PCISA Gaucho Regatta - Gold

HostSanta Barbara
Date03/12/2022
TypeIn-District
BoatCFJ
Scoring2 Divisions

#	School	Team	A	B	TOT
1	Mater Dei High School	MONARCHS 1	43	28	71
2	Mater Dei High School	MONARCHS 2	38	37	75
3	Santa Barbara High School	Dons	37	54	91
4	Point Loma High School	Pointers 3	53	39	92
5	Point Loma High School	Pointers 2	54	40	94
6	San Marcos High School	Knights	50	53	103
7	Newport Harbor High School	Sailors	48	69	117
8	Corona del Mar High School	Sea Kings 1	66	54	120
9	Point Loma High School	Pointers 1	62	59	121
10	Dos Pueblos	Chargers	59	65	124
11	Parker	Parker 1	42	103	145
12	Palos Verdes High School	Sea Kings	60	100	160
13	Redwood High School	Giants	97	80	177
14	Coronado Islanders	Nado	93	90	183
15	Corona del Mar High School	Sea Kings 2	131	55	186
16	Mission Bay High School	Buccaneer	118	75	193
17	Cathedral Catholic High School	Dons	84	131	215
18	Pacific Palisades Charter High School	Pacific Palisades Ch	105	114	219
19	Laguna Blanca School	Varsity	106	116	222
20	Parker	Parker 2	124	105	229

School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	R6	R7	TOT	Sailors
Santa Barbara High School	Dons	1	3	9	15	1	5	3	37	Ryan Satterberg '22 Crue Ziskind '25
Mater Dei High School	MONARCHS 2	7	9	1	14	2	1	4	38	Chase Decker '24 Ashtyn Tierney '24
Parker	Parker 1	5	12	2	10	3	2	8	42	Peter Joslin '22 [1-7] Dominic Ciccimaro '25 [1-2, 5-7] Kate Joslin '24 [3-4]
Mater Dei High School	MONARCHS 1	2	7	13	4	7	9	1	43	Morgan Pinckney '23 [1-7] Kennedy Leehealey '22 [1-4] Vera Allen '23 [5-7]
Newport Harbor High School	Sailors	3	1	4	2	12	10	16	48	Ethan Simpson '23 [1-4] Jack Roman '22 [5-6] Conrad Cook '25 [7] Shay Wood '23 [1-6] Alegra Morelli '23 [7]
San Marcos High School	Knights	4	2	15	1	5	14	9	50	Blake Behrens '23 Teo Lee '26
Point Loma High School	Pointers 3	11	10	3	7	4	12	6	53	Noah Nyenhuis '23 Maggie Fleming '23
Point Loma High School	Pointers 2	10	6	6	8	11	6	7	54	Calvin Schmid '22 Cam Spriggs '23
Dos Pueblos	Chargers	8	4	17	3	10	3	14	59	Oliver Stokke '22 Catalina Matlock-Klein '23
Palos Verdes High School	Sea Kings	14	11	7	5	6	7	10	60	Noah Stapelton '25 Owen Cuyler '24
Point Loma High School	Pointers 1	6	13	16	12	9	4	2	62	Peter Busch '22 Preston Miller '24
Corona del Mar High School	Sea Kings 1	9	5	10	13	8	16	5	66	Dylan Sih '24 Sophia Pearce '22
Cathedral Catholic High School	Dons	12	14	5	6	16	19	12	84	Claudia Arriaga '23 Avery Fretwell '23
Coronado Islanders	Nado	13	8	12	16	13	18	13	93	Tommy Rudowicz '24 [1-4, 7] Isabella Loiselle '24 [5-6] Stella Taherian '23 [1-4, 7]
Redwood High School	Giants	16	16	8	17	14	15	11	97	Connor Bennett '22 Katherine Norris '22
Pacific Palisades Charter High School	Pacific Palisades Ch	20	19	14	11	15	11	15	105	Wills Stratton '25 Oliver '27
Laguna Blanca School	Varsity	19	17	11	9	19	13	18	106	Hudson Mayfield '23 John Mayfield '25
Mission Bay High School	Buccaneer	15	20	20	20	18	8	17	118	Sarah Ozaki '25 [1-7] Mia Bohlin '24 [1-2, 5-6] Adelaide Hall '23 [3-4, 7]
Parker	Parker 2	17	18	18	18	17	17	19	124	Shea Mcgrath '23 Samantha Katz '24
Corona del Mar High School	Sea Kings 2	18	15	19	19	20	20	20	131	Connor Chung '22 [1-7] Claire Rosene '23 [1-4] Isabella Clark '25 [5-7]

School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	R6	R7	TOT	Sailors
Mater Dei High School	MONARCHS 1	7	3	9	2	2	4	1	28	Reade Decker '23 [1-7] Sophia Mulvania '22 [1-2, 5-7] Damien Bocan '23 [3-4]
Mater Dei High School	MONARCHS 2	9	1	6	11	1	6	3	37	Tate Christopher '25 Elizabeth Struve '24
Point Loma High School	Pointers 3	2	7	3	1	12	12	2	39	Kelly Holhus '23 Skye Terrell '25
Point Loma High School	Pointers 2	3	6	4	6	7	10	4	40	Harrison Strom '24 Samantha Gardner '23
San Marcos High School	Knights	13	8	11	4	4	3	10	53	Carly Kieding '25 Hope Campbell '24
Corona del Mar High School	Sea Kings 1	1	2	14	12	8	8	9	54	Tyler Wood '22 Ashley Highland '23
Santa Barbara High School	Dons	5	4	16	5	3	13	8	54	Jonathon Seawards '22 Magne Henriques '24
Corona del Mar High School	Sea Kings 2	4	5	10	9	19	2	6	55	Piper Blackband '24 Taylor Bartell '24
Point Loma High School	Pointers 1	10	10	7	7	13	1	11	59	Ian Nyenhuis '25 Jonah Wozniak '25
Dos Pueblos	Chargers	15	BKD	5	8	14	9	5	65	Zoey Ziskind '23 Bodhi Harper '24
Newport Harbor High School	Sailors	11	11	2	3	9	17	16	69	Sophia Devling '22 [1-7] Elsa Wiley '23 [1-2] Dillion Garcia '23 [3-4] Shay Wood '23 [5-7]
Mission Bay High School	Buccaneer	12	13	1	16	11	7	15	75	Kaden Miller '25 [1-7] Sydney Piquilloud '23 [1-4] Alister Muto '25 [5-7]
Redwood High School	Giants	8	14	12	14	10	15	7	80	Cooper Smith '22 [1-2, 5-6] Hailey Thompson '23 [3-4, 7] Hannah Sellers '22 [1-6] Katherine Norris '22 [7]
Coronado Islanders	Nado	6	17	8	10	18	14	17	90	Lina Carper '23 [1-4, 7] Max Olson '24 [5-6] Kristin Hawkin '24 [1-4, 7]
Palos Verdes High School	Sea Kings	20	18	20	18	5	5	14	100	Chris Salas '22 [1-4] Reddin Kehrli '23 [5-7] Ian Thompsen '22 [1-4] Sydney Baker '22 [5-7]
Parker	Parker 1	14	9	15	17	17	18	13	103	Ava Gustafson '24 Fenja Bahrenburg '25
Parker	Parker 2	18	15	13	15	16	16	12	105	Joey Richardson '24 Noelle Yuen '25
Pacific Palisades Charter High School	Pacific Palisades Ch	19	19	19	20	6	11	20	114	Catalina Brody '24 Katelyn Chang '27
Laguna Blanca School	Varsity	17	16	18	13	15	19	18	116	Myles Hazen '23 Jack Andrews '23
Cathedral Catholic High School	Dons	16	20	17	19	20	20	19	131	Alejandra Ternero '23 [1-2] Max Sellay '25 [3-7] Kim Butler '23 [1-2] Alejandra Ternero '23 [3-7]

Boat Speed Analyzer

SlowExpected boat effectFast

−0.140+0.14

Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2022 (5 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team	1A	2A	3A	4A	5A	6A	7A
Cathedral Catholic High School Dons	1	1	3	3	5	5	7
Corona del Mar High School Sea Kings 1	2	2	20	20	18	18	16
Corona del Mar High School Sea Kings 2	3	3	5	5	7	7	9
Coronado Islanders Nado	4	4	2	2	20	20	18
Dos Pueblos Chargers	5	5	7	7	9	9	11
Parker Parker 1	13	13	15	15	17	17	19
Parker Parker 2	14	14	12	12	10	10	8
Laguna Blanca School Varsity	6	6	4	4	2	2	20
Mater Dei High School MONARCHS 1	7	7	9	9	11	11	13
Mater Dei High School MONARCHS 2	8	8	6	6	4	4	2
Mission Bay High School Buccaneer	9	9	11	11	13	13	15
Newport Harbor High School Sailors	10	10	8	8	6	6	4
Pacific Palisades Charter High School Pacific Palisades Ch	11	11	13	13	15	15	17
Palos Verdes High School Sea Kings	12	12	10	10	8	8	6
Point Loma High School Pointers 1	15	15	17	17	19	19	1
Point Loma High School Pointers 2	16	16	14	14	12	12	10
Point Loma High School Pointers 3	17	17	19	19	1	1	3
Redwood High School Giants	18	18	16	16	14	14	12
San Marcos High School Knights	19	19	1	1	3	3	5
Santa Barbara High School Dons	20	20	18	18	16	16	14

Division B

Team	1B	2B	3B	4B	5B	6B	7B
Cathedral Catholic High School Dons	2	2	4	4	6	6	8
Corona del Mar High School Sea Kings 1	1	1	19	19	17	17	15
Corona del Mar High School Sea Kings 2	4	4	6	6	8	8	10
Coronado Islanders Nado	3	3	1	1	19	19	17
Dos Pueblos Chargers	6	6	8	8	10	10	12
Parker Parker 1	14	14	16	16	18	18	20
Parker Parker 2	13	13	11	11	9	9	7
Laguna Blanca School Varsity	5	5	3	3	1	1	19
Mater Dei High School MONARCHS 1	8	8	10	10	12	12	14
Mater Dei High School MONARCHS 2	7	7	5	5	3	3	1
Mission Bay High School Buccaneer	10	10	12	12	14	14	16
Newport Harbor High School Sailors	9	9	7	7	5	5	3
Pacific Palisades Charter High School Pacific Palisades Ch	12	12	14	14	16	16	18
Palos Verdes High School Sea Kings	11	11	9	9	7	7	5
Point Loma High School Pointers 1	16	16	18	18	20	20	2
Point Loma High School Pointers 2	15	15	13	13	11	11	9
Point Loma High School Pointers 3	18	18	20	20	2	2	4
Redwood High School Giants	17	17	15	15	13	13	11
San Marcos High School Knights	20	20	2	2	4	4	6
Santa Barbara High School Dons	19	19	17	17	15	15	13

School / Team	Skipper	Crew
Cathedral Catholic High School	Claudia Arriaga '23	Avery Fretwell '23
Dons	Alejandra Ternero '23 [1-2] Max Sellay '25 [3-7]	Kim Butler '23 [1-2] Alejandra Ternero '23 [3-7]
Corona del Mar High School	Dylan Sih '24	Sophia Pearce '22
Sea Kings 1	Tyler Wood '22	Ashley Highland '23
Corona del Mar High School	Connor Chung '22 [1-7]	Claire Rosene '23 [1-4] Isabella Clark '25 [5-7]
Sea Kings 2	Piper Blackband '24	Taylor Bartell '24
Coronado Islanders	Tommy Rudowicz '24 [1-4, 7] Isabella Loiselle '24 [5-6]	Stella Taherian '23 [1-4, 7]
Nado	Lina Carper '23 [1-4, 7] Max Olson '24 [5-6]	Kristin Hawkin '24 [1-4, 7]
Dos Pueblos	Oliver Stokke '22	Catalina Matlock-Klein '23
Chargers	Zoey Ziskind '23	Bodhi Harper '24
Laguna Blanca School	Hudson Mayfield '23	John Mayfield '25
Varsity	Myles Hazen '23	Jack Andrews '23
Mater Dei High School	Morgan Pinckney '23 [1-7]	Kennedy Leehealey '22 [1-4] Vera Allen '23 [5-7]
MONARCHS 1	Reade Decker '23 [1-7]	Sophia Mulvania '22 [1-2, 5-7] Damien Bocan '23 [3-4]
Mater Dei High School	Chase Decker '24	Ashtyn Tierney '24
MONARCHS 2	Tate Christopher '25	Elizabeth Struve '24
Mission Bay High School	Sarah Ozaki '25 [1-7]	Mia Bohlin '24 [1-2, 5-6] Adelaide Hall '23 [3-4, 7]
Buccaneer	Kaden Miller '25 [1-7]	Sydney Piquilloud '23 [1-4] Alister Muto '25 [5-7]
Newport Harbor High School	Ethan Simpson '23 [1-4] Jack Roman '22 [5-6] Conrad Cook '25 [7]	Shay Wood '23 [1-6] Alegra Morelli '23 [7]
Sailors	Sophia Devling '22 [1-7]	Elsa Wiley '23 [1-2] Dillion Garcia '23 [3-4] Shay Wood '23 [5-7]
Pacific Palisades Charter High School	Wills Stratton '25	Oliver '27
Pacific Palisades Ch	Catalina Brody '24	Katelyn Chang '27
Palos Verdes High School	Noah Stapelton '25	Owen Cuyler '24
Sea Kings	Chris Salas '22 [1-4] Reddin Kehrli '23 [5-7]	Ian Thompsen '22 [1-4] Sydney Baker '22 [5-7]
Parker	Peter Joslin '22 [1-7]	Dominic Ciccimaro '25 [1-2, 5-7] Kate Joslin '24 [3-4]
Parker 1	Ava Gustafson '24	Fenja Bahrenburg '25
Parker	Shea Mcgrath '23	Samantha Katz '24
Parker 2	Joey Richardson '24	Noelle Yuen '25
Point Loma High School	Peter Busch '22	Preston Miller '24
Pointers 1	Ian Nyenhuis '25	Jonah Wozniak '25
Point Loma High School	Calvin Schmid '22	Cam Spriggs '23
Pointers 2	Harrison Strom '24	Samantha Gardner '23
Point Loma High School	Noah Nyenhuis '23	Maggie Fleming '23
Pointers 3	Kelly Holhus '23	Skye Terrell '25
Redwood High School	Connor Bennett '22	Katherine Norris '22
Giants	Cooper Smith '22 [1-2, 5-6] Hailey Thompson '23 [3-4, 7]	Hannah Sellers '22 [1-6] Katherine Norris '22 [7]
San Marcos High School	Blake Behrens '23	Teo Lee '26
Knights	Carly Kieding '25	Hope Campbell '24
Santa Barbara High School	Ryan Satterberg '22	Crue Ziskind '25
Dons	Jonathon Seawards '22	Magne Henriques '24

Conditions — 03/12/2022 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky

Humidity 32% · Pressure 1021.8 hPa

Temperature

68°F

↑ 73°F ↓ 49°F

Feels like 65°F

Wind

● from ▲ toward

3.1 kn

avg · max 5.0 kn

Gusts to 17.9 kn

From SSW (197°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover0% Sunshine10.7 hrs Humidity32% Pressure1021.8 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: W 13 kn · W 8 kn* (*weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)

In this breeze at Santa Barbara: a favourites’ day (+0.02)

Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.

Fleet adjustment −0.12 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast −0.09

Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.09 ± 0.09)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.02 means a rating gap counts about 2% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Santa Barbara by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 8 labelled days at Santa Barbara, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

What a rating point is worthA one-point edge is a 73% chance to beat another boat in a race; two points is 88%.
Should the best sailor sail A?Add your two skippers’ ratings and compare with the field; above it the better skipper belongs in A.
Are the boats even?Boats differ by about 0.3 places a race; fleets are uneven from day one.
Which venues get orderly in a breeze?Some venues get orderly when it blows, a few get messier; the fleet comes first.

All notes →

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