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SAISA South Points 4 - 2018 | JV

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Pine Crest School Pine Crest School Panthers 11 10 21
2 Gulliver Preparatory School Gulliver Preparatory School Raiders 18 21 39
3 Ransom Everglades School Ransom Everglades School Raiders 1 19 31 50
4 Hagerty High School Hagerty High School Varsity 37 MRP 19 56 MRP
5 Dunedin High School Dunedin High School JV 14 44 58
6 Shorecrest Preparatory School Shorecrest Preparatory School Chargers 54 MRP 13 67 MRP
7 Jensen Beach High School Jensen Beach High School Falcons 35 43 78
8 Sarasota High School Sarasota High School Sailors 42 38 80
9 St. Thomas Aquinas High School St. Thomas Aquinas High School Raiders 64 MRP 33 97 MRP
10 ThunderWolves ThunderWolves ThunderWolves 69 MRP 51 120 MRP
11 Ransom Everglades School Ransom Everglades School Raiders 2 60 61 121
12 Westminster Christian School Westminster Christian School Warriors 71 MRP 51 122 MRP
13 South Fork High School South Fork High School SF BULLDOGS 78 MRP 48 126 MRP
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 TOT Sailors
Pine Crest School Pine Crest School Panthers 3 2 2 2 2 11 Noah Fischer '19
Michael Gabe '18
Dunedin High School Dunedin High School JV 2 3 4 RDG 3 14 Matthew Snyder '18
Erik Volk '18
Gulliver Preparatory School Gulliver Preparatory School Raiders 4 4 3 3 4 18 Chris Purcell '21
Matthew Bueres '21
Ransom Everglades School Ransom Everglades School Raiders 1 1 1 5 6 6 19 Adam Kaplan '21
Gabriel Vianna '21
Jensen Beach High School Jensen Beach High School Falcons 6 9 8 7 5 35 Frederick Debiase '20 [1-5]
Dina Coletti '20 [1-4]
Sophia Licata '18 [5]
Hagerty High School Hagerty High School Varsity 5 6 1 4 1 37 MRP Matthew Smith '19
Drew Dryden '20
Sarasota High School Sarasota High School Sailors 10 7 6 10 9 42 Luke King '21
Kailin Foster '20
Shorecrest Preparatory School Shorecrest Preparatory School Chargers 7 8 7 5 7 54 MRP Heidi Hicks '21
Thomas Cura '21
Ransom Everglades School Ransom Everglades School Raiders 2 12 11 12 DNS 11 60 Adam Kaplan '21
Gabriel Vianna '21
St. Thomas Aquinas High School St. Thomas Aquinas High School Raiders 8 10 9 9 8 64 MRP Isa Duplessis '20
Daniel Neville '21
ThunderWolves ThunderWolves ThunderWolves 9 5 11 12 12 69 MRP
Westminster Christian School Westminster Christian School Warriors 13 13 10 1 DNS 71 MRP Christian Martinez '19
Fernando Sierra '22
South Fork High School South Fork High School SF BULLDOGS 11 12 DNS 11 10 78 MRP Zuzanna Barska '22
Emma Elliott '21
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 TOT Sailors
Pine Crest School Pine Crest School Panthers 2 2 3 2 1 10 Noah Fischer '19
Jack Bilello '18
Shorecrest Preparatory School Shorecrest Preparatory School Chargers 1 1 7 1 3 13 Guthrie Braun '22 [1-2, 5]
Ethan Danielson '22 [3-4]
Ethan Danielson '22 [1-2, 5]
Guthrie Braun '22 [3-4]
Hagerty High School Hagerty High School Varsity 3 4 5 3 4 19 Leah Harper '18
Robert Newland '21
Gulliver Preparatory School Gulliver Preparatory School Raiders 5 9 1 4 2 21 Bradley Reimer '20
Justin Perez '21
Ransom Everglades School Ransom Everglades School Raiders 1 4 3 6 11 7 31 Jacob Wolfe '21
Lucas Vianna '21
St. Thomas Aquinas High School St. Thomas Aquinas High School Raiders 10 8 4 5 6 33 Ivan Levkovsky '20
Daniel Neville '21
Sarasota High School Sarasota High School Sailors 8 5 10 6 9 38 Nick Powers '21
Dan Keim '19
Jensen Beach High School Jensen Beach High School Falcons 9 6 8 10 10 43 Coby Flannery '21 [1-2, 5]
Sophia Licata '18 [3-4]
Sophia Licata '18 [1-2, 5]
Coby Flannery '21 [3-4]
Dunedin High School Dunedin High School JV 6 10 DSQ 9 11 44 Kyle Funderburk '20
Lauren Sokolowski '18
South Fork High School South Fork High School SF BULLDOGS 11 11 DNS 7 5 48 Emma Elliott '21
Zuzanna Barska '22
Westminster Christian School Westminster Christian School Warriors 7 7 11 12 DNS 51 Fernando Sierra '22
Christian Martinez '19
ThunderWolves ThunderWolves ThunderWolves 13 13 9 8 8 51
Ransom Everglades School Ransom Everglades School Raiders 2 12 12 12 13 12 61 Jacob Wolfe '21
Lucas Vianna '21
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.100+0.10
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2014 (7 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A
Dunedin High SchoolDunedin High School JV2727272727
Gulliver Preparatory SchoolGulliver Preparatory School Raiders2828282828
Hagerty High SchoolHagerty High School Varsity2929292929
Jensen Beach High SchoolJensen Beach High School Falcons3030303030
ThunderWolvesThunderWolves ThunderWolves3737373737
Pine Crest SchoolPine Crest School Panthers3131313131
Ransom Everglades SchoolRansom Everglades School Raiders 12525252525
Ransom Everglades SchoolRansom Everglades School Raiders 22626262626
St. Thomas Aquinas High SchoolSt. Thomas Aquinas High School Raiders3535353535
Sarasota High SchoolSarasota High School Sailors3232323232
Shorecrest Preparatory SchoolShorecrest Preparatory School Chargers3333333333
South Fork High SchoolSouth Fork High School SF BULLDOGS3434343434
Westminster Christian SchoolWestminster Christian School Warriors3636363636

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B
Dunedin High SchoolDunedin High School JV2727272727
Gulliver Preparatory SchoolGulliver Preparatory School Raiders2828282828
Hagerty High SchoolHagerty High School Varsity2929292929
Jensen Beach High SchoolJensen Beach High School Falcons3030303030
ThunderWolvesThunderWolves ThunderWolves3737373737
Pine Crest SchoolPine Crest School Panthers3131313131
Ransom Everglades SchoolRansom Everglades School Raiders 12525252525
Ransom Everglades SchoolRansom Everglades School Raiders 22626262626
St. Thomas Aquinas High SchoolSt. Thomas Aquinas High School Raiders3535353535
Sarasota High SchoolSarasota High School Sailors3232323232
Shorecrest Preparatory SchoolShorecrest Preparatory School Chargers3333333333
South Fork High SchoolSouth Fork High School SF BULLDOGS3434343434
Westminster Christian SchoolWestminster Christian School Warriors3636363636

Conditions — 01/20/2018 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 68%  ·  Pressure 1023.0 hPa

Temperature

69°F
↑ 73°F   ↓ 60°F
Feels like 69°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
5.3 kn
avg  ·  max 8.2 kn
Gusts to 16.5 kn
From ENE (69°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover99% Sunshine1.2 hrs Humidity68% Pressure1023.0 hPa Rain0.02 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: E 8 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Ransom Everglades: a favourites’ day (+0.05)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.08 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.12
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.04 ± 0.18)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.05 means a rating gap counts about 4% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Ransom Everglades by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 14 labelled days at Ransom Everglades, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →