SAISA NP #7 (Varsity)

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Antilles School Antilles School Hurricanes 31 21 52
2 John T. Hoggard High School John T. Hoggard High School Vikings Varsity 39 35 74
3 Bishop Kenny High School - FL Bishop Kenny High School - FL Bishop Kenny 34 49 83
4 Lucy Beckham High School Lucy Beckham High School Bengals 35 62 97
5 James Island Charter High School James Island Charter High School Varsity 46 52 98
6 VIMSIA VIMSIA Varsity 42 61 103
7 Ashley Hall Ashley Hall Panthers 76 39 115
8 Porter-Gaud School Porter-Gaud School Varsity 69 56 125
9 Wando High School Wando High School Warriors 65 63 128
10 Academic Magnet High School Academic Magnet High School Raptors A 48 84 132
11 Episcopal School of Jacksonville Episcopal School of Jacksonville ESJ 80 65 145
12 Ben Lippen School Ben Lippen School Varsity Sailing 108 53 161
13 Aquinas High School Aquinas High School Fighting Irish 71 107 178
14 Waccamaw High School Waccamaw High School Waccamaw Warriors 106 113 219
15 Lake Norman High School Lake Norman High School Wildcats 116 104 220
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
Antilles School Antilles School Hurricanes 7 5 1 3 1 9 2 3 31 Andy Yu '23 [1-8]
Katherine Majette '23 [1-2, 5-8]
Alexis Young '23 [3-4]
Bishop Kenny High School - FL Bishop Kenny High School - FL Bishop Kenny 1 1 4 6 7 5 9 1 34 Mary Katherine Monahan '24
Alex Patangan '23
Lucy Beckham High School Lucy Beckham High School Bengals 6 8 2 1 4 3 3 8 35 Nathan Pine '26
Addy Fisher '23
John T. Hoggard High School John T. Hoggard High School Vikings Varsity 3 4 3 4 OCS 2 1 6 39 Ben Usher '23
Andrew Simpson '23
VIMSIA VIMSIA Varsity 12 3 6 2 3 7 7 2 42 Mariana Brunt '26
Aurora Rodriguez '26
James Island Charter High School James Island Charter High School Varsity 4 6 7 8 5 1 8 7 46 Felix Hagar '25
Bryson Eaton '24
Academic Magnet High School Academic Magnet High School Raptors A 10 7 5 5 6 4 6 5 48 Lawton Harper '24 [1-8]
Elizabeth Hample '25 [1-4]
Charlie Claus '26 [5-8]
Wando High School Wando High School Warriors 9 12 8 11 2 8 5 10 65 Langdon Wallace '23
Alessandro Mazzi '25
Porter-Gaud School Porter-Gaud School Varsity 5 2 11 7 11 12 10 11 69 William (Jackson) Shealy '26 [1-4, 7-8]
Granger Osborne '26 [5-6]
Robertson Allen '26 [1-4, 7-8]
Mason Matthews '26 [5-6]
Aquinas High School Aquinas High School Fighting Irish 2 11 12 9 10 10 4 13 71 Alex Bagnoni '23 [1-8]
Diego Pryor '24 [1-6]
Keegan Williams '23 [7-8]
Ashley Hall Ashley Hall Panthers 8 9 10 12 OCS 6 11 4 76 Andrea Melnik '23
Madison Bernard '23
Episcopal School of Jacksonville Episcopal School of Jacksonville ESJ 11 10 9 10 8 11 12 9 80 Scott Busey '23 [1-8]
Cohen Chesser '23 [1-2, 5-6]
Julia Dinzelbacher '25 [3-4, 7-8]
Waccamaw High School Waccamaw High School Waccamaw Warriors 13 14 13 14 12 14 14 12 106 Nash Allison '24 [1-8]
Stevie Paris '25 [1-4]
Collin Nalley '25 [5-6]
Virginia (Gg) Smith '26 [7-8]
Ben Lippen School Ben Lippen School Varsity Sailing 14 13 14 13 9 15 15 15 108 Reese Blackwell '24 [1-8]
Yifan Lin '23 [1-2, 7-8]
Haolin Chen '28 [3-4]
Samuel Welsford '24 [5-6]
Lake Norman High School Lake Norman High School Wildcats 15 15 15 15 OCS 13 13 14 116 Chase Dixon '23 [1-8]
Luke Pannenbacker '25 [1-2, 5-8]
Carli Dixon '26 [3-4]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
Antilles School Antilles School Hurricanes 1 1 1 5 2 2 1 8 21 Winn Majette '23
Caitlin Briggs '23
John T. Hoggard High School John T. Hoggard High School Vikings Varsity 8 3 11 2 1 1 6 3 35 Tavia Smith '23
Petra Humphrey '25
Ashley Hall Ashley Hall Panthers 7 10 3 1 7 7 2 2 39 Perrin Mueller '26
Mary Wade Brewer '25
Bishop Kenny High School - FL Bishop Kenny High School - FL Bishop Kenny 2 8 2 9 10 9 5 4 49 Davis Mclauchlin '24 [1-8]
Finn Robinson '25 [1-6]
Jalila Nackashi '24 [7-8]
James Island Charter High School James Island Charter High School Varsity 11 5 6 4 5 11 4 6 52 Molly Loring '24 [1-8]
Mya Thomas '24 [1-2]
Jackson Fisher '26 [3-8]
Ben Lippen School Ben Lippen School Varsity Sailing 3 6 5 10 8 3 8 10 53 Reece Brown '24
Cooper Denny '24
Porter-Gaud School Porter-Gaud School Varsity 4 2 8 8 3 6 14 11 56 Fordham Smith '23 [1-8]
Lisee Skoglund '23 [1-2, 5-8]
Granger Osborne '26 [3-4]
VIMSIA VIMSIA Varsity 6 12 9 13 4 5 7 5 61 Jackson Auchincloss '24
Ella Crew '25
Lucy Beckham High School Lucy Beckham High School Bengals 9 9 7 7 RAF 10 3 1 62 Gresham Kinard '26 [1-6]
James Pine '26 [7-8]
Eliot Mack '25 [1-6]
Charlotte Casey '25 [7-8]
Wando High School Wando High School Warriors 5 4 12 6 9 8 12 7 63 Madeleine Harris '25
Caroline Larrabee '25
Episcopal School of Jacksonville Episcopal School of Jacksonville ESJ 10 7 4 3 11 12 9 9 65 Mcrae Busey '25 [1-8]
Rohan Jones '24 [1-6]
Maya Jones '26 [7-8]
Academic Magnet High School Academic Magnet High School Raptors A 12 11 10 12 13 4 10 12 84 Mason Fisher '26
Caroline Uram '24
Lake Norman High School Lake Norman High School Wildcats 14 13 14 11 6 OCS 15 15 104 Cole Campbell '23 [1-8]
John Bellissimo '25 [1-6]
Carli Dixon '26 [7-8]
Aquinas High School Aquinas High School Fighting Irish 13 14 13 14 14 13 13 13 107 Ian Sternkopf '27 [1-6]
Diego Pryor '24 [7-8]
Keegan Williams '23 [1-2, 5-6]
Carter Warlick '24 [3-4, 7-8]
Waccamaw High School Waccamaw High School Waccamaw Warriors 15 15 DNF DNF 12 14 11 14 113 Dominic Yanez '26 [1-4]
Stevie Paris '25 [5-8]
Virginia (Gg) Smith '26 [1-2, 5-6]
Collin Nalley '25 [3-4]
Dominic Yanez '26 [7-8]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.130+0.13
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2023 (3 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A
Academic Magnet High SchoolAcademic Magnet High School Raptors A11335577
Antilles SchoolAntilles School Hurricanes22446688
Aquinas High SchoolAquinas High School Fighting Irish33557799
Ashley HallAshley Hall Panthers4466881010
Ben Lippen SchoolBen Lippen School Varsity Sailing5577991111
Bishop Kenny High School - FLBishop Kenny High School - FL Bishop Kenny668810101212
Episcopal School of JacksonvilleEpiscopal School of Jacksonville ESJ779911111313
James Island Charter High SchoolJames Island Charter High School Varsity88101012121414
John T. Hoggard High SchoolJohn T. Hoggard High School Vikings Varsity99111113131515
Lake Norman High SchoolLake Norman High School Wildcats10101212141411
Lucy Beckham High SchoolLucy Beckham High School Bengals11111313151522
VIMSIAVIMSIA Varsity131315152244
Porter-Gaud SchoolPorter-Gaud School Varsity121214141133
Waccamaw High SchoolWaccamaw High School Waccamaw Warriors1414113355
Wando High SchoolWando High School Warriors1515224466

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B
Academic Magnet High SchoolAcademic Magnet High School Raptors A22446688
Antilles SchoolAntilles School Hurricanes33557799
Aquinas High SchoolAquinas High School Fighting Irish4466881010
Ashley HallAshley Hall Panthers5577991111
Ben Lippen SchoolBen Lippen School Varsity Sailing668810101212
Bishop Kenny High School - FLBishop Kenny High School - FL Bishop Kenny779911111313
Episcopal School of JacksonvilleEpiscopal School of Jacksonville ESJ88101012121414
James Island Charter High SchoolJames Island Charter High School Varsity99111113131515
John T. Hoggard High SchoolJohn T. Hoggard High School Vikings Varsity10101212141411
Lake Norman High SchoolLake Norman High School Wildcats11111313151522
Lucy Beckham High SchoolLucy Beckham High School Bengals121214141133
VIMSIAVIMSIA Varsity1414113355
Porter-Gaud SchoolPorter-Gaud School Varsity131315152244
Waccamaw High SchoolWaccamaw High School Waccamaw Warriors1515224466
Wando High SchoolWando High School Warriors11335577
School / Team SkipperCrew
Academic Magnet High School Academic Magnet High School Lawton Harper '24 [1-8] Elizabeth Hample '25 [1-4]
Charlie Claus '26 [5-8]
Raptors A Mason Fisher '26 Caroline Uram '24
Antilles School Antilles School Andy Yu '23 [1-8] Katherine Majette '23 [1-2, 5-8]
Alexis Young '23 [3-4]
Hurricanes Winn Majette '23 Caitlin Briggs '23
Aquinas High School Aquinas High School Alex Bagnoni '23 [1-8] Diego Pryor '24 [1-6]
Keegan Williams '23 [7-8]
Fighting Irish Ian Sternkopf '27 [1-6]
Diego Pryor '24 [7-8]
Keegan Williams '23 [1-2, 5-6]
Carter Warlick '24 [3-4, 7-8]
Ashley Hall Ashley Hall Andrea Melnik '23 Madison Bernard '23
Panthers Perrin Mueller '26 Mary Wade Brewer '25
Ben Lippen School Ben Lippen School Reese Blackwell '24 [1-8] Yifan Lin '23 [1-2, 7-8]
Haolin Chen '28 [3-4]
Samuel Welsford '24 [5-6]
Varsity Sailing Reece Brown '24 Cooper Denny '24
Bishop Kenny High School - FL Bishop Kenny High School - FL Mary Katherine Monahan '24 Alex Patangan '23
Bishop Kenny Davis Mclauchlin '24 [1-8] Finn Robinson '25 [1-6]
Jalila Nackashi '24 [7-8]
Episcopal School of Jacksonville Episcopal School of Jacksonville Scott Busey '23 [1-8] Cohen Chesser '23 [1-2, 5-6]
Julia Dinzelbacher '25 [3-4, 7-8]
ESJ Mcrae Busey '25 [1-8] Rohan Jones '24 [1-6]
Maya Jones '26 [7-8]
James Island Charter High School James Island Charter High School Felix Hagar '25 Bryson Eaton '24
Varsity Molly Loring '24 [1-8] Mya Thomas '24 [1-2]
Jackson Fisher '26 [3-8]
John T. Hoggard High School John T. Hoggard High School Ben Usher '23 Andrew Simpson '23
Vikings Varsity Tavia Smith '23 Petra Humphrey '25
Lake Norman High School Lake Norman High School Chase Dixon '23 [1-8] Luke Pannenbacker '25 [1-2, 5-8]
Carli Dixon '26 [3-4]
Wildcats Cole Campbell '23 [1-8] John Bellissimo '25 [1-6]
Carli Dixon '26 [7-8]
Lucy Beckham High School Lucy Beckham High School Nathan Pine '26 Addy Fisher '23
Bengals Gresham Kinard '26 [1-6]
James Pine '26 [7-8]
Eliot Mack '25 [1-6]
Charlotte Casey '25 [7-8]
Porter-Gaud School Porter-Gaud School William (Jackson) Shealy '26 [1-4, 7-8]
Granger Osborne '26 [5-6]
Robertson Allen '26 [1-4, 7-8]
Mason Matthews '26 [5-6]
Varsity Fordham Smith '23 [1-8] Lisee Skoglund '23 [1-2, 5-8]
Granger Osborne '26 [3-4]
VIMSIA VIMSIA Mariana Brunt '26 Aurora Rodriguez '26
Varsity Jackson Auchincloss '24 Ella Crew '25
Waccamaw High School Waccamaw High School Nash Allison '24 [1-8] Stevie Paris '25 [1-4]
Collin Nalley '25 [5-6]
Virginia (Gg) Smith '26 [7-8]
Waccamaw Warriors Dominic Yanez '26 [1-4]
Stevie Paris '25 [5-8]
Virginia (Gg) Smith '26 [1-2, 5-6]
Collin Nalley '25 [3-4]
Dominic Yanez '26 [7-8]
Wando High School Wando High School Langdon Wallace '23 Alessandro Mazzi '25
Warriors Madeleine Harris '25 Caroline Larrabee '25

Conditions — 03/18/2023 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 68%  ·  Pressure 1015.5 hPa

Temperature

52°F
↑ 61°F   ↓ 36°F
Feels like 49°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
2.3 kn
avg  ·  max 3.5 kn
Gusts to 9.9 kn
From N (358°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover95% Sunshine8.8 hrs Humidity68% Pressure1015.5 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: W 9 kn · SW 5 kn* (*weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Cape Fear Academy/Eugene Ashley/Girls Leadership Aca/John T. Hoggard/New Hanover/Topsail: a strongly underdogs’ day (−0.10)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.04 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast −0.07
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.12 ± 0.10)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.10 means a rating gap counts about 9% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Cape Fear Academy/Eugene Ashley/Girls Leadership Aca/John T. Hoggard/New Hanover/Topsail by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 2 labelled days at Cape Fear Academy/Eugene Ashley/Girls Leadership Aca/John T. Hoggard/New Hanover/Topsail, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →