NJISA 2023 Spring Series 8

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Colts 1 6 9 15
2 Southern Regional High School Southern Regional High School Rams 1 11 9 20
3 Donovan Catholic High School Donovan Catholic High School Griffins 1 7 22 29
4 Toms River North Toms River North Mariners 23 13 36
5 Ranney School Ranney School Panthers 1 23 13 36
6 Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Colts 2 24 12 36
7 Ridge High School Ridge High School Red Devils 28 12 40
8 Southern Regional High School Southern Regional High School Rams 2 18 26 44
9 Donovan Catholic High School Donovan Catholic High School Griffins 2 11 34 45
10 Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Colts 3 32 15 47
11 Toms River South Toms River South Indians 22 35 57
12 Trinity Hall Trinity Hall Monarchs 2 32 33 65
13 Our Lady of Mercy Academy Our Lady of Mercy Academy Villagers 40 26 66
14 Trinity Hall Trinity Hall Monarchs 1 44 32 76
15 Ranney School Ranney School Panthers 2 36 40 76
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 TOT Sailors
Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Colts 1 4 1 1 6 Christopher Small '26
Kyle Lombardino '25
Donovan Catholic High School Donovan Catholic High School Griffins 1 1 2 4 7 James Kopack '24
Caroline Felser '24
Donovan Catholic High School Donovan Catholic High School Griffins 2 3 3 5 11 Kevin Brooksbank '23
Liam Marcell '26
Southern Regional High School Southern Regional High School Rams 1 5 4 2 11 Turner Ryon '25
Natalie Shaw '23
Southern Regional High School Southern Regional High School Rams 2 2 5 11 18 Belle Placa '25 [1-3]
Noah Tallman '25 [1-2]
No Show [3]
Toms River South Toms River South Indians 6 10 6 22 Ella Demand '24
Ava Mcnabb '24
Toms River North Toms River North Mariners 7 7 9 23 Iliana Vasslides '23
Stephanie Maulshagen '23
Ranney School Ranney School Panthers 1 8 12 3 23 Jack Whitman '23
Dylan Pagonis '26
Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Colts 2 9 8 7 24 Mitchell Hnatt '24
Daniel Stephan '24
Ridge High School Ridge High School Red Devils 10 6 12 28 Jack Schlenker '26
Leo Van Der Valk '26
Trinity Hall Trinity Hall Monarchs 2 11 11 10 32 Izzy Bornebusch '25
Vanessa Mccartin '26
Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Colts 3 12 9 BKD 32 Matthew Wilhelm '24
Erick Shi '24
Ranney School Ranney School Panthers 2 15 13 8 36 Grace Bray '23
Sophia Behar '25
Our Lady of Mercy Academy Our Lady of Mercy Academy Villagers 13 14 13 40 Imogene Nuss '24 [1-3]
Mia Catanese '24 [1-2]
Camila Andeliz Bello '25 [3]
Trinity Hall Trinity Hall Monarchs 1 14 DNF 14 44 Caroline Duffy '25
Mackenzie Boles '27
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 TOT Sailors
Southern Regional High School Southern Regional High School Rams 1 2 BKD 4 9 Erin Little '24
No Show
Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Colts 1 6 1 2 9 Jules Buczkowski '26
Ryan Mullholland '25
Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Colts 2 1 6 5 12 Matthew Moses '24
Luke Pennisi '24
Ridge High School Ridge High School Red Devils 4 2 6 12 James Mccarthy '26
Ryan Amicone '25
Ranney School Ranney School Panthers 1 3 7 3 13 Lewis Forrest '25
Tomas Mora '23
Toms River North Toms River North Mariners 8 4 1 13 Jackson Bubnowski '26
Scott Tedeschi '25
Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Colts 3 5 BKD BKD 15 Andrew Dinger '24
Matthew Dupree '25
Donovan Catholic High School Donovan Catholic High School Griffins 1 12 3 7 22 Grace Ciak '26
Nora Ciak '23
Our Lady of Mercy Academy Our Lady of Mercy Academy Villagers 7 5 14 26 Natalie Nuss '25 [1-3]
Anabelle Sawyer '25 [1-2]
Miranda Frett '26 [3]
Southern Regional High School Southern Regional High School Rams 2 10 8 8 26 Noah Tallman '25
No Show
Trinity Hall Trinity Hall Monarchs 1 9 10 13 32 Allison Beisel '24
Julianna Walsh '24
Trinity Hall Trinity Hall Monarchs 2 11 11 11 33 Riley Mueller '27
Evelyn Magee '26
Donovan Catholic High School Donovan Catholic High School Griffins 2 13 9 12 34 Richard Mcgowan '25 [1-2]
Scarlett Colman '26 [3]
Nicholas Fatigate '24 [1-2]
Bridget Felser '26 [3]
Toms River South Toms River South Indians 14 12 9 35 Cali Krean '24 [1-2]
Mollie Smith '25 [3]
Mollie Smith '25 [1-2]
Chase Kalwinsky '26 [3]
Ranney School Ranney School Panthers 2 15 15 10 40 Anthony Abboud '25
Quinian Miller '26
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.130+0.13
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2021 (2 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A
Christian Brothers AcademyChristian Brothers Academy Colts 1111
Christian Brothers AcademyChristian Brothers Academy Colts 2222
Christian Brothers AcademyChristian Brothers Academy Colts 3333
Donovan Catholic High SchoolDonovan Catholic High School Griffins 1444
Donovan Catholic High SchoolDonovan Catholic High School Griffins 2555
Our Lady of Mercy AcademyOur Lady of Mercy Academy Villagers666
Ranney SchoolRanney School Panthers 1777
Ranney SchoolRanney School Panthers 2181818
Ridge High SchoolRidge High School Red Devils171717
Southern Regional High SchoolSouthern Regional High School Rams 1101010
Southern Regional High SchoolSouthern Regional High School Rams 2111111
Toms River NorthToms River North Mariners121212
Toms River SouthToms River South Indians131313
Trinity HallTrinity Hall Monarchs 1141414
Trinity HallTrinity Hall Monarchs 2151515

Division B

Team1B2B3B
Christian Brothers AcademyChristian Brothers Academy Colts 1111
Christian Brothers AcademyChristian Brothers Academy Colts 2222
Christian Brothers AcademyChristian Brothers Academy Colts 3333
Donovan Catholic High SchoolDonovan Catholic High School Griffins 1444
Donovan Catholic High SchoolDonovan Catholic High School Griffins 2555
Our Lady of Mercy AcademyOur Lady of Mercy Academy Villagers666
Ranney SchoolRanney School Panthers 1777
Ranney SchoolRanney School Panthers 2181818
Ridge High SchoolRidge High School Red Devils171717
Southern Regional High SchoolSouthern Regional High School Rams 1101010
Southern Regional High SchoolSouthern Regional High School Rams 2111111
Toms River NorthToms River North Mariners121212
Toms River SouthToms River South Indians131313
Trinity HallTrinity Hall Monarchs 1141414
Trinity HallTrinity Hall Monarchs 2151515
School / Team SkipperCrew
Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Christopher Small '26 Kyle Lombardino '25
Colts 1 Jules Buczkowski '26 Ryan Mullholland '25
Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Mitchell Hnatt '24 Daniel Stephan '24
Colts 2 Matthew Moses '24 Luke Pennisi '24
Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Matthew Wilhelm '24 Erick Shi '24
Colts 3 Andrew Dinger '24 Matthew Dupree '25
Donovan Catholic High School Donovan Catholic High School James Kopack '24 Caroline Felser '24
Griffins 1 Grace Ciak '26 Nora Ciak '23
Donovan Catholic High School Donovan Catholic High School Kevin Brooksbank '23 Liam Marcell '26
Griffins 2 Richard Mcgowan '25 [1-2]
Scarlett Colman '26 [3]
Nicholas Fatigate '24 [1-2]
Bridget Felser '26 [3]
Our Lady of Mercy Academy Our Lady of Mercy Academy Imogene Nuss '24 [1-3] Mia Catanese '24 [1-2]
Camila Andeliz Bello '25 [3]
Villagers Natalie Nuss '25 [1-3] Anabelle Sawyer '25 [1-2]
Miranda Frett '26 [3]
Ranney School Ranney School Jack Whitman '23 Dylan Pagonis '26
Panthers 1 Lewis Forrest '25 Tomas Mora '23
Ranney School Ranney School Grace Bray '23 Sophia Behar '25
Panthers 2 Anthony Abboud '25 Quinian Miller '26
Ridge High School Ridge High School Jack Schlenker '26 Leo Van Der Valk '26
Red Devils James Mccarthy '26 Ryan Amicone '25
Southern Regional High School Southern Regional High School Turner Ryon '25 Natalie Shaw '23
Rams 1 Erin Little '24 No Show
Southern Regional High School Southern Regional High School Belle Placa '25 [1-3] Noah Tallman '25 [1-2]
No Show [3]
Rams 2 Noah Tallman '25 No Show
Toms River North Toms River North Iliana Vasslides '23 Stephanie Maulshagen '23
Mariners Jackson Bubnowski '26 Scott Tedeschi '25
Toms River South Toms River South Ella Demand '24 Ava Mcnabb '24
Indians Cali Krean '24 [1-2]
Mollie Smith '25 [3]
Mollie Smith '25 [1-2]
Chase Kalwinsky '26 [3]
Trinity Hall Trinity Hall Caroline Duffy '25 Mackenzie Boles '27
Monarchs 1 Allison Beisel '24 Julianna Walsh '24
Trinity Hall Trinity Hall Izzy Bornebusch '25 Vanessa Mccartin '26
Monarchs 2 Riley Mueller '27 Evelyn Magee '26

Conditions — 05/17/2023 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 43%  ·  Pressure 1008.4 hPa

Temperature

64°F
↑ 66°F   ↓ 61°F
Feels like 60°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
8.0 kn
avg  ·  max 11.8 kn
Gusts to 22.9 kn
From NE (40°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover0% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity43% Pressure1008.4 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NE 10 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Southern Regional: a favourites’ day (+0.03)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.03 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.06
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.11 ± 0.17)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.03 means a rating gap counts about 3% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Southern Regional by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 9 labelled days at Southern Regional, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →