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NWISA North Regionals

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Orcas High School Orcas High School Vikings 1 14 11 25
2 Ballard High School Ballard High School Beavers 1 25 20 45
3 Garfield High School Garfield High School Bulldogs 20 39 59
4 Sehome High School Sehome High School Mariners 1 37 22 59
5 Ingraham High School Ingraham High School Rams 1 21 42 63
6 Roosevelt High School Roosevelt High School Rough Riders 49 19 68
7 Sehome High School Sehome High School Mariners 3 36 46 82
8 Sehome High School Sehome High School Mariners 2 40 57 97
9 Nathan Hale High School Nathan Hale High School Raiders 63 36 99
10 Seattle Academy of Arts & Sciences Seattle Academy of Arts & Sciences Cardinals 56 45 101
11 Ballard High School Ballard High School Beavers 2 62 40 102
12 Orcas High School Orcas High School Vikings 2 40 68 108
13 Anacortes High School Anacortes High School Seahawks 1 59 65 124
14 Ingraham High School Ingraham High School Rams 2 66 59 125
15 Squalicum High School Squalicum High School Storm 73 61 134
16 Oak Harbor High School Oak Harbor High School Wildcats 51 90 141
17 Bellingham High School Bellingham High School Raiders 67 78 145
18 Anacortes High School Anacortes High School Seahawks 2 83 70 153
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 TOT Sailors
Orcas High School Orcas High School Vikings 1 7 3 1 1 2 14 Dominick Wareham '19
Millie Kau '19
Garfield High School Garfield High School Bulldogs 2 5 3 6 4 20 Emilia Garcia-Bompadre '19
Soren Althoff '22
Ingraham High School Ingraham High School Rams 1 1 1 6 8 5 21 Maks Groom '20
Duncan Weiner '20
Ballard High School Ballard High School Beavers 1 4 7 11 2 1 25 Erik Anderson '21
Atlas Iverson '22
Sehome High School Sehome High School Mariners 3 5 9 8 3 11 36 Natalie Serbousek '22
Talia Clarke '22
Sehome High School Sehome High School Mariners 1 13 4 2 9 9 37 Sammy Farkas '23
Max Scofidio '22
Sehome High School Sehome High School Mariners 2 9 14 7 7 3 40 Cedric Keneipp '22
Natalie Aarstol '22
Orcas High School Orcas High School Vikings 2 11 8 4 10 7 40 Ronan Kau '19
Landon Carter '21
Roosevelt High School Roosevelt High School Rough Riders 3 2 DSQ DSQ 6 49 Miles Williams '20
Kaia Armas '21
Oak Harbor High School Oak Harbor High School Wildcats 14 16 5 4 12 51 Thomas Buys '22 [1-5]
Catherine Wicker '20 [1-2, 5]
Kaitlin Mann '23 [3-4]
Seattle Academy of Arts & Sciences Seattle Academy of Arts & Sciences Cardinals 8 13 14 13 8 56 Van Senseney '19
Jaxon Gordon '21
Anacortes High School Anacortes High School Seahawks 1 17 10 12 5 15 59 Robert Mccarroll '22 [1-5]
Elizabeth Koals '20 [1-2]
Cassius Tossavainen '22 [3-5]
Ballard High School Ballard High School Beavers 2 16 12 9 12 13 62 Seth Aldrich '21
Johnny Vaughey '21
Nathan Hale High School Nathan Hale High School Raiders 12 6 10 16 DNF 63 Danny Juan '23
Luka Moonen '23
Ingraham High School Ingraham High School Rams 2 6 11 16 14 DNF 66 Kira Blumhagen '21
Everett Rendon '21
Bellingham High School Bellingham High School Raiders 15 18 13 11 10 67 Ian Beatty '22
Ella Gallagher '22
Squalicum High School Squalicum High School Storm 10 15 15 DSQ 14 73 Cole Sokolik '22 [1-5]
Madeline Roberts '22 [1-2, 5]
Reid Fryer '22 [3-4]
Anacortes High School Anacortes High School Seahawks 2 18 17 17 15 16 83 Annika Dunton '21 [1-5]
Colton Hong '26 [1-2, 5]
Olivia Schwartz '21 [3-4]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 TOT Sailors
Orcas High School Orcas High School Vikings 1 3 2 2 1 3 11 Ronan Rankin '19
Miette Woolworth '21
Roosevelt High School Roosevelt High School Rough Riders 2 1 3 7 6 19 Sam Kimmel '20
Max Pleskoff '20
Ballard High School Ballard High School Beavers 1 5 5 1 2 7 20 Catie Vandervort '22
Caroline Lochner '22
Sehome High School Sehome High School Mariners 1 1 3 7 9 2 22 Emma Powell '22
Morgan Seestrom '22
Nathan Hale High School Nathan Hale High School Raiders 12 6 9 4 5 36 Lucien Freemesser '23
Isaac Wheeler '22
Garfield High School Garfield High School Bulldogs 4 4 11 6 14 39 Colin Olson '22
Aidan Kemper '19
Ballard High School Ballard High School Beavers 2 10 7 5 14 4 40 Isabelle Mcnabb '22
Sebestian Dougherty '22
Ingraham High School Ingraham High School Rams 1 8 14 4 5 11 42 Aragorn Crozier '20 [1-5]
No Show [1-2]
Aurick Suess '22 [3-5]
Seattle Academy of Arts & Sciences Seattle Academy of Arts & Sciences Cardinals 11 11 8 3 12 45 Alden Mcgonagle '21
Zephyr Gilmore '21
Sehome High School Sehome High School Mariners 3 7 9 13 8 9 46 Max Case '22
Leah Feller '22
Sehome High School Sehome High School Mariners 2 6 10 10 12 DNS 57 Mira Anders '22
Sedona Webb '22
Ingraham High School Ingraham High School Rams 2 13 13 12 11 10 59 Advik Eswaran '23
Alex Hubbard '19
Squalicum High School Squalicum High School Storm 14 15 16 15 1 61 Dillon Baijot '22
Payton Knopp '22
Anacortes High School Anacortes High School Seahawks 1 17 16 6 13 13 65 Lauren Mcclintock '20 [1-5]
Amy Chookiatsurichai '20 [1-2]
Carson Lindholm '20 [3-4]
Revan Black '24 [5]
Orcas High School Orcas High School Vikings 2 15 12 17 16 8 68 Cailin Tucker '22
Jaya Griesemer '22
Anacortes High School Anacortes High School Seahawks 2 9 8 15 DNF DNS 70 Sam Hardesty '20
William Peters '25
Bellingham High School Bellingham High School Raiders 18 17 14 10 DNS 78 Mike Rogge '22
Nesta Hill '22
Oak Harbor High School Oak Harbor High School Wildcats 16 18 18 DNF DNS 90 Liam Chapman '22 [1-5]
Andrew Buys '21 [1-2, 5]
Cami Bristow '19 [3-4]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.150+0.15
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2017 (4 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A
Anacortes High SchoolAnacortes High School Seahawks 11001005545
Anacortes High SchoolAnacortes High School Seahawks 210110194948
Ballard High SchoolBallard High School Beavers 15545457
Ballard High SchoolBallard High School Beavers 294948897
Bellingham High SchoolBellingham High School Raiders45457744
Garfield High SchoolGarfield High School Bulldogs88979743
Ingraham High SchoolIngraham High School Rams 177444425
Ingraham High SchoolIngraham High School Rams 29797434324
Nathan Hale High SchoolNathan Hale High School Raiders444425254
Oak Harbor High SchoolOak Harbor High School Wildcats434324246
Orcas High SchoolOrcas High School Vikings 125254495
Orcas High SchoolOrcas High School Vikings 224246650
Roosevelt High SchoolRoosevelt High School Rough Riders44959551
Seattle Academy of Arts & SciencesSeattle Academy of Arts & Sciences Cardinals66505052
Sehome High SchoolSehome High School Mariners 150505252101
Sehome High SchoolSehome High School Mariners 251511001005
Sehome High SchoolSehome High School Mariners 395955151100
Squalicum High SchoolSqualicum High School Storm525210110194

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B
Anacortes High SchoolAnacortes High School Seahawks 110110194948
Anacortes High SchoolAnacortes High School Seahawks 25545457
Ballard High SchoolBallard High School Beavers 194948897
Ballard High SchoolBallard High School Beavers 245457744
Bellingham High SchoolBellingham High School Raiders88979743
Garfield High SchoolGarfield High School Bulldogs77444425
Ingraham High SchoolIngraham High School Rams 19797434324
Ingraham High SchoolIngraham High School Rams 2444425254
Nathan Hale High SchoolNathan Hale High School Raiders434324246
Oak Harbor High SchoolOak Harbor High School Wildcats25254495
Orcas High SchoolOrcas High School Vikings 124246650
Orcas High SchoolOrcas High School Vikings 244959551
Roosevelt High SchoolRoosevelt High School Rough Riders66505052
Seattle Academy of Arts & SciencesSeattle Academy of Arts & Sciences Cardinals95955151100
Sehome High SchoolSehome High School Mariners 151511001005
Sehome High SchoolSehome High School Mariners 2525210110194
Sehome High SchoolSehome High School Mariners 350505252101
Squalicum High SchoolSqualicum High School Storm1001005545
School / Team SkipperCrew
Anacortes High School Anacortes High School Robert Mccarroll '22 [1-5] Elizabeth Koals '20 [1-2]
Cassius Tossavainen '22 [3-5]
Seahawks 1 Lauren Mcclintock '20 [1-5] Amy Chookiatsurichai '20 [1-2]
Carson Lindholm '20 [3-4]
Revan Black '24 [5]
Anacortes High School Anacortes High School Annika Dunton '21 [1-5] Colton Hong '26 [1-2, 5]
Olivia Schwartz '21 [3-4]
Seahawks 2 Sam Hardesty '20 William Peters '25
Ballard High School Ballard High School Erik Anderson '21 Atlas Iverson '22
Beavers 1 Catie Vandervort '22 Caroline Lochner '22
Ballard High School Ballard High School Seth Aldrich '21 Johnny Vaughey '21
Beavers 2 Isabelle Mcnabb '22 Sebestian Dougherty '22
Bellingham High School Bellingham High School Ian Beatty '22 Ella Gallagher '22
Raiders Mike Rogge '22 Nesta Hill '22
Garfield High School Garfield High School Emilia Garcia-Bompadre '19 Soren Althoff '22
Bulldogs Colin Olson '22 Aidan Kemper '19
Ingraham High School Ingraham High School Maks Groom '20 Duncan Weiner '20
Rams 1 Aragorn Crozier '20 [1-5] No Show [1-2]
Aurick Suess '22 [3-5]
Ingraham High School Ingraham High School Kira Blumhagen '21 Everett Rendon '21
Rams 2 Advik Eswaran '23 Alex Hubbard '19
Nathan Hale High School Nathan Hale High School Danny Juan '23 Luka Moonen '23
Raiders Lucien Freemesser '23 Isaac Wheeler '22
Oak Harbor High School Oak Harbor High School Thomas Buys '22 [1-5] Catherine Wicker '20 [1-2, 5]
Kaitlin Mann '23 [3-4]
Wildcats Liam Chapman '22 [1-5] Andrew Buys '21 [1-2, 5]
Cami Bristow '19 [3-4]
Orcas High School Orcas High School Dominick Wareham '19 Millie Kau '19
Vikings 1 Ronan Rankin '19 Miette Woolworth '21
Orcas High School Orcas High School Ronan Kau '19 Landon Carter '21
Vikings 2 Cailin Tucker '22 Jaya Griesemer '22
Roosevelt High School Roosevelt High School Miles Williams '20 Kaia Armas '21
Rough Riders Sam Kimmel '20 Max Pleskoff '20
Seattle Academy of Arts & Sciences Seattle Academy of Arts & Sciences Van Senseney '19 Jaxon Gordon '21
Cardinals Alden Mcgonagle '21 Zephyr Gilmore '21
Sehome High School Sehome High School Sammy Farkas '23 Max Scofidio '22
Mariners 1 Emma Powell '22 Morgan Seestrom '22
Sehome High School Sehome High School Cedric Keneipp '22 Natalie Aarstol '22
Mariners 2 Mira Anders '22 Sedona Webb '22
Sehome High School Sehome High School Natalie Serbousek '22 Talia Clarke '22
Mariners 3 Max Case '22 Leah Feller '22
Squalicum High School Squalicum High School Cole Sokolik '22 [1-5] Madeline Roberts '22 [1-2, 5]
Reid Fryer '22 [3-4]
Storm Dillon Baijot '22 Payton Knopp '22

Conditions — 03/02/2019 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 58%  ·  Pressure 1021.5 hPa

Temperature

41°F
↑ 45°F   ↓ 33°F
Feels like 34°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
5.7 kn
avg  ·  max 9.7 kn
Gusts to 20.8 kn
From NNE (16°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover4% Sunshine10.0 hrs Humidity58% Pressure1021.5 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: N 8 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Anacortes: an underdogs’ day (−0.08)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.06 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast −0.02
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.18 ± 0.13)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.08 means a rating gap counts about 7% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Anacortes by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 5 labelled days at Anacortes, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →