Anacortes High School '26
A team race rating is what the sailor brings to one of the three boats: 0.72 x their fleet rating plus a team-race offset learned from every match they sailed, shrunk toward zero so a few matches cannot move it far. Sides are compared by the sum of their three boats plus the school's team race strength.
| Rating | Rank | vs fleet rating | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.14 (fleet 0.23) | unranked (fewer than 30 matches as skipper, or not active) | +0.00 about what the fleet rating predicts |
as crew 10–10 (50%) |
| Season | Regattas | Skipper W–L | Crew W–L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2023 | 2 | — | 10–10 |
For each regatta, the boat value that would have made this sailor's record least surprising: the shift applied to their boat alone, in the matches they sailed, with team-mates and opponents fixed at the pre-event forecast. A boat's skipper and crew share the boat, so they get the same number when they sailed every match together. Surprise is in bits at the pre-event value minus at the performance value; P(this good or better) treats the matches as independent at the forecast probabilities. Regattas forecast from fewer than 1,000 training matches are left out.
Over 2 graded regattas (20 matches) the record is 10–10 against 10.2 wins the pre-event forecasts expected (−0.2). 1 regatta clearly above the rating (P ≤ 20%), 1 clearly below (P ≥ 80%); 2 bits of surprise in all.
| Date | Regatta | Role | Value | Perf. | Record | Exp. wins |
Δ | Surprise (bits) |
P(this good or better) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-05-20 | NWISA Open Team Race Champs | crew | 0.87 | 0.00 | 5–7 | 6.8 | −0.86 | 0.9 | 92% |
| 2023-04-23 | Anacortes Team Race Seeding Event | crew | 0.60 | 1.79 | 5–3 | 3.4 | +1.19 | 1.1 | 20% |
| Regatta | Role | Div | Races | Avg | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2023 Team page Season | |||||
| RR#3 Silver | Skipper | B | 6 | 15.2 | -0.60 |
| NWISA Open Team Race Champs | Crew | TR | 12 | 42% | — |
| Bellingham Regional 2023 | Skipper | B | 6 | 4.5 | 0.76 |
| Anacortes Team Race Seeding Event | Crew | TR | 11 | 73% | — |
| Spring 2022 Team page Season | |||||
| Seafarers Cup-SILVER | Skipper | B | 12 | 14.8 | -0.32 |
| NWISA Silver Fleet Champs | Skipper | B | 5 | 13.2 | -0.00 |
| NWISA North Regionals | Skipper | B | 6 | 7.7 | -0.31 |
| NWISA Combined Division Bronze | Skipper | A | 2 | 7.0 | -0.61 |
| Islands Cup-Silver | Skipper | B | 9 | 9.0 | 0.05 |
| Fall 2021 Team page Season | |||||
| Cascadia Cup (Gold) | Skipper | B | 8 | 13.6 | -1.85 |
| 2021 NWISA Fall Champs - Silver Fleet | Skipper | B | 10 | 11.3 | 0.12 |
| Spring 2020 Team page Season | |||||
| Island Cup - SILVER | Crew | A | 3 | 9.3 | — |
| Spring 2019 Team page Season | |||||
| NWISA North Regionals | Crew | A | 3 | 17.0 | — |
Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.
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