NJISA 2022 Spring Series 4

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Donovan Catholic High School Donovan Catholic High School Griffins 1 16 4 20
2 Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Colts 1 13 15 28
3 Toms River North Toms River North Mariners 10 22 32
4 Biotechnology High School Biotechnology High School Nerds 24 17 41
5 Toms River South Toms River South Indians 1 24 22 46
6 Southern Regional High School Southern Regional High School Rams 18 29 47
7 Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Colts 3 20 33 53
8 Ranney School Ranney School Panthers 1 34 27 61
9 Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Colts 2 29 33 62
10 Toms River South Toms River South Indians 2 40 24 64
11 Trinity Hall Trinity Hall Monarchs 42 45 87
12 Ranney School Ranney School Panthers 2 42 47 89
13 Donovan Catholic High School Donovan Catholic High School Griffins 2 52 46 98
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 TOT Sailors
Toms River North Toms River North Mariners 6 2 1 1 10 Everett Botwinick '22
Lindsay Walsh '23
Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Colts 1 1 6 4 2 13 Ryan Ehnot '22
Kyle Lombardino '25
Donovan Catholic High School Donovan Catholic High School Griffins 1 8 1 2 5 16 James Kopack '24
Caroline Felser '24
Southern Regional High School Southern Regional High School Rams 5 4 3 6 18 Turner Ryon '25
Natalie Shaw '23
Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Colts 3 9 3 5 3 20 Noah Kuzloski '23
Donald Johnston '25
Biotechnology High School Biotechnology High School Nerds 3 5 9 7 24 Benson Chiles '22
Aiden Welch '24
Toms River South Toms River South Indians 1 4 8 8 4 24 Ella Demand '24
Ava Mcnabb '24
Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Colts 2 2 10 7 10 29 Colin Guerrera '22
Nicholas Cunha '23
Ranney School Ranney School Panthers 1 7 7 12 8 34 Grace Bray '23
Katelyn Weiss '25
Toms River South Toms River South Indians 2 11 9 11 9 40 Mallory Higham '24
Sophia Delucca '24
Trinity Hall Trinity Hall Monarchs 10 11 10 11 42 Sydney Gusmer '22 [1-4]
Riley Mueller '27 [1-2]
Madeline Castano '28 [3-4]
Ranney School Ranney School Panthers 2 12 12 6 12 42 Jack Whitman '23
Tomas Mora '23
Donovan Catholic High School Donovan Catholic High School Griffins 2 13 13 13 13 52 Logan Connolly '24
Jeffrey Jackson '24
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 TOT Sailors
Donovan Catholic High School Donovan Catholic High School Griffins 1 1 1 1 1 4 Kevin Brooksbank '23
Nora Ciak '23
Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Colts 1 2 4 7 2 15 Bryce Vitiello '23
Connor Feury '22
Biotechnology High School Biotechnology High School Nerds 6 2 2 7 17 Gabby Fontana '23
Andrew Pepe '23
Toms River North Toms River North Mariners 3 5 4 10 22 Iliana Vasslides '23
Stephanie Maulshagen '23
Toms River South Toms River South Indians 1 9 3 5 5 22 Sonja Krajewski '22
Cali Krean '24
Toms River South Toms River South Indians 2 8 7 3 6 24 Jack Wasik '25
Mollie Smith '25
Ranney School Ranney School Panthers 1 5 11 8 3 27 Alexandria Forrest '22
Ashley Abboud '22
Southern Regional High School Southern Regional High School Rams 11 8 6 4 29 Erin Little '24
Noah Tallman '25
Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Colts 2 4 6 10 13 33 Mitchell Hnatt '24
Luke Pennisi '24
Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Colts 3 7 9 9 8 33 Andrew Chiles '23
Bennett Kronstedt '25
Trinity Hall Trinity Hall Monarchs 12 12 12 9 45 Caroline Duffy '25 [1-2]
Allison Beisel '24 [3-4]
Vanessa Mccartin '26 [1-2]
Donovan Catholic High School Donovan Catholic High School Griffins 2 13 10 11 12 46 Richard Mcgowan '25
Dan Drennan '24
Ranney School Ranney School Panthers 2 10 13 13 11 47 Lewis Forrest '25
Sophia Behar '25
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.120+0.12
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2021 (7 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A
Biotechnology High SchoolBiotechnology High School Nerds8888
Christian Brothers AcademyChristian Brothers Academy Colts 19999
Christian Brothers AcademyChristian Brothers Academy Colts 210101010
Christian Brothers AcademyChristian Brothers Academy Colts 311111111
Donovan Catholic High SchoolDonovan Catholic High School Griffins 112121212
Donovan Catholic High SchoolDonovan Catholic High School Griffins 213131313
Ranney SchoolRanney School Panthers 114141414
Ranney SchoolRanney School Panthers 27777
Southern Regional High SchoolSouthern Regional High School Rams15151515
Toms River NorthToms River North Mariners17171717
Toms River SouthToms River South Indians 118181818
Toms River SouthToms River South Indians 219191919
Trinity HallTrinity Hall Monarchs20202020

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B
Biotechnology High SchoolBiotechnology High School Nerds8888
Christian Brothers AcademyChristian Brothers Academy Colts 19999
Christian Brothers AcademyChristian Brothers Academy Colts 210101010
Christian Brothers AcademyChristian Brothers Academy Colts 311111111
Donovan Catholic High SchoolDonovan Catholic High School Griffins 112121212
Donovan Catholic High SchoolDonovan Catholic High School Griffins 213131313
Ranney SchoolRanney School Panthers 114141414
Ranney SchoolRanney School Panthers 27777
Southern Regional High SchoolSouthern Regional High School Rams15151515
Toms River NorthToms River North Mariners17171717
Toms River SouthToms River South Indians 118181818
Toms River SouthToms River South Indians 219191919
Trinity HallTrinity Hall Monarchs20202020

Conditions — 04/13/2022 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 74%  ·  Pressure 1015.6 hPa

Temperature

63°F
↑ 68°F   ↓ 54°F
Feels like 62°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
7.0 kn
avg  ·  max 9.2 kn
Gusts to 18.3 kn
From SE (146°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover66% Sunshine10.0 hrs Humidity74% Pressure1015.6 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: S 6 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Ranney: a typical day (+0.00)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment −0.01 (an ordinary fleet) · combined forecast −0.00
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.15 ± 0.16)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.00 means a rating gap counts about 1% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Ranney by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 5 labelled days at Ranney, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →