Walter Payton Regatta

# SchoolTeam A TOT
1 St. Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL St. Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL Gold 13 13
2 DePaul College Prep DePaul College Prep Varsity 2 26 26
3 New Trier HS New Trier HS Green 2 28 28
4 Walter Payton College Preparatory High School Walter Payton College Preparatory High School Orange 30 30
5 DePaul College Prep DePaul College Prep Varsity 1 46 46
6 New Trier HS New Trier HS Trevian 1 56 56
7 New Trier HS New Trier HS Blue 63 63
8 Latin School of Chicago Latin School of Chicago Romans 90 90
9 Walter Payton College Preparatory High School Walter Payton College Preparatory High School Grizzlies 93 93
10 St. Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL St. Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL Maroon 95 95
11 New Trier HS New Trier HS Green 1 107 107
12 Walter Payton College Preparatory High School Walter Payton College Preparatory High School Navy 109 109
13 St. Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL St. Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL Wolfpack 112 112
14 New Trier HS New Trier HS Trevian 2 113 113
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 TOT Sailors
St. Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL St. Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL Gold 2 1 1 1 1 1 2 1 3 13 Avery Baldwin '25
Monica Anderson '23
DePaul College Prep DePaul College Prep Varsity 2 3 4 7 2 3 2 1 3 1 26 Charles Gallagher '25
Nathan Moyer '22
New Trier HS New Trier HS Green 2 1 3 2 4 6 3 5 2 2 28 Izzy Rietz '23
Ann Tokoyoda '24
Walter Payton College Preparatory High School Walter Payton College Preparatory High School Orange 4 2 3 3 2 4 3 5 4 30 Harry Wu '24
Rafi Ahmad '24
DePaul College Prep DePaul College Prep Varsity 1 6 5 4 5 4 5 4 6 7 46 Aiden Martin '23
No Show
New Trier HS New Trier HS Trevian 1 5 6 5 7 5 8 7 8 5 56 Noah Sinclair '24
Evan O'Connor '24
New Trier HS New Trier HS Blue 8 7 8 6 8 7 6 4 9 63 Santiago Benes '24
Caden Greco '24
Latin School of Chicago Latin School of Chicago Romans 10 12 13 11 10 9 8 7 10 90 Oliver Gray '25
Henry Ramsey '25
Walter Payton College Preparatory High School Walter Payton College Preparatory High School Grizzlies 11 DNF DNF DNS 7 6 9 9 6 93 Tristan Tucker '22
Sasha Khimyak '24
St. Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL St. Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL Maroon 12 11 11 10 9 10 11 10 11 95 Christopher Sawicz '24
Niklas Swanson '24
New Trier HS New Trier HS Green 1 14 13 12 12 12 DNF 10 11 8 107 Karis Laplante '23
Katja Siebrits '24
Walter Payton College Preparatory High School Walter Payton College Preparatory High School Navy 9 10 10 9 11 DNF DNS DNS DNS 109 Rem Johannknecht '22
Elena Schwartz '24
St. Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL St. Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL Wolfpack 7 9 6 DNS DNF DNS DNS DNS DNS 112 Jack Duffy '23
Thomas Snyder '23
New Trier HS New Trier HS Trevian 2 13 8 9 8 DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 113 Kevin Hu '21
Amit Patel '21
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.080+0.08
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2021 (2 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A
DePaul College PrepDePaul College Prep Varsity 1111111111
DePaul College PrepDePaul College Prep Varsity 2222222222
Latin School of ChicagoLatin School of Chicago Romans333333333
New Trier HSNew Trier HS Blue666666666
New Trier HSNew Trier HS Green 1555555555
New Trier HSNew Trier HS Green 2888888888
New Trier HSNew Trier HS Trevian 1444444444
New Trier HSNew Trier HS Trevian 2777777777
St. Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, ILSt. Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL Gold101010101010101010
St. Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, ILSt. Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL Maroon111111111111111111
St. Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, ILSt. Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL Wolfpack999999999
Walter Payton College Preparatory High SchoolWalter Payton College Preparatory High School Grizzlies121212121212121212
Walter Payton College Preparatory High SchoolWalter Payton College Preparatory High School Navy131313131313131313
Walter Payton College Preparatory High SchoolWalter Payton College Preparatory High School Orange141414141414141414

Conditions — 04/17/2021 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 67%  ·  Pressure 1015.4 hPa

Temperature

45°F
↑ 48°F   ↓ 42°F
Feels like 38°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
8.9 kn
avg  ·  max 10.3 kn
Gusts to 19.0 kn
From NNE (31°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover88% Sunshine10.9 hrs Humidity67% Pressure1015.4 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: N 12 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Chicago Yacht Club: a favourites’ day (+0.07)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.15 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.21
Actual: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.49 ± 0.18)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.07 means a rating gap counts about 6% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Chicago Yacht Club by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 8 labelled days at Chicago Yacht Club, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →