NJISA 2023 Spring Fleet Championship

HostTRYC & BBYRA
Date04/22/2023
TypeLeague Championship
BoatCFJ
Scoring2 Divisions

#	School	Team	A	B	TOT
1	Christian Brothers Academy	Colts	14	25	39
2	Southern Regional High School	Rams	21	35	56
3	Donovan Catholic High School	Griffins	49	15	64
4	Seton Hall Preparatory School	Pirates	33	41	74
5	Summit High School	Hilltoppers	44	42	86
6	Conestoga High School	Pioneers	57	48	105
7	The Pingry School	Big Blue	78	45	123
8	Ranney School	Panthers	83	44	127
9	Delbarton School	Green Wave	49	87	136
10	Toms River South	Indians	70	70	140
11	Point Pleasant Beach High School	Garnett Gulls	49	97	146
12	Chatham High School	Cougars	78	92	170
13	Trinity Hall	Monarchs	104	87	191

School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	R6	R7	R8	TOT	Sailors
Christian Brothers Academy	Colts	1	1	1	1	1	BKD	3	4	14	Christopher Small '26 Nicholas Cunha '23
Southern Regional High School	Rams	4	3	2	2	3	4	1	2	21	Turner Ryon '25 Noah Tallman '25
Seton Hall Preparatory School	Pirates	3	5	9	4	2	2	7	1	33	Drew D'Orsi '24 [1-8] Ryan D'Orsi '26 [1-2] Arthur Fok '24 [3-8]
Summit High School	Hilltoppers	10	7	4	6	5	5	2	5	44	Pilar Cundey '23 Grace Penque '25
Donovan Catholic High School	Griffins	2	2	6	11	7	10	4	7	49	James Kopack '24 Caroline Felser '24
Point Pleasant Beach High School	Garnett Gulls	6	4	3	3	4	11	10	8	49	Richard Pokorny '25 Morgan Auth '23
Delbarton School	Green Wave	8	6	7	12	6	1	6	3	49	James O'Gwen '23 Johnny Lang '23
Conestoga High School	Pioneers	5	9	5	5	10	7	5	11	57	Connor Demming '23 Briana Hummel '23
Toms River South	Indians	9	10	8	8	9	6	DNF	6	70	Ella Demand '24 Ava Mcnabb '24
Chatham High School	Cougars	7	8	10	9	12	12	11	9	78	Jamie Lynch '23 [1-8] Keira Press '23 [1-6] Oliver Neumann-Loreck '24 [7-8]
The Pingry School	Big Blue	11	11	12	7	11	8	8	10	78	Max Naseef '24 Abigail Baird '24
Ranney School	Panthers	12	12	11	10	8	9	9	12	83	Jack Whitman '23 Lewis Forrest '25
Trinity Hall	Monarchs	13	13	13	13	13	DNF	12	13	104	Caroline Duffy '25 [1-2, 7-8] Izzy Bornebusch '25 [3-6] Evelyn Magee '26 [1-6] Vanessa Mccartin '26 [7-8]

School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	R6	R7	R8	TOT	Sailors
Donovan Catholic High School	Griffins	1	3	2	2	1	1	1	4	15	Kevin Brooksbank '23 Liam Marcell '26
Christian Brothers Academy	Colts	5	4	1	1	3	4	2	5	25	Bryce Vitiello '23 [1-8] Luke Pennisi '24 [1-6] Mitchell Hnatt '24 [7-8]
Southern Regional High School	Rams	6	2	6	7	6	2	3	3	35	Belle Placa '25 Erin Little '24
Seton Hall Preparatory School	Pirates	3	8	8	5	2	6	7	2	41	Ryan D'Orsi '26 Kyle Phillips '25
Summit High School	Hilltoppers	4	1	7	3	7	5	9	6	42	Lauren Murray '24 Dara Greengrass '24
Ranney School	Panthers	2	7	4	12	5	7	6	1	44	Grace Bray '23 Dylan Pagonis '26
The Pingry School	Big Blue	8	6	3	4	8	3	5	8	45	Megan Soos '27 Avery Hoffman '26
Conestoga High School	Pioneers	7	5	5	8	4	8	4	7	48	Bella Cremer '24 Ava Mcaveney '25
Toms River South	Indians	10	9	9	6	9	9	8	10	70	Rex Salzer '26 Cali Krean '24
Trinity Hall	Monarchs	9	10	12	10	10	11	13	12	87	Izzy Bornebusch '25 [1-2] Allison Beisel '24 [3-8] Evelyn Magee '26 [1-2]
Delbarton School	Green Wave	13	12	10	9	13	10	11	9	87	Jack Tonzola '25 Jason Cai '23
Chatham High School	Cougars	12	11	11	13	12	12	10	11	92	Oliver Neumann-Loreck '24 [1-2] Grant Press '25 [3-8] Cameron Francini '25 [1-2]
Point Pleasant Beach High School	Garnett Gulls	11	13	13	11	11	13	12	13	97	Hudson Depaul '26 Sydney Mihalko '25

Boat Speed Analyzer

SlowExpected boat effectFast

−0.090+0.09

Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2019 (48 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team	1A	2A	3A	4A	5A	6A	7A	8A
Chatham High School Cougars	2	2	4	4	6	6	8	8
Christian Brothers Academy Colts	3	3	5	5	7	7	10	10
Conestoga High School Pioneers	4	4	6	6	8	8	11	11
Delbarton School Green Wave	5	5	7	7	10	10	12	12
Donovan Catholic High School Griffins	6	6	8	8	11	11	13	13
Point Pleasant Beach High School Garnett Gulls	7	7	10	10	12	12	14	14
Ranney School Panthers	8	8	11	11	13	13	16	16
Seton Hall Preparatory School Pirates	10	10	12	12	14	14	2	2
Southern Regional High School Rams	11	11	13	13	16	16	3	3
Summit High School Hilltoppers	12	12	14	14	2	2	4	4
The Pingry School Big Blue	13	13	16	16	3	3	5	5
Toms River South Indians	14	14	2	2	4	4	6	6
Trinity Hall Monarchs	16	16	3	3	5	5	7	7

Division B

Team	1B	2B	3B	4B	5B	6B	7B	8B
Chatham High School Cougars	3	3	5	5	7	7	10	10
Christian Brothers Academy Colts	4	4	6	6	8	8	11	11
Conestoga High School Pioneers	5	5	7	7	10	10	12	12
Delbarton School Green Wave	6	6	8	8	11	11	13	13
Donovan Catholic High School Griffins	7	7	10	10	12	12	14	14
Point Pleasant Beach High School Garnett Gulls	8	8	11	11	13	13	16	16
Ranney School Panthers	10	10	12	12	14	14	2	2
Seton Hall Preparatory School Pirates	11	11	13	13	16	16	3	3
Southern Regional High School Rams	12	12	14	14	2	2	4	4
Summit High School Hilltoppers	13	13	16	16	3	3	5	5
The Pingry School Big Blue	14	14	2	2	4	4	6	6
Toms River South Indians	16	16	3	3	5	5	7	7
Trinity Hall Monarchs	2	2	4	4	6	6	8	8

School / Team	Skipper	Crew
Chatham High School	Jamie Lynch '23 [1-8]	Keira Press '23 [1-6] Oliver Neumann-Loreck '24 [7-8]
Cougars	Oliver Neumann-Loreck '24 [1-2] Grant Press '25 [3-8]	Cameron Francini '25 [1-2]
Christian Brothers Academy	Christopher Small '26	Nicholas Cunha '23
Colts	Bryce Vitiello '23 [1-8]	Luke Pennisi '24 [1-6] Mitchell Hnatt '24 [7-8]
Conestoga High School	Connor Demming '23	Briana Hummel '23
Pioneers	Bella Cremer '24	Ava Mcaveney '25
Delbarton School	James O'Gwen '23	Johnny Lang '23
Green Wave	Jack Tonzola '25	Jason Cai '23
Donovan Catholic High School	James Kopack '24	Caroline Felser '24
Griffins	Kevin Brooksbank '23	Liam Marcell '26
Point Pleasant Beach High School	Richard Pokorny '25	Morgan Auth '23
Garnett Gulls	Hudson Depaul '26	Sydney Mihalko '25
Ranney School	Jack Whitman '23	Lewis Forrest '25
Panthers	Grace Bray '23	Dylan Pagonis '26
Seton Hall Preparatory School	Drew D'Orsi '24 [1-8]	Ryan D'Orsi '26 [1-2] Arthur Fok '24 [3-8]
Pirates	Ryan D'Orsi '26	Kyle Phillips '25
Southern Regional High School	Turner Ryon '25	Noah Tallman '25
Rams	Belle Placa '25	Erin Little '24
Summit High School	Pilar Cundey '23	Grace Penque '25
Hilltoppers	Lauren Murray '24	Dara Greengrass '24
The Pingry School	Max Naseef '24	Abigail Baird '24
Big Blue	Megan Soos '27	Avery Hoffman '26
Toms River South	Ella Demand '24	Ava Mcnabb '24
Indians	Rex Salzer '26	Cali Krean '24
Trinity Hall	Caroline Duffy '25 [1-2, 7-8] Izzy Bornebusch '25 [3-6]	Evelyn Magee '26 [1-6] Vanessa Mccartin '26 [7-8]
Monarchs	Izzy Bornebusch '25 [1-2] Allison Beisel '24 [3-8]	Evelyn Magee '26 [1-2]

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

What a rating point is worthA one-point edge is a 73% chance to beat another boat in a race; two points is 88%.
Should the best sailor sail A?Add your two skippers’ ratings and compare with the field; above it the better skipper belongs in A.
Are the boats even?Boats differ by about 0.3 places a race; fleets are uneven from day one.
Which venues get orderly in a breeze?Some venues get orderly when it blows, a few get messier; the fleet comes first.

All notes →

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NJISA 2023 Spring Fleet Championship

Division A

Division B

From the notes