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MDISA Girls Invitational

# SchoolTeam A TOT
1 Severn School Severn School Admirals 6 6
2 Archbishop Spalding Archbishop Spalding Cavaliers 2 9 9
3 Yorktown Yorktown Patriots 13 13
4 Stone Ridge Stone Ridge Stone Ridge 16 16
5 Key School Key School Zags 25 25
6 Annapolis High School Annapolis High School Panthers 26 26
7 Broadneck High School Broadneck High School Bruins 1 27 27
8 Broadneck High School Broadneck High School Bruins 2 29 29
9 Archbishop Spalding Archbishop Spalding Cavaliers 1 33 33
10 Patuxent Patuxent Panthers 40 40
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 TOT Sailors
Severn School Severn School Admirals 3 1 1 1 6 Ava Cornell '24
Lilly Baker '23
Archbishop Spalding Archbishop Spalding Cavaliers 2 2 2 2 3 9 Anna Groszkowski '22
Addison Lisiewski '22
Yorktown Yorktown Patriots 5 3 3 2 13 No Show
Alexa Bodor '21
Stone Ridge Stone Ridge Stone Ridge 1 6 4 5 16 Linnea Forsberg '21
Sofia Forsberg '25
Key School Key School Zags 7 5 9 4 25 Molly Roden '21
Marissa Loftus '21
Annapolis High School Annapolis High School Panthers 8 4 6 8 26 Isabella Fadullon '21
Asha Myers '22
Broadneck High School Broadneck High School Bruins 1 4 7 5 DNF 27 Morgan Carew '21
Emilie Orendorff '22
Broadneck High School Broadneck High School Bruins 2 6 8 8 7 29 Maddison Carew '23
Madeline Fisher '23
Archbishop Spalding Archbishop Spalding Cavaliers 1 10 10 7 6 33 Ava Farley '22
Kaitlyn Zimmerman '24
Patuxent Patuxent Panthers 9 9 DNS DNS 40 Grace Wilson '23
Caroline Mederos '24
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.060+0.06
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2017 (7 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A
Annapolis High SchoolAnnapolis High School Panthers242424
Archbishop SpaldingArchbishop Spalding Cavaliers 1232323
Archbishop SpaldingArchbishop Spalding Cavaliers 2222222
Broadneck High SchoolBroadneck High School Bruins 1212121
Broadneck High SchoolBroadneck High School Bruins 2202020
Key SchoolKey School Zags191919
PatuxentPatuxent Panthers181818
Severn SchoolSevern School Admirals171717
Stone RidgeStone Ridge Stone Ridge161616
YorktownYorktown Patriots151515

Conditions — 05/05/2021 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 76%  ·  Pressure 1005.6 hPa

Temperature

72°F
↑ 78°F   ↓ 66°F
Feels like 74°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
6.5 kn
avg  ·  max 11.7 kn
Gusts to 29.0 kn
From WNW (294°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover62% Sunshine7.0 hrs Humidity76% Pressure1005.6 hPa Rain0.30 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NW 6 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Annapolis Yacht Club: an underdogs’ day (−0.08)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment −0.02 (an ordinary fleet) · combined forecast −0.10
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.38 ± 0.41)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.08 means a rating gap counts about 7% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Annapolis Yacht Club by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 1 labelled days at Annapolis Yacht Club, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →