PCISA Gaucho Regatta - Silver

HostUCSB/SBYSF/Santa Barbara Yacht Club
Date03/07/2020
TypeIn-District
BoatCFJ
Scoring2 Divisions

#		School	Team	A	B	TOT
1		Coronado Islanders	Nado	48	17	65
2		Acalanes High School	Dons	36	46	82
3	$Sato Academy of Mathematics and Science$	Sato Academy of Mathematics and Science	Dragons	87	42	129
4		Henry M. Gunn High School	Titans	66	65	131
5		Corona del Mar High School	Sea Kings	72	62	134
6		Design Tech High School	d.tech 1	69	75	144
7		Mira Costa High School	Mustangs	63	107	170
8		New West Charter	Eagles	57	114	171
9		Alameda High School	Hornets	125	66	191
10		Redwood High School	Giants	111	114	225
11		Design Tech High School	d.tech 2	128	102	230
12		Ernest J. McBride	Wolfpack	80	150	230
13		San Pedro High School	Pirates	118	132	250
14		Tamalpais High School	Red Tailed Hawks 2	144	107	251
15		Blue and Gold	Varsity	160	94	254
16		Rolling Hills Prep and Renaissance Schools	Huskies	150	106	256
17		Tamalpais High School	Red Tailed Hawks 1	128	135	263
18		Palos Verdes High School	Sea Kings	105	164	269
19		Marin Academy	Wildcats	118	162	280
20		Piedmont High School	Varsity	165	150	315
21		Oaks Christian School	Lions	153	170	323
22		Falcons 2	Falcons 2	167 MRP	171 MRP	338 MRP
23		Miramonte High School	Matadors	176	183	359
24		Falcons 1	Falcons 1	219 MRP	207 MRP	426 MRP

	School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	R6	R7	R8	R9	TOT	Sailors
	Acalanes High School	Dons	4	10	5	6	2	1	2	2	4	36	Brendan Connelly '23 [1-9] Jenna Englehart '24 [1-2] Lola Rao '20 [3-8] Layla Kronberg '24 [9]
	Coronado Islanders	Nado	1	2	9	3	12	4	5	6	6	48	Mercy Tangredi '21 Jay Sullivan '23
	New West Charter	Eagles	11	1	6	4	3	DSQ	3	1	3	57	Matei Meglic '22 Dakota Bartley '22
	Mira Costa High School	Mustangs	6	8	3	2	1	2	1	DSQ	15	63	Jack Bradley '23 Dawson Wong '23
	Henry M. Gunn High School	Titans	2	9	18	5	14	5	9	3	1	66	Tommy Ashworth '21 Judith Politi '21
	Design Tech High School	d.tech 1	3	7	7	8	13	6	14	4	7	69	Michael Mcculloch '21 Teddy Knobel '21
	Corona del Mar High School	Sea Kings	15	4	2	13	7	8	8	13	2	72	Gordon Withrow '21 [1-2, 5-6, 9] Ashley Highland '23 [3-4, 7-8] Emily O'Connell '20 [1-6, 9]
	Ernest J. McBride	Wolfpack	17	5	4	12	8	9	6	8	11	80	Tristan Feves '22 Khalil Berry-Spencer '20
$Sato Academy of Mathematics and Science$	Sato Academy of Mathematics and Science	Dragons	7	16	12	1	11	14	7	11	8	87	Nikhil Stewart '21 Liam Vallianos-Healy '20
	Palos Verdes High School	Sea Kings	16	15	10	15	23	3	4	7	12	105	Kyla Mclay '21 Aidan O'Donnell '22
	Redwood High School	Giants	8	13	1	9	21	16	12	14	17	111	Hannah Sellers '22 Alexandra Sessions '22
	Marin Academy	Wildcats	12	11	16	7	17	7	19	16	13	118	Beck Lorsch '21 Nellie Ross '22
	San Pedro High School	Pirates	14	18	11	10	9	17	21	9	9	118	Patrick Rauch '20 Iisac Sharp '23
	Alameda High School	Hornets	5	12	17	19	15	15	10	12	20	125	Kelly Benson '24 [1-8] Artemis Edison '22 [9] Artemis Edison '22 [1-8] Kelly Benson '24 [9]
	Design Tech High School	d.tech 2	10	3	8	18	19	18	20	18	14	128	Matthew Huskins '23 [1-9] Tatem Gee '23 [1-2, 5-6, 9] Nathan Friedman '23 [3-4, 7-8]
	Tamalpais High School	Red Tailed Hawks 1	18	21	20	16	5	11	15	17	5	128	Aquinnah Todd '21 [1-9] Izzy Williams '21 [1-2] Lily Hock '20 [3-9]
	Tamalpais High School	Red Tailed Hawks 2	19	6	15	23	20	10	18	15	18	144	Joshua Holzer '20 Jaya Wirth '24
	Rolling Hills Prep and Renaissance Schools	Huskies	13	14	21	20	6	20	17	20	19	150	Mason Kaplan '20 Landon Rheuark '20
	Oaks Christian School	Lions	22	22	23	21	10	19	16	10	10	153	Anthony Angell '21 Brooks Kastor '21
	Blue and Gold	Varsity	21	20	19	17	16	13	11	21	22	160	Taye Reiss '23 [1-8] Lauren Fernandez '23 [9] Taye Reiss '23 [1-9]
	Piedmont High School	Varsity	24	23	22	14	4	12	23	22	21	165	Diego Jerez '20 Devon Moxley '23
	Falcons 2	Falcons 2	9	17	24	24	18	21	13	5	16	167 MRP
	Miramonte High School	Matadors	23	19	14	11	22	22	22	19	24	176	Austin Teodorovic '24 Paulo Parramon '21
	Falcons 1	Falcons 1	20	24	13	22	DNS	DNS	24	23	23	219 MRP

	School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	R6	R7	R8	R9	TOT	Sailors
	Coronado Islanders	Nado	1	2	5	2	2	1	1	1	2	17	Lina Carper '23 Celine Song '23
$Sato Academy of Mathematics and Science$	Sato Academy of Mathematics and Science	Dragons	2	4	3	1	8	2	12	7	3	42	Preston Woodworth '23 Tyler Hoang '21
	Acalanes High School	Dons	16	7	4	5	1	7	2	3	1	46	Chase Englehart '22 [1-9] Layla Kronberg '24 [1-2] Sophia Browne '20 [3-4, 7-9] Jenna Englehart '24 [5-6]
	Corona del Mar High School	Sea Kings	15	6	2	6	4	6	6	10	7	62	Connor Chung '22 Tara Afshar '22
	Henry M. Gunn High School	Titans	6	5	17	11	3	8	4	2	9	65	Ethan Lowenthal '20 [1-9] Matthew Lee '23 [1-2, 5-6, 9] Jihyo Park '22 [3-4, 7-8]
	Alameda High School	Hornets	4	1	1	3	6	3	16	11	21	66	Dylan Wondolleck '23 [1-6] Miles Murphy '23 [7-8] Makenan Smith '23 [9] Miles Murphy '23 [1-2, 5-6, 9] Makenan Smith '23 [3-4, 7-8]
	Design Tech High School	d.tech 1	5	14	6	10	11	9	11	5	4	75	Josh Goldberg '21 [1-9] Elias Wu '23 [1-2, 5-6, 9] Max Mcreynolds '23 [3-4, 7-8]
	Blue and Gold	Varsity	8	12	20	4	7	10	7	4	22	94	Elijah Smith '21 [1-2] Sam Suddath '26 [3-9] Lauren Fernandez '23 [1-6] Elijah Smith '21 [7-9]
	Design Tech High School	d.tech 2	14	22	7	7	5	15	3	21	8	102	Joss Ettrick '21 David Jelniker '21
	Rolling Hills Prep and Renaissance Schools	Huskies	10	16	12	12	15	5	14	6	16	106	Lawrence Braslow '20 Dominick Olivadoti '22
	Mira Costa High School	Mustangs	11	11	9	18	14	4	8	17	15	107	Kieran Lyons '22 Juliet Gerwin '23
	Tamalpais High School	Red Tailed Hawks 2	13	10	18	8	13	12	9	12	12	107	Luke Marshall '20 Kendall Scanlan '21
	New West Charter	Eagles	7	3	23	9	9	18	15	16	14	114	Isabelle Fisher '22 Melissa Epstein '21
	Redwood High School	Giants	9	19	13	23	12	19	5	8	6	114	Reid Willens '22 [1-9] Gillian Reynolds '23 [1-2, 5-8] Mungo Mckemey '23 [3-4, 9]
	San Pedro High School	Pirates	17	8	8	15	17	20	13	23	11	132	Walker Anger '23 Ashton Horeczko '22
	Tamalpais High School	Red Tailed Hawks 1	12	15	14	13	10	17	DSQ	24	5	135	Ian Somerville '22 [1-9] Max Shmelev '21 [1-2, 5-8] Izzy Williams '21 [3-4, 9]
	Ernest J. McBride	Wolfpack	18	9	10	16	18	14	20	22	23	150	Isaac Sweeny '22 Liam Williams '22
	Piedmont High School	Varsity	23	21	19	21	22	11	10	13	10	150	Sara Govert '22 [1-9] Micaela Jorcino '24 [1-2, 5-6, 9] Nicholas Jerez '24 [3-4, 7-8]
	Marin Academy	Wildcats	24	17	11	14	23	24	17	19	13	162	Grace Mcdonnell '23 Allegra O'Brien '22
	Palos Verdes High School	Sea Kings	19	20	16	19	19	13	21	20	17	164	Molly Mcleod '21 Maddy Weatherly '23
	Oaks Christian School	Lions	21	18	22	20	16	21	23	9	20	170	Svea Hallberg '21 Carissa Chapa '21
	Falcons 2	Falcons 2	3	13	15	24	24	16	18	14	24	171 MRP
	Miramonte High School	Matadors	20	24	21	17	20	23	22	18	18	183	Tristan Anderle '24 Josephine Kovecses '21
	Falcons 1	Falcons 1	22	23	24	22	21	22	19	15	19	207 MRP

Boat Speed Analyzer

SlowExpected boat effectFast

−0.140+0.14

Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2020 (1 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

	Team	1A	2A	3A	4A	5A	6A	7A	8A	9A
	Acalanes High School Dons	64	64	62	62	60	60	58	58	56
	Alameda High School Hornets	63	63	39	39	41	41	44	44	46
	Corona del Mar High School Sea Kings	61	61	63	63	39	39	41	41	44
	Coronado Islanders Nado	60	60	58	58	56	56	54	54	52
	Design Tech High School d.tech 1	59	59	61	61	63	63	39	39	41
	Design Tech High School d.tech 2	58	58	56	56	54	54	52	52	49
	Ernest J. McBride Wolfpack	57	57	59	59	61	61	63	63	39
	Blue and Gold Varsity	62	62	60	60	58	58	56	56	54
	Henry M. Gunn High School Titans	56	56	54	54	52	52	49	49	47
	Marin Academy Wildcats	54	54	52	52	49	49	47	47	45
	Mira Costa High School Mustangs	53	53	55	55	57	57	59	59	61
	Miramonte High School Matadors	52	52	49	49	47	47	45	45	42
	New West Charter Eagles	50	50	53	53	55	55	57	57	59
	Oaks Christian School Lions	49	49	47	47	45	45	42	42	40
	Palos Verdes High School Sea Kings	48	48	50	50	53	53	55	55	57
	Piedmont High School Varsity	47	47	45	45	42	42	40	40	64
	Redwood High School Giants	46	46	48	48	50	50	53	53	55
	Rolling Hills Prep and Renaissance Schools Huskies	45	45	42	42	40	40	64	64	62
	San Pedro High School Pirates	44	44	46	46	48	48	50	50	53
$Sato Academy of Mathematics and Science$	Sato Academy of Mathematics and Science Dragons	55	55	57	57	59	59	61	61	63
	Tamalpais High School Red Tailed Hawks 1	42	42	40	40	64	64	62	62	60
	Tamalpais High School Red Tailed Hawks 2	41	41	44	44	46	46	48	48	50
	Falcons 1 Falcons 1	40	40	64	64	62	62	60	60	58
	Falcons 2 Falcons 2	39	39	41	41	44	44	46	46	48

Division B

	Team	1B	2B	3B	4B	5B	6B	7B	8B	9B
	Acalanes High School Dons	63	63	61	61	59	59	57	57	55
	Alameda High School Hornets	64	64	40	40	42	42	45	45	47
	Corona del Mar High School Sea Kings	62	62	64	64	40	40	42	42	45
	Coronado Islanders Nado	59	59	57	57	55	55	53	53	50
	Design Tech High School d.tech 1	60	60	62	62	64	64	40	40	42
	Design Tech High School d.tech 2	57	57	55	55	53	53	50	50	48
	Ernest J. McBride Wolfpack	58	58	60	60	62	62	64	64	40
	Blue and Gold Varsity	61	61	59	59	57	57	55	55	53
	Henry M. Gunn High School Titans	55	55	53	53	50	50	48	48	46
	Marin Academy Wildcats	53	53	50	50	48	48	46	46	44
	Mira Costa High School Mustangs	54	54	56	56	58	58	60	60	62
	Miramonte High School Matadors	50	50	48	48	46	46	44	44	41
	New West Charter Eagles	52	52	54	54	56	56	58	58	60
	Oaks Christian School Lions	48	48	46	46	44	44	41	41	39
	Palos Verdes High School Sea Kings	49	49	52	52	54	54	56	56	58
	Piedmont High School Varsity	46	46	44	44	41	41	39	39	63
	Redwood High School Giants	47	47	49	49	52	52	54	54	56
	Rolling Hills Prep and Renaissance Schools Huskies	44	44	41	41	39	39	63	63	61
	San Pedro High School Pirates	45	45	47	47	49	49	52	52	54
$Sato Academy of Mathematics and Science$	Sato Academy of Mathematics and Science Dragons	56	56	58	58	60	60	62	62	64
	Tamalpais High School Red Tailed Hawks 1	41	41	39	39	63	63	61	61	59
	Tamalpais High School Red Tailed Hawks 2	42	42	45	45	47	47	49	49	52
	Falcons 1 Falcons 1	39	39	63	63	61	61	59	59	57
	Falcons 2 Falcons 2	40	40	42	42	45	45	47	47	49

	School / Team	Skipper	Crew
	Acalanes High School	Brendan Connelly '23 [1-9]	Jenna Englehart '24 [1-2] Lola Rao '20 [3-8] Layla Kronberg '24 [9]
	Dons	Chase Englehart '22 [1-9]	Layla Kronberg '24 [1-2] Sophia Browne '20 [3-4, 7-9] Jenna Englehart '24 [5-6]
	Alameda High School	Kelly Benson '24 [1-8] Artemis Edison '22 [9]	Artemis Edison '22 [1-8] Kelly Benson '24 [9]
	Hornets	Dylan Wondolleck '23 [1-6] Miles Murphy '23 [7-8] Makenan Smith '23 [9]	Miles Murphy '23 [1-2, 5-6, 9] Makenan Smith '23 [3-4, 7-8]
	Blue and Gold	Taye Reiss '23 [1-8] Lauren Fernandez '23 [9]	Taye Reiss '23 [1-9]
	Varsity	Elijah Smith '21 [1-2] Sam Suddath '26 [3-9]	Lauren Fernandez '23 [1-6] Elijah Smith '21 [7-9]
	Corona del Mar High School	Gordon Withrow '21 [1-2, 5-6, 9] Ashley Highland '23 [3-4, 7-8]	Emily O'Connell '20 [1-6, 9]
	Sea Kings	Connor Chung '22	Tara Afshar '22
	Coronado Islanders	Mercy Tangredi '21	Jay Sullivan '23
	Nado	Lina Carper '23	Celine Song '23
	Design Tech High School	Michael Mcculloch '21	Teddy Knobel '21
	d.tech 1	Josh Goldberg '21 [1-9]	Elias Wu '23 [1-2, 5-6, 9] Max Mcreynolds '23 [3-4, 7-8]
	Design Tech High School	Matthew Huskins '23 [1-9]	Tatem Gee '23 [1-2, 5-6, 9] Nathan Friedman '23 [3-4, 7-8]
	d.tech 2	Joss Ettrick '21	David Jelniker '21
	Ernest J. McBride	Tristan Feves '22	Khalil Berry-Spencer '20
	Wolfpack	Isaac Sweeny '22	Liam Williams '22
	Henry M. Gunn High School	Tommy Ashworth '21	Judith Politi '21
	Titans	Ethan Lowenthal '20 [1-9]	Matthew Lee '23 [1-2, 5-6, 9] Jihyo Park '22 [3-4, 7-8]
	Marin Academy	Beck Lorsch '21	Nellie Ross '22
	Wildcats	Grace Mcdonnell '23	Allegra O'Brien '22
	Mira Costa High School	Jack Bradley '23	Dawson Wong '23
	Mustangs	Kieran Lyons '22	Juliet Gerwin '23
	Miramonte High School	Austin Teodorovic '24	Paulo Parramon '21
	Matadors	Tristan Anderle '24	Josephine Kovecses '21
	New West Charter	Matei Meglic '22	Dakota Bartley '22
	Eagles	Isabelle Fisher '22	Melissa Epstein '21
	Oaks Christian School	Anthony Angell '21	Brooks Kastor '21
	Lions	Svea Hallberg '21	Carissa Chapa '21
	Palos Verdes High School	Kyla Mclay '21	Aidan O'Donnell '22
	Sea Kings	Molly Mcleod '21	Maddy Weatherly '23
	Piedmont High School	Diego Jerez '20	Devon Moxley '23
	Varsity	Sara Govert '22 [1-9]	Micaela Jorcino '24 [1-2, 5-6, 9] Nicholas Jerez '24 [3-4, 7-8]
	Redwood High School	Hannah Sellers '22	Alexandra Sessions '22
	Giants	Reid Willens '22 [1-9]	Gillian Reynolds '23 [1-2, 5-8] Mungo Mckemey '23 [3-4, 9]
	Rolling Hills Prep and Renaissance Schools	Mason Kaplan '20	Landon Rheuark '20
	Huskies	Lawrence Braslow '20	Dominick Olivadoti '22
	San Pedro High School	Patrick Rauch '20	Iisac Sharp '23
	Pirates	Walker Anger '23	Ashton Horeczko '22
$Sato Academy of Mathematics and Science$	Sato Academy of Mathematics and Science	Nikhil Stewart '21	Liam Vallianos-Healy '20
$Sato Academy of Mathematics and Science$	Dragons	Preston Woodworth '23	Tyler Hoang '21
	Tamalpais High School	Aquinnah Todd '21 [1-9]	Izzy Williams '21 [1-2] Lily Hock '20 [3-9]
	Red Tailed Hawks 1	Ian Somerville '22 [1-9]	Max Shmelev '21 [1-2, 5-8] Izzy Williams '21 [3-4, 9]
	Tamalpais High School	Joshua Holzer '20	Jaya Wirth '24
	Red Tailed Hawks 2	Luke Marshall '20	Kendall Scanlan '21

Conditions — 03/07/2020 (8am–6pm)

🌦️Light drizzle

Humidity 79% · Pressure 1016.2 hPa

Temperature

56°F

↑ 57°F ↓ 53°F

Feels like 54°F

Wind

● from ▲ toward

3.1 kn

avg · max 4.9 kn

Gusts to 18.3 kn

From SSW (197°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover79% Sunshine7.4 hrs Humidity79% Pressure1016.2 hPa Rain0.07 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SW 6 kn · S 7 kn* (*weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)

In this breeze at UCSB/SBYSF/Santa Barbara Yacht Club: a typical day (−0.01)

Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.

Fleet adjustment +0.05 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.04

Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.01 ± 0.08)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.01 means a rating gap counts about 1% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at UCSB/SBYSF/Santa Barbara Yacht Club by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 2 labelled days at UCSB/SBYSF/Santa Barbara Yacht Club, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

What a rating point is worthA one-point edge is a 73% chance to beat another boat in a race; two points is 88%.
Should the best sailor sail A?Add your two skippers’ ratings and compare with the field; above it the better skipper belongs in A.
Are the boats even?Boats differ by about 0.3 places a race; fleets are uneven from day one.
Which venues get orderly in a breeze?Some venues get orderly when it blows, a few get messier; the fleet comes first.

All notes →

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