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2024 MN State Champs Green

# SchoolTeam A TOT
1 White Bear Lake High School White Bear Lake High School Bears 11 11
2 Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 4 13 13
3 Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 2 14 14
4 Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 1 15 15
5 Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 3 16 16
6 Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 5 26 26
7 St. Paul Academy (MN) St. Paul Academy (MN) Spartans 29 29
8 Southwest High School Southwest High School Lakers 29 29
9 Wayzata High School Wayzata High School Navy 1 38 38
10 Great River School Great River School Mixed 41 41
11 Washburn High School Washburn High School Millers 48 48
12 Wayzata High School Wayzata High School Navy 2 48 48
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 TOT Sailors
White Bear Lake High School White Bear Lake High School Bears 2 6 1 2 11 Robbie Dresen '25
Elin Reigstad '25
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 4 3 4 3 3 13 Max Barrett '25
Joey Kim '26
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 2 1 2 6 5 14 Reese Kottke '26
Amelia Sulciner '24
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 1 4 5 5 1 15 Evy Engebretson '24
David Acheson '24
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 3 5 3 4 4 16 Jack Brellenthin '26
Cayla Beddor '29
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 5 10 1 2 DNF 26 Addy Zinn '26
Anastasia Gilbert '26
St. Paul Academy (MN) St. Paul Academy (MN) Spartans 7 7 8 7 29 Adi Narayan '27
Talia Cairns '25
Southwest High School Southwest High School Lakers 8 8 7 6 29 Ella Fritz '27
Jamie Mcguffee '25
Wayzata High School Wayzata High School Navy 1 9 12 9 8 38 Liam Strobel '29 [1-4]
Ty Andrada '29 [1-2]
Owen Neus '29 [3-4]
Great River School Great River School Mixed 6 9 DNF DNS 41 Claire Schendel '26
Silas Taylor '25
Washburn High School Washburn High School Millers 11 11 DNS DNF 48 Jude Kolpashchikov-Clark '29
Soren Miller-Sardelis '24
Wayzata High School Wayzata High School Navy 2 12 10 DNS DNF 48 Nicholas Grimm '28
Maggie Hewitt '25
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.060+0.06
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2024 (2 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A
Great River SchoolGreat River School Mixed6142614271947194
Minnetonka High SchoolMinnetonka High School Skippers 16126121111
Minnetonka High SchoolMinnetonka High School Skippers 211112727
Minnetonka High SchoolMinnetonka High School Skippers 3272772277227
Minnetonka High SchoolMinnetonka High School Skippers 47227722772477247
Minnetonka High SchoolMinnetonka High School Skippers 57247724772467246
Southwest High SchoolSouthwest High School Lakers7246724672287228
St. Paul Academy (MN)St. Paul Academy (MN) Spartans72287228292292
Washburn High SchoolWashburn High School Millers29229272167216
Wayzata High SchoolWayzata High School Navy 17216721666986698
Wayzata High SchoolWayzata High School Navy 26698669871937193
White Bear Lake High SchoolWhite Bear Lake High School Bears7193719361426142

Conditions — 05/25/2024 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 54%  ·  Pressure 1007.1 hPa

Temperature

67°F
↑ 75°F   ↓ 55°F
Feels like 64°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
9.6 kn
avg  ·  max 14.4 kn
Gusts to 31.9 kn
From SW (219°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover67% Sunshine8.0 hrs Humidity54% Pressure1007.1 hPa Rain0.02 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: S 16 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Minneapolis Sailing Center: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.11)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.07 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.19
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.30 ± 0.30)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.11 means a rating gap counts about 10% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Minneapolis Sailing Center by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 1 labelled days at Minneapolis Sailing Center, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →