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MISSA Ohio Mallory Pre-Qualifer

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 St. Ignatius HS - Cleveland, OH St. Ignatius HS - Cleveland, OH Wildcats 26 12 38
2 Bay High School Bay High School Rockets 31 20 51
3 Westerville North High School Westerville North High School Warriors 20 50 70
4 Olentangy Liberty High School Olentangy Liberty High School Patriots 42 35 77
5 Dublin Coffman Dublin Coffman Rocks 52 34 86
6 Rocky River High School Rocky River High School Pirates 57 42 99
7 St. Edward St. Edward Eagles 52 49 101
8 Dublin Jerome Dublin Jerome Varsity 74 41 115
9 Olentangy Orange High School Olentangy Orange High School Pioneers 47 69 116
10 Put-in-Bay High School Put-in-Bay High School Panthers Varsity 63 53 116
11 Olentangy Berlin HS Olentangy Berlin HS Bears 47 80 127
12 Thomas Worthington High School Thomas Worthington High School Cardinals 54 77 131
13 Upper Arlington Upper Arlington Bears 82 75 157
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 TOT Sailors
Westerville North High School Westerville North High School Warriors 1 3 1 4 1 1 9 20 Brendon Smucker '21
Sam Heighway '21
St. Ignatius HS - Cleveland, OH St. Ignatius HS - Cleveland, OH Wildcats DSQ 2 3 2 2 2 1 26 Will Carroll '21 [1-7]
Joe Lavelle '23 [1-2, 7]
Luke Zidar '23 [3-4]
Gavin Hirz '23 [5-6]
Bay High School Bay High School Rockets DSQ 1 7 1 3 3 2 31 Jack Vanderhorst '22 [1-7]
Ashley Almquist '22 [1-5]
Kellie Keane '25 [6-7]
Olentangy Liberty High School Olentangy Liberty High School Patriots 4 7 6 6 5 8 6 42 Emma Friedauer '23
Emily Williams '21
Olentangy Orange High School Olentangy Orange High School Pioneers 2 10 5 8 11 4 7 47 Mason Shaw '22
Ashton Earl '24
Olentangy Berlin HS Olentangy Berlin HS Bears 3 5 9 9 9 7 5 47 Nicholas Robertson '23
Jolene Jirosek '21
Dublin Coffman Dublin Coffman Rocks 7 13 4 11 8 5 4 52 Klay Redman '22
Austin Mehl '24
St. Edward St. Edward Eagles DSQ 4 8 7 6 10 3 52 Chad Schaffner '22
Max Movius '24
Thomas Worthington High School Thomas Worthington High School Cardinals 9 12 2 10 7 6 8 54 Kyle Bruce '23
Leighton Calfee '24
Rocky River High School Rocky River High School Pirates DSQ 6 10 3 4 9 11 57 Buck Rathbun '24
Bill Lazarro '22
Put-in-Bay High School Put-in-Bay High School Panthers Varsity 6 8 11 5 10 11 12 63 Talii Steidl '21 [1-7]
Macy Ladd '23 [1-6]
Emil Michael '24 [7]
Dublin Jerome Dublin Jerome Varsity 5 9 13 12 12 13 10 74 Sofia Ely '23
Roman Joseph '23
Upper Arlington Upper Arlington Bears 8 11 12 13 13 12 13 82 Elena Fernandez '23
Jenna Drobny '23
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 TOT Sailors
St. Ignatius HS - Cleveland, OH St. Ignatius HS - Cleveland, OH Wildcats 4 2 1 1 2 1 1 12 Eric Pohl '22
Charles Pohl '22
Bay High School Bay High School Rockets 2 4 3 5 1 3 2 20 Ellen Petrigan '22 [1-2, 4-7]
Jonathan Mack '22 [3]
Robert Mansuetto '21 [1-2]
Annika Vanderhorst '23 [3-7]
Dublin Coffman Dublin Coffman Rocks 1 5 2 6 8 4 8 34 Emerson Becker '24
Josh Buss '24
Olentangy Liberty High School Olentangy Liberty High School Patriots 6 1 7 7 5 6 3 35 Porter Martin '23
Brady Smith '22
Dublin Jerome Dublin Jerome Varsity 8 6 5 2 11 2 7 41 Collin Roberts '23
Liam Nelson '23
Rocky River High School Rocky River High School Pirates 5 3 10 3 6 10 5 42 Joey Bonacci '21
Jacob Myers '24
St. Edward St. Edward Eagles 7 7 4 9 4 8 10 49 Robbie Keyser '22
Charlie Movius '22
Westerville North High School Westerville North High School Warriors 9 11 8 4 3 9 6 50 Fisher Howe '22
Brinn Faulkner '24
Put-in-Bay High School Put-in-Bay High School Panthers Varsity 11 8 6 12 7 5 4 53 Kate Byrnes '22 [1-7]
Hope Cooks '24 [1-2, 5-7]
Emil Michael '24 [3-4]
Olentangy Orange High School Olentangy Orange High School Pioneers 10 9 12 11 9 7 11 69 Kaden Mcclary '24 [1-7]
Ben Pennels '23 [1-5]
Savanah Shaw '24 [6-7]
Upper Arlington Upper Arlington Bears 13 13 9 8 12 11 9 75 Iris Mark '23
Cj Milburn '24
Thomas Worthington High School Thomas Worthington High School Cardinals 3 12 11 13 13 12 13 77 Emma Hutchings '22 [1-7]
Cassidy Hopcraft '22 [1-2, 5-6]
Bryce Ray '22 [3-4, 7]
Olentangy Berlin HS Olentangy Berlin HS Bears 12 10 13 10 10 13 12 80 Liam Rodriguez '24
Megan Goldberg '23
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.180+0.18
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2021 (1 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A
Bay High SchoolBay High School Rockets10101010101010
Dublin CoffmanDublin Coffman Rocks13131313131313
Dublin JeromeDublin Jerome Varsity6666666
Olentangy Berlin HSOlentangy Berlin HS Bears9999999
Olentangy Liberty High SchoolOlentangy Liberty High School Patriots4444444
Olentangy Orange High SchoolOlentangy Orange High School Pioneers7777777
Put-in-Bay High SchoolPut-in-Bay High School Panthers Varsity2222222
Rocky River High SchoolRocky River High School Pirates1111111
St. EdwardSt. Edward Eagles11111111111111
St. Ignatius HS - Cleveland, OHSt. Ignatius HS - Cleveland, OH Wildcats15151515151515
Thomas Worthington High SchoolThomas Worthington High School Cardinals8888888
Upper ArlingtonUpper Arlington Bears12121212121212
Westerville North High SchoolWesterville North High School Warriors5555555

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B
Bay High SchoolBay High School Rockets10101010101010
Dublin CoffmanDublin Coffman Rocks13131313131313
Dublin JeromeDublin Jerome Varsity6666666
Olentangy Berlin HSOlentangy Berlin HS Bears9999999
Olentangy Liberty High SchoolOlentangy Liberty High School Patriots4444444
Olentangy Orange High SchoolOlentangy Orange High School Pioneers7777777
Put-in-Bay High SchoolPut-in-Bay High School Panthers Varsity2222222
Rocky River High SchoolRocky River High School Pirates1111111
St. EdwardSt. Edward Eagles11111111111111
St. Ignatius HS - Cleveland, OHSt. Ignatius HS - Cleveland, OH Wildcats15151515151515
Thomas Worthington High SchoolThomas Worthington High School Cardinals8888888
Upper ArlingtonUpper Arlington Bears12121212121212
Westerville North High SchoolWesterville North High School Warriors5555555
School / Team SkipperCrew
Bay High School Bay High School Jack Vanderhorst '22 [1-7] Ashley Almquist '22 [1-5]
Kellie Keane '25 [6-7]
Rockets Ellen Petrigan '22 [1-2, 4-7]
Jonathan Mack '22 [3]		 Robert Mansuetto '21 [1-2]
Annika Vanderhorst '23 [3-7]
Dublin Coffman Dublin Coffman Klay Redman '22 Austin Mehl '24
Rocks Emerson Becker '24 Josh Buss '24
Dublin Jerome Dublin Jerome Sofia Ely '23 Roman Joseph '23
Varsity Collin Roberts '23 Liam Nelson '23
Olentangy Berlin HS Olentangy Berlin HS Nicholas Robertson '23 Jolene Jirosek '21
Bears Liam Rodriguez '24 Megan Goldberg '23
Olentangy Liberty High School Olentangy Liberty High School Emma Friedauer '23 Emily Williams '21
Patriots Porter Martin '23 Brady Smith '22
Olentangy Orange High School Olentangy Orange High School Mason Shaw '22 Ashton Earl '24
Pioneers Kaden Mcclary '24 [1-7] Ben Pennels '23 [1-5]
Savanah Shaw '24 [6-7]
Put-in-Bay High School Put-in-Bay High School Talii Steidl '21 [1-7] Macy Ladd '23 [1-6]
Emil Michael '24 [7]
Panthers Varsity Kate Byrnes '22 [1-7] Hope Cooks '24 [1-2, 5-7]
Emil Michael '24 [3-4]
Rocky River High School Rocky River High School Buck Rathbun '24 Bill Lazarro '22
Pirates Joey Bonacci '21 Jacob Myers '24
St. Edward St. Edward Chad Schaffner '22 Max Movius '24
Eagles Robbie Keyser '22 Charlie Movius '22
St. Ignatius HS - Cleveland, OH St. Ignatius HS - Cleveland, OH Will Carroll '21 [1-7] Joe Lavelle '23 [1-2, 7]
Luke Zidar '23 [3-4]
Gavin Hirz '23 [5-6]
Wildcats Eric Pohl '22 Charles Pohl '22
Thomas Worthington High School Thomas Worthington High School Kyle Bruce '23 Leighton Calfee '24
Cardinals Emma Hutchings '22 [1-7] Cassidy Hopcraft '22 [1-2, 5-6]
Bryce Ray '22 [3-4, 7]
Upper Arlington Upper Arlington Elena Fernandez '23 Jenna Drobny '23
Bears Iris Mark '23 Cj Milburn '24
Westerville North High School Westerville North High School Brendon Smucker '21 Sam Heighway '21
Warriors Fisher Howe '22 Brinn Faulkner '24

Conditions — 04/17/2021 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 63%  ·  Pressure 1012.2 hPa

Temperature

53°F
↑ 58°F   ↓ 40°F
Feels like 49°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
3.5 kn
avg  ·  max 5.8 kn
Gusts to 14.2 kn
From WNW (286°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover96% Sunshine9.6 hrs Humidity63% Pressure1012.2 hPa Rain0.06 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: W 7 kn · SW 8 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Bishop Watterson/St. Francis Desales: an underdogs’ day (−0.03)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.08 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.05
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.20 ± 0.12)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.03 means a rating gap counts about 2% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Bishop Watterson/St. Francis Desales by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (no labelled days at Bishop Watterson/St. Francis Desales: the all-venue pattern is shown).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →