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420B - 2023 Zimba MBL Championship

# SchoolTeam A TOT
1 Sharon High School Sharon High School Eagles 8 8
2 Hingham High School Hingham High School Hingham 17 17
3 Boston Latin School Boston Latin School Wolfpack 19 19
4 Unregistered-NESSA Unregistered-NESSA MBL Coop 1 21 21
5 Beaver Country Day School Beaver Country Day School Beavers 28 28
6 Duxbury High School Duxbury High School Dragons 31 31
7 Wellesley High School Wellesley High School Raiders 35 35
8 Cambridge R&L School Cambridge R&L School Falcons 42 42
9 Winchester High School Winchester High School Sachems 49 49
10 Unregistered-NESSA Unregistered-NESSA MBL Coop 4 51 51
11 Commonwealth School Commonwealth School Mermaids 54 54
12 BB&N - Buckingham Browne and Nichols BB&N - Buckingham Browne and Nichols Knights 60 60
13 Wayland High School Wayland High School Wayland Varsity 62 62
14 The Winsor School The Winsor School Winsor Wildcats 66 66
15 Lincoln Sudbury RHS Lincoln Sudbury RHS Warriors 71 71
16 Unregistered-NESSA Unregistered-NESSA MBL Coop 2 78 78
17 Unregistered-NESSA Unregistered-NESSA MBL Coop 3 80 80
18 Natick High School Natick High School Redhawks 85 85
19 Manchester/Essex RHS Manchester/Essex RHS Hornets 100 100
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 TOT Sailors
Sharon High School Sharon High School Eagles 2 2 2 1 1 8 Andrew Liu '23
Zander Lai '23
Hingham High School Hingham High School Hingham 3 1 8 2 3 17 Julia Scipione '25
Caroline O'Hara '25
Boston Latin School Boston Latin School Wolfpack 6 4 1 4 4 19 Dory Russell '24
Anna Kriscenski '24
Unregistered-NESSA Unregistered-NESSA MBL Coop 1 1 6 4 5 5 21 Mary Mercsailor '23
Mike Mercsailor '23
Beaver Country Day School Beaver Country Day School Beavers 4 7 7 8 2 28 Kaileigh Ferrero '26
Samantha Thomson '23
Duxbury High School Duxbury High School Dragons 5 5 3 12 6 31 Vaughan Knecht '25
Melena Amoratis '23
Wellesley High School Wellesley High School Raiders 7 3 9 9 7 35 Kaitlin Hynes '25
Genna Gallico '23
Cambridge R&L School Cambridge R&L School Falcons 8 8 5 11 10 42 Pax Hubers '26
Hunter Hampshire '25
Winchester High School Winchester High School Sachems 10 10 6 3 DSQ 49 William Macneille '25
Noah Dengler '25
Unregistered-NESSA Unregistered-NESSA MBL Coop 4 9 13 10 10 9 51 Unregskip '23
Unregcrew '26
Commonwealth School Commonwealth School Mermaids 15 9 11 7 12 54 Adara Trout '23
Anna Lu '26
BB&N - Buckingham Browne and Nichols BB&N - Buckingham Browne and Nichols Knights 13 15 12 6 14 60 Alexandra Adams '24
Paul Jeon '25
Wayland High School Wayland High School Wayland Varsity 14 11 13 13 11 62 Adam Booth '24
Ari Zukerman '24
The Winsor School The Winsor School Winsor Wildcats 12 16 14 16 8 66 Ada Horton '29
Sophia Kennedy '29
Lincoln Sudbury RHS Lincoln Sudbury RHS Warriors 11 12 17 18 13 71 Max Troiano '24
Madeline Liberman '26
Unregistered-NESSA Unregistered-NESSA MBL Coop 2 17 17 15 14 15 78 Bridget Nussbaum '23
Kit Wee '23
Unregistered-NESSA Unregistered-NESSA MBL Coop 3 16 14 18 15 17 80 Unregskip '23
Unregcrew '26
Natick High School Natick High School Redhawks 18 18 16 17 16 85 Matt Stecko '25
Ewan Rich '25
Manchester/Essex RHS Manchester/Essex RHS Hornets DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 100 James Donohoe '28
Thaddeus Bardsley '27
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.150+0.15
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2016 (9 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A
BB&N - Buckingham Browne and NicholsBB&N - Buckingham Browne and Nichols Knights11111
Beaver Country Day SchoolBeaver Country Day School Beavers22222
Boston Latin SchoolBoston Latin School Wolfpack33333
Cambridge R&L SchoolCambridge R&L School Falcons44444
Commonwealth SchoolCommonwealth School Mermaids55555
Duxbury High SchoolDuxbury High School Dragons66666
Hingham High SchoolHingham High School Hingham77777
Lincoln Sudbury RHSLincoln Sudbury RHS Warriors88888
Natick High SchoolNatick High School Redhawks1010101010
Sharon High SchoolSharon High School Eagles1313131313
The Winsor SchoolThe Winsor School Winsor Wildcats1717171717
Unregistered-NESSAUnregistered-NESSA MBL Coop 199999
Unregistered-NESSAUnregistered-NESSA MBL Coop 21111111111
Unregistered-NESSAUnregistered-NESSA MBL Coop 31212121212
Unregistered-NESSAUnregistered-NESSA MBL Coop 41818181818
Wayland High SchoolWayland High School Wayland Varsity1414141414
Wellesley High SchoolWellesley High School Raiders1515151515
Winchester High SchoolWinchester High School Sachems1616161616
SchoolTeam SkipperCrew
BB&N - Buckingham Browne and Nichols BB&N - Buckingham Browne and Nichols Knights Alexandra Adams '24 Paul Jeon '25
Beaver Country Day School Beaver Country Day School Beavers Kaileigh Ferrero '26 Samantha Thomson '23
Boston Latin School Boston Latin School Wolfpack Dory Russell '24 Anna Kriscenski '24
Cambridge R&L School Cambridge R&L School Falcons Pax Hubers '26 Hunter Hampshire '25
Commonwealth School Commonwealth School Mermaids Adara Trout '23 Anna Lu '26
Duxbury High School Duxbury High School Dragons Vaughan Knecht '25 Melena Amoratis '23
Hingham High School Hingham High School Hingham Julia Scipione '25 Caroline O'Hara '25
Lincoln Sudbury RHS Lincoln Sudbury RHS Warriors Max Troiano '24 Madeline Liberman '26
Manchester/Essex RHS Manchester/Essex RHS Hornets James Donohoe '28 Thaddeus Bardsley '27
Natick High School Natick High School Redhawks Matt Stecko '25 Ewan Rich '25
Sharon High School Sharon High School Eagles Andrew Liu '23 Zander Lai '23
The Winsor School The Winsor School Winsor Wildcats Ada Horton '29 Sophia Kennedy '29
Unregistered-NESSA Unregistered-NESSA MBL Coop 1 Mary Mercsailor '23 Mike Mercsailor '23
Unregistered-NESSA Unregistered-NESSA MBL Coop 2 Bridget Nussbaum '23 Kit Wee '23
Unregistered-NESSA Unregistered-NESSA MBL Coop 3 Unregskip '23 Unregcrew '26
Unregistered-NESSA Unregistered-NESSA MBL Coop 4 Unregskip '23 Unregcrew '26
Wayland High School Wayland High School Wayland Varsity Adam Booth '24 Ari Zukerman '24
Wellesley High School Wellesley High School Raiders Kaitlin Hynes '25 Genna Gallico '23
Winchester High School Winchester High School Sachems William Macneille '25 Noah Dengler '25

Conditions — 05/23/2023 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 51%  ·  Pressure 1027.4 hPa

Temperature

63°F
↑ 67°F   ↓ 54°F
Feels like 62°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
4.8 kn
avg  ·  max 6.6 kn
Gusts to 17.5 kn
From ESE (114°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover13% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity51% Pressure1027.4 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SE 8 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Sharon: an underdogs’ day (−0.04)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.12 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.08
Actual: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.43 ± 0.19)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.04 means a rating gap counts about 4% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Sharon by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 9 labelled days at Sharon, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →