NJISA 2023 New Jersey State Championship

HostTRYC & BBYRA
Date05/20/2023
TypeState Championship
BoatCFJ
Scoring2 Divisions

#	School	Team	A	B	TOT
1	Donovan Catholic High School	Griffins	12	11	23
2	Christian Brothers Academy	Colts	15	20	35
3	Southern Regional High School	Rams	19	18	37
4	The Pingry School	Big Blue	40	12	52
5	Seton Hall Preparatory School	Pirates	27	28	55
6	Summit High School	Hilltoppers	34	37	71
7	Ranney School	Panthers	38	34	72
8	Delbarton School	Green Wave	14	58	72
9	Toms River South	Indians	44	41	85
10	Ridge High School	Red Devils	48	42	90
11	Trinity Hall	Monarchs	61	40	101
12	Toms River North	Mariners	44	58	102
13	Chatham High School	Cougars	59	56	115

School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	TOT	Sailors
Donovan Catholic High School	Griffins	6	2	1	1	2	12	James Kopack '24 Caroline Felser '24
Delbarton School	Green Wave	3	1	6	3	1	14	James O'Gwen '23 Johnny Lang '23
Christian Brothers Academy	Colts	4	3	2	2	4	15	Christopher Small '26 Nicholas Cunha '23
Southern Regional High School	Rams	1	5	3	4	6	19	Turner Ryon '25 Natalie Shaw '23
Seton Hall Preparatory School	Pirates	5	4	4	6	8	27	Drew D'Orsi '24 [1-5] Ryan D'Orsi '26 [1-2] Arthur Fok '24 [3-5]
Summit High School	Hilltoppers	8	7	5	11	3	34	Pilar Cundey '23 Grace Penque '25
Ranney School	Panthers	2	10	7	9	10	38	Jack Whitman '23 Tomas Mora '23
The Pingry School	Big Blue	7	6	8	8	11	40	Max Naseef '24 Abigail Baird '24
Toms River North	Mariners	10	8	9	5	12	44	Iliana Vasslides '23 Stephanie Maulshagen '23
Toms River South	Indians	11	9	12	7	5	44	Ella Demand '24 Ava Mcnabb '24
Ridge High School	Red Devils	9	12	10	10	7	48	Matt Leopold '23 Jack Schlenker '26
Chatham High School	Cougars	13	11	13	13	9	59	Jamie Lynch '23 [1-4] Keira Press '23 [5] Keira Press '23 [1-4] Jamie Lynch '23 [5]
Trinity Hall	Monarchs	12	13	11	12	13	61	Izzy Bornebusch '25 [1-2, 5] Caroline Duffy '25 [3-4] Vanessa Mccartin '26 [1-2, 5]

School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	TOT	Sailors
Donovan Catholic High School	Griffins	1	1	2	3	4	11	Kevin Brooksbank '23 Liam Marcell '26
The Pingry School	Big Blue	4	4	1	2	1	12	Megan Soos '27 Avery Hoffman '26
Southern Regional High School	Rams	2	2	3	5	6	18	Belle Placa '25 [1-5] Erin Little '24 [1-2] Noah Tallman '25 [3-5]
Christian Brothers Academy	Colts	5	6	6	1	2	20	Bryce Vitiello '23 Mitchell Hnatt '24
Seton Hall Preparatory School	Pirates	3	11	7	4	3	28	Ryan D'Orsi '26 Chris Duff '24
Ranney School	Panthers	6	10	4	6	8	34	Grace Bray '23 Dylan Pagonis '26
Summit High School	Hilltoppers	10	7	5	10	5	37	Lauren Murray '24 Nikhil Ray '26
Trinity Hall	Monarchs	7	9	10	7	7	40	Allison Beisel '24 Evelyn Magee '26
Toms River South	Indians	13	3	8	8	9	41	Rex Salzer '26 Cali Krean '24
Ridge High School	Red Devils	9	5	9	9	10	42	James Mccarthy '26 Ryan Amicone '25
Chatham High School	Cougars	11	8	12	12	13	56	Oliver Neumann-Loreck '24 [1-2, 5] Grant Press '25 [3-4] Ethan Wagner '26 [1-2, 5] Cameron Francini '25 [3-4]
Toms River North	Mariners	8	13	13	13	11	58	Jackson Bubnowski '26 Scott Tedeschi '25
Delbarton School	Green Wave	12	12	11	11	12	58	Jack Tonzola '25 Julien Dietrich '24

Boat Speed Analyzer

SlowExpected boat effectFast

−0.090+0.09

Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2019 (48 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team	1A	2A	3A	4A	5A
Chatham High School Cougars	3	3	5	5	7
Christian Brothers Academy Colts	4	4	6	6	8
Delbarton School Green Wave	5	5	7	7	9
Donovan Catholic High School Griffins	6	6	8	8	10
Ranney School Panthers	7	7	9	9	11
Ridge High School Red Devils	8	8	10	10	12
Seton Hall Preparatory School Pirates	9	9	11	11	13
Southern Regional High School Rams	10	10	12	12	14
Summit High School Hilltoppers	11	11	13	13	15
The Pingry School Big Blue	12	12	14	14	3
Toms River North Mariners	13	13	15	15	4
Toms River South Indians	14	14	3	3	5
Trinity Hall Monarchs	15	15	4	4	6

Division B

Team	1B	2B	3B	4B	5B
Chatham High School Cougars	4	4	6	6	6
Christian Brothers Academy Colts	5	5	7	7	7
Delbarton School Green Wave	6	6	8	8	8
Donovan Catholic High School Griffins	7	7	9	9	9
Ranney School Panthers	8	8	10	10	10
Ridge High School Red Devils	9	9	11	11	11
Seton Hall Preparatory School Pirates	10	10	12	12	12
Southern Regional High School Rams	11	11	13	13	13
Summit High School Hilltoppers	12	12	14	14	14
The Pingry School Big Blue	13	13	15	15	15
Toms River North Mariners	14	14	3	3	3
Toms River South Indians	15	15	4	4	4
Trinity Hall Monarchs	3	3	5	5	5

School / Team	Skipper	Crew
Chatham High School	Jamie Lynch '23 [1-4] Keira Press '23 [5]	Keira Press '23 [1-4] Jamie Lynch '23 [5]
Cougars	Oliver Neumann-Loreck '24 [1-2, 5] Grant Press '25 [3-4]	Ethan Wagner '26 [1-2, 5] Cameron Francini '25 [3-4]
Christian Brothers Academy	Christopher Small '26	Nicholas Cunha '23
Colts	Bryce Vitiello '23	Mitchell Hnatt '24
Delbarton School	James O'Gwen '23	Johnny Lang '23
Green Wave	Jack Tonzola '25	Julien Dietrich '24
Donovan Catholic High School	James Kopack '24	Caroline Felser '24
Griffins	Kevin Brooksbank '23	Liam Marcell '26
Ranney School	Jack Whitman '23	Tomas Mora '23
Panthers	Grace Bray '23	Dylan Pagonis '26
Ridge High School	Matt Leopold '23	Jack Schlenker '26
Red Devils	James Mccarthy '26	Ryan Amicone '25
Seton Hall Preparatory School	Drew D'Orsi '24 [1-5]	Ryan D'Orsi '26 [1-2] Arthur Fok '24 [3-5]
Pirates	Ryan D'Orsi '26	Chris Duff '24
Southern Regional High School	Turner Ryon '25	Natalie Shaw '23
Rams	Belle Placa '25 [1-5]	Erin Little '24 [1-2] Noah Tallman '25 [3-5]
Summit High School	Pilar Cundey '23	Grace Penque '25
Hilltoppers	Lauren Murray '24	Nikhil Ray '26
The Pingry School	Max Naseef '24	Abigail Baird '24
Big Blue	Megan Soos '27	Avery Hoffman '26
Toms River North	Iliana Vasslides '23	Stephanie Maulshagen '23
Mariners	Jackson Bubnowski '26	Scott Tedeschi '25
Toms River South	Ella Demand '24	Ava Mcnabb '24
Indians	Rex Salzer '26	Cali Krean '24
Trinity Hall	Izzy Bornebusch '25 [1-2, 5] Caroline Duffy '25 [3-4]	Vanessa Mccartin '26 [1-2, 5]
Monarchs	Allison Beisel '24	Evelyn Magee '26

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

What a rating point is worthA one-point edge is a 73% chance to beat another boat in a race; two points is 88%.
Should the best sailor sail A?Add your two skippers’ ratings and compare with the field; above it the better skipper belongs in A.
Are the boats even?Boats differ by about 0.3 places a race; fleets are uneven from day one.
Which venues get orderly in a breeze?Some venues get orderly when it blows, a few get messier; the fleet comes first.

All notes →

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NJISA 2023 New Jersey State Championship

Division A

Division B

From the notes