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2024 MN State Champs Red

# SchoolTeam A TOT
1 Wayzata High School Wayzata High School Navy 1 8 8
2 Blake School Blake School Bears 10 10
3 St. Paul Academy (MN) St. Paul Academy (MN) Spartans 12 12
4 Mounds View High School Mounds View High School Mustangs 21 21
5 Mounds Park Academy Mounds Park Academy Panthers 24 24
6 Edina High School Edina High School mixed 25 25
7 Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 2 26 26
8 Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 1 30 30
9 Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 3 34 34
10 Mahtomedi Mahtomedi Mixed 34 34
11 Wayzata High School Wayzata High School Navy 3 44 44
12 Wayzata High School Wayzata High School Navy 2 45 45
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 TOT Sailors
Wayzata High School Wayzata High School Navy 1 1 4 2 1 8 Dominik Moncur '25
Claudia Kroll '25
Blake School Blake School Bears 3 1 4 2 10 Teddy Bower '26
Parker Laing '24
St. Paul Academy (MN) St. Paul Academy (MN) Spartans 2 3 1 6 12 Adi Narayan '27
Leif Rush '27
Mounds View High School Mounds View High School Mustangs 9 2 7 3 21 Jack Colosi '25
Kaitlyn Anderson '25
Mounds Park Academy Mounds Park Academy Panthers 6 8 3 7 24 Ethan Stabenow '24
Parker Ziegler '24
Edina High School Edina High School mixed 7 7 6 5 25 Nick Ross '25
Aden Lake '27
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 2 4 10 8 4 26 Maggie Mcgary '28
Adra Jasper '26
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 1 5 9 5 11 30 Hazel Eiden '25
Gloria Jorczak '24
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 3 8 6 12 8 34 Linnea Martin '27
Lia Getlin '26
Mahtomedi Mahtomedi Mixed 10 5 9 10 34 Nick Anderson '27
Matthew Fish '24
Wayzata High School Wayzata High School Navy 3 12 DNF 10 9 44 Cooper Cullen '27
Bridget Shaskin '28
Wayzata High School Wayzata High School Navy 2 11 11 11 12 45 Ella Bowers '28
Nicholas Grimm '28
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.060+0.06
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2024 (2 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A
Blake SchoolBlake School Bears6142614271947194
Edina High SchoolEdina High School mixed7194719472267226
MahtomediMahtomedi Mixed72267226612612
Minnetonka High SchoolMinnetonka High School Skippers 16126121111
Minnetonka High SchoolMinnetonka High School Skippers 2272772277227
Minnetonka High SchoolMinnetonka High School Skippers 37227722772477247
Mounds Park AcademyMounds Park Academy Panthers7247724772467246
Mounds View High SchoolMounds View High School Mustangs7246724672287228
St. Paul Academy (MN)St. Paul Academy (MN) Spartans72287228292292
Wayzata High SchoolWayzata High School Navy 129229272167216
Wayzata High SchoolWayzata High School Navy 27216721666986698
Wayzata High SchoolWayzata High School Navy 36698669861426142

Conditions — 05/25/2024 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 54%  ·  Pressure 1007.1 hPa

Temperature

67°F
↑ 75°F   ↓ 55°F
Feels like 64°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
9.6 kn
avg  ·  max 14.4 kn
Gusts to 31.9 kn
From SW (219°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover67% Sunshine8.0 hrs Humidity54% Pressure1007.1 hPa Rain0.02 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SW 13 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Minneapolis Sailing Center: a favourites’ day (+0.07)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.08 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.15
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.04 ± 0.23)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.07 means a rating gap counts about 6% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Minneapolis Sailing Center by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 1 labelled days at Minneapolis Sailing Center, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →