NJISA 2023 Spring Series 4

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Colts 2 11 10 21
2 Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Colts 1 12 10 22
3 Southern Regional High School Southern Regional High School Rams 20 10 30
4 Ranney School Ranney School Panthers 29 11 40
5 Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Colts 4 22 30 52
6 Toms River North Toms River North Mariners 30 22 52
7 Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Colts 3 21 33 54
8 Donovan Catholic High School Donovan Catholic High School Griffins 2 22 34 56
9 Donovan Catholic High School Donovan Catholic High School Griffins 1 20 45 65
10 Toms River South Toms River South Indians 36 35 71
11 Trinity Hall Trinity Hall Monarchs 48 29 77
12 Our Lady of Mercy Academy Our Lady of Mercy Academy Villagers 41 44 85
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 TOT Sailors
Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Colts 2 2 5 2 2 11 Bryce Vitiello '23
Luke Pennisi '24
Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Colts 1 1 7 1 3 12 Christopher Small '26
Kyle Lombardino '25
Southern Regional High School Southern Regional High School Rams 7 4 3 6 20 Turner Ryon '25
Noah Tallman '25
Donovan Catholic High School Donovan Catholic High School Griffins 1 8 3 4 5 20 Kevin Brooksbank '23
Liam Marcell '26
Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Colts 3 4 9 7 1 21 Noah Kuzloski '23
Donald Johnston '25
Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Colts 4 3 6 6 7 22 Mitchell Hnatt '24
Nicholas Cunha '23
Donovan Catholic High School Donovan Catholic High School Griffins 2 9 1 8 4 22 James Kopack '24
Nicholas Fatigate '24
Ranney School Ranney School Panthers 5 2 11 11 29 Jack Whitman '23 [1-4]
Lewis Forrest '25 [1-2]
Anthony Abboud '25 [3-4]
Toms River North Toms River North Mariners 6 10 5 9 30 Iliana Vasslides '23
Stephanie Maulshagen '23
Toms River South Toms River South Indians 10 8 10 8 36 Ella Demand '24
Ava Mcnabb '24
Our Lady of Mercy Academy Our Lady of Mercy Academy Villagers 11 11 9 10 41 Imogene Nuss '24
Mia Catanese '24
Trinity Hall Trinity Hall Monarchs 12 12 12 12 48 Allison Beisel '24 [1-4]
Evelyn Magee '26 [1-2]
Madeline Castano '28 [3-4]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 TOT Sailors
Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Colts 1 1 1 4 4 10 Andrew Chiles '23
Ryan Mullholland '25
Southern Regional High School Southern Regional High School Rams 3 3 3 1 10 Belle Placa '25
Erin Little '24
Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Colts 2 4 2 1 3 10 Jules Buczkowski '26
Daniel Stephan '24
Ranney School Ranney School Panthers 2 5 2 2 11 Grace Bray '23 [1-4]
Sophia Behar '25 [1-2]
Dylan Pagonis '26 [3-4]
Toms River North Toms River North Mariners 6 4 7 5 22 Blake Jankowski '23
Scott Tedeschi '25
Trinity Hall Trinity Hall Monarchs 8 8 6 7 29 Izzy Bornebusch '25
Evelyn Magee '26
Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Colts 4 5 7 12 6 30 Greyson Colman '25 [1-2]
Andrew Dinger '24 [3-4]
Alton Deoliveria '26 [1-2]
Matthew Dupree '25 [3-4]
Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Colts 3 9 6 8 10 33 Matthew Wilhelm '24 [1-4]
Martin Horowitz '23 [1-2]
Erick Shi '24 [3-4]
Donovan Catholic High School Donovan Catholic High School Griffins 2 10 11 5 8 34 Scarlett Colman '26
Bridget Felser '26
Toms River South Toms River South Indians 7 9 10 9 35 Mollie Smith '25
Chase Kalwinsky '26
Our Lady of Mercy Academy Our Lady of Mercy Academy Villagers 11 10 11 12 44 Natalie Nuss '25
Anabelle Sawyer '25
Donovan Catholic High School Donovan Catholic High School Griffins 1 12 DNS 9 11 45 Richard Mcgowan '25
Grace Ciak '26
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.090+0.09
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2021 (10 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A
Christian Brothers AcademyChristian Brothers Academy Colts 120202020
Christian Brothers AcademyChristian Brothers Academy Colts 219191919
Christian Brothers AcademyChristian Brothers Academy Colts 318181818
Christian Brothers AcademyChristian Brothers Academy Colts 417171717
Donovan Catholic High SchoolDonovan Catholic High School Griffins 116161616
Donovan Catholic High SchoolDonovan Catholic High School Griffins 215151515
Our Lady of Mercy AcademyOur Lady of Mercy Academy Villagers14141414
Ranney SchoolRanney School Panthers13131313
Southern Regional High SchoolSouthern Regional High School Rams12121212
Toms River NorthToms River North Mariners11111111
Toms River SouthToms River South Indians8888
Trinity HallTrinity Hall Monarchs7777

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B
Christian Brothers AcademyChristian Brothers Academy Colts 120202020
Christian Brothers AcademyChristian Brothers Academy Colts 219191919
Christian Brothers AcademyChristian Brothers Academy Colts 318181818
Christian Brothers AcademyChristian Brothers Academy Colts 417171717
Donovan Catholic High SchoolDonovan Catholic High School Griffins 116161616
Donovan Catholic High SchoolDonovan Catholic High School Griffins 215151515
Our Lady of Mercy AcademyOur Lady of Mercy Academy Villagers14141414
Ranney SchoolRanney School Panthers13131313
Southern Regional High SchoolSouthern Regional High School Rams12121212
Toms River NorthToms River North Mariners11111111
Toms River SouthToms River South Indians8888
Trinity HallTrinity Hall Monarchs7777
School / Team SkipperCrew
Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Christopher Small '26 Kyle Lombardino '25
Colts 1 Andrew Chiles '23 Ryan Mullholland '25
Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Bryce Vitiello '23 Luke Pennisi '24
Colts 2 Jules Buczkowski '26 Daniel Stephan '24
Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Noah Kuzloski '23 Donald Johnston '25
Colts 3 Matthew Wilhelm '24 [1-4] Martin Horowitz '23 [1-2]
Erick Shi '24 [3-4]
Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Mitchell Hnatt '24 Nicholas Cunha '23
Colts 4 Greyson Colman '25 [1-2]
Andrew Dinger '24 [3-4]
Alton Deoliveria '26 [1-2]
Matthew Dupree '25 [3-4]
Donovan Catholic High School Donovan Catholic High School Kevin Brooksbank '23 Liam Marcell '26
Griffins 1 Richard Mcgowan '25 Grace Ciak '26
Donovan Catholic High School Donovan Catholic High School James Kopack '24 Nicholas Fatigate '24
Griffins 2 Scarlett Colman '26 Bridget Felser '26
Our Lady of Mercy Academy Our Lady of Mercy Academy Imogene Nuss '24 Mia Catanese '24
Villagers Natalie Nuss '25 Anabelle Sawyer '25
Ranney School Ranney School Jack Whitman '23 [1-4] Lewis Forrest '25 [1-2]
Anthony Abboud '25 [3-4]
Panthers Grace Bray '23 [1-4] Sophia Behar '25 [1-2]
Dylan Pagonis '26 [3-4]
Southern Regional High School Southern Regional High School Turner Ryon '25 Noah Tallman '25
Rams Belle Placa '25 Erin Little '24
Toms River North Toms River North Iliana Vasslides '23 Stephanie Maulshagen '23
Mariners Blake Jankowski '23 Scott Tedeschi '25
Toms River South Toms River South Ella Demand '24 Ava Mcnabb '24
Indians Mollie Smith '25 Chase Kalwinsky '26
Trinity Hall Trinity Hall Allison Beisel '24 [1-4] Evelyn Magee '26 [1-2]
Madeline Castano '28 [3-4]
Monarchs Izzy Bornebusch '25 Evelyn Magee '26

Conditions — 04/19/2023 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 38%  ·  Pressure 1018.2 hPa

Temperature

59°F
↑ 66°F   ↓ 47°F
Feels like 51°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
10.4 kn
avg  ·  max 12.6 kn
Gusts to 25.5 kn
From W (274°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover21% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity38% Pressure1018.2 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: W 7 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Southern Regional: a favourites’ day (+0.09)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.01 (an ordinary fleet) · combined forecast +0.10
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.21 ± 0.17)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.09 means a rating gap counts about 8% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Southern Regional by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 9 labelled days at Southern Regional, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →