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MDISA Silver regatta at SCC

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Stone Ridge Stone Ridge Stone Ridge 6 17 23
2 Archbishop Spalding Archbishop Spalding Cavaliers 14 13 27
3 Leonardtown High School Leonardtown High School Raiders 18 24 42
4 Broadneck High School Broadneck High School Bruins 24 22 46
5 Patuxent Patuxent Panthers 35 20 55
6 St. Mary's High School (MD) St. Mary's High School (MD) Saints 33 27 60
7 South River High School South River High School Seahawks 37 27 64
8 Key School Key School Zags 31 45 76
9 Great Mills High School Great Mills High School Hornets 37 43 80
10 St. Mary's Ryken St. Mary's Ryken Knights 1 52 41 93
11 St. Mary's Ryken St. Mary's Ryken Knights 2 44 51 95
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 TOT Sailors
Stone Ridge Stone Ridge Stone Ridge 1 2 1 1 1 6 No Show
No Show
Archbishop Spalding Archbishop Spalding Cavaliers 5 1 4 2 2 14 Michael Hinrichs '22
No Show
Leonardtown High School Leonardtown High School Raiders 2 4 2 3 7 18 Kyle Engel '23
Glynis Rossi '23
Broadneck High School Broadneck High School Bruins 4 3 3 9 5 24 Tyler Hughes '22 [1-5]
Lily Newman '21 [1-3]
Abby Fisher '22 [4-5]
Key School Key School Zags 7 7 5 8 4 31 William Montague '24
Andrew Baker '24
St. Mary's High School (MD) St. Mary's High School (MD) Saints 3 RAF 10 5 3 33 Robert Wolf '20
Gavin Fretz '20
Patuxent Patuxent Panthers 8 8 9 4 6 35 Derick Fahnestock '22
Ayden Muchmore '24
Great Mills High School Great Mills High School Hornets 9 6 6 7 9 37 Eli Leopold '24
Andy Floyd '23
South River High School South River High School Seahawks 11 5 7 6 8 37 No Show
Beatrice Bello '22
St. Mary's Ryken St. Mary's Ryken Knights 2 6 10 8 10 10 44 Caeden Wirth '22
Austin Russell '22
St. Mary's Ryken St. Mary's Ryken Knights 1 10 9 11 11 11 52 Amber Dewar '22
Katie Howard '23
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 TOT Sailors
Archbishop Spalding Archbishop Spalding Cavaliers 4 4 3 1 1 13 Michael Hinrichs '22
No Show
Stone Ridge Stone Ridge Stone Ridge 2 1 7 2 5 17 No Show
No Show
Patuxent Patuxent Panthers 5 3 1 8 3 20 Aviah Dufek '22
Nyah Dufek '21
Broadneck High School Broadneck High School Bruins 1 2 8 7 4 22 Maddison Carew '23
Madeline Fisher '23
Leonardtown High School Leonardtown High School Raiders 3 8 2 4 7 24 Douglass Abbott '23
Marc Hauenstein '23
South River High School South River High School Seahawks 6 6 4 5 6 27 No Show
No Show
St. Mary's High School (MD) St. Mary's High School (MD) Saints 8 9 5 3 2 27 Antigua Steward '24
Finley Heflin '24
St. Mary's Ryken St. Mary's Ryken Knights 1 9 7 6 9 10 41 William Western '23
Jacob Spence '24
Great Mills High School Great Mills High School Hornets 7 5 10 10 11 43 Claire Sullivan '25
Eliza Szymendera '25
Key School Key School Zags 11 11 9 6 8 45 James Rizek '20
Ever Roberts '20
St. Mary's Ryken St. Mary's Ryken Knights 2 10 10 11 11 9 51 Matthew Hayden '23
Luke Weilke '24
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.120+0.12
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2016 (31 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A
Archbishop SpaldingArchbishop Spalding Cavaliers1717171717
Broadneck High SchoolBroadneck High School Bruins1616161616
Great Mills High SchoolGreat Mills High School Hornets1515151515
Key SchoolKey School Zags1212121212
Leonardtown High SchoolLeonardtown High School Raiders1111111111
PatuxentPatuxent Panthers1010101010
South River High SchoolSouth River High School Seahawks88888
St. Mary's RykenSt. Mary's Ryken Knights 166666
St. Mary's RykenSt. Mary's Ryken Knights 21414141414
St. Mary's High School (MD)St. Mary's High School (MD) Saints77777
Stone RidgeStone Ridge Stone Ridge55555

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B
Archbishop SpaldingArchbishop Spalding Cavaliers1717171717
Broadneck High SchoolBroadneck High School Bruins1616161616
Great Mills High SchoolGreat Mills High School Hornets1515151515
Key SchoolKey School Zags1212121212
Leonardtown High SchoolLeonardtown High School Raiders1111111111
PatuxentPatuxent Panthers1010101010
South River High SchoolSouth River High School Seahawks88888
St. Mary's RykenSt. Mary's Ryken Knights 166666
St. Mary's RykenSt. Mary's Ryken Knights 21414141414
St. Mary's High School (MD)St. Mary's High School (MD) Saints77777
Stone RidgeStone Ridge Stone Ridge55555

Conditions — 03/28/2021 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 84%  ·  Pressure 1006.3 hPa

Temperature

66°F
↑ 73°F   ↓ 56°F
Feels like 65°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
10.7 kn
avg  ·  max 15.7 kn
Gusts to 33.6 kn
From SSW (203°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover100% Sunshine0.9 hrs Humidity84% Pressure1006.3 hPa Rain0.17 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: S 12 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Great Mills/Leonardtown High: an underdogs’ day (−0.04)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.13 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.09
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.20 ± 0.21)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.04 means a rating gap counts about 4% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Great Mills/Leonardtown High by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (16 labelled days at Great Mills/Leonardtown High).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →