RR#3 Silver

HostSail Sand Point
Date04/15/2023
TypePromotional
BoatCFJ
Scoring2 Divisions

#	School	Team	A	B	TOT
1	Lincoln High School - Portland, OR	Cardinals	13	60	73
2	Bruins	Bruins	35	54	89
3	Bainbridge High School	Spartans 3	39	60	99
4	Lakeside School	Lions	92	35	127
5	Olympia High School	Bears 1	76	52	128
6	Bainbridge High School	Spartans 1	45	84	129
7	Ballard High School	Beavers	72	62	134
8	Bainbridge High School	Spartans 2	106	37	143
9	Lakeridge High School	Lake Ridge	97	75	172
10	Roosevelt High School	Rough Riders	128	49	177
11	Charles Wright Academy	Tarriers	105	77	182
12	Central Kitsap High School	Cougars	115	79	194
13	Olympia High School	Bears 3	66	132	198
14	Kingston High School	Kraken	83	117	200
15	Olympia High School	Bears 2	120	81	201
16	Black Hills	Black Hills	115	101	216
17	Anacortes High School	Seahawks 2	111	106	217
18	Bayhawks	Bayhawks	76	142	218
19	West Sound Academy	Hawks	95	143	238
20	Port Townsend High School	Redhawks	117	130	247
21	Anacortes High School	Seahawks 1	123	132	255
22	Gig Harbor High School	Tides	144	118	262
23	Mariners	Mariners	113	152	265
24	University Prep	University Prep	135	138	273
25	Olympic High School (WA)	Trojans	164	147	311
26	Trojans	Trojans	149	166	315
27	Oak Harbor High School	Wildcats	124	191	315
28	Port Angeles High School	Roughriders	184	157	341

School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	R6	R7	TOT	Sailors
Lincoln High School - Portland, OR	Cardinals	1	1	1	5	2	1	2	13	Teddy Gao '23 Jocelyn Emery '26
Bruins	Bruins	4	2	2	6	17	3	1	35
Bainbridge High School	Spartans 3	2	3	14	8	1	2	9	39	Alexander Turloff '24 [1-2, 5, 7] Beto Torres '24 [3-4, 6] Beto Torres '24 [1-2, 5, 7] Alexander Turloff '24 [3-4, 6]
Bainbridge High School	Spartans 1	5	6	3	11	6	10	4	45	Nolan Wiggins '23 Fin Vitale '25
Olympia High School	Bears 3	14	7	4	4	5	DSQ	3	66	Esther Ireland '25 Kaden Kim '27
Ballard High School	Beavers	11	9	13	1	4	19	15	72	Isadora Ford '27 Esther Goodell '23
Olympia High School	Bears 1	8	8	15	20	7	7	11	76	Liam Taylor '25 Caleigh Mingay '25
Bayhawks	Bayhawks	22	22	5	3	8	11	5	76
Kingston High School	Kraken	20	13	9	2	19	4	16	83	Dylan Sprague '26 Ryan Pavey '26
Lakeside School	Lions	12	4	10	7	22	25	12	92	Maia Dock '24 Solomon Lucero '25
West Sound Academy	Hawks	21	27	12	10	10	9	6	95	Noah Holly '24 Lena Bowen '23
Lakeridge High School	Lake Ridge	17	18	8	18	14	15	7	97	Braden Voelkel '26 Eleanor Crandall '25
Charles Wright Academy	Tarriers	3	11	7	19	15	21	DNF	105	Camryn Lee '24 Oscar Xu '25
Bainbridge High School	Spartans 2	13	5	6	17	25	16	24	106	Joseph Tappen '25 [1-7] Talia Esarey '24 [1-4] Stella Saleh '26 [5-6] Kai Dikman '26 [7]
Anacortes High School	Seahawks 2	10	14	17	21	12	8	DNS	111	Allison Lehmann '26 Michael Tabor '25
Mariners	Mariners	25	BKD	22	14	13	5	18	113
Central Kitsap High School	Cougars	9	15	18	25	16	13	19	115	Elijah Dekker '26 Ian Anthony '27
Black Hills	Black Hills	16	10	20	28	18	6	17	115	Fiona Tang '25 No Show
Port Townsend High School	Redhawks	6	12	21	15	26	17	20	117	Luca Campbell '24 Panya Cao '24
Olympia High School	Bears 2	23	21	19	12	23	14	8	120	Levi Morse '24 [1-4] Yuri Berebitsky '24 [5-7] Ramona Hanson '25 [1-7]
Anacortes High School	Seahawks 1	15	25	25	16	9	12	21	123	Aeden Peterson '25 Cynthia Zimmerman '26
Oak Harbor High School	Wildcats	19	24	28	22	3	18	10	124	Noah Ellis '26 [1-7] Tristan Nuanez '26 [1-4] Noah Ellis '26 [5-7]
Roosevelt High School	Rough Riders	27	16	16	9	27	20	13	128	Liam Boettcher '25 William Layton '25
University Prep	University Prep	18	19	24	23	11	26	14	135
Gig Harbor High School	Tides	24	17	11	26	20	24	22	144	Charlie Christ '26 [1-2, 7] Matthew Embick '23 [3-4] Tru Jackson '27 [5-6] Tru Jackson '27 [1-2, 7] Charlie Christ '26 [3-4] Matthew Embick '23 [5-6]
Trojans	Trojans	7	23	23	27	24	22	23	149
Olympic High School (WA)	Trojans	26	26	26	13	21	23	DNS	164	Elsa Bischoff '26 Avery Lawley '25
Port Angeles High School	Roughriders	28	20	27	24	OCS	27	DNS	184	Fern Knobel '23 [1-2, 5-6] Andrew Nelson '25 [3-4, 7] Jonathan Bridges '25 [1-2, 5-6] Orlando Ljubic '27 [3-4, 7]

School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	R6	R7	TOT	Sailors
Lakeside School	Lions	1	1	4	4	6	16	3	35	Noelani Li '26 Renee Lehto '25
Bainbridge High School	Spartans 2	5	12	13	1	3	1	2	37	Adam Turloff '24 Suraj Siddaiah '26
Roosevelt High School	Rough Riders	2	7	14	8	5	2	11	49	Roan Olson '25 [1-7] Calvin Hou '25 [1-4] Alan Brennan '25 [5-7]
Olympia High School	Bears 1	10	21	1	6	2	5	7	52	Liam Power '25 Cate Griffith '27
Bruins	Bruins	6	4	3	3	8	OCS	1	54
Lincoln High School - Portland, OR	Cardinals	3	5	20	13	10	3	6	60	Zack Riccelli '23 Feliz (Miguel) Gilpin-Moreno '23
Bainbridge High School	Spartans 3	7	10	9	9	1	7	17	60	Emmett Beadnall '27 Theo Johnson '27
Ballard High School	Beavers	12	3	6	2	21	9	9	62	Henry Thomas '27 [1-2] Liam Petras '26 [3-7] Liam Petras '26 [1-2] Henry Thomas '27 [3-7]
Lakeridge High School	Lake Ridge	19	11	5	5	13	12	10	75	Braden Voelkel '26 Eleanor Crandall '25
Charles Wright Academy	Tarriers	15	16	2	7	9	6	22	77	William Embick '26 Agatha Pape '26
Central Kitsap High School	Cougars	8	2	10	15	22	8	14	79	Keller Matthews '26 Alexia Cochran '26
Olympia High School	Bears 2	18	18	7	17	7	10	4	81	Nolan O'Connell '26 Brolin Boelts '26
Bainbridge High School	Spartans 1	4	8	8	10	12	DNS	13	84	Jaya Wirth '23 Jeffrey Kriegh '23
Black Hills	Black Hills	13	6	23	18	4	18	19	101	Alex Weed '26 Maddox Gorrum '25
Anacortes High School	Seahawks 2	14	19	16	20	BKD	17	5	106	Colton Hong '26 Lucas Cornelius '25
Kingston High School	Kraken	21	23	12	16	16	11	18	117	Kai Campbell '25 Antonio Rioseco '23
Gig Harbor High School	Tides	11	15	15	14	19	15	DNF	118	Tru Jackson '27 [1-2, 7] Charlie Christ '26 [3-4] Matthew Embick '23 [5-6] Matthew Embick '23 [1-2, 7] Tru Jackson '27 [3-4] Charlie Christ '26 [5-6]
Port Townsend High School	Redhawks	22	22	21	12	20	4	DNS	130	Charlotte Capel '24 Fiona Skidmore '24
Anacortes High School	Seahawks 1	9	14	27	27	14	DNS	12	132	Cameron Furin '25 Hannah Mcreynolds '24
Olympia High School	Bears 3	16	20	22	24	17	13	20	132	Simone Reck '27 Cameron Leclair '27
University Prep	University Prep	20	26	17	21	26	20	8	138
Bayhawks	Bayhawks	28	9	18	11	18	DNS	DNS	142
West Sound Academy	Hawks	17	24	24	19	15	DNS	15	143	Nadia Fisch '24 Akelya Behrenfeld '25
Olympic High School (WA)	Trojans	24	17	11	23	28	21	23	147	Tanaya Justice '25 Maya Zander '26
Mariners	Mariners	23	25	25	22	27	14	16	152
Port Angeles High School	Roughriders	26	27	19	26	11	19	DNF	157	Fern Knobel '23 [1-2, 5-6] Andrew Nelson '25 [3-4, 7] Jonathan Bridges '25 [1-2, 5-6] Orlando Ljubic '27 [3-4, 7]
Trojans	Trojans	27	13	26	25	25	OCS	21	166
Oak Harbor High School	Wildcats	25	28	28	28	24	DNS	DNS	191	Cadence Smith '25 [1-4] Grant Nienhuis '26 [5-7] Callie Carlson '24 [1-7]

Boat Speed Analyzer

SlowExpected boat effectFast

−0.250+0.25

Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2015 (29 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team	1A	2A	3A	4A	5A	6A	7A
Anacortes High School Seahawks 1			7	7	9	9	51
Anacortes High School Seahawks 2	11	11	8	8	3	3	78
Bainbridge High School Spartans 1	7	7	9	9	51	51	126
Bainbridge High School Spartans 2	8	8	3	3	78	78	116
Bainbridge High School Spartans 3	9	9	51	51	126	126	54
Ballard High School Beavers	3	3	78	78	116	116	115
Bayhawks Bayhawks	51	51	126	126	54	54	131
Black Hills Black Hills	78	78	116	116	115	115	165
Central Kitsap High School Cougars	126	126	54	54	131	131	71
Charles Wright Academy Tarriers	116	116	115	115	165	165	5
Bruins Bruins	54	54	131	131	71	71	13
Gig Harbor High School Tides	115	115	165	165	5	5	12
Kingston High School Kraken	165	165	5	5	12	12	82
Lakeridge High School Lake Ridge	71	71	13	13	63	63	83
Lakeside School Lions	5	5	12	12	82	82	127
Lincoln High School - Portland, OR Cardinals	13	13	63	63	83	83	156
Oak Harbor High School Wildcats	12	12	82	82	127	127	61
Olympia High School Bears 1	63	63	83	83	156	156	4
Olympia High School Bears 2	82	82	127	127	61	61	50
Olympia High School Bears 3	83	83	156	156	4	4	6
Olympic High School (WA) Trojans	127	127	61	61	50	50	62
Port Angeles High School Roughriders	156	156	4	4	6	6
Port Townsend High School Redhawks	61	61	50	50	62	62	11
Roosevelt High School Rough Riders	4	4	6	6			7
Mariners Mariners	50	50	62	62	11	11	8
University Prep University Prep	6	6			7	7	9
West Sound Academy Hawks	62	62	11	11	8	8	3
Trojans Trojans	131	131	71	71	13	13	63

Division B

Team	1B	2B	3B	4B	5B	6B	7B
Anacortes High School Seahawks 1	11	11	8	8	3	3	78
Anacortes High School Seahawks 2	7	7	9	9	51	51	126
Bainbridge High School Spartans 1	8	8	3	3	78	78	116
Bainbridge High School Spartans 2	9	9	51	51	126	126	54
Bainbridge High School Spartans 3	3	3	78	78	116	116	115
Ballard High School Beavers	51	51	126	126	54	54	131
Bayhawks Bayhawks	78	78	116	116	115	115	165
Black Hills Black Hills	126	126	54	54	131	131	71
Central Kitsap High School Cougars	116	116	115	115	165	165	5
Charles Wright Academy Tarriers	54	54	131	131	71	71	13
Bruins Bruins	115	115	165	165	5	5	12
Gig Harbor High School Tides	131	131	71	71	13	13	63
Kingston High School Kraken	71	71	13	13	63	63	83
Lakeridge High School Lake Ridge	5	5	12	12	82	82	127
Lakeside School Lions	13	13	63	63	83	83	156
Lincoln High School - Portland, OR Cardinals	12	12	82	82	127	127	61
Oak Harbor High School Wildcats	63	63	83	83	156	156	4
Olympia High School Bears 1	82	82	127	127	61	61	50
Olympia High School Bears 2	83	83	156	156	4	4	6
Olympia High School Bears 3	127	127	61	61	50	50	62
Olympic High School (WA) Trojans	156	156	4	4	6	6
Port Angeles High School Roughriders	61	61	50	50	62	62	11
Port Townsend High School Redhawks	4	4	6	6			7
Roosevelt High School Rough Riders	50	50	62	62	11	11	8
Mariners Mariners	6	6			7	7	9
University Prep University Prep	62	62	11	11	8	8	3
West Sound Academy Hawks			7	7	9	9	51
Trojans Trojans	165	165	5	5	12	12	82

School / Team	Skipper	Crew
Anacortes High School	Aeden Peterson '25	Cynthia Zimmerman '26
Seahawks 1	Cameron Furin '25	Hannah Mcreynolds '24
Anacortes High School	Allison Lehmann '26	Michael Tabor '25
Seahawks 2	Colton Hong '26	Lucas Cornelius '25
Bainbridge High School	Nolan Wiggins '23	Fin Vitale '25
Spartans 1	Jaya Wirth '23	Jeffrey Kriegh '23
Bainbridge High School	Joseph Tappen '25 [1-7]	Talia Esarey '24 [1-4] Stella Saleh '26 [5-6] Kai Dikman '26 [7]
Spartans 2	Adam Turloff '24	Suraj Siddaiah '26
Bainbridge High School	Alexander Turloff '24 [1-2, 5, 7] Beto Torres '24 [3-4, 6]	Beto Torres '24 [1-2, 5, 7] Alexander Turloff '24 [3-4, 6]
Spartans 3	Emmett Beadnall '27	Theo Johnson '27
Ballard High School	Isadora Ford '27	Esther Goodell '23
Beavers	Henry Thomas '27 [1-2] Liam Petras '26 [3-7]	Liam Petras '26 [1-2] Henry Thomas '27 [3-7]
Black Hills	Fiona Tang '25	No Show
Black Hills	Alex Weed '26	Maddox Gorrum '25
Central Kitsap High School	Elijah Dekker '26	Ian Anthony '27
Cougars	Keller Matthews '26	Alexia Cochran '26
Charles Wright Academy	Camryn Lee '24	Oscar Xu '25
Tarriers	William Embick '26	Agatha Pape '26
Gig Harbor High School	Charlie Christ '26 [1-2, 7] Matthew Embick '23 [3-4] Tru Jackson '27 [5-6]	Tru Jackson '27 [1-2, 7] Charlie Christ '26 [3-4] Matthew Embick '23 [5-6]
Tides	Tru Jackson '27 [1-2, 7] Charlie Christ '26 [3-4] Matthew Embick '23 [5-6]	Matthew Embick '23 [1-2, 7] Tru Jackson '27 [3-4] Charlie Christ '26 [5-6]
Kingston High School	Dylan Sprague '26	Ryan Pavey '26
Kraken	Kai Campbell '25	Antonio Rioseco '23
Lakeridge High School	Braden Voelkel '26	Eleanor Crandall '25
Lake Ridge	Braden Voelkel '26	Eleanor Crandall '25
Lakeside School	Maia Dock '24	Solomon Lucero '25
Lions	Noelani Li '26	Renee Lehto '25
Lincoln High School - Portland, OR	Teddy Gao '23	Jocelyn Emery '26
Cardinals	Zack Riccelli '23	Feliz (Miguel) Gilpin-Moreno '23
Oak Harbor High School	Noah Ellis '26 [1-7]	Tristan Nuanez '26 [1-4] Noah Ellis '26 [5-7]
Wildcats	Cadence Smith '25 [1-4] Grant Nienhuis '26 [5-7]	Callie Carlson '24 [1-7]
Olympia High School	Liam Taylor '25	Caleigh Mingay '25
Bears 1	Liam Power '25	Cate Griffith '27
Olympia High School	Levi Morse '24 [1-4] Yuri Berebitsky '24 [5-7]	Ramona Hanson '25 [1-7]
Bears 2	Nolan O'Connell '26	Brolin Boelts '26
Olympia High School	Esther Ireland '25	Kaden Kim '27
Bears 3	Simone Reck '27	Cameron Leclair '27
Olympic High School (WA)	Elsa Bischoff '26	Avery Lawley '25
Trojans	Tanaya Justice '25	Maya Zander '26
Port Angeles High School	Fern Knobel '23 [1-2, 5-6] Andrew Nelson '25 [3-4, 7]	Jonathan Bridges '25 [1-2, 5-6] Orlando Ljubic '27 [3-4, 7]
Roughriders	Fern Knobel '23 [1-2, 5-6] Andrew Nelson '25 [3-4, 7]	Jonathan Bridges '25 [1-2, 5-6] Orlando Ljubic '27 [3-4, 7]
Port Townsend High School	Luca Campbell '24	Panya Cao '24
Redhawks	Charlotte Capel '24	Fiona Skidmore '24
Roosevelt High School	Liam Boettcher '25	William Layton '25
Rough Riders	Roan Olson '25 [1-7]	Calvin Hou '25 [1-4] Alan Brennan '25 [5-7]
West Sound Academy	Noah Holly '24	Lena Bowen '23
Hawks	Nadia Fisch '24	Akelya Behrenfeld '25

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

What a rating point is worthA one-point edge is a 73% chance to beat another boat in a race; two points is 88%.
Should the best sailor sail A?Add your two skippers’ ratings and compare with the field; above it the better skipper belongs in A.
Are the boats even?Boats differ by about 0.3 places a race; fleets are uneven from day one.
Which venues get orderly in a breeze?Some venues get orderly when it blows, a few get messier; the fleet comes first.

All notes →

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RR#3 Silver

Division A

Division B

From the notes