MDISA WRSC Spring Tier 2/Silver Regatta

HostSouth River/Southern
Date04/02/2023
TypeIn-League
BoatZ420
Scoring2 Divisions

#	School	Team	A	B	TOT
1	Southern High School	Bulldogs 2	8	32	40
2	Southern High School	Bulldogs 1	17	24	41
3	Henderson High School	Warriors	36	9	45
4	Leonardtown High School	Raiders	43	12	55
5	School Without Walls	Varsity	45	34	79
6	St. Mary's High School (MD)	Saints	24	58	82
7	Sts. Peter & Paul	Sabres	47 MRP	47 MRP	94 MRP
8	Key School	Zags	38	60	98
9	Annapolis High School	Panthers	54	51	105
10	Great Mills High School	Hornets	60	50	110
11	South River High School	Seahawks	57	57	114
12	Severna Park	Falcons	63	56	119

School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	R6	TOT	Sailors
Southern High School	Bulldogs 2	1	1	2	2	1	1	8	Scott Opert '24 Molly Dowling '25
Southern High School	Bulldogs 1	2	4	4	1	4	2	17	Sophie Griggs '24 Eric Nielsen '24
St. Mary's High School (MD)	Saints	7	6	1	4	3	3	24	Antigua Steward '24 Abigail Jones '26
Henderson High School	Warriors	4	2	3	7	DSQ	7	36	James Cottage '23 Nathan Joseph '24
Key School	Zags	6	5	6	DNS	2	6	38	Ana Fishback '27 [1-6] Archie Dove '31 [1-4] Elizabeth Roesch '27 [5-6]
Leonardtown High School	Raiders	3	7	9	8	8	8	43	Will Grah '25 Cormac Flynn '24
School Without Walls	Varsity	8	10	7	9	6	5	45	Emmett Nash '28 Eli Cummins '27
Sts. Peter & Paul	Sabres	5	3	5	5	5	4	47 MRP	Louisa Kalinski '25 Victor Kleppinger '25
Annapolis High School	Panthers	10	9	10	6	7	12	54	Rylee Landry '27 Gemma Love '25
South River High School	Seahawks	DNF	DNS	8	3	9	11	57	Fiona O'Rourke '28 [1-4] Clara Neeland '26 [5-6] Everett Barker '25 [1-2] Lincoln Ditchkofsky-Hartge '26 [3-4] Maddie Atwood '26 [5-6]
Great Mills High School	Hornets	9	8	12	11	11	9	60	Charles Keister '23 Gabriel Cannavo '23
Severna Park	Falcons	11	11	11	10	10	10	63	Tanner Strom '23 Bret Boeskin '23

School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	R6	TOT	Sailors
Henderson High School	Warriors	1	2	1	1	2	2	9	Drew Defonzo '26 Peter Mazzagatti '26
Leonardtown High School	Raiders	3	1	2	2	3	1	12	David Abbott '23 Charlie Bates '26
Southern High School	Bulldogs 1	2	7	5	3	4	3	24	Lara Nielsen '24 Maggie Dowling '27
Southern High School	Bulldogs 2	5	6	4	5	8	4	32	Michael Grube '24 [1-6] Carter Steiert '27 [1-4] Rory Campbell '28 [5-6]
School Without Walls	Varsity	7	5	7	6	1	8	34	Amory Smith '26 [1-6] Georgia Neaderland '26 [1-2, 5-6] Malory Kroeger '24 [3-4]
Sts. Peter & Paul	Sabres	4	4	3	4	5	7	47 MRP	Armand Otmishi '24 Caroline Welte '25
Great Mills High School	Hornets	11	10	9	9	6	5	50	John Mercier '27 Owen Smith '26
Annapolis High School	Panthers	9	DNS	6	7	10	6	51	Henry Meyer '25 Robert Bauer '26
Severna Park	Falcons	12	3	8	8	12	DNF	56	Spencer Aubel '26 Alexandria Still '27
South River High School	Seahawks	6	9	10	11	11	10	57	Lily Moss '25 [1-2, 5-6] Clara Neeland '26 [3-4] Marik Apol-Murphy '25 [1-2, 5-6] Maddie Atwood '26 [3-4]
St. Mary's High School (MD)	Saints	10	11	11	10	7	9	58	James Chapman '27 Barrett Mouritzen '23
Key School	Zags	8	8	12	12	9	11	60	Mary Hayes Cobbum '27 [1-2] Quinn Curry '25 [3-6] Annabelle Ulak '26 [1-2] Grayson Martien '25 [3-6]

Boat Speed Analyzer

SlowExpected boat effectFast

−0.080+0.08

Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2023 (4 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team	1A	2A	3A	4A	5A	6A
Annapolis High School Panthers	1	1	3	3	5	5
Great Mills High School Hornets	2	2	4	4	6	6
Key School Zags	4	4	6	6	8	8
Leonardtown High School Raiders	5	5	7	7	9	9
Henderson High School Warriors	3	3	5	5	7	7
Sts. Peter & Paul Sabres	12	12	2	2	4	4
Severna Park Falcons	7	7	9	9	11	11
South River High School Seahawks	8	8	10	10	12	12
Southern High School Bulldogs 1	9	9	11	11	1	1
Southern High School Bulldogs 2	10	10	12	12	2	2
St. Mary's High School (MD) Saints	11	11	1	1	3	3
School Without Walls Varsity	6	6	8	8	10	10

Division B

Team	1B	2B	3B	4B	5B	6B
Annapolis High School Panthers	2	2	4	4	6	6
Great Mills High School Hornets	3	3	5	5	7	7
Key School Zags	5	5	7	7	9	9
Leonardtown High School Raiders	6	6	8	8	10	10
Henderson High School Warriors	4	4	6	6	8	8
Sts. Peter & Paul Sabres	1	1	3	3	5	5
Severna Park Falcons	8	8	10	10	12	12
South River High School Seahawks	9	9	11	11	1	1
Southern High School Bulldogs 1	10	10	12	12	2	2
Southern High School Bulldogs 2	11	11	1	1	3	3
St. Mary's High School (MD) Saints	12	12	2	2	4	4
School Without Walls Varsity	7	7	9	9	11	11

School / Team	Skipper	Crew
Annapolis High School	Rylee Landry '27	Gemma Love '25
Panthers	Henry Meyer '25	Robert Bauer '26
Great Mills High School	Charles Keister '23	Gabriel Cannavo '23
Hornets	John Mercier '27	Owen Smith '26
Henderson High School	James Cottage '23	Nathan Joseph '24
Warriors	Drew Defonzo '26	Peter Mazzagatti '26
Key School	Ana Fishback '27 [1-6]	Archie Dove '31 [1-4] Elizabeth Roesch '27 [5-6]
Zags	Mary Hayes Cobbum '27 [1-2] Quinn Curry '25 [3-6]	Annabelle Ulak '26 [1-2] Grayson Martien '25 [3-6]
Leonardtown High School	Will Grah '25	Cormac Flynn '24
Raiders	David Abbott '23	Charlie Bates '26
School Without Walls	Emmett Nash '28	Eli Cummins '27
Varsity	Amory Smith '26 [1-6]	Georgia Neaderland '26 [1-2, 5-6] Malory Kroeger '24 [3-4]
Severna Park	Tanner Strom '23	Bret Boeskin '23
Falcons	Spencer Aubel '26	Alexandria Still '27
South River High School	Fiona O'Rourke '28 [1-4] Clara Neeland '26 [5-6]	Everett Barker '25 [1-2] Lincoln Ditchkofsky-Hartge '26 [3-4] Maddie Atwood '26 [5-6]
Seahawks	Lily Moss '25 [1-2, 5-6] Clara Neeland '26 [3-4]	Marik Apol-Murphy '25 [1-2, 5-6] Maddie Atwood '26 [3-4]
Southern High School	Sophie Griggs '24	Eric Nielsen '24
Bulldogs 1	Lara Nielsen '24	Maggie Dowling '27
Southern High School	Scott Opert '24	Molly Dowling '25
Bulldogs 2	Michael Grube '24 [1-6]	Carter Steiert '27 [1-4] Rory Campbell '28 [5-6]
St. Mary's High School (MD)	Antigua Steward '24	Abigail Jones '26
Saints	James Chapman '27	Barrett Mouritzen '23
Sts. Peter & Paul	Louisa Kalinski '25	Victor Kleppinger '25
Sabres	Armand Otmishi '24	Caroline Welte '25

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

What a rating point is worthA one-point edge is a 73% chance to beat another boat in a race; two points is 88%.
Should the best sailor sail A?Add your two skippers’ ratings and compare with the field; above it the better skipper belongs in A.
Are the boats even?Boats differ by about 0.3 places a race; fleets are uneven from day one.
Which venues get orderly in a breeze?Some venues get orderly when it blows, a few get messier; the fleet comes first.

All notes →

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MDISA WRSC Spring Tier 2/Silver Regatta

Division A

Division B

From the notes