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MN Conference #1

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Mounds Park Academy Mounds Park Academy Panthers 31 19 50
2 Breck Breck Varsity 31 40 71
3 Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 27 50 77
4 Mahtomedi Mahtomedi Zephyrs 1 31 48 79
5 Southwest High School Southwest High School Lakers 1 57 38 95
6 White Bear Lake High School White Bear Lake High School Bears 47 53 100
7 Wayzata High School Wayzata High School Mixed 52 84 136
8 Washburn High School Washburn High School Millers 84 57 141
9 Southwest High School Southwest High School Lakers 3 70 96 166
10 Southwest High School Southwest High School Lakers 2 88 79 167
11 St. Paul Academy (MN) St. Paul Academy (MN) Spartans 89 81 170
12 Mahtomedi Mahtomedi Zephyrs 2 107 84 191
13 Stillwater High School Stillwater High School Varsity 109 102 211
14 Orono High School Orono High School Mixed 122 114 236
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 TOT Sailors
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 4 7 2 5 1 3 1 2 2 27 Greg Bittle '21
Jack Wherry '23
Mounds Park Academy Mounds Park Academy Panthers 1 2 1 8 7 2 3 1 6 31 Toby Sullivan '19
Jose Varela '19
Mahtomedi Mahtomedi Zephyrs 1 2 1 3 3 4 4 4 3 7 31 Cole Barre '21
Nick Lorentz '21
Breck Breck Varsity 3 3 4 7 3 1 2 7 1 31 William Sweeney '21
Lauren Strothman '24
White Bear Lake High School White Bear Lake High School Bears 9 4 7 6 2 5 5 5 4 47 Robbie Dresen '25 [1-9]
Stella Townshend '22 [1-2, 5-9]
Ian Larson '24 [3-4]
Wayzata High School Wayzata High School Mixed 5 5 5 1 6 7 6 8 9 52 Kate Ness '23 [1-9]
Emma Schliemann '23 [1-2, 5-6]
Annika Pendergast '23 [3-4, 7-9]
Southwest High School Southwest High School Lakers 1 6 6 6 4 12 6 8 4 5 57 Calvin Lamosse '21
Max Sadowski '21
Southwest High School Southwest High School Lakers 3 7 11 9 2 14 8 10 6 3 70 Finn Edevold '24
Timothy Chouinard '26
Washburn High School Washburn High School Millers 8 12 8 11 5 9 11 10 10 84 Alexandre Cholat '22
Will Sedo '22
Southwest High School Southwest High School Lakers 2 10 8 10 9 8 12 7 12 12 88 Gints Pelecis '21
Sam Fider '22
St. Paul Academy (MN) St. Paul Academy (MN) Spartans 12 9 11 10 9 10 9 11 8 89 Finn Tait '21
Tj Isberg '21
Mahtomedi Mahtomedi Zephyrs 2 11 13 13 14 10 11 12 9 14 107 Anika Liner '21
Olivia Shores '21
Stillwater High School Stillwater High School Varsity 13 10 12 12 11 13 13 14 11 109 Logan Farner '20
Anneliese Farner '25
Orono High School Orono High School Mixed 14 14 14 13 13 14 14 13 13 122 Morgan Reeves '22 [1-2]
Aiden Ide '25 [3-9]
Aiden Ide '25 [1-2]
Morgan Reeves '22 [3-9]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 TOT Sailors
Mounds Park Academy Mounds Park Academy Panthers 3 1 5 1 1 2 1 1 4 19 Hank Seum '23
Stephen Olk '21
Southwest High School Southwest High School Lakers 1 1 8 3 4 6 3 3 8 2 38 Patryk Stachowicz '24
Spence Christensen '22
Breck Breck Varsity 2 4 2 3 2 4 5 10 8 40 Maeve Katics '22
Garrett Moen '19
Mahtomedi Mahtomedi Zephyrs 1 4 6 1 7 7 5 4 9 5 48 Luke Schmidt '21
Kristen Geib '20
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 7 3 8 10 5 7 2 2 6 50 Jack Callinan '23 [1-9]
Rory Cole '22 [1-2, 5-6]
Nicholas Wyatt '22 [3-4, 7-9]
White Bear Lake High School White Bear Lake High School Bears 5 2 4 5 9 8 6 4 10 53 Ethan Staruck '19
Patrick Levins '22
Washburn High School Washburn High School Millers 9 12 10 8 3 1 7 6 1 57 Mason Pirner '21
Christopher Bridgeman '23
Southwest High School Southwest High School Lakers 2 11 7 9 2 8 11 13 7 11 79 Griffin Sack '24
Hayden Graff '21
St. Paul Academy (MN) St. Paul Academy (MN) Spartans 13 13 12 9 4 10 12 5 3 81 Grady Van Ness '22
Hanna Bjerkness '23
Wayzata High School Wayzata High School Mixed 6 5 6 12 13 6 10 12 14 84 Grace Bray '23 [1-2, 5-6]
Paige Kurtenbach '23 [3-4, 7-9]
Alyson Liu '24 [1-2, 5-6]
Mahtomedi Mahtomedi Zephyrs 2 8 10 7 14 10 14 9 3 9 84 Belle Carpenter '23 [1-9]
Kennedy Kruse '23 [1-2, 5-6]
Faith Christensen '21 [3-4, 7-9]
Southwest High School Southwest High School Lakers 3 12 9 13 6 11 12 8 13 12 96 Helene Schroeder '22 [1-9]
Natalie Richardson '23 [1-6]
Timothy Chouinard '26 [7-9]
Stillwater High School Stillwater High School Varsity 10 11 11 13 12 13 11 14 7 102 Sophia Nelson '22
Emmanuel Hanson '20
Orono High School Orono High School Mixed 14 14 14 11 14 9 14 11 13 114 Hunter Wheaton '23 [1-2, 5-6]
Martin Weiss '22 [3-4, 7-9]
Martin Weiss '22 [1-2, 5-6]
Hunter Wheaton '23 [3-4, 7-9]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.120+0.12
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2019 (1 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A
BreckBreck Varsity141414141414141414
MahtomediMahtomedi Zephyrs 1111111111111111111
MahtomediMahtomedi Zephyrs 2333333333
Minnetonka High SchoolMinnetonka High School Skippers777777777
Mounds Park AcademyMounds Park Academy Panthers191919191919191919
Orono High SchoolOrono High School Mixed555555555
Southwest High SchoolSouthwest High School Lakers 1888888888
Southwest High SchoolSouthwest High School Lakers 2131313131313131313
Southwest High SchoolSouthwest High School Lakers 3171717171717171717
St. Paul Academy (MN)St. Paul Academy (MN) Spartans101010101010101010
Stillwater High SchoolStillwater High School Varsity111111111
Washburn High SchoolWashburn High School Millers222222222
Wayzata High SchoolWayzata High School Mixed161616161616161616
White Bear Lake High SchoolWhite Bear Lake High School Bears121212121212121212

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B
BreckBreck Varsity141414141414141414
MahtomediMahtomedi Zephyrs 1111111111111111111
MahtomediMahtomedi Zephyrs 2333333333
Minnetonka High SchoolMinnetonka High School Skippers777777777
Mounds Park AcademyMounds Park Academy Panthers191919191919191919
Orono High SchoolOrono High School Mixed555555555
Southwest High SchoolSouthwest High School Lakers 1888888888
Southwest High SchoolSouthwest High School Lakers 2131313131313131313
Southwest High SchoolSouthwest High School Lakers 3171717171717171717
St. Paul Academy (MN)St. Paul Academy (MN) Spartans101010101010101010
Stillwater High SchoolStillwater High School Varsity111111111
Washburn High SchoolWashburn High School Millers222222222
Wayzata High SchoolWayzata High School Mixed161616161616161616
White Bear Lake High SchoolWhite Bear Lake High School Bears121212121212121212
School / Team SkipperCrew
Breck Breck William Sweeney '21 Lauren Strothman '24
Varsity Maeve Katics '22 Garrett Moen '19
Mahtomedi Mahtomedi Cole Barre '21 Nick Lorentz '21
Zephyrs 1 Luke Schmidt '21 Kristen Geib '20
Mahtomedi Mahtomedi Anika Liner '21 Olivia Shores '21
Zephyrs 2 Belle Carpenter '23 [1-9] Kennedy Kruse '23 [1-2, 5-6]
Faith Christensen '21 [3-4, 7-9]
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Greg Bittle '21 Jack Wherry '23
Skippers Jack Callinan '23 [1-9] Rory Cole '22 [1-2, 5-6]
Nicholas Wyatt '22 [3-4, 7-9]
Mounds Park Academy Mounds Park Academy Toby Sullivan '19 Jose Varela '19
Panthers Hank Seum '23 Stephen Olk '21
Orono High School Orono High School Morgan Reeves '22 [1-2]
Aiden Ide '25 [3-9]		 Aiden Ide '25 [1-2]
Morgan Reeves '22 [3-9]
Mixed Hunter Wheaton '23 [1-2, 5-6]
Martin Weiss '22 [3-4, 7-9]		 Martin Weiss '22 [1-2, 5-6]
Hunter Wheaton '23 [3-4, 7-9]
Southwest High School Southwest High School Calvin Lamosse '21 Max Sadowski '21
Lakers 1 Patryk Stachowicz '24 Spence Christensen '22
Southwest High School Southwest High School Gints Pelecis '21 Sam Fider '22
Lakers 2 Griffin Sack '24 Hayden Graff '21
Southwest High School Southwest High School Finn Edevold '24 Timothy Chouinard '26
Lakers 3 Helene Schroeder '22 [1-9] Natalie Richardson '23 [1-6]
Timothy Chouinard '26 [7-9]
St. Paul Academy (MN) St. Paul Academy (MN) Finn Tait '21 Tj Isberg '21
Spartans Grady Van Ness '22 Hanna Bjerkness '23
Stillwater High School Stillwater High School Logan Farner '20 Anneliese Farner '25
Varsity Sophia Nelson '22 Emmanuel Hanson '20
Washburn High School Washburn High School Alexandre Cholat '22 Will Sedo '22
Millers Mason Pirner '21 Christopher Bridgeman '23
Wayzata High School Wayzata High School Kate Ness '23 [1-9] Emma Schliemann '23 [1-2, 5-6]
Annika Pendergast '23 [3-4, 7-9]
Mixed Grace Bray '23 [1-2, 5-6]
Paige Kurtenbach '23 [3-4, 7-9]		 Alyson Liu '24 [1-2, 5-6]
White Bear Lake High School White Bear Lake High School Robbie Dresen '25 [1-9] Stella Townshend '22 [1-2, 5-9]
Ian Larson '24 [3-4]
Bears Ethan Staruck '19 Patrick Levins '22

Conditions — 04/20/2019 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 45%  ·  Pressure 1007.7 hPa

Temperature

64°F
↑ 72°F   ↓ 47°F
Feels like 59°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
8.3 kn
avg  ·  max 9.5 kn
Gusts to 19.0 kn
From S (183°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover2% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity45% Pressure1007.7 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: S 14 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Edina/Hopkins/Southwest Senior/St. Paul Academy - M/Washburn: a favourites’ day (+0.04)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.08 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.11
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.12 ± 0.11)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.04 means a rating gap counts about 3% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Edina/Hopkins/Southwest Senior/St. Paul Academy - M/Washburn by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 1 labelled days at Edina/Hopkins/Southwest Senior/St. Paul Academy - M/Washburn, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →