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MISSA West League Mallory Pre-Qualifier

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 45 32 77
2 Southwest High School Southwest High School Lakers 68 26 94
3 Orono High School Orono High School Spartans 44 71 115
4 Mahtomedi Mahtomedi Zephyrs 62 73 135
5 Arrowhead High School Arrowhead High School Warhawks 42 94 136
6 Kettle Moraine High School Kettle Moraine High School VARSITY 98 59 157
7 Pewaukee High School Pewaukee High School Varsity 90 71 161
8 Sheboygan North High School (WI) Sheboygan North High School (WI) Raiders 89 95 184
9 Marquette University High School Marquette University High School Hill Toppers 97 105 202
10 Washburn High School Washburn High School Millers 93 110 203
11 Breck Breck Varsity 109 103 212
12 Wayzata High School Wayzata High School Navy 110 131 241
13 White Bear Lake High School White Bear Lake High School Bears 168 168 336
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 TOT Sailors
Arrowhead High School Arrowhead High School Warhawks 1 3 OCS 2 4 3 6 2 3 1 1 2 42 Cole Schweda '23 [1-6, 8]
Charlie Allen '24 [7, 9-12]
Charlie Allen '24 [1-6, 8]
Cole Schweda '23 [7, 9-12]
Orono High School Orono High School Spartans 7 4 8 4 1 4 2 3 2 2 4 3 44 Seamus Hendrickson '21
Tyra Pranger '21
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 5 1 1 1 3 2 4 5 11 5 3 4 45 Lucia Loosbrock '21
Emma Komis '22
Mahtomedi Mahtomedi Zephyrs 4 2 OCS 6 2 12 5 6 1 7 2 1 62 Cole Barre '21
Nick Lorentz '21
Southwest High School Southwest High School Lakers 3 6 7 5 7 1 8 7 4 4 10 6 68 Calvin Lamosse '21 [1-7, 10-12]
Sam Fider '22 [8-9]
Gints Pelecis '21 [1-7, 10-12]
Mason Pirner '21 [8-9]
Sheboygan North High School (WI) Sheboygan North High School (WI) Raiders 2 10 OCS 3 6 10 12 1 6 6 7 12 89 Jasper Delasanta '22 [1-12]
Harsshitha Balachander '23 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Carolyne Van Deventer '23 [3-4, 7-8, 11-12]
Pewaukee High School Pewaukee High School Varsity 12 7 6 8 10 6 3 10 7 3 9 9 90 Carly Kiss '21
Winter Bevan '24
Washburn High School Washburn High School Millers 9 8 4 11 11 9 1 9 8 9 6 8 93 Alexandre Cholat '22
Elenore Westgard '21
Marquette University High School Marquette University High School Hill Toppers 6 5 3 RAF 12 11 7 8 5 10 5 11 97 Christian Cushman '21
Henry Ogden '22
Kettle Moraine High School Kettle Moraine High School VARSITY 8 11 5 9 5 7 11 11 10 8 8 5 98 Marissa Tegeder '21
Karina Palmer '23
Breck Breck Varsity 11 9 9 7 9 5 9 4 12 12 12 10 109 William Sweeney '21
Michael Sweeney '24
Wayzata High School Wayzata High School Navy 10 12 2 10 8 8 10 12 9 11 11 7 110 Paige Kurtenbach '23 [1-12]
Robert Jones '23 [1-8]
Rafael Zarzosa '23 [9-12]
White Bear Lake High School White Bear Lake High School Bears DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 168 No Show
No Show
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 TOT Sailors
Southwest High School Southwest High School Lakers 5 4 1 1 2 5 1 1 2 1 2 1 26 James Jagielski '21
Helene Schroeder '22
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 1 1 2 2 1 3 2 5 3 6 4 2 32 Greg Bittle '21
Jacob Zils '23
Kettle Moraine High School Kettle Moraine High School VARSITY 3 2 OCS 3 4 1 5 3 7 2 6 9 59 Cole Thompson '24 [1-12]
Penelope Whiteside '24 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Cailey Elliott '24 [3-4, 7-8, 11-12]
Orono High School Orono High School Spartans 2 6 3 9 7 4 4 9 8 7 7 5 71 Kytalin Hendrickson '22 [1-12]
Morgan Reeves '22 [1-4, 9]
Jack (Henry) Strommen '21 [5-8]
Theodore (Teddy) Graham '22 [10-12]
Pewaukee High School Pewaukee High School Varsity 4 12 OCS 7 10 6 3 2 4 5 1 3 71 David Kiss '23
Nathan Kamath '24
Mahtomedi Mahtomedi Zephyrs 11 7 6 4 8 2 7 11 1 3 5 8 73 Owen Harrod '22
Faith Christensen '21
Arrowhead High School Arrowhead High School Warhawks 6 8 OCS 6 5 OCS DSQ 4 5 4 8 7 94 Ella Schieble '22 [1-2, 9-10]
Jackson Walker '22 [3-8, 11-12]
Stella Marban '24 [1-4, 9-12]
Ella Schieble '22 [5-8]
Sheboygan North High School (WI) Sheboygan North High School (WI) Raiders 12 3 5 12 3 8 6 10 12 10 10 4 95 Adam Pickhardt '24
Lauren Bemis '22
Breck Breck Varsity 10 9 7 11 9 7 9 6 9 11 9 6 103 Maeve Katics '22
Erin Mcdonagh '24
Marquette University High School Marquette University High School Hill Toppers 7 11 OCS 5 6 OCS 10 7 10 8 3 10 105 Henry Ackley '24
Patrick Mckenna '23
Washburn High School Washburn High School Millers 8 10 4 8 12 9 11 8 6 12 11 11 110 Leo Markus '23
Erik Westgard '21
Wayzata High School Wayzata High School Navy 9 5 OCS 10 11 OCS 12 12 11 9 12 12 131 Alyson Liu '24 [1-12]
Rafael Zarzosa '23 [1-8]
Robert Jones '23 [9-12]
White Bear Lake High School White Bear Lake High School Bears DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 168 No Show
No Show
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.120+0.12
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2021 (2 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A12A
Arrowhead High SchoolArrowhead High School Warhawks111111555555
BreckBreck Varsity222222666666
Kettle Moraine High SchoolKettle Moraine High School VARSITY333333777777
MahtomediMahtomedi Zephyrs444444131313131313
Marquette University High SchoolMarquette University High School Hill Toppers555555999999
Minnetonka High SchoolMinnetonka High School Skippers666666101010101010
Sheboygan North High School (WI)Sheboygan North High School (WI) Raiders999999111111
Orono High SchoolOrono High School Spartans777777111111111111
Pewaukee High SchoolPewaukee High School Varsity131313131313121212121212
Southwest High SchoolSouthwest High School Lakers101010101010222222
Washburn High SchoolWashburn High School Millers111111111111333333
Wayzata High SchoolWayzata High School Navy121212121212444444
White Bear Lake High SchoolWhite Bear Lake High School Bears888888888888

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B12B
Arrowhead High SchoolArrowhead High School Warhawks111111555555
BreckBreck Varsity222222666666
Kettle Moraine High SchoolKettle Moraine High School VARSITY333333777777
MahtomediMahtomedi Zephyrs444444131313131313
Marquette University High SchoolMarquette University High School Hill Toppers555555999999
Minnetonka High SchoolMinnetonka High School Skippers666666101010101010
Sheboygan North High School (WI)Sheboygan North High School (WI) Raiders999999111111
Orono High SchoolOrono High School Spartans777777111111111111
Pewaukee High SchoolPewaukee High School Varsity131313131313121212121212
Southwest High SchoolSouthwest High School Lakers101010101010222222
Washburn High SchoolWashburn High School Millers111111111111333333
Wayzata High SchoolWayzata High School Navy121212121212444444
White Bear Lake High SchoolWhite Bear Lake High School Bears888888888888
School / Team SkipperCrew
Arrowhead High School Arrowhead High School Cole Schweda '23 [1-6, 8]
Charlie Allen '24 [7, 9-12]		 Charlie Allen '24 [1-6, 8]
Cole Schweda '23 [7, 9-12]
Warhawks Ella Schieble '22 [1-2, 9-10]
Jackson Walker '22 [3-8, 11-12]		 Stella Marban '24 [1-4, 9-12]
Ella Schieble '22 [5-8]
Breck Breck William Sweeney '21 Michael Sweeney '24
Varsity Maeve Katics '22 Erin Mcdonagh '24
Kettle Moraine High School Kettle Moraine High School Marissa Tegeder '21 Karina Palmer '23
VARSITY Cole Thompson '24 [1-12] Penelope Whiteside '24 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Cailey Elliott '24 [3-4, 7-8, 11-12]
Mahtomedi Mahtomedi Cole Barre '21 Nick Lorentz '21
Zephyrs Owen Harrod '22 Faith Christensen '21
Marquette University High School Marquette University High School Christian Cushman '21 Henry Ogden '22
Hill Toppers Henry Ackley '24 Patrick Mckenna '23
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Lucia Loosbrock '21 Emma Komis '22
Skippers Greg Bittle '21 Jacob Zils '23
Orono High School Orono High School Seamus Hendrickson '21 Tyra Pranger '21
Spartans Kytalin Hendrickson '22 [1-12] Morgan Reeves '22 [1-4, 9]
Jack (Henry) Strommen '21 [5-8]
Theodore (Teddy) Graham '22 [10-12]
Pewaukee High School Pewaukee High School Carly Kiss '21 Winter Bevan '24
Varsity David Kiss '23 Nathan Kamath '24
Sheboygan North High School (WI) Sheboygan North High School (WI) Jasper Delasanta '22 [1-12] Harsshitha Balachander '23 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Carolyne Van Deventer '23 [3-4, 7-8, 11-12]
Raiders Adam Pickhardt '24 Lauren Bemis '22
Southwest High School Southwest High School Calvin Lamosse '21 [1-7, 10-12]
Sam Fider '22 [8-9]		 Gints Pelecis '21 [1-7, 10-12]
Mason Pirner '21 [8-9]
Lakers James Jagielski '21 Helene Schroeder '22
Washburn High School Washburn High School Alexandre Cholat '22 Elenore Westgard '21
Millers Leo Markus '23 Erik Westgard '21
Wayzata High School Wayzata High School Paige Kurtenbach '23 [1-12] Robert Jones '23 [1-8]
Rafael Zarzosa '23 [9-12]
Navy Alyson Liu '24 [1-12] Rafael Zarzosa '23 [1-8]
Robert Jones '23 [9-12]
White Bear Lake High School White Bear Lake High School No Show No Show
Bears No Show No Show

Conditions — 04/17/2021 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 82%  ·  Pressure 1006.0 hPa

Temperature

39°F
↑ 42°F   ↓ 35°F
Feels like 30°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
9.8 kn
avg  ·  max 11.9 kn
Gusts to 26.6 kn
From NNE (20°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover99% Sunshine0.0 hrs Humidity82% Pressure1006.0 hPa Rain0.03 in Snow0.03 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: N 12 kn · N 10 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Orono/Wayzata: an underdogs’ day (−0.04)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.02 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast −0.02
Actual: a strongly underdogs’ day (−0.39 ± 0.11)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.04 means a rating gap counts about 4% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Orono/Wayzata by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 1 labelled days at Orono/Wayzata, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →