NJISA 2023 Spring Series 5

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Colts 1 8 6 14
2 Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Colts 2 11 19 30
3 Southern Regional High School Southern Regional High School Rams 1 17 17 34
4 Donovan Catholic High School Donovan Catholic High School Griffins 1 21 17 38
5 Toms River North Toms River North Mariners 20 26 46
6 Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Colts 3 20 27 47
7 Southern Regional High School Southern Regional High School Rams 2 24 45 69
8 Ridge High School Ridge High School Red Devils 40 31 71
9 Toms River South Toms River South Indians 38 36 74
10 Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Colts 4 41 40 81
11 Donovan Catholic High School Donovan Catholic High School Griffins 2 51 38 89
12 Our Lady of Mercy Academy Our Lady of Mercy Academy Villagers 43 47 90
13 Ranney School Ranney School Panthers 48 MRP 45 MRP 93 MRP
14 Trinity Hall Trinity Hall Monarchs 2 52 46 98
15 Trinity Hall Trinity Hall Monarchs 1 58 60 118
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 TOT Sailors
Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Colts 1 3 1 3 1 8 Christopher Small '26
Daniel Stephan '24
Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Colts 2 1 5 2 3 11 Bryce Vitiello '23
Nicholas Cunha '23
Southern Regional High School Southern Regional High School Rams 1 4 10 1 2 17 Turner Ryon '25
Natalie Shaw '23
Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Colts 3 2 7 4 7 20 Noah Kuzloski '23
Alton Deoliveria '26
Toms River North Toms River North Mariners 6 2 8 4 20 Iliana Vasslides '23
Stephanie Maulshagen '23
Donovan Catholic High School Donovan Catholic High School Griffins 1 7 4 5 5 21 James Kopack '24
Caroline Felser '24
Southern Regional High School Southern Regional High School Rams 2 8 3 7 6 24 Belle Placa '25
Noah Tallman '25
Toms River South Toms River South Indians 11 8 9 10 38 Ella Demand '24
Ava Mcnabb '24
Ridge High School Ridge High School Red Devils 5 11 12 12 40 Jack Schlenker '26
Ally Pellegrino '25
Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Colts 4 10 13 10 8 41 Mitchell Hnatt '24
Donald Johnston '25
Our Lady of Mercy Academy Our Lady of Mercy Academy Villagers 12 9 13 9 43 Imogene Nuss '24
Mia Catanese '24
Ranney School Ranney School Panthers 9 6 6 BKD 48 MRP Jack Whitman '23
Dylan Pagonis '26
Donovan Catholic High School Donovan Catholic High School Griffins 2 14 12 14 11 51 Scarlett Colman '26
Bridget Felser '26
Trinity Hall Trinity Hall Monarchs 2 13 15 11 13 52 Riley Mueller '27
Julianna Walsh '24
Trinity Hall Trinity Hall Monarchs 1 15 14 15 14 58 Greta Senft '24
Evelyn Magee '26
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 TOT Sailors
Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Colts 1 1 2 1 2 6 Jules Buczkowski '26
Kyle Lombardino '25
Southern Regional High School Southern Regional High School Rams 1 3 9 2 3 17 Erin Little '24
No Show
Donovan Catholic High School Donovan Catholic High School Griffins 1 6 6 4 1 17 Kevin Brooksbank '23
Liam Marcell '26
Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Colts 2 2 4 8 5 19 Luke Pennisi '24
Matthew Moses '24
Toms River North Toms River North Mariners 4 7 5 10 26 Jackson Bubnowski '26
Scott Tedeschi '25
Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Colts 3 12 8 3 4 27 Matthew Wilhelm '24
Joseph Velardi '26
Ridge High School Ridge High School Red Devils 11 3 10 7 31 James Mccarthy '26
Ryan Amicone '25
Toms River South Toms River South Indians 8 5 12 11 36 Mollie Smith '25
Chase Kalwinsky '26
Donovan Catholic High School Donovan Catholic High School Griffins 2 9 10 7 12 38 Richard Mcgowan '25
Nicholas Fatigate '24
Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Colts 4 14 11 6 9 40 Andrew Dinger '24 [1-2]
Greyson Colman '25 [3-4]
Martin Horowitz '23 [1-2]
Ranney School Ranney School Panthers 5 1 13 6 45 MRP Grace Bray '23
Sophia Behar '25
Southern Regional High School Southern Regional High School Rams 2 10 13 9 13 45 Kaylan Hoffacker '26
No Show
Trinity Hall Trinity Hall Monarchs 2 13 14 11 8 46 Allison Beisel '24
Prato Victoria '26
Our Lady of Mercy Academy Our Lady of Mercy Academy Villagers 7 12 14 14 47 Natalie Nuss '25
Mia Catanese '24
Trinity Hall Trinity Hall Monarchs 1 15 15 15 15 60 Evelyn Magee '26
Vanessa Mccartin '26
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.140+0.14
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2019 (8 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A
Christian Brothers AcademyChristian Brothers Academy Colts 12222
Christian Brothers AcademyChristian Brothers Academy Colts 23333
Christian Brothers AcademyChristian Brothers Academy Colts 34444
Christian Brothers AcademyChristian Brothers Academy Colts 45555
Donovan Catholic High SchoolDonovan Catholic High School Griffins 16666
Donovan Catholic High SchoolDonovan Catholic High School Griffins 220202020
Our Lady of Mercy AcademyOur Lady of Mercy Academy Villagers7777
Ranney SchoolRanney School Panthers8888
Ridge High SchoolRidge High School Red Devils10101010
Southern Regional High SchoolSouthern Regional High School Rams 111111111
Southern Regional High SchoolSouthern Regional High School Rams 212121212
Toms River NorthToms River North Mariners13131313
Toms River SouthToms River South Indians14141414
Trinity HallTrinity Hall Monarchs 116161616
Trinity HallTrinity Hall Monarchs 217171717

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B
Christian Brothers AcademyChristian Brothers Academy Colts 12222
Christian Brothers AcademyChristian Brothers Academy Colts 23333
Christian Brothers AcademyChristian Brothers Academy Colts 34444
Christian Brothers AcademyChristian Brothers Academy Colts 45555
Donovan Catholic High SchoolDonovan Catholic High School Griffins 16666
Donovan Catholic High SchoolDonovan Catholic High School Griffins 220202020
Our Lady of Mercy AcademyOur Lady of Mercy Academy Villagers7777
Ranney SchoolRanney School Panthers8888
Ridge High SchoolRidge High School Red Devils10101010
Southern Regional High SchoolSouthern Regional High School Rams 111111111
Southern Regional High SchoolSouthern Regional High School Rams 212121212
Toms River NorthToms River North Mariners13131313
Toms River SouthToms River South Indians14141414
Trinity HallTrinity Hall Monarchs 116161616
Trinity HallTrinity Hall Monarchs 217171717
School / Team SkipperCrew
Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Christopher Small '26 Daniel Stephan '24
Colts 1 Jules Buczkowski '26 Kyle Lombardino '25
Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Bryce Vitiello '23 Nicholas Cunha '23
Colts 2 Luke Pennisi '24 Matthew Moses '24
Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Noah Kuzloski '23 Alton Deoliveria '26
Colts 3 Matthew Wilhelm '24 Joseph Velardi '26
Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Mitchell Hnatt '24 Donald Johnston '25
Colts 4 Andrew Dinger '24 [1-2]
Greyson Colman '25 [3-4]
Martin Horowitz '23 [1-2]
Donovan Catholic High School Donovan Catholic High School James Kopack '24 Caroline Felser '24
Griffins 1 Kevin Brooksbank '23 Liam Marcell '26
Donovan Catholic High School Donovan Catholic High School Scarlett Colman '26 Bridget Felser '26
Griffins 2 Richard Mcgowan '25 Nicholas Fatigate '24
Our Lady of Mercy Academy Our Lady of Mercy Academy Imogene Nuss '24 Mia Catanese '24
Villagers Natalie Nuss '25 Mia Catanese '24
Ranney School Ranney School Jack Whitman '23 Dylan Pagonis '26
Panthers Grace Bray '23 Sophia Behar '25
Ridge High School Ridge High School Jack Schlenker '26 Ally Pellegrino '25
Red Devils James Mccarthy '26 Ryan Amicone '25
Southern Regional High School Southern Regional High School Turner Ryon '25 Natalie Shaw '23
Rams 1 Erin Little '24 No Show
Southern Regional High School Southern Regional High School Belle Placa '25 Noah Tallman '25
Rams 2 Kaylan Hoffacker '26 No Show
Toms River North Toms River North Iliana Vasslides '23 Stephanie Maulshagen '23
Mariners Jackson Bubnowski '26 Scott Tedeschi '25
Toms River South Toms River South Ella Demand '24 Ava Mcnabb '24
Indians Mollie Smith '25 Chase Kalwinsky '26
Trinity Hall Trinity Hall Greta Senft '24 Evelyn Magee '26
Monarchs 1 Evelyn Magee '26 Vanessa Mccartin '26
Trinity Hall Trinity Hall Riley Mueller '27 Julianna Walsh '24
Monarchs 2 Allison Beisel '24 Prato Victoria '26

Conditions — 04/26/2023 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 53%  ·  Pressure 1023.0 hPa

Temperature

57°F
↑ 59°F   ↓ 51°F
Feels like 52°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
6.5 kn
avg  ·  max 9.8 kn
Gusts to 21.8 kn
From SE (132°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover36% Sunshine10.0 hrs Humidity53% Pressure1023.0 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SE 10 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Donovan Catholic: a strongly underdogs’ day (−0.14)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.03 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast −0.11
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.23 ± 0.13)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.14 means a rating gap counts about 12% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Donovan Catholic by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 8 labelled days at Donovan Catholic, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →