11112244
The Williams SchoolThe Williams School Blues113355
School / Team SkipperCrew
Barnstable HS Barnstable HS Taylor Eastman '20 Lilly Mathieu '19
Raiders Caroline Martone '18 Caroline Lewis '20
Barrington High School Barrington High School Riley Kloc '18 Kaleigh Morgan '19
Eagles Emilia Dell'Antonio '18 [1-6] Katie Cappello '21 [1-2]
Isabel Portugali '18 [3-6]
East Greenwich High School East Greenwich High School Unregistered Sailors '22 Unregistered Sailors '22
Avengers Unregistered Sailors '22 Mara Oancea '23
Marthas Vineyard RHS Marthas Vineyard RHS Ashtyn Watts '21 [1-2]
Greta Gannon '18 [3-6]
Elizabeth O'Brien '18 [1-2]
Sayln Yancey '18 [3-4]
Menasha Leport '21 [5-6]
Vineyarders Katie Morse '19 [1-6] Maggie Mayhew '18 [1-4]
Abigail Hammerlund '20 [5-6]
Moses Brown School Moses Brown School Aili Moffet '19 Francie Elliot '18
Quakers Maddy Kerr '19 [1-2, 5-6]
Greta Shuster '21 [3-4]
Olivia Rocchio-Giordano '21 [1-2, 5-6]
Newton Country Day School Newton Country Day School Katelyn Mcgauley '20 Jamie Page '19
Falcons Kaitlyn Bradshaw '19 Emily Naughton '21
Sandwich High School Sandwich High School Kari Gould '19 Alli Tuden '18
Varsity Olivia Demmin '21 Sydney Kledeisch '18
Sharon High School Sharon High School Chava (Roni) Sosis '18 [1-3, 5-6]
Janelle Li '21 [4]
Lynn Fu '18 [1-3]
Fiona Wu '21 [4]
Jazmin Jennings '21 [5-6]
Eagles Briana Chen '20 Alissa Chen '18
St. George's School St. George's School Morgan Sailer '18 [1-4]
Megan Grimes '19 [5-6]
Katherine Wetzel '19 [1-4]
Charis Todd '18 [5-6]
Dragons Caroline Benson '19 [1-4]
Maisie Macgillivray '21 [5-6]
Charis Todd '18 [1-4]
Zoella Barros O'Haren '20 [5-6]
Tabor Academy Tabor Academy Blair Lalor '18 [1-6] Lauren Kirk '21 [1-4]
Cynthia Huang '18 [5-6]
Seawolves Ella Withington '18 [1-2, 5-6]
Anna Olsen '20 [3-4]
Cat Shakin '19 [1-4]
Mimi Macintyre '19 [5-6]
The Williams School The Williams School Caelan Desmond '20 [1-6] Brenna Henley '20 [1-4]
Samantha Karlson '21 [5-6]
Blues Mary Madaus '21 [1-6] Samantha Karlson '21 [1-2]
Elizabeth Li '21 [3-6]

Conditions — 04/28/2018 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 88%  ·  Pressure 1010.7 hPa

Temperature

54°F
↑ 58°F   ↓ 48°F
Feels like 51°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
8.0 kn
avg  ·  max 10.5 kn
Gusts to 20.8 kn
From SSW (200°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover76% Sunshine8.7 hrs Humidity88% Pressure1010.7 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: S 10 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Tabor Academy: a favourites’ day (+0.05)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.09 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.13
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.06 ± 0.15)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.05 means a rating gap counts about 4% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Tabor Academy by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 6 labelled days at Tabor Academy, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →