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Varsity In-house Zarmy

# SchoolTeam A TOT
1 Glenbrook South High School Glenbrook South High School Titans 3 11 11
2 Loyola Academy Loyola Academy Ramblers 21 21
3 Evanston Township HS Evanston Township HS Wildkits 4 24 24
4 Evanston Township HS Evanston Township HS Wildkits 3 38 38
5 Evanston Township HS Evanston Township HS Wildkits 1 40 40
6 Glenbrook South High School Glenbrook South High School Titans 2 46 46
7 Glenbrook South High School Glenbrook South High School Titans 1 64 64
8 Beacon Academy Beacon Academy Trailblazers 1 64 64
9 Evanston Township HS Evanston Township HS Wildkits 5 66 66
10 Beacon Academy Beacon Academy Trailblazers 2 71 71
11 Evanston Township HS Evanston Township HS Wildkits 2 83 83
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
Glenbrook South High School Glenbrook South High School Titans 3 1 2 1 1 1 1 2 2 11 No Show
Tommy Casey '22
Loyola Academy Loyola Academy Ramblers 3 1 2 2 5 2 3 3 21 Lexi Chigas '22
Grace Beard '21
Evanston Township HS Evanston Township HS Wildkits 4 2 3 6 6 2 3 1 1 24 Charlie Herrick '22
Tyler Knohl '22
Evanston Township HS Evanston Township HS Wildkits 3 5 5 5 3 7 5 4 4 38 Bennett Gottesman '23
Jack O'Connor '23
Evanston Township HS Evanston Township HS Wildkits 1 4 4 9 4 3 4 6 6 40 Tim Mooney '21
Saskia Teterycz '21
Glenbrook South High School Glenbrook South High School Titans 2 8 6 3 5 4 6 7 7 46 Jakub Fuja '23
Olivia Chigas '24
Glenbrook South High School Glenbrook South High School Titans 1 6 8 8 8 10 8 8 8 64 No Show
Colin Herbolsheimer '23
Beacon Academy Beacon Academy Trailblazers 1 10 7 10 7 9 11 5 5 64 Lily Brandt '23
Noah Blake '22
Evanston Township HS Evanston Township HS Wildkits 5 9 9 4 9 6 9 10 10 66 Quinn Stevens '23
Finn Mcdaniel '24
Beacon Academy Beacon Academy Trailblazers 2 7 10 7 10 8 7 11 11 71 Poppy Gelman '22
Stella Brown '23
Evanston Township HS Evanston Township HS Wildkits 2 11 11 11 11 11 10 9 9 83 Eva Decastro '24
James Montgomery '22
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.150+0.15
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2021 (13 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A
Beacon AcademyBeacon Academy Trailblazers 155555555
Beacon AcademyBeacon Academy Trailblazers 21212121212121212
Evanston Township HSEvanston Township HS Wildkits 11919191919191919
Evanston Township HSEvanston Township HS Wildkits 21818181818181818
Evanston Township HSEvanston Township HS Wildkits 31717171717171717
Evanston Township HSEvanston Township HS Wildkits 466666666
Glenbrook South High SchoolGlenbrook South High School Titans 12020202020202020
Glenbrook South High SchoolGlenbrook South High School Titans 21414141414141414
Glenbrook South High SchoolGlenbrook South High School Titans 31616161616161616
Loyola AcademyLoyola Academy Ramblers11111111

Conditions — 05/02/2021 (8am–6pm)

🌤️Partly cloudy
Humidity 48%  ·  Pressure 1002.2 hPa

Temperature

77°F
↑ 82°F   ↓ 68°F
Feels like 73°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
14.0 kn
avg  ·  max 16.9 kn
Gusts to 34.8 kn
From SW (228°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover58% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity48% Pressure1002.2 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SW 17 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Beacon Academy/Evanston Township HS/Glenbrook South/Loyola Academy: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.31)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.06 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.37
Actual: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.88 ± 0.27)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.31 means a rating gap counts about 27% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Beacon Academy/Evanston Township HS/Glenbrook South/Loyola Academy by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 8 labelled days at Beacon Academy/Evanston Township HS/Glenbrook South/Loyola Academy, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →