SSP Combined Division - GOLD

HostSail Sand Point
Date03/09/2019
TypePromotional
BoatCFJ
ScoringCombined

#	School	Team	TOT
1	Olympia High School	Blue	107
2	Gig Harbor High School	Tides	111
3	Roosevelt High School	Rough Riders	152
4	Orcas High School	Vikings	176
5	Ballard High School	Beavers	177
6	Sehome High School	Mariners 1	204
7	Bainbridge High School	Blue	212
8	Sehome High School	Mariners 2	228
9	Capital High School	Cougars	236
10	Lincoln High School - Portland, OR	Cardinals 1	267
11	Olympia High School	White	276
12	Garfield High School	Bulldogs	276
13	Benson Polytechnic High School	Techsters	279
14	Charles Wright Academy	Tarriers	309
15	Bainbridge High School	Gold	323
16	Lincoln High School - Portland, OR	Cardinals 2	348

School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	R6	R7	TOT	Sailors
Olympia High School	Blue A	9	4	2	4	10	2	7	38	Owen Timms '19 Evan Krug '19
Roosevelt High School	Rough Riders A	1	5	1	6	9	9	9	40	Miles Williams '20 Colin Baker '21
Gig Harbor High School	Tides A	17	10	7	5	1	6	1	47	Axel Stordahl '20 Carlos Rivas '22
Capital High School	Cougars A	5	3	15	10	8	3	15	59	Annie Buelt '20 Ann Li '20
Gig Harbor High School	Tides B	3	13	11	13	16	5	3	64	Dayne Hall '22 Ripley Morris '19
Ballard High School	Beavers A	7	18	10	7	2	13	8	65	Erik Anderson '21 Atlas Iverson '22
Olympia High School	Blue B	2	1	25	9	11	11	RDG	69	Sam Bonauto '21 Peter Kelleher '22
Benson Polytechnic High School	Techsters A	20	BKD	12	17	4	8	4	76	Conrad Miller '21 Charlize Peterson '21
Bainbridge High School	Blue B	12	21	6	14	6	7	12	78	Dane Petrakis '21 [1-7] Arianna Fiore '21 [1-6] Jack Turkovich '22 [7]
Orcas High School	Vikings B	15	16	5	8	17	16	5	82	Ronan Rankin '19 Miette Woolworth '21
Sehome High School	Mariners 1 B	13	11	3	2	18	15	26	88	Sammy Farkas '23 Mira Anders '21
Garfield High School	Bulldogs B	4	14	9	DSQ	3	1	25	89	Maks Groom '20 Duncan Weiner '20
Orcas High School	Vikings A	21	8	8	1	25	25	6	94	Dominick Wareham '19 Millie Kau '19
Lincoln High School - Portland, OR	Cardinals 1 B	6	9	18	22	21	14	13	103	Nolan Petrin '22 Lauren Watt '20
Sehome High School	Mariners 2 A	14	6	21	20	19	4	28	112	Natalie Serbousek '21 Bailey Logan '21
Roosevelt High School	Rough Riders B	11	2	19	21	22	20	17	112	Sam Kimmel '20 [1-7] Abbie Chipps '21 [1-2, 5-6] Max Pleskoff '20 [3-4] Matthew Lindburg '21 [7]
Ballard High School	Beavers B	24	22	14	11	5	18	18	112	Catie Vandervort '22 [1-7] Johnny Vaughey '22 [1-6] Caroline Lochner '22 [7]
Sehome High School	Mariners 1 A	8	7	22	23	20	26	10	116	Cedric Keneipp '18 Max Scofidio '21
Olympia High School	White B	10	17	4	19	24	22	20	116	Ian Connolly '21 Caleb Roberts '22
Sehome High School	Mariners 2 B	23	12	23	15	12	10	21	116	Emma Powell '21 Tristan Neinaber '20
Bainbridge High School	Gold A	16	24	30	24	14	17	2	127	Zach Cooper '20 [1-7] Grace Frei '22 [1-6] Lola White '22 [7]
Bainbridge High School	Blue A	25	26	28	25	7	12	11	134	Barret Lhamon '22 [1-4] Max Doane '20 [5-7] Lola White '22 [1-4] Barret Lhamon '22 [5-7]
Charles Wright Academy	Tarriers A	27	25	20	16	15	21	14	138	Emily Smith '21 [1-6] Jack Corddry '19 [7] Brianna Steel '22 [1-6] Corinne Harrison '23 [7]
Lincoln High School - Portland, OR	Cardinals 2 A	28	27	16	3	28	23	19	144	Elsa Lincoln '21 Etienne Quille '21
Olympia High School	White A	22	19	24	18	26	19	32	160	Ella Hubbard '22 No Show
Lincoln High School - Portland, OR	Cardinals 1 A	19	23	26	30	13	29	24	164	Peter Schnell '22 Ella Notdurft '21
Charles Wright Academy	Tarriers B	DNS	DNS	17	12	23	24	29	171	Hayden Flaskerud '20 [1-7] Skylar Kimble '22 [1-6] Jaden Unruh '22 [7]
Capital High School	Cougars B	18	20	13	DNF	DNS	DNS	27	177	Ciara Mcclanahan '19 Kevin Hicks '19
Garfield High School	Bulldogs A	31	15	27	26	DNS	DNS	22	187	Emilia Garcia-Bompadre '19 Soren Althoff '22
Bainbridge High School	Gold B	30	28	29	29	30	27	23	196	Camden Lee '19 [1-4] Chase Van Derrick '21 [5-6] Banning Jones '19 [7] Chase Van Derrick '21 [1-4] Camden Lee '19 [5-6] Trevor Royset '21 [7]
Benson Polytechnic High School	Techsters B	26	30	32	28	27	30	30	203	Daniel Duyvestein '21 Rooney Ferguson '21
Lincoln High School - Portland, OR	Cardinals 2 B	29	29	31	27	29	28	31	204	Wynn Doman '20 Eddie Herzig '17

Boat Speed Analyzer

SlowExpected boat effectFast

−0.250+0.25

Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2015 (29 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team	1A	2A	3A	4A	5A	6A	7A
Bainbridge High School Blue	31	31	34	34	3	3	13
Bainbridge High School Gold	34	34	31	31	26	26	55
Ballard High School Beavers	3	3	13	13	9	9	109
Benson Polytechnic High School Techsters	13	13	3	3	34	34	31
Capital High School Cougars	9	9	109	109	1	1	87
Charles Wright Academy Tarriers	109	109	9	9	13	13	3
Garfield High School Bulldogs	1	1	87	87	7	7	85
Gig Harbor High School Tides	87	87	1	1	109	109	9
Lincoln High School - Portland, OR Cardinals 1	7	7	85	85	11	11	24
Lincoln High School - Portland, OR Cardinals 2	44	44	5	5	54	54	56
Olympia High School Blue	85	85	7	7	87	87	1
Olympia High School White	11	11	24	24	44	44	5
Orcas High School Vikings	24	24	11	11	85	85	7
Roosevelt High School Rough Riders	5	5	44	44	24	24	11
Sehome High School Mariners 1	54	54	56	56	33	33	35
Sehome High School Mariners 2	56	56	54	54	5	5	44

Division B

Team	1B	2B	3B	4B	5B	6B	7B
Bainbridge High School Blue	33	33	35	35	4	4	78
Bainbridge High School Gold	35	35	33	33	56	56	54
Ballard High School Beavers	4	4	78	78	10	10	110
Benson Polytechnic High School Techsters	78	78	4	4	35	35	33
Capital High School Cougars	10	10	110	110	2	2	108
Charles Wright Academy Tarriers	110	110	10	10	78	78	4
Garfield High School Bulldogs	2	2	108	108	8	8	83
Gig Harbor High School Tides	108	108	2	2	110	110	10
Lincoln High School - Portland, OR Cardinals 1	8	8	83	83	12	12	25
Lincoln High School - Portland, OR Cardinals 2	45	45	6	6	55	55	26
Olympia High School Blue	83	83	8	8	108	108	2
Olympia High School White	12	12	25	25	45	45	6
Orcas High School Vikings	25	25	12	12	83	83	8
Roosevelt High School Rough Riders	6	6	45	45	25	25	12
Sehome High School Mariners 1	55	55	26	26	31	31	34
Sehome High School Mariners 2	26	26	55	55	6	6	45

School / Team	Skipper	Crew
Bainbridge High School	Barret Lhamon '22 [1-4] Max Doane '20 [5-7]	Lola White '22 [1-4] Barret Lhamon '22 [5-7]
Blue	Dane Petrakis '21 [1-7]	Arianna Fiore '21 [1-6] Jack Turkovich '22 [7]
Bainbridge High School	Zach Cooper '20 [1-7]	Grace Frei '22 [1-6] Lola White '22 [7]
Gold	Camden Lee '19 [1-4] Chase Van Derrick '21 [5-6] Banning Jones '19 [7]	Chase Van Derrick '21 [1-4] Camden Lee '19 [5-6] Trevor Royset '21 [7]
Ballard High School	Erik Anderson '21	Atlas Iverson '22
Beavers	Catie Vandervort '22 [1-7]	Johnny Vaughey '22 [1-6] Caroline Lochner '22 [7]
Benson Polytechnic High School	Conrad Miller '21	Charlize Peterson '21
Techsters	Daniel Duyvestein '21	Rooney Ferguson '21
Capital High School	Annie Buelt '20	Ann Li '20
Cougars	Ciara Mcclanahan '19	Kevin Hicks '19
Charles Wright Academy	Emily Smith '21 [1-6] Jack Corddry '19 [7]	Brianna Steel '22 [1-6] Corinne Harrison '23 [7]
Tarriers	Hayden Flaskerud '20 [1-7]	Skylar Kimble '22 [1-6] Jaden Unruh '22 [7]
Garfield High School	Emilia Garcia-Bompadre '19	Soren Althoff '22
Bulldogs	Maks Groom '20	Duncan Weiner '20
Gig Harbor High School	Axel Stordahl '20	Carlos Rivas '22
Tides	Dayne Hall '22	Ripley Morris '19
Lincoln High School - Portland, OR	Peter Schnell '22	Ella Notdurft '21
Cardinals 1	Nolan Petrin '22	Lauren Watt '20
Lincoln High School - Portland, OR	Elsa Lincoln '21	Etienne Quille '21
Cardinals 2	Wynn Doman '20	Eddie Herzig '17
Olympia High School	Owen Timms '19	Evan Krug '19
Blue	Sam Bonauto '21	Peter Kelleher '22
Olympia High School	Ella Hubbard '22	No Show
White	Ian Connolly '21	Caleb Roberts '22
Orcas High School	Dominick Wareham '19	Millie Kau '19
Vikings	Ronan Rankin '19	Miette Woolworth '21
Roosevelt High School	Miles Williams '20	Colin Baker '21
Rough Riders	Sam Kimmel '20 [1-7]	Abbie Chipps '21 [1-2, 5-6] Max Pleskoff '20 [3-4] Matthew Lindburg '21 [7]
Sehome High School	Cedric Keneipp '18	Max Scofidio '21
Mariners 1	Sammy Farkas '23	Mira Anders '21
Sehome High School	Natalie Serbousek '21	Bailey Logan '21
Mariners 2	Emma Powell '21	Tristan Neinaber '20

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

What a rating point is worthA one-point edge is a 73% chance to beat another boat in a race; two points is 88%.
Should the best sailor sail A?Add your two skippers’ ratings and compare with the field; above it the better skipper belongs in A.
Are the boats even?Boats differ by about 0.3 places a race; fleets are uneven from day one.
Which venues get orderly in a breeze?Some venues get orderly when it blows, a few get messier; the fleet comes first.

All notes →

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SSP Combined Division - GOLD

Division A

Division B

From the notes