NJISA 2021 Spring Series 3

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Donovan Catholic High School Donovan Catholic High School Griffins 1 7 7 14
2 Toms River North Toms River North Mariners 16 12 28
3 Ranney School Ranney School Panthers 12 25 37
4 Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Colts 1 13 27 40
5 Biotechnology High School Biotechnology High School Nerds 31 16 47
6 Southern Regional High School Southern Regional High School Rams 15 40 55
7 Rumson-Fair Haven Rumson-Fair Haven Bulldogs 37 26 63
8 Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Colts 2 26 40 66
9 Toms River South Toms River South Indians 1 44 30 74
10 Point Pleasant Beach High School Point Pleasant Beach High School Garnett Gulls 36 41 77
11 Chatham High School Chatham High School Cougars 56 35 91
12 Trinity Hall Trinity Hall Monarchs 53 38 91
13 Donovan Catholic High School Donovan Catholic High School Griffins 2 36 57 93
14 Toms River South Toms River South Indians 2 58 36 94
15 Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Colts 3 45 61 106
16 Central Regional High School Central Regional High School Eagles 60 55 115
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 TOT Sailors
Donovan Catholic High School Donovan Catholic High School Griffins 1 1 1 2 3 7 Javier Ojeda '23
Kevin Brooksbank '23
Ranney School Ranney School Panthers 3 4 3 2 12 Brooke Schmelz '21
Ashley Abboud '22
Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Colts 1 2 5 1 5 13 Ryan Ehnot '22
Mitchell Hnatt '24
Southern Regional High School Southern Regional High School Rams 5 2 7 1 15 Bridget Green '21 [1-4]
Alex Klinov '22 [1-2]
Natalie Shaw '23 [3-4]
Toms River North Toms River North Mariners 4 3 5 4 16 Declan Botwinick '21
Evan Harrison '21
Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Colts 2 6 6 8 6 26 Colin Guerrera '22
Connor Feury '22
Biotechnology High School Biotechnology High School Nerds 13 7 4 7 31 Benson Chiles '22
Ronan Downie '22
Point Pleasant Beach High School Point Pleasant Beach High School Garnett Gulls 8 8 10 10 36 No Show
No Show
Donovan Catholic High School Donovan Catholic High School Griffins 2 9 9 9 9 36 Joe Paccione '21
Nora Ciak '23
Rumson-Fair Haven Rumson-Fair Haven Bulldogs 10 10 6 11 37 Sophie Harrington '22
Owen Geohegan '22
Toms River South Toms River South Indians 1 12 12 12 8 44 Sonja Krajewski '22
Trent Morrison '22
Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Colts 3 7 11 14 13 45 Walter Mehl '21
Nicholas Cunha '23
Trinity Hall Trinity Hall Monarchs 14 13 11 15 53 Ella Bilow '22
Caroline Duffy '25
Chatham High School Chatham High School Cougars 11 15 16 14 56 Jamie Lynch '23
Jonathan Field '22
Toms River South Toms River South Indians 2 16 DNF 13 12 58 Stephanie Maulshagen '23
Alex Carvalho '21
Central Regional High School Central Regional High School Eagles 15 14 15 16 60 Owen Desanto '23
Lauren Desanto '25
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 TOT Sailors
Donovan Catholic High School Donovan Catholic High School Griffins 1 2 3 1 1 7 James Kopack '24
Caroline Felser '24
Toms River North Toms River North Mariners 1 1 2 8 12 Everett Botwinick '22
Iliana Vasslides '23
Biotechnology High School Biotechnology High School Nerds 4 2 7 3 16 Gabby Fontana '23 [1-4]
Andrew Pepe '23 [1-2]
Aiden Welch '24 [3-4]
Ranney School Ranney School Panthers 5 8 8 4 25 Alexa Whitman '22 [1-2]
Grace Bray '23 [3-4]
Jack Whitman '23 [1-2]
Tomas Mora '23 [3-4]
Rumson-Fair Haven Rumson-Fair Haven Bulldogs 9 4 4 9 26 Logan Twining '22
Hannah Nitka '25
Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Colts 1 3 6 12 6 27 Noah Kuzloski '23
Andrew Chiles '23
Toms River South Toms River South Indians 1 6 DNF 5 2 30 Ella Demand '24
Kelly Robinson '24
Chatham High School Chatham High School Cougars 13 5 6 11 35 Ryan Mcwalters '21
Keira Press '23
Toms River South Toms River South Indians 2 10 10 9 7 36 Mallory Higham '24
Cali Krean '24
Trinity Hall Trinity Hall Monarchs 8 7 13 10 38 Sydney Gusmer '22 [1-2]
Allison Beisel '24 [3-4]
Monica Regehly '22 [1-2]
Mackenzie Boles '27 [3-4]
Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Colts 2 7 11 10 12 40 Luke Pennisi '24
Andrew Dinger '24
Southern Regional High School Southern Regional High School Rams 12 12 3 13 40 Chloe Witt '23 [1-2]
Kennedy Laureigh '22 [3-4]
Alex Klinov '22 [1-2]
Natalie Shaw '23 [3-4]
Point Pleasant Beach High School Point Pleasant Beach High School Garnett Gulls 11 14 11 5 41 No Show
No Show
Central Regional High School Central Regional High School Eagles 14 13 14 14 55 Leila Cavanaugh '23
Lauren Desanto '25
Donovan Catholic High School Donovan Catholic High School Griffins 2 16 9 DNS 15 57 Sloane Nelson '22
Dan Drennan '24
Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Colts 3 15 15 15 16 61 John Ruane '21 [1-2]
Matthew Wilhelm '24 [3-4]
Martin Horowitz '23 [1-2]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.090+0.09
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2021 (10 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A
Biotechnology High SchoolBiotechnology High School Nerds15151515
Central Regional High SchoolCentral Regional High School Eagles16161616
Chatham High SchoolChatham High School Cougars17171717
Christian Brothers AcademyChristian Brothers Academy Colts 11111
Christian Brothers AcademyChristian Brothers Academy Colts 22222
Christian Brothers AcademyChristian Brothers Academy Colts 33333
Donovan Catholic High SchoolDonovan Catholic High School Griffins 14444
Donovan Catholic High SchoolDonovan Catholic High School Griffins 25555
Point Pleasant Beach High SchoolPoint Pleasant Beach High School Garnett Gulls6666
Ranney SchoolRanney School Panthers7777
Rumson-Fair HavenRumson-Fair Haven Bulldogs9999
Southern Regional High SchoolSouthern Regional High School Rams10101010
Toms River NorthToms River North Mariners11111111
Toms River SouthToms River South Indians 112121212
Toms River SouthToms River South Indians 213131313
Trinity HallTrinity Hall Monarchs14141414

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B
Biotechnology High SchoolBiotechnology High School Nerds15151515
Central Regional High SchoolCentral Regional High School Eagles16161616
Chatham High SchoolChatham High School Cougars17171717
Christian Brothers AcademyChristian Brothers Academy Colts 11111
Christian Brothers AcademyChristian Brothers Academy Colts 22222
Christian Brothers AcademyChristian Brothers Academy Colts 33333
Donovan Catholic High SchoolDonovan Catholic High School Griffins 14444
Donovan Catholic High SchoolDonovan Catholic High School Griffins 25555
Point Pleasant Beach High SchoolPoint Pleasant Beach High School Garnett Gulls6666
Ranney SchoolRanney School Panthers7777
Rumson-Fair HavenRumson-Fair Haven Bulldogs9999
Southern Regional High SchoolSouthern Regional High School Rams10101010
Toms River NorthToms River North Mariners11111111
Toms River SouthToms River South Indians 112121212
Toms River SouthToms River South Indians 213131313
Trinity HallTrinity Hall Monarchs14141414
School / Team SkipperCrew
Biotechnology High School Biotechnology High School Benson Chiles '22 Ronan Downie '22
Nerds Gabby Fontana '23 [1-4] Andrew Pepe '23 [1-2]
Aiden Welch '24 [3-4]
Central Regional High School Central Regional High School Owen Desanto '23 Lauren Desanto '25
Eagles Leila Cavanaugh '23 Lauren Desanto '25
Chatham High School Chatham High School Jamie Lynch '23 Jonathan Field '22
Cougars Ryan Mcwalters '21 Keira Press '23
Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Ryan Ehnot '22 Mitchell Hnatt '24
Colts 1 Noah Kuzloski '23 Andrew Chiles '23
Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Colin Guerrera '22 Connor Feury '22
Colts 2 Luke Pennisi '24 Andrew Dinger '24
Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Walter Mehl '21 Nicholas Cunha '23
Colts 3 John Ruane '21 [1-2]
Matthew Wilhelm '24 [3-4]
Martin Horowitz '23 [1-2]
Donovan Catholic High School Donovan Catholic High School Javier Ojeda '23 Kevin Brooksbank '23
Griffins 1 James Kopack '24 Caroline Felser '24
Donovan Catholic High School Donovan Catholic High School Joe Paccione '21 Nora Ciak '23
Griffins 2 Sloane Nelson '22 Dan Drennan '24
Point Pleasant Beach High School Point Pleasant Beach High School No Show No Show
Garnett Gulls No Show No Show
Ranney School Ranney School Brooke Schmelz '21 Ashley Abboud '22
Panthers Alexa Whitman '22 [1-2]
Grace Bray '23 [3-4]
Jack Whitman '23 [1-2]
Tomas Mora '23 [3-4]
Rumson-Fair Haven Rumson-Fair Haven Sophie Harrington '22 Owen Geohegan '22
Bulldogs Logan Twining '22 Hannah Nitka '25
Southern Regional High School Southern Regional High School Bridget Green '21 [1-4] Alex Klinov '22 [1-2]
Natalie Shaw '23 [3-4]
Rams Chloe Witt '23 [1-2]
Kennedy Laureigh '22 [3-4]
Alex Klinov '22 [1-2]
Natalie Shaw '23 [3-4]
Toms River North Toms River North Declan Botwinick '21 Evan Harrison '21
Mariners Everett Botwinick '22 Iliana Vasslides '23
Toms River South Toms River South Sonja Krajewski '22 Trent Morrison '22
Indians 1 Ella Demand '24 Kelly Robinson '24
Toms River South Toms River South Stephanie Maulshagen '23 Alex Carvalho '21
Indians 2 Mallory Higham '24 Cali Krean '24
Trinity Hall Trinity Hall Ella Bilow '22 Caroline Duffy '25
Monarchs Sydney Gusmer '22 [1-2]
Allison Beisel '24 [3-4]
Monica Regehly '22 [1-2]
Mackenzie Boles '27 [3-4]

Conditions — 04/14/2021 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 75%  ·  Pressure 1016.7 hPa

Temperature

60°F
↑ 63°F   ↓ 50°F
Feels like 57°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
5.8 kn
avg  ·  max 8.0 kn
Gusts to 15.4 kn
From SW (220°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover85% Sunshine6.0 hrs Humidity75% Pressure1016.7 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: W 9 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Southern Regional: a favourites’ day (+0.04)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.01 (an ordinary fleet) · combined forecast +0.06
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.12 ± 0.13)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.04 means a rating gap counts about 4% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Southern Regional by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 9 labelled days at Southern Regional, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →