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VISA Maury/Granby Regatta

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Kecoughtan High School Kecoughtan High School Warriors 1 20 4 24
2 Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 14 20 34
3 Poquoson High School Poquoson High School Islanders 1 10 28 38
4 Maury High School Maury High School Commodores 33 10 43
5 York High School York High School Varsity 30 19 49
6 Poquoson High School Poquoson High School Islanders 2 24 28 52
7 Poquoson High School Poquoson High School Islanders 4 5 52 57
8 Hampton Roads Academy Hampton Roads Academy Navigators 12 46 58
9 Kecoughtan High School Kecoughtan High School Warriors 2 50 12 62
10 Granby High School Granby High School Comets 33 43 76
11 Walsingham Academy Walsingham Academy Trojans 48 36 84
12 Poquoson High School Poquoson High School Islanders 3 43 52 95
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 TOT Sailors
Poquoson High School Poquoson High School Islanders 4 1 2 1 1 5 Henry Allgeier '23
Emery Hill '23
Poquoson High School Poquoson High School Islanders 1 3 1 4 2 10 Jack Mckenna '20
Aubrey Walton '23
Hampton Roads Academy Hampton Roads Academy Navigators 2 3 3 4 12 Niccolo Nodero '20
Maggie Leddy '20
Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 4 5 2 3 14 Harrison Thomson '22
Adam Elci '22
Kecoughtan High School Kecoughtan High School Warriors 1 5 4 6 5 20 Megan Geith '20
Charlotte Pirnik '20
Poquoson High School Poquoson High School Islanders 2 6 6 5 7 24 Emmaline Dicarlo '20
Sam Palmertree '21
York High School York High School Varsity 10 7 7 6 30 Justin Kelly '25
Jude Link '22
Granby High School Granby High School Comets 7 9 9 8 33 Henry Allard '23
Aliyah Oakley '23
Maury High School Maury High School Commodores 8 8 8 9 33 Connor Mccarty '21 [1-4]
Gianna Dunn '23 [1-2]
Mason Rodriguez '23 [3-4]
Poquoson High School Poquoson High School Islanders 3 DSQ 10 10 10 43 Ashlyn Wise '21 [1-4]
Addison Kuczynski '23 [1-2]
Michael Guye '20 [3-4]
Walsingham Academy Walsingham Academy Trojans 9 DSQ DNS DNS 48 Mike Laccheo '23
Alex Yang '20
Kecoughtan High School Kecoughtan High School Warriors 2 DNF 11 DNS DNS 50 No Show
No Show
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 TOT Sailors
Kecoughtan High School Kecoughtan High School Warriors 1 1 1 1 1 4 Tyler Brown '23
Laura Rhodes '20
Maury High School Maury High School Commodores 3 3 2 2 10 Sean Trudell '24 [1-4]
Charlotte Shumate '24 [1-2]
Nicholas Davis '24 [3-4]
Kecoughtan High School Kecoughtan High School Warriors 2 2 2 3 5 12 Morgan Handly '21
Tori Dixon '20
York High School York High School Varsity 5 4 4 6 19 Charlie Gibson '20
Hunter Bryson '22
Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 6 6 5 3 20 Sam Beck '21
Clara Murphy '23
Poquoson High School Poquoson High School Islanders 1 4 DSQ 7 4 28 Chase Brewer '22
Lauren Messerschmidt '21
Poquoson High School Poquoson High School Islanders 2 9 5 6 8 28 Olivia Gilmore '23
Barrett Wise '23
Walsingham Academy Walsingham Academy Trojans 8 DNS 8 7 36 Alex Yang '20
Mike Laccheo '23
Granby High School Granby High School Comets 10 7 DNF DNS 43 Joseph Murphy '24
Maddie Murphy '25
Hampton Roads Academy Hampton Roads Academy Navigators 7 DSQ DNS DNS 46 Ryan Nguyen '20
Peyton Crum '23
Poquoson High School Poquoson High School Islanders 4 DNS DSQ DSQ DSQ 52 Cam Brewer '24 [1]
Emmaline Dicarlo '20 [2-4]
Mackenzie Haynes '24 [1]
Sam Palmertree '21 [2-4]
Poquoson High School Poquoson High School Islanders 3 DNS DNS DNS DNS 52 Claire Dicarlo '22 [1-4]
Michael Guye '20 [1]
Addison Kuczynski '23 [2-4]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.110+0.11
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2015 (30 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A
Granby High SchoolGranby High School Comets6666
Hampton Roads AcademyHampton Roads Academy Navigators8888
Kecoughtan High SchoolKecoughtan High School Warriors 19999
Kecoughtan High SchoolKecoughtan High School Warriors 210101010
Maury High SchoolMaury High School Commodores11111111
Norfolk Collegiate SchoolNorfolk Collegiate School Oaks12121212
Poquoson High SchoolPoquoson High School Islanders 113131313
Poquoson High SchoolPoquoson High School Islanders 214141414
Poquoson High SchoolPoquoson High School Islanders 315151515
Poquoson High SchoolPoquoson High School Islanders 416161616
Walsingham AcademyWalsingham Academy Trojans17171717
York High SchoolYork High School Varsity18181818

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B
Granby High SchoolGranby High School Comets6666
Hampton Roads AcademyHampton Roads Academy Navigators8888
Kecoughtan High SchoolKecoughtan High School Warriors 19999
Kecoughtan High SchoolKecoughtan High School Warriors 210101010
Maury High SchoolMaury High School Commodores11111111
Norfolk Collegiate SchoolNorfolk Collegiate School Oaks12121212
Poquoson High SchoolPoquoson High School Islanders 113131313
Poquoson High SchoolPoquoson High School Islanders 214141414
Poquoson High SchoolPoquoson High School Islanders 315151515
Poquoson High SchoolPoquoson High School Islanders 416161616
Walsingham AcademyWalsingham Academy Trojans17171717
York High SchoolYork High School Varsity18181818

Conditions — 03/07/2020 (8am–6pm)

🌤️Partly cloudy
Humidity 50%  ·  Pressure 1025.5 hPa

Temperature

46°F
↑ 49°F   ↓ 42°F
Feels like 33°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
17.2 kn
avg  ·  max 20.4 kn
Gusts to 36.7 kn
From NNW (338°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover60% Sunshine9.4 hrs Humidity50% Pressure1025.5 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: N 20 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Norfolk Yacht and Country Club: a strongly underdogs’ day (−0.13)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.06 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast −0.07
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.27 ± 0.20)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.13 means a rating gap counts about 11% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Norfolk Yacht and Country Club by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (32 labelled days at Norfolk Yacht and Country Club).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →