Pontiac Bay Regional Regatta (South Regional)

HostSail Sand Point
Date09/24/2022
TypeIn-District
BoatCFJ
Scoring2 Divisions

#	School	Team	A	B	TOT
1	Roosevelt High School	Rough Riders 1	25	40	65
2	Raisbeck Aviation High School	Raisbeck Aviation	37	45	82
3	Bainbridge High School	Spartans 1	50	70	120
4	Bainbridge High School	Spartans 2	72	73	145
5	Ingraham High School	Rams	46	102	148
6	Gig Harbor High School	Tides 1	67	91	158
7	Olympia High School	Bears 1	80	82	162
8	Port Townsend High School	Redhawks 1	74	92	166
9	Olympia High School	Bears 3	135	40	175
10	Bainbridge High School	Spartans 5	71	121	192
11	Roosevelt High School	Rough Riders 2	94	98	192
12	Lakeridge High School	Lake Ridge	95	101	196
13	Bellarmine Preparatory School	Lions 1	61	138	199
14	Bainbridge High School	Spartans 3	119	94	213
15	Port Townsend High School	Redhawks 2	121	100	221
16	Capital High School	Cougars	151	86	237
17	Unregistered-NESSA	Southern Maine 2	130 MRP	114 MRP	244 MRP
18	Ballard High School	Beavers 2	152	99	251
19	Olympia High School	Bears 2	121	135	256
20	Gig Harbor High School	Tides 2	115	157	272
21	Bainbridge High School	Spartans 4	149	152	301
22	Bellarmine Preparatory School	Lions 2	172	153	325
23	Central Kitsap High School	Cougars	169	164	333
24	Port Angeles High School	Roughriders	149	193	342
25	Ballard High School	Beavers 1	207	146	353
26	Port Townsend High School	Redhawks 3	190	170	360
27	Unregistered-NESSA	Southern Maine 1	215 MRP	204 MRP	419 MRP

School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	R6	R7	R8	TOT	Sailors
Roosevelt High School	Rough Riders 1	1	7	2	1	1	9	1	3	25	Oliver Nairn '23 Nati Garcia-Bompadre '23
Raisbeck Aviation High School	Raisbeck Aviation	2	3	4	5	5	3	5	10	37	Lucien Freemesser '23 Renee Lehto '25
Ingraham High School	Rams	15	5	8	3	3	2	2	8	46	Max Hanson '25 Iris Hochwalt '24
Bainbridge High School	Spartans 1	6	1	10	4	2	1	13	13	50	Carter Anderson '23 [1-8] Talia Esarey '24 [1-2, 5-8] Kai Dikman '26 [3-4]
Bellarmine Preparatory School	Lions 1	4	8	5	10	7	5	7	15	61	Corinne Harrison '23 Hannah Welch '25
Gig Harbor High School	Tides 1	8	14	6	8	6	13	8	4	67	Finn Deprez '25 Sky Rainbolt '23
Bainbridge High School	Spartans 5	7	4	3	16	11	4	17	9	71	Owen Burnett '24 [1-8] Gretchen Fiscus '26 [1-2, 5-6] Sharkey Mckay '24 [3-4, 7-8]
Bainbridge High School	Spartans 2	11	6	9	14	9	8	4	11	72	Adam Turloff '24 Zephyr Kochenash '23
Port Townsend High School	Redhawks 1	3	11	14	9	12	6	14	5	74	Lhotse Rowell '24 Ava Butterfield '24
Olympia High School	Bears 1	9	2	11	15	10	10	6	17	80	Alan Timms '26 Graham Kirkbride '27
Roosevelt High School	Rough Riders 2	18	21	1	2	21	18	12	1	94	Roan Olson '25 [1-2, 5-6] Jacob Posner '25 [3-4, 7-8] Calvin Hou '25 [1-2, 5-6] Alan Brennan '25 [3-4, 7-8]
Lakeridge High School	Lake Ridge	5	10	23	11	16	11	3	16	95	No Show No Show
Gig Harbor High School	Tides 2	12	13	16	23	17	22	10	2	115	Nico Konyk '25 Genevieve Davis '26
Bainbridge High School	Spartans 3	17	19	7	12	15	15	15	19	119	Elliott Chalcraft '23 [1-8] Stella Saleh '26 [1-2, 7-8] Nick Heinzelman '24 [3-6]
Port Townsend High School	Redhawks 2	21	15	15	21	18	16	9	6	121	Ocean Smith '24 Gabriel Evans '24
Olympia High School	Bears 2	23	18	13	19	4	7	19	18	121	Levi Morse '24 [1-8] Caleigh Mingay '25 [1-2] Alyssa Leong '26 [3-8]
Unregistered-NESSA	Southern Maine 2	10	16	12	17	20	12	11	12	130 MRP	No Show No Show
Olympia High School	Bears 3	20	25	18	7	8	19	18	20	135	Fiona Tang '25 No Show
Port Angeles High School	Roughriders	13	22	17	13	19	DNS	16	21	149	Ozzy Minard '23 [1-8] Jonathan Bridges '25 [1-2, 5-6] Layla Price '26 [3-4, 7-8]
Bainbridge High School	Spartans 4	14	17	25	20	13	24	22	14	149	Joseph Tappen '25 [1-2, 5, 7-8] Luke Hattrup '24 [3-4, 6] Cyrus Yan '26 [1-4, 7-8] Luke Hattrup '24 [5] Joseph Tappen '25 [6]
Capital High School	Cougars	19	9	19	22	14	20	24	24	151	Alijah Manzanares '25 Alex Weed '26
Ballard High School	Beavers 2	22	23	20	6	23	14	21	23	152	Lydia Carscaddon '26 Ella Reed '24
Central Kitsap High School	Cougars	24	24	22	25	24	23	20	7	169	Keller Matthews '26 Ian Anthony '27
Bellarmine Preparatory School	Lions 2	16	12	24	26	22	21	25	26	172	Charlie Christ '26 Skylar Vasko '26
Port Townsend High School	Redhawks 3	25	20	27	18	26	26	23	25	190	Luca Campbell '24 Antonio Rioseco '23
Ballard High School	Beavers 1	27	27	21	24	27	25	DNS	DNS	207	Liam Petras '26 Catalina Kim '24
Unregistered-NESSA	Southern Maine 1	26	26	26	27	25	17	26	22	215 MRP	No Show No Show

School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	R6	R7	R8	TOT	Sailors
Roosevelt High School	Rough Riders 1	1	1	1	6	13	1	13	4	40	Owen Thomas '23 William Layton '25
Olympia High School	Bears 3	5	5	10	7	3	4	1	5	40	No Show Corin Gamble-Webster '27
Raisbeck Aviation High School	Raisbeck Aviation	2	4	5	4	7	2	8	13	45	Ellie Blakemore '23 Liam Boettcher '25
Bainbridge High School	Spartans 1	3	8	14	12	5	9	11	8	70	Nolan Wiggins '23 Sabrina Anderson '24
Bainbridge High School	Spartans 2	8	3	4	8	22	11	14	3	73	Alexander Turloff '24 [1-4, 6-8] Christopher Cuellar-Carpenter '25 [5] Christopher Cuellar-Carpenter '25 [1-4, 6] Alexander Turloff '24 [5] Kai Dikman '26 [7-8]
Olympia High School	Bears 1	24	16	6	5	10	7	2	12	82	Yuri Berebitsky '24 Gabriel Scott Bixler '24
Capital High School	Cougars	9	9	12	2	23	18	4	9	86	Liam Taylor '25 Ryan Solie '25
Gig Harbor High School	Tides 1	25	2	9	3	14	14	18	6	91	Bailey Rainbolt '26 [1-8] Hannah Welch '25 [1-2, 5-6] Sky Rainbolt '23 [3-4, 7-8]
Port Townsend High School	Redhawks 1	17	15	3	14	11	8	17	7	92	Willy Walden '24 Kai Campbell '25
Bainbridge High School	Spartans 3	4	6	7	11	16	22	12	16	94	Jaya Wirth '23 Andrea Berteletti '25
Roosevelt High School	Rough Riders 2	6	26	13	1	12	15	10	15	98	Hannah Shorr '26 [1-2, 5-6] Maia Dock '24 [3-4, 7-8] Solomon Lucero '25 [1-2, 5-6]
Ballard High School	Beavers 2	16	7	17	21	4	5	6	23	99	Hadley Carscaddon '26 Rhett Miller '24
Port Townsend High School	Redhawks 2	7	20	24	18	2	16	3	10	100	Aidan Beil '25 Zephyr Bell '24
Lakeridge High School	Lake Ridge	14	25	21	19	8	3	9	2	101	No Show No Show
Ingraham High School	Rams	12	11	15	10	17	12	7	18	102	Zev Fort '25 Karl Linnau '26
Unregistered-NESSA	Southern Maine 2	19	23	23	16	1	6	5	1	114 MRP	No Show No Show
Bainbridge High School	Spartans 5	21	10	11	20	6	13	16	24	121	Tabor Houghtaling '27 [1-8] Carson Domansky '26 [1-2, 5-6] Holden Goodham '26 [3-4] Suraj Siddaiah '26 [7-8]
Olympia High School	Bears 2	22	27	8	17	9	19	22	11	135	Nolan O'Connell '26 [1-8] North Berebitsky '26 [1-4] Simone Reck '27 [5-8]
Bellarmine Preparatory School	Lions 1	11	12	RDG	15	21	21	24	17	138	William Embick '26 Annalise Landy '27
Ballard High School	Beavers 1	10	13	2	9	DNS	DNS	DNS	DNS	146	Isadora Ford '27 Cove Brammer '26
Bainbridge High School	Spartans 4	13	17	DNF	25	24	10	21	14	152	Isaia Berteletti '23 [1-8] Fin Vitale '25 [1-6] Gretchen Fiscus '26 [7-8]
Bellarmine Preparatory School	Lions 2	27	18	16	13	18	23	19	19	153	Luke Zeigler '26 [1] Colin Cooper '27 [2-8] Colin Cooper '27 [1] Luke Zeigler '26 [2-8]
Gig Harbor High School	Tides 2	15	14	22	27	20	17	20	22	157	Logan Bugenig '23 Agatha Pape '26
Central Kitsap High School	Cougars	20	21	20	23	15	25	15	25	164	Victor Gehring '26 [1, 3, 5, 7] Suraj Siddaiah '26 [2, 4] Payton Mcphail '24 [6, 8] Suraj Siddaiah '26 [1, 3] Victor Gehring '26 [2, 4, 6, 8] Payton Mcphail '24 [5, 7]
Port Townsend High School	Redhawks 3	18	19	19	26	19	26	23	20	170	Sophie Kunka '23 Fiona Skidmore '24
Port Angeles High School	Roughriders	26	24	25	22	26	24	25	21	193	Fern Knobel '23 [1-4, 7-8] Andrew Nelson '25 [5-6] Andrew Nelson '25 [1-4] Fern Knobel '23 [5-6] Jonathan Bridges '25 [7-8]
Unregistered-NESSA	Southern Maine 1	23	22	18	24	25	20	26	26	204 MRP	No Show No Show

Boat Speed Analyzer

SlowExpected boat effectFast

−0.340+0.34

Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2015 (29 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team	1A	2A	3A	4A	5A	6A	7A	8A
Bainbridge High School Spartans 1	31	31	33	33	35	35	114	114
Bainbridge High School Spartans 2	32	32	34	34	111	111	8	8
Bainbridge High School Spartans 3	33	33	35	35	114	114	115	115
Bainbridge High School Spartans 4	34	34	111	111	8	8	117	117
Bainbridge High School Spartans 5	35	35	114	114	115	115	7	7
Ballard High School Beavers 1	1	1	4	4	64	64	5	5
Ballard High School Beavers 2	2	2	62	62	63	63	6	6
Bellarmine Preparatory School Lions 1	111	111	8	8	117	117	82	82
Bellarmine Preparatory School Lions 2	114	114	115	115	7	7	83	83
Capital High School Cougars	8	8	117	117	82	82	84	84
Central Kitsap High School Cougars	126	126	32	32	34	34	111	111
Gig Harbor High School Tides 1	115	115	7	7	83	83	9	9
Gig Harbor High School Tides 2	117	117	82	82	84	84	12	12
Ingraham High School Rams	4	4	64	64	5	5	126	126
Lakeridge High School Lake Ridge	7	7	83	83	9	9	11	11
Olympia High School Bears 1	82	82	84	84	12	12	10	10
Olympia High School Bears 2	83	83	9	9	11	11	1	1
Olympia High School Bears 3	84	84	12	12	10	10	2	2
Port Angeles High School Roughriders	9	9	11	11	1	1	4	4
Port Townsend High School Redhawks 1	62	62	63	63	6	6	31	31
Port Townsend High School Redhawks 2	64	64	5	5	126	126	32	32
Port Townsend High School Redhawks 3	63	63	6	6	31	31	33	33
Raisbeck Aviation High School Raisbeck Aviation	12	12	10	10	2	2	62	62
Roosevelt High School Rough Riders 1	11	11	1	1	4	4	64	64
Roosevelt High School Rough Riders 2	10	10	2	2	62	62	63	63
Unregistered-NESSA Southern Maine 1	5	5	126	126	32	32	34	34
Unregistered-NESSA Southern Maine 2	6	6	31	31	33	33	35	35

Division B

Team	1B	2B	3B	4B	5B	6B	7B	8B
Bainbridge High School Spartans 1	32	32	34	34	111	111	8	8
Bainbridge High School Spartans 2	33	33	35	35	114	114	115	115
Bainbridge High School Spartans 3	34	34	111	111	8	8	117	117
Bainbridge High School Spartans 4	35	35	114	114	115	115	7	7
Bainbridge High School Spartans 5	111	111	8	8	117	117	82	82
Ballard High School Beavers 1	2	2	62	62	63	63	6	6
Ballard High School Beavers 2	4	4	64	64	5	5	126	126
Bellarmine Preparatory School Lions 1	114	114	115	115	7	7	83	83
Bellarmine Preparatory School Lions 2	8	8	117	117	82	82	84	84
Capital High School Cougars	115	115	7	7	83	83	9	9
Central Kitsap High School Cougars	31	31	33	33	35	35	114	114
Gig Harbor High School Tides 1	117	117	82	82	84	84	12	12
Gig Harbor High School Tides 2	7	7	83	83	9	9	11	11
Ingraham High School Rams	62	62	63	63	6	6	31	31
Lakeridge High School Lake Ridge	82	82	84	84	12	12	10	10
Olympia High School Bears 1	83	83	9	9	11	11	1	1
Olympia High School Bears 2	84	84	12	12	10	10	2	2
Olympia High School Bears 3	9	9	11	11	1	1	4	4
Port Angeles High School Roughriders	12	12	10	10	2	2	62	62
Port Townsend High School Redhawks 1	64	64	5	5	126	126	32	32
Port Townsend High School Redhawks 2	63	63	6	6	31	31	33	33
Port Townsend High School Redhawks 3	5	5	126	126	32	32	34	34
Raisbeck Aviation High School Raisbeck Aviation	11	11	1	1	4	4	64	64
Roosevelt High School Rough Riders 1	10	10	2	2	62	62	63	63
Roosevelt High School Rough Riders 2	1	1	4	4	64	64	5	5
Unregistered-NESSA Southern Maine 1	6	6	31	31	33	33	35	35
Unregistered-NESSA Southern Maine 2	126	126	32	32	34	34	111	111

School / Team	Skipper	Crew
Bainbridge High School	Carter Anderson '23 [1-8]	Talia Esarey '24 [1-2, 5-8] Kai Dikman '26 [3-4]
Spartans 1	Nolan Wiggins '23	Sabrina Anderson '24
Bainbridge High School	Adam Turloff '24	Zephyr Kochenash '23
Spartans 2	Alexander Turloff '24 [1-4, 6-8] Christopher Cuellar-Carpenter '25 [5]	Christopher Cuellar-Carpenter '25 [1-4, 6] Alexander Turloff '24 [5] Kai Dikman '26 [7-8]
Bainbridge High School	Elliott Chalcraft '23 [1-8]	Stella Saleh '26 [1-2, 7-8] Nick Heinzelman '24 [3-6]
Spartans 3	Jaya Wirth '23	Andrea Berteletti '25
Bainbridge High School	Joseph Tappen '25 [1-2, 5, 7-8] Luke Hattrup '24 [3-4, 6]	Cyrus Yan '26 [1-4, 7-8] Luke Hattrup '24 [5] Joseph Tappen '25 [6]
Spartans 4	Isaia Berteletti '23 [1-8]	Fin Vitale '25 [1-6] Gretchen Fiscus '26 [7-8]
Bainbridge High School	Owen Burnett '24 [1-8]	Gretchen Fiscus '26 [1-2, 5-6] Sharkey Mckay '24 [3-4, 7-8]
Spartans 5	Tabor Houghtaling '27 [1-8]	Carson Domansky '26 [1-2, 5-6] Holden Goodham '26 [3-4] Suraj Siddaiah '26 [7-8]
Ballard High School	Liam Petras '26	Catalina Kim '24
Beavers 1	Isadora Ford '27	Cove Brammer '26
Ballard High School	Lydia Carscaddon '26	Ella Reed '24
Beavers 2	Hadley Carscaddon '26	Rhett Miller '24
Bellarmine Preparatory School	Corinne Harrison '23	Hannah Welch '25
Lions 1	William Embick '26	Annalise Landy '27
Bellarmine Preparatory School	Charlie Christ '26	Skylar Vasko '26
Lions 2	Luke Zeigler '26 [1] Colin Cooper '27 [2-8]	Colin Cooper '27 [1] Luke Zeigler '26 [2-8]
Capital High School	Alijah Manzanares '25	Alex Weed '26
Cougars	Liam Taylor '25	Ryan Solie '25
Central Kitsap High School	Keller Matthews '26	Ian Anthony '27
Cougars	Victor Gehring '26 [1, 3, 5, 7] Suraj Siddaiah '26 [2, 4] Payton Mcphail '24 [6, 8]	Suraj Siddaiah '26 [1, 3] Victor Gehring '26 [2, 4, 6, 8] Payton Mcphail '24 [5, 7]
Gig Harbor High School	Finn Deprez '25	Sky Rainbolt '23
Tides 1	Bailey Rainbolt '26 [1-8]	Hannah Welch '25 [1-2, 5-6] Sky Rainbolt '23 [3-4, 7-8]
Gig Harbor High School	Nico Konyk '25	Genevieve Davis '26
Tides 2	Logan Bugenig '23	Agatha Pape '26
Ingraham High School	Max Hanson '25	Iris Hochwalt '24
Rams	Zev Fort '25	Karl Linnau '26
Lakeridge High School	No Show	No Show
Lake Ridge	No Show	No Show
Olympia High School	Alan Timms '26	Graham Kirkbride '27
Bears 1	Yuri Berebitsky '24	Gabriel Scott Bixler '24
Olympia High School	Levi Morse '24 [1-8]	Caleigh Mingay '25 [1-2] Alyssa Leong '26 [3-8]
Bears 2	Nolan O'Connell '26 [1-8]	North Berebitsky '26 [1-4] Simone Reck '27 [5-8]
Olympia High School	Fiona Tang '25	No Show
Bears 3	No Show	Corin Gamble-Webster '27
Port Angeles High School	Ozzy Minard '23 [1-8]	Jonathan Bridges '25 [1-2, 5-6] Layla Price '26 [3-4, 7-8]
Roughriders	Fern Knobel '23 [1-4, 7-8] Andrew Nelson '25 [5-6]	Andrew Nelson '25 [1-4] Fern Knobel '23 [5-6] Jonathan Bridges '25 [7-8]
Port Townsend High School	Lhotse Rowell '24	Ava Butterfield '24
Redhawks 1	Willy Walden '24	Kai Campbell '25
Port Townsend High School	Ocean Smith '24	Gabriel Evans '24
Redhawks 2	Aidan Beil '25	Zephyr Bell '24
Port Townsend High School	Luca Campbell '24	Antonio Rioseco '23
Redhawks 3	Sophie Kunka '23	Fiona Skidmore '24
Raisbeck Aviation High School	Lucien Freemesser '23	Renee Lehto '25
Raisbeck Aviation	Ellie Blakemore '23	Liam Boettcher '25
Roosevelt High School	Oliver Nairn '23	Nati Garcia-Bompadre '23
Rough Riders 1	Owen Thomas '23	William Layton '25
Roosevelt High School	Roan Olson '25 [1-2, 5-6] Jacob Posner '25 [3-4, 7-8]	Calvin Hou '25 [1-2, 5-6] Alan Brennan '25 [3-4, 7-8]
Rough Riders 2	Hannah Shorr '26 [1-2, 5-6] Maia Dock '24 [3-4, 7-8]	Solomon Lucero '25 [1-2, 5-6]
Unregistered-NESSA	No Show	No Show
Southern Maine 1	No Show	No Show
Unregistered-NESSA	No Show	No Show
Southern Maine 2	No Show	No Show

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

What a rating point is worthA one-point edge is a 73% chance to beat another boat in a race; two points is 88%.
Should the best sailor sail A?Add your two skippers’ ratings and compare with the field; above it the better skipper belongs in A.
Are the boats even?Boats differ by about 0.3 places a race; fleets are uneven from day one.
Which venues get orderly in a breeze?Some venues get orderly when it blows, a few get messier; the fleet comes first.

All notes →

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Pontiac Bay Regional Regatta (South Regional)

Division A

Division B

From the notes