South Points 7 Varsity

HostVero Beach
Date03/19/2022
TypeIn-District
BoatC420
Scoring2 Divisions

#	School	Team	A	B	TOT
1	Ransom Everglades School	Raiders	21	19	40
2	Gulliver Preparatory School	Raiders	31	12	43
3	St. Thomas Aquinas High School	Raiders	28	32	60
4	Immaculata La Salle High School	Royal Lions	31	35	66
5	H. B. Plant High School	Panthers	43	33	76
6	The Pine School	Knights	26	52	78
7	Shorecrest Preparatory School	Chargers	39	45	84
8	St. Petersburg High School	Green Devils	59	34	93
9	Jensen Beach High School	Falcons	62	63	125
10	Naples High School	Golden Eagles	80	69	149
11	South Fork High School	SF BULLDOGS	73	85	158
12	Martin County High School	Tigers	90	72	162
13	Falcons	Falcons	75 MRP	106 MRP	181 MRP

School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	R6	R7	TOT	Sailors
Ransom Everglades School	Raiders	9	2	2	3	1	1	3	21	Stephan Baker '22 Christine Keedy-Brown '24
The Pine School	Knights	1	4	5	5	6	4	1	26	Peter Foley '22 Michael Blotnick '23
St. Thomas Aquinas High School	Raiders	4	3	3	2	3	7	6	28	Jack Redmond '22 [1-7] Ava Meshel '24 [1-2] Kj Hill '25 [3-7]
Immaculata La Salle High School	Royal Lions	2	10	4	4	5	2	4	31	Mitchell Callahan '22 [1-7] Caroline Caudron '23 [1-4] Brianna Ross '22 [5-7]
Gulliver Preparatory School	Raiders	OCS	6	1	1	4	3	2	31	Cort Snyder '23 Dante Garcia '24
Shorecrest Preparatory School	Chargers	3	7	8	6	2	6	7	39	Guthrie Braun '22 [1-7] Bella Testa '23 [1-4] Ainsley Braun '25 [5-7]
H. B. Plant High School	Panthers	8	1	6	10	8	5	5	43	Garrett Brooks '22 Elliot Francola '23
St. Petersburg High School	Green Devils	7	9	9	7	9	9	9	59	Bella Shakespeare '23 Zach '23
Jensen Beach High School	Falcons	6	5	11	9	11	10	10	62	William Kulas '24 Kaitlin Eaton '23
South Fork High School	SF BULLDOGS	11	8	10	11	10	12	11	73	Rylan Morris '24 Lexi Trimble '24
Falcons	Falcons	5	12	7	8	7	8	8	75 MRP
Naples High School	Golden Eagles	10	11	12	12	12	11	12	80	Kamila Murray '30 [1-2, 5-7] Maia Musial '22 [3-4] Maia Musial '22 [1-2] Keilan Keith '22 [3-7]
Martin County High School	Tigers	12	13	13	13	13	13	13	90	Heidi Weiksnar '23 Stevan Weiss '23

School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	R6	R7	TOT	Sailors
Gulliver Preparatory School	Raiders	2	3	1	1	1	2	2	12	Leo Seuss '23 Jonas Carvalho '23
Ransom Everglades School	Raiders	1	1	2	2	7	5	1	19	Griggs Diemar '25 [1-4] Emery Diemar '24 [5-7] Eva Gonzalez '22 [1-2, 5-7] David Dubovy '22 [3-4]
St. Thomas Aquinas High School	Raiders	8	2	6	6	2	4	4	32	Mary (Lucy) Meagher '23 Kevin Gosselin '23
H. B. Plant High School	Panthers	4	4	5	3	3	8	6	33	Reid Nelson '23 Ian Richardson '25
St. Petersburg High School	Green Devils	10	5	3	5	5	1	5	34	Sidney Moyer '23 Travis Brackin '22
Immaculata La Salle High School	Royal Lions	5	6	7	7	4	3	3	35	Danny Rianno '23 [1-2, 5-7] Umi Noritake '24 [3-4] Brianna Ross '22 [1-2, 5-7] Jadin Gonzalez '24 [3-4]
Shorecrest Preparatory School	Chargers	7	10	4	4	6	7	7	45	Kate Danielson '24 [1-2] Ethan Danielson '22 [3-7] Rosie Simpson '25 [1-2] Kate Danielson '24 [3-7]
The Pine School	Knights	3	11	8	8	8	6	8	52	Audrey Foley '24 Tanner Spurlin '23
Jensen Beach High School	Falcons	6	8	9	10	12	9	9	63	Elizabeth Wire '24 Sophia Pacheco '26
Naples High School	Golden Eagles	9	9	11	9	9	11	11	69	Carson Page '23 Conner Bricco '22
Martin County High School	Tigers	11	7	10	12	10	10	12	72	David Wedde '27 Kyle Weiksnar '25
South Fork High School	SF BULLDOGS	13	12	12	11	11	13	13	85	Daphne Dalton '24 Savannah Kautz '25
Falcons	Falcons	12	13	13	13	13	12	10	106 MRP

Boat Speed Analyzer

SlowExpected boat effectFast

−0.110+0.11

Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2020 (3 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team	1A	2A	3A	4A	5A	6A	7A
Gulliver Preparatory School Raiders	1	1	1	1	1	1	1
Immaculata La Salle High School Royal Lions	3	3	3	3	3	3	3
Jensen Beach High School Falcons	4	4	4	4	4	4	4
Martin County High School Tigers	5	5	5	5	5	5	5
Naples High School Golden Eagles	6	6	6	6	6	6	6
Falcons Falcons	7	7	7	7	7	7	7
H. B. Plant High School Panthers	2	2	2	2	2	2	2
Ransom Everglades School Raiders	8	8	8	8	8	8	8
St. Thomas Aquinas High School Raiders	12	12	12	12	12	12	12
Shorecrest Preparatory School Chargers	9	9	9	9	9	9	9
South Fork High School SF BULLDOGS	10	10	10	10	10	10	10
St. Petersburg High School Green Devils	11	11	11	11	11	11	11
The Pine School Knights	13	13	13	13	13	13	13

Division B

Team	1B	2B	3B	4B	5B	6B	7B
Gulliver Preparatory School Raiders	1	1	1	1	1	1	1
Immaculata La Salle High School Royal Lions	3	3	3	3	3	3	3
Jensen Beach High School Falcons	4	4	4	4	4	4	4
Martin County High School Tigers	5	5	5	5	5	5	5
Naples High School Golden Eagles	6	6	6	6	6	6	6
Falcons Falcons	7	7	7	7	7	7	7
H. B. Plant High School Panthers	2	2	2	2	2	2	2
Ransom Everglades School Raiders	8	8	8	8	8	8	8
St. Thomas Aquinas High School Raiders	12	12	12	12	12	12	12
Shorecrest Preparatory School Chargers	9	9	9	9	9	9	9
South Fork High School SF BULLDOGS	10	10	10	10	10	10	10
St. Petersburg High School Green Devils	11	11	11	11	11	11	11
The Pine School Knights	13	13	13	13	13	13	13

School / Team	Skipper	Crew
Gulliver Preparatory School	Cort Snyder '23	Dante Garcia '24
Raiders	Leo Seuss '23	Jonas Carvalho '23
H. B. Plant High School	Garrett Brooks '22	Elliot Francola '23
Panthers	Reid Nelson '23	Ian Richardson '25
Immaculata La Salle High School	Mitchell Callahan '22 [1-7]	Caroline Caudron '23 [1-4] Brianna Ross '22 [5-7]
Royal Lions	Danny Rianno '23 [1-2, 5-7] Umi Noritake '24 [3-4]	Brianna Ross '22 [1-2, 5-7] Jadin Gonzalez '24 [3-4]
Jensen Beach High School	William Kulas '24	Kaitlin Eaton '23
Falcons	Elizabeth Wire '24	Sophia Pacheco '26
Martin County High School	Heidi Weiksnar '23	Stevan Weiss '23
Tigers	David Wedde '27	Kyle Weiksnar '25
Naples High School	Kamila Murray '30 [1-2, 5-7] Maia Musial '22 [3-4]	Maia Musial '22 [1-2] Keilan Keith '22 [3-7]
Golden Eagles	Carson Page '23	Conner Bricco '22
Ransom Everglades School	Stephan Baker '22	Christine Keedy-Brown '24
Raiders	Griggs Diemar '25 [1-4] Emery Diemar '24 [5-7]	Eva Gonzalez '22 [1-2, 5-7] David Dubovy '22 [3-4]
Shorecrest Preparatory School	Guthrie Braun '22 [1-7]	Bella Testa '23 [1-4] Ainsley Braun '25 [5-7]
Chargers	Kate Danielson '24 [1-2] Ethan Danielson '22 [3-7]	Rosie Simpson '25 [1-2] Kate Danielson '24 [3-7]
South Fork High School	Rylan Morris '24	Lexi Trimble '24
SF BULLDOGS	Daphne Dalton '24	Savannah Kautz '25
St. Petersburg High School	Bella Shakespeare '23	Zach '23
Green Devils	Sidney Moyer '23	Travis Brackin '22
St. Thomas Aquinas High School	Jack Redmond '22 [1-7]	Ava Meshel '24 [1-2] Kj Hill '25 [3-7]
Raiders	Mary (Lucy) Meagher '23	Kevin Gosselin '23
The Pine School	Peter Foley '22	Michael Blotnick '23
Knights	Audrey Foley '24	Tanner Spurlin '23

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

What a rating point is worthA one-point edge is a 73% chance to beat another boat in a race; two points is 88%.
Should the best sailor sail A?Add your two skippers’ ratings and compare with the field; above it the better skipper belongs in A.
Are the boats even?Boats differ by about 0.3 places a race; fleets are uneven from day one.
Which venues get orderly in a breeze?Some venues get orderly when it blows, a few get messier; the fleet comes first.

All notes →

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South Points 7 Varsity

Division A

Division B

From the notes