Ohio MISSA Mallory Pre-qualifier

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 St. Ignatius HS - Cleveland, OH St. Ignatius HS - Cleveland, OH Wildcats 13 12 25
2 Bay High School Bay High School Rockets 15 11 26
3 Rocky River High School Rocky River High School Pirates 25 21 46
4 St. Edward High School St. Edward High School Eagles 26 33 59
5 Olentangy Liberty High School Olentangy Liberty High School Patriots 26 33 59
6 Westerville North High School Westerville North High School Varsity 44 37 81
7 Upper Arlington Upper Arlington Bears 50 54 104
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 TOT Sailors
St. Ignatius HS - Cleveland, OH St. Ignatius HS - Cleveland, OH Wildcats 1 3 1 1 2 2 3 13 Eric Pohl '22 [1-7]
Gavin Hirz '22 [1-2, 5-6]
Charles Pohl '22 [3-4, 7]
Bay High School Bay High School Rockets 2 1 4 2 1 4 1 15 Jack Vanderhorst '22 [1-7]
Ella Adelman '22 [1-2, 7]
James Kelly '24 [3-6]
Rocky River High School Rocky River High School Pirates 3 2 5 4 3 3 5 25 Buck Rathbun '24
Reese Levinson '25
St. Edward High School St. Edward High School Eagles 4 4 3 3 5 5 2 26 Robbie Keyser '22
Dillon Crane '25
Olentangy Liberty High School Olentangy Liberty High School Patriots 5 5 2 5 4 1 4 26 Emma Friedauer '22
Connor Coate '25
Westerville North High School Westerville North High School Varsity 7 7 6 6 6 6 6 44 Fisher Howe '22
Sam Winkler '24
Upper Arlington Upper Arlington Bears 6 6 7 7 DNS DNS DNS 50 Jenna Drobny '23
Max Son '23
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 TOT Sailors
Bay High School Bay High School Rockets 1 2 1 1 1 2 3 11 Jonathan Mack '22 [1-7]
Annika Vanderhorst '23 [1-2, 5-6]
Kellie Keane '24 [3-4]
Sadie Young '25 [7]
St. Ignatius HS - Cleveland, OH St. Ignatius HS - Cleveland, OH Wildcats 2 1 2 3 2 1 1 12 Adam Starck '25 [1-7]
Brady Mayer '25 [1-2]
Joe Lavelle '23 [3-7]
Rocky River High School Rocky River High School Pirates 3 3 3 2 4 4 2 21 Jacob Myers '24
Nora Sheridan '23
St. Edward High School St. Edward High School Eagles 4 5 4 5 6 5 4 33 Max Movius '24
Brendan Callahan '25
Olentangy Liberty High School Olentangy Liberty High School Patriots 5 4 6 6 3 3 6 33 Brady Smith '22
Grant Leopold '25
Westerville North High School Westerville North High School Varsity 6 6 5 4 5 6 5 37 Noah Olsen '22
Nick Hartshorn '25
Upper Arlington Upper Arlington Bears 7 7 DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 54 Elena Fernandez '23
Jacob Samerin '23
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.090+0.09
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2022 (1 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A
Bay High SchoolBay High School Rockets1144668
Olentangy Liberty High SchoolOlentangy Liberty High School Patriots2255771
Rocky River High SchoolRocky River High School Pirates4466882
St. Edward High SchoolSt. Edward High School Eagles5577114
St. Ignatius HS - Cleveland, OHSt. Ignatius HS - Cleveland, OH Wildcats6688225
Upper ArlingtonUpper Arlington Bears7711446
Westerville North High SchoolWesterville North High School Varsity8822557

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B
Bay High SchoolBay High School Rockets2255771
Olentangy Liberty High SchoolOlentangy Liberty High School Patriots4466882
Rocky River High SchoolRocky River High School Pirates5577114
St. Edward High SchoolSt. Edward High School Eagles6688225
St. Ignatius HS - Cleveland, OHSt. Ignatius HS - Cleveland, OH Wildcats7711446
Upper ArlingtonUpper Arlington Bears8822557
Westerville North High SchoolWesterville North High School Varsity1144668
School / Team SkipperCrew
Bay High School Bay High School Jack Vanderhorst '22 [1-7] Ella Adelman '22 [1-2, 7]
James Kelly '24 [3-6]
Rockets Jonathan Mack '22 [1-7] Annika Vanderhorst '23 [1-2, 5-6]
Kellie Keane '24 [3-4]
Sadie Young '25 [7]
Olentangy Liberty High School Olentangy Liberty High School Emma Friedauer '22 Connor Coate '25
Patriots Brady Smith '22 Grant Leopold '25
Rocky River High School Rocky River High School Buck Rathbun '24 Reese Levinson '25
Pirates Jacob Myers '24 Nora Sheridan '23
St. Edward High School St. Edward High School Robbie Keyser '22 Dillon Crane '25
Eagles Max Movius '24 Brendan Callahan '25
St. Ignatius HS - Cleveland, OH St. Ignatius HS - Cleveland, OH Eric Pohl '22 [1-7] Gavin Hirz '22 [1-2, 5-6]
Charles Pohl '22 [3-4, 7]
Wildcats Adam Starck '25 [1-7] Brady Mayer '25 [1-2]
Joe Lavelle '23 [3-7]
Upper Arlington Upper Arlington Jenna Drobny '23 Max Son '23
Bears Elena Fernandez '23 Jacob Samerin '23
Westerville North High School Westerville North High School Fisher Howe '22 Sam Winkler '24
Varsity Noah Olsen '22 Nick Hartshorn '25

Conditions — 04/09/2022 (8am–6pm)

🌨️Moderate snow
Humidity 81%  ·  Pressure 1009.6 hPa

Temperature

38°F
↑ 42°F   ↓ 36°F
Feels like 31°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
7.8 kn
avg  ·  max 12.8 kn
Gusts to 25.7 kn
From W (274°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover95% Sunshine3.0 hrs Humidity81% Pressure1009.6 hPa Rain0.12 in Snow0.69 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: W 10 kn · SW 7 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Olentangy Liberty/Westerville North: an underdogs’ day (−0.02)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.05 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.03
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.04 ± 0.18)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.02 means a rating gap counts about 2% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Olentangy Liberty/Westerville North by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (no labelled days at Olentangy Liberty/Westerville North: the all-venue pattern is shown).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →