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2019 Texas State Champs

# SchoolTeam A TOT
1 Lake Travis High School Lake Travis High School Cavaliers 4 37 37
2 Lake Travis High School Lake Travis High School Cavaliers 1 41 41
3 Unregistered-SEISA Unregistered-SEISA SEISA 3 52 52
4 Lake Travis High School Lake Travis High School Cavaliers 2 56 56
5 Clear Lake High School Clear Lake High School Falcons 1 75 75
6 Clear Lake High School Clear Lake High School Falcons 2 78 78
7 Lake Travis High School Lake Travis High School Cavaliers 3 91 91
8 Unregistered-SEISA Unregistered-SEISA SEISA-Austin 3 96 96
9 Unregistered-SEISA Unregistered-SEISA SEISA-Austin 1 101 101
10 Unregistered-SEISA Unregistered-SEISA SEISA 2 104 104
11 Lake Travis High School Lake Travis High School Cavaliers 5 148 148
12 Unregistered-SEISA Unregistered-SEISA SEISA 1 149 149
13 Lake Travis High School Lake Travis High School Cavaliers 6 163 163
14 Unregistered-SEISA Unregistered-SEISA SEISA-Austin 2 191 191
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 R13 TOT Sailors
Lake Travis High School Lake Travis High School Cavaliers 4 3 1 1 6 6 3 2 1 4 1 5 3 1 37 James Brock '24
Vivian Heitkoetter '23
Lake Travis High School Lake Travis High School Cavaliers 1 2 3 3 3 1 6 1 4 1 3 10 1 3 41 Lucy Brock '22
Kate Hennig '22
Unregistered-SEISA Unregistered-SEISA SEISA 3 8 5 4 1 4 1 7 5 6 2 1 6 2 52 Lucas Tenreirro '21
Nicholas Carew '22
Lake Travis High School Lake Travis High School Cavaliers 2 4 2 6 8 5 4 4 2 2 10 3 2 4 56 Julius Heitkoetter '22
William Cranney-Fee '22
Clear Lake High School Clear Lake High School Falcons 1 1 6 5 5 3 7 10 7 3 4 9 5 10 75 Michael Morse '21 [1-13]
Pilar Blanco Midulla '19 [1-2, 7-10]
Fiorella Blanco Midulla '22 [3-6, 11-13]
Clear Lake High School Clear Lake High School Falcons 2 6 4 7 2 2 8 6 6 7 9 4 9 8 78 Haru Masumoto '22 [1-13]
Dara Wang '20 [1-8, 11-13]
Fiorella Blanco Midulla '22 [9-10]
Lake Travis High School Lake Travis High School Cavaliers 3 5 8 2 4 7 11 8 10 8 7 8 4 9 91 Nathan Gantala '22
Zachary Ronhaar '22
Unregistered-SEISA Unregistered-SEISA SEISA-Austin 3 10 7 8 7 8 9 5 3 5 11 11 7 5 96 Lucas Tenreirro '21
Nicholas Carew '22
Unregistered-SEISA Unregistered-SEISA SEISA-Austin 1 9 9 9 9 10 2 9 9 11 8 2 8 6 101 Eric Jayawant '22
Ben Smith '22
Unregistered-SEISA Unregistered-SEISA SEISA 2 7 11 10 10 11 5 3 8 10 6 6 10 7 104
Lake Travis High School Lake Travis High School Cavaliers 5 11 10 11 12 12 10 11 12 12 12 13 11 11 148 Jeremy Sutton '23
Cy Williams '23
Unregistered-SEISA Unregistered-SEISA SEISA 1 12 14 12 11 13 12 13 13 9 5 7 13 DNS 149
Lake Travis High School Lake Travis High School Cavaliers 6 14 12 13 13 9 13 12 11 DNS DNS 12 12 12 163
Unregistered-SEISA Unregistered-SEISA SEISA-Austin 2 13 13 DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 191
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.170+0.17
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2018 (8 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A12A13A
Clear Lake High SchoolClear Lake High School Falcons 11122334455667
Clear Lake High SchoolClear Lake High School Falcons 22233445566778
Lake Travis High SchoolLake Travis High School Cavaliers 13344556677889
Lake Travis High SchoolLake Travis High School Cavaliers 244556677889910
Lake Travis High SchoolLake Travis High School Cavaliers 35566778899101011
Lake Travis High SchoolLake Travis High School Cavaliers 4667788991010111112
Lake Travis High SchoolLake Travis High School Cavaliers 577889910101111121213
Lake Travis High SchoolLake Travis High School Cavaliers 68899101011111212131314
Unregistered-SEISAUnregistered-SEISA SEISA 11212131314141122334
Unregistered-SEISAUnregistered-SEISA SEISA 213131414112233445
Unregistered-SEISAUnregistered-SEISA SEISA 3141411223344556
Unregistered-SEISAUnregistered-SEISA SEISA-Austin 199101011111212131314141
Unregistered-SEISAUnregistered-SEISA SEISA-Austin 210101111121213131414112
Unregistered-SEISAUnregistered-SEISA SEISA-Austin 3111112121313141411223

Conditions — 04/20/2019 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 45%  ·  Pressure 1018.0 hPa

Temperature

71°F
↑ 78°F   ↓ 54°F
Feels like 69°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
6.7 kn
avg  ·  max 7.7 kn
Gusts to 19.0 kn
From S (186°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover0% Sunshine10.9 hrs Humidity45% Pressure1018.0 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: S 10 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Lake Travis: a typical day (+0.01)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment +0.09 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.10
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.05 ± 0.17)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.01 means a rating gap counts about 1% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Lake Travis by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 2 labelled days at Lake Travis, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →