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2024 Norcal 5 Gold

# SchoolTeam A TOT
1 Redwood Redwood Giants 4 10 10
2 St. Ignatius College Preparatory - San Francisco St. Ignatius College Preparatory - San Francisco Wildcats 19 19
3 Redwood Redwood Giants 2 31 31
4 Alameda High School Alameda High School Hornets 3 37 37
5 Stevenson School Stevenson School Pirates 1 40 40
6 Encinal High School Encinal High School Jets 43 43
7 Stevenson School Stevenson School Pirates 2 49 49
8 Alameda High School Alameda High School Hornets 1 50 50
9 Alameda High School Alameda High School Hornets 2 53 53
10 The Nueva School The Nueva School The Nueva 54 54
11 Aragon High School Aragon High School Aragon 56 56
12 Carlmont Carlmont The Scots 2 58 58
13 Design Tech High School Design Tech High School Dragons 3 61 61
14 Redwood Redwood Giants 3 67 67
15 Miramonte High School Miramonte High School Matadors 71 71
16 Design Tech High School Design Tech High School Dragons 2 76 76
17 St. Joseph Notre Dame HS - Alameda, CA St. Joseph Notre Dame HS - Alameda, CA St Joseph Notre Dame 81 81
18 Harker School Harker School Eagles 82 82
19 Carlmont Carlmont The Scots 1 85 85
20 Design Tech High School Design Tech High School Dragons 1 86 86
21 Acalanes High School Acalanes High School Dons 87 87
22 Mountain View High School (CA) Mountain View High School (CA) Mountain View 90 90
23 Redwood Redwood Giants 1 120 120
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 TOT Sailors
Redwood Redwood Giants 4 2 1 4 1 2 10 Morgan Headington '24
Niko Mann '26
St. Ignatius College Preparatory - San Francisco St. Ignatius College Preparatory - San Francisco Wildcats 3 8 2 3 3 19 Marina Priskich '25
Alex Shum '27
Redwood Redwood Giants 2 6 7 5 7 6 31 Rhett Krawitt '26
Akira Bratti '26
Alameda High School Alameda High School Hornets 3 5 10 3 5 14 37 Owen Cuyler '24
Sabine Lee '25
Stevenson School Stevenson School Pirates 1 14 12 6 4 4 40 Max Mccormick '24
Patrick O'Hara '27
Encinal High School Encinal High School Jets 4 4 7 8 20 43 Kyle Nguyen '24
Ava Estilaei '27
Stevenson School Stevenson School Pirates 2 OCS 2 11 11 1 49 Abbie Zhang '24
Sadie Marinerstein '24
Alameda High School Alameda High School Hornets 1 13 5 13 10 9 50 Chase Carson '25
Kelly Benson '24
Alameda High School Alameda High School Hornets 2 1 3 1 OCS OCS 53 Reid Sojka '26
Tristan Banthi '28
The Nueva School The Nueva School The Nueva 7 6 16 6 19 54 Max Kaufman '26
Sasha Gordon '24
Aragon High School Aragon High School Aragon OCS 16 9 2 5 56 Marie Peroulas '29
Francisco Dias '28
Carlmont Carlmont The Scots 2 8 14 17 12 7 58 Ward Brouwer '24
Karsten Brouwer '27
Design Tech High School Design Tech High School Dragons 3 10 11 8 14 18 61 William Jorjarth '27
Donovan Techel '25
Redwood Redwood Giants 3 9 18 10 20 10 67 Henry Vare '26
Devon Mann '26
Miramonte High School Miramonte High School Matadors 11 15 21 13 11 71 Austin Teodorovic '24
Ella Maas '31
Design Tech High School Design Tech High School Dragons 2 17 9 14 OCS 12 76 Skye Crawford '25
John Nix '25
St. Joseph Notre Dame HS - Alameda, CA St. Joseph Notre Dame HS - Alameda, CA St Joseph Notre Dame 12 17 22 15 15 81 Melina Ahrens '27
Ella Schwartz '27
Harker School Harker School Eagles 18 20 19 17 8 82 George Chen '25
Jennifer Chen '27
Carlmont Carlmont The Scots 1 15 13 18 18 21 85 Anna Stolyarova '25
Leo Leckey '25
Design Tech High School Design Tech High School Dragons 1 OCS 21 15 9 17 86 Will Kizer '25
Sam Cheng '25
Acalanes High School Acalanes High School Dons 16 19 20 16 16 87 Kaivo Kadai '25
Reuben Butt '27
Mountain View High School (CA) Mountain View High School (CA) Mountain View OCS 22 12 19 13 90 Adrian Maciuca '25
Noah Jandial '27
Redwood Redwood Giants 1 DNS DNF DNS DNS DNS 120
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.140+0.14
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2018 (12 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A
Acalanes High SchoolAcalanes High School Dons5555555555
Alameda High SchoolAlameda High School Hornets 15858585858
Alameda High SchoolAlameda High School Hornets 25252525252
Alameda High SchoolAlameda High School Hornets 35050505050
Aragon High SchoolAragon High School Aragon2121212121
CarlmontCarlmont The Scots 12222222222
CarlmontCarlmont The Scots 22323232323
Design Tech High SchoolDesign Tech High School Dragons 12626262626
Design Tech High SchoolDesign Tech High School Dragons 22525252525
Design Tech High SchoolDesign Tech High School Dragons 32424242424
Encinal High SchoolEncinal High School Jets5757575757
Harker SchoolHarker School Eagles2929292929
Miramonte High SchoolMiramonte High School Matadors5656565656
Mountain View High School (CA)Mountain View High School (CA) Mountain View3131313131
RedwoodRedwood Giants 1111111111111111
RedwoodRedwood Giants 2121121121121121
RedwoodRedwood Giants 3221221221221221
RedwoodRedwood Giants 4122122122122122
St. Ignatius College Preparatory - San FranciscoSt. Ignatius College Preparatory - San Francisco Wildcats33333
St. Joseph Notre Dame HS - Alameda, CASt. Joseph Notre Dame HS - Alameda, CA St Joseph Notre Dame5151515151
Stevenson SchoolStevenson School Pirates 1198198198198198
Stevenson SchoolStevenson School Pirates 2197197197197197
The Nueva SchoolThe Nueva School The Nueva3232323232

Conditions — 02/10/2024 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 59%  ·  Pressure 1020.4 hPa

Temperature

55°F
↑ 61°F   ↓ 44°F
Feels like 51°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
5.0 kn
avg  ·  max 6.4 kn
Gusts to 15.9 kn
From NNW (339°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover0% Sunshine9.9 hrs Humidity59% Pressure1020.4 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NW 6 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Alameda: an underdogs’ day (−0.08)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.01 (an ordinary fleet) · combined forecast −0.07
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.26 ± 0.15)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.08 means a rating gap counts about 7% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Alameda by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 4 labelled days at Alameda, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →