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RI Friday Night Lights #2

# SchoolTeam TOT
1 The Prout School The Prout School Crusaders 46
2 Portsmouth High School RI Portsmouth High School RI Patriots 60
3 MBL Coop MBL Coop MBL Coop 71
4 East Greenwich High School East Greenwich High School Avengers 83
5 Barrington High School Barrington High School Eagles 103
6 Skippers Skippers Skippers 114
7 Purple Purple Purple 128
8 Middletown High School Middletown High School Islanders 141
9 Rogers High School Rogers High School Vikings 146
10 Moses Brown School Moses Brown School Quakers 167
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 TOT Sailors
The Prout School The Prout School Crusaders B 2 3 2 2 2 11 Ethan Brown '25 [1-2]
Claire Lewis '23 [3-4]
Jake Demos '23 [5]
Maddie Ammatuna '26 [1-2]
Cathryn Mcquesten '26 [3-4]
Lizzie Rak '27 [5]
Portsmouth High School RI Portsmouth High School RI Patriots A 1 5 1 3 6 16 James Hacket '26 [1-4]
Ava Mcdermott '26 [5]
Cameron Davis '26 [1-4]
Cole Hughes '24 [5]
MBL Coop MBL Coop MBL Coop A 5 1 16 1 3 26
East Greenwich High School East Greenwich High School Avengers A 4 2 8 4 14 32 Milo Baumgartner '25 [1-3, 5]
Colin Auvil '26 [4]
Beckett Nutting '24 [1-2, 5]
Colin Auvil '26 [3-4]
The Prout School The Prout School Crusaders A 3 4 5 11 12 35 Abbey Grandin '23 [1-2]
Jake Demos '23 [3-4]
Francie Lewis '24 [5]
Claire Lewis '23 [1-2]
Andrew Gudz '26 [3-4]
Ebby Demos '26 [5]
Skippers Skippers Skippers A 6 10 11 8 1 36
Portsmouth High School RI Portsmouth High School RI Patriots B 8 16 3 12 5 44 Henry Steadman '24 [1-2]
Leo Burnham '25 [3-5]
Nehuel Armenanzas '25 [1-2]
Matthew Defalco '27 [3-5]
MBL Coop MBL Coop MBL Coop B 7 13 15 6 4 45
East Greenwich High School East Greenwich High School Avengers B 12 8 14 9 8 51 Davis Collette '26 [1-5]
Cailin Tolppa '26 [1-2, 5]
Isaac Kaldor '25 [3-4]
Barrington High School Barrington High School Eagles B DNF 14 4 5 7 51 Jack Rayden '19
Briella Weimer '26
Barrington High School Barrington High School Eagles A 9 6 19 7 11 52 Riley Kloc '18
Sophia Lapine '26
Purple Purple Purple A 14 11 17 10 10 62
Rogers High School Rogers High School Vikings A 17 18 6 15 9 65 Katie Guinan '25 [1-2]
Brettyn Newsome '23 [3-4]
Morgan Spring '25 [5]
Matthew Mullins '23 [1-2]
Mia Hanson '26 [3-5]
Purple Purple Purple B 11 12 10 14 19 66
Middletown High School Middletown High School Islanders A 10 9 18 16 16 69 Bruce Gibson '25 [1-2]
Ella Donaldson '23 [3-4]
Barns Poole '25 [5]
Alyse Moy '23 [1-2]
Kathlyn Weiss '23 [3-4]
Ella Donaldson '23 [5]
Moses Brown School Moses Brown School Quakers A DNF 7 7 DNF 15 71 Teo Fremont-Smith '25
Lincoln Knapp '25
Middletown High School Middletown High School Islanders B 13 15 13 13 18 72 Barns Poole '25 [1-2]
Riley Dupre '25 [3-5]
Adriana Carroll '23 [1-2]
Zen Tien '26 [3-5]
Skippers Skippers Skippers B 16 19 12 18 13 78
Rogers High School Rogers High School Vikings B 15 20 9 17 20 81 Michael Bucci '23
Will Dargan '25
Moses Brown School Moses Brown School Quakers B DNF 17 20 RAF 17 96 Ivy Dumas '25
Kat Mccolough '24
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.090+0.09
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2019 (11 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A
Barrington High SchoolBarrington High School Eagles1919191919
PurplePurple Purple1717171717
East Greenwich High SchoolEast Greenwich High School Avengers1515151515
Middletown High SchoolMiddletown High School Islanders1313131313
Moses Brown SchoolMoses Brown School Quakers1111111111
SkippersSkippers Skippers99999
Portsmouth High School RIPortsmouth High School RI Patriots77777
Rogers High SchoolRogers High School Vikings55555
The Prout SchoolThe Prout School Crusaders33333
MBL CoopMBL Coop MBL Coop11111

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B
Barrington High SchoolBarrington High School Eagles2020202020
PurplePurple Purple1818181818
East Greenwich High SchoolEast Greenwich High School Avengers1616161616
Middletown High SchoolMiddletown High School Islanders1414141414
Moses Brown SchoolMoses Brown School Quakers1212121212
SkippersSkippers Skippers1010101010
Portsmouth High School RIPortsmouth High School RI Patriots88888
Rogers High SchoolRogers High School Vikings66666
The Prout SchoolThe Prout School Crusaders44444
MBL CoopMBL Coop MBL Coop22222
School / Team SkipperCrew
Barrington High School Barrington High School Riley Kloc '18 Sophia Lapine '26
Eagles Jack Rayden '19 Briella Weimer '26
East Greenwich High School East Greenwich High School Milo Baumgartner '25 [1-3, 5]
Colin Auvil '26 [4]		 Beckett Nutting '24 [1-2, 5]
Colin Auvil '26 [3-4]
Avengers Davis Collette '26 [1-5] Cailin Tolppa '26 [1-2, 5]
Isaac Kaldor '25 [3-4]
Middletown High School Middletown High School Bruce Gibson '25 [1-2]
Ella Donaldson '23 [3-4]
Barns Poole '25 [5]		 Alyse Moy '23 [1-2]
Kathlyn Weiss '23 [3-4]
Ella Donaldson '23 [5]
Islanders Barns Poole '25 [1-2]
Riley Dupre '25 [3-5]		 Adriana Carroll '23 [1-2]
Zen Tien '26 [3-5]
Moses Brown School Moses Brown School Teo Fremont-Smith '25 Lincoln Knapp '25
Quakers Ivy Dumas '25 Kat Mccolough '24
Portsmouth High School RI Portsmouth High School RI James Hacket '26 [1-4]
Ava Mcdermott '26 [5]		 Cameron Davis '26 [1-4]
Cole Hughes '24 [5]
Patriots Henry Steadman '24 [1-2]
Leo Burnham '25 [3-5]		 Nehuel Armenanzas '25 [1-2]
Matthew Defalco '27 [3-5]
Rogers High School Rogers High School Katie Guinan '25 [1-2]
Brettyn Newsome '23 [3-4]
Morgan Spring '25 [5]		 Matthew Mullins '23 [1-2]
Mia Hanson '26 [3-5]
Vikings Michael Bucci '23 Will Dargan '25
The Prout School The Prout School Abbey Grandin '23 [1-2]
Jake Demos '23 [3-4]
Francie Lewis '24 [5]		 Claire Lewis '23 [1-2]
Andrew Gudz '26 [3-4]
Ebby Demos '26 [5]
Crusaders Ethan Brown '25 [1-2]
Claire Lewis '23 [3-4]
Jake Demos '23 [5]		 Maddie Ammatuna '26 [1-2]
Cathryn Mcquesten '26 [3-4]
Lizzie Rak '27 [5]

Conditions — 04/28/2023 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 75%  ·  Pressure 1022.9 hPa

Temperature

53°F
↑ 57°F   ↓ 49°F
Feels like 49°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
7.3 kn
avg  ·  max 10.9 kn
Gusts to 21.2 kn
From ESE (120°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover100% Sunshine8.6 hrs Humidity75% Pressure1022.9 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SE 11 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Sail Newport: a favourites’ day (+0.06)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.11 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.16
Actual: a strongly underdogs’ day (−0.70 ± 0.21)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.06 means a rating gap counts about 5% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Sail Newport by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 2 labelled days at Sail Newport, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →