Alan Brennan

Crew Rating

Career: 67.61 percentile of ICSA crews
1.501.752.002.252.502.75J. Posner (4 races): -0.21J. PosnerH. Shorr (4 races): +0.19H. ShorrR. Olson (2 races): -0.02Fall 2022: rating 1.90Fall 2022Roosevelt High SchoolH. Shorr (11 races): +0.15H. ShorrR. Olson (6 races): +0.01R. OlsonR. Olson (6 races): +0.01R. OlsonSpring 2023: rating 2.47Spring 2023Roosevelt High SchoolR. Olson (16 races): +0.10R. OlsonFall 2024: rating 1.76Fall 2024Roosevelt High SchoolR. Olson (45 races): +0.08R. OlsonSpring 2025: rating 1.74Spring 2025Roosevelt High School
▲ boats did better with this crew than with the skipper's usual crews▼ worseArrow length = size of the push, in rating points
Season Team Rating Range League
percentile
Team
percentile
On team Races Team page
Spring 2025 Roosevelt High School 1.74 Rating 1.74; 90% range -1.1 to 4.6; team skipper average 1.18 78.28 64.29 3 of 7 45 Team page
Fall 2024 Roosevelt High School 1.76 Rating 1.76; 90% range -0.7 to 4.2; team skipper average 0.95 82.52 83.33 1 of 3 16 Team page
Spring 2023 Roosevelt High School 2.47 Rating 2.47; 90% range -0.3 to 5.2; team skipper average 1.95 91.00 78.57 2 of 7 17 Team page
Fall 2022 Roosevelt High School 1.90 Rating 1.90; 90% range -0.9 to 4.7; team skipper average 1.39 87.84 75.00 2 of 6 10 Team page

Team Race Rating

Rating Rank vs fleet rating Record
0.77 (fleet 1.25) unranked (fewer than 30 matches as skipper, or not active) +0.00
about what the fleet rating predicts
as crew 10–8 (56%)
SeasonRegattas Skipper W–LCrew W–L
Spring 20251—3–3
Spring 20242—7–5

Team race surprisal: regatta by regatta

Over 3 graded regattas (18 matches) the record is 10–8 against 9.2 wins the pre-event forecasts expected (+0.8). 0 regattas clearly above the rating (P ≤ 20%), 0 clearly below (P ≥ 80%); 0 bits of surprise in all.

DateRegattaRole Value Perf. RecordExp.
wins
Δ Surprise
(bits)
P(this good
or better)
2025-04-26NWISA Team Race Championshipscrew1.571.893–32.7+0.320.158%
2024-04-27Open Team Race Champscrew1.342.034–23.2+0.690.342%
2024-04-20Open Team Race Qualifier Leschicrew1.210.943–33.3−0.270.076%

Regatta results

Regatta Role Div Races Avg Rating
Spring 2025 Team page Season
NWISA Team Race Championships Crew TR 9 56% —
NWISA Gold Ranking Regatta #2 Crew A 8 7.9 —
NWISA Fleet Race Championships Crew A 13 6.8 —
ISSA Fleet Nationals (Mallory Trophy) Crew A 16 17.1 —
Combined Division Invitational Gold Crew B 8 9.5 —
Fall 2024 Team page Season
Fall Championships (RR#1) Crew A 11 5.2 —
Cascadia Cup Gold Crew A 5 7.0 —
Spring 2024 Team page Season
Open Team Race Qualifier Leschi Crew TR 10 50% —
Open Team Race Champs Crew TR 19 79% —
NWISA Combined Division Silver Crew A 4 10.8 —
Spring 2023 Team page Season
Seafarer's Cup SILVER Crew A 3 9.0 —
RR#3 Silver Crew B 3 6.0 —
NWISA Open Fleet Race Championships Crew A 11 10.4 —
Fall 2022 Team page Season
Pontiac Bay Regional Regatta (South Regional) Crew A 4 4.0 —
Fall Champs Silver Crew B 4 6.5 —
Cascadia Cup Silver High School Crew A 2 11.0 —

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →

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