April 13 Tier 3 Regatta

HostSheridan Shore Sailing School
Date04/13/2024
TypeIn-District
BoatC420
Scoring1 Division

#	School	Team	A	TOT
1	Lake Forest High School	Scouts 3	28	28
2	Lake Forest High School	Scouts 2	33	33
3	Glenbrook North High School	Varsity	36	36
4	New Trier HS	Trevian	47	47
5	Lake Forest High School	Scouts 1	52	52
6	Saint Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL	Wolfpack 2	52	52
7	Loyola Academy	Ramblers 1	56	56
8	Latin School of Chicago	Romans	57	57
9	Saint Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL	Wolfpack 1	60	60
10	Evanston Township HS	Wildkits 1	93	93
11	Evanston Township HS	Wildkits 2	104	104
12	Loyola Academy	Ramblers 2	107	107
13	Beacon Academy	Trailblazers	107	107
14	Glenbrook South High School	Titans	118	118

School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	R6	R7	R8	R9	TOT	Sailors
Lake Forest High School	Scouts 3	2	2	3	5	10	1	1	3	1	28	Avery Keane '27 Mia Brandt '28
Lake Forest High School	Scouts 2	1	4	2	4	6	9	3	2	2	33	Jack Carter '27 Vivienne Kelly '27
Glenbrook North High School	Varsity	3	6	1	8	1	6	4	1	6	36	Matthew Ward '27 Audrey Yen '26
New Trier HS	Trevian	9	1	6	6	4	2	7	4	8	47	Ralph Lipford '27 Paula Kowalczyk '26
Lake Forest High School	Scouts 1	4	10	4	7	3	4	10	5	5	52	Ranya Patel '27 Maribelle Deboeuf '23
Saint Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL	Wolfpack 2	6	3	7	3	5	3	12	10	3	52	Spongebob Squarepants '28 Cate Baldwin '28
Loyola Academy	Ramblers 1	5	7	5	2	8	5	5	9	10	56	Ana Bradley '26 Molly Fitzsimmons '25
Latin School of Chicago	Romans	7	5	8	10	7	7	2	7	4	57	Ophelia Sheridan '28 Sophia Castrejon '26
Saint Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL	Wolfpack 1	8	9	9	1	2	10	6	6	9	60	Frankie Ryba '27 Will Daly '27
Evanston Township HS	Wildkits 1	11	12	10	11	11	14	9	8	7	93	Liam Kipnis '27 Gianna Scandariato '27
Evanston Township HS	Wildkits 2	12	13	12	13	13	8	8	13	12	104	Nolan Graham '28 Grey Payne '28
Loyola Academy	Ramblers 2	10	11	13	12	9	11	11	DNF	DNS	107	Joseph Lattanzio '25 Bryce Banach '27
Beacon Academy	Trailblazers	13	8	11	9	14	12	13	12	DNS	107	Kyle Soukaras '27 Gavin Parsons '24
Glenbrook South High School	Titans	14	14	14	14	12	13	DNS	11	11	118	Morgan Gapp '27 Haley Cornwell '27

Boat Speed Analyzer

SlowExpected boat effectFast

−0.100+0.10

Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2014 (7 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team	1A	2A	3A	4A	5A	6A	7A	8A	9A
Beacon Academy Trailblazers	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1
Evanston Township HS Wildkits 1	2	2	2	2	2	2	2	2	2
Evanston Township HS Wildkits 2	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3
Glenbrook North High School Varsity	19	19	19	19	19	19	19	19	19
Glenbrook South High School Titans	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5
Lake Forest High School Scouts 1	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6
Lake Forest High School Scouts 2	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	7
Lake Forest High School Scouts 3	8	8	8	8	8	8	8	8	8
Latin School of Chicago Romans	9	9	9	9	9	9	9	9	9
Loyola Academy Ramblers 1	10	10	10	10	10	10	10	10	10
Loyola Academy Ramblers 2	13	13	13	13	13	13	13	13	13
New Trier HS Trevian	15	15	15	15	15	15	15	15	15
Saint Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL Wolfpack 1	18	18	18	18	18	18	18	18	18
Saint Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL Wolfpack 2	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4

School	Team	Skipper	Crew
Beacon Academy	Trailblazers	Kyle Soukaras '27	Gavin Parsons '24
Evanston Township HS	Wildkits 1	Liam Kipnis '27	Gianna Scandariato '27
Evanston Township HS	Wildkits 2	Nolan Graham '28	Grey Payne '28
Glenbrook North High School	Varsity	Matthew Ward '27	Audrey Yen '26
Glenbrook South High School	Titans	Morgan Gapp '27	Haley Cornwell '27
Lake Forest High School	Scouts 1	Ranya Patel '27	Maribelle Deboeuf '23
Lake Forest High School	Scouts 2	Jack Carter '27	Vivienne Kelly '27
Lake Forest High School	Scouts 3	Avery Keane '27	Mia Brandt '28
Latin School of Chicago	Romans	Ophelia Sheridan '28	Sophia Castrejon '26
Loyola Academy	Ramblers 1	Ana Bradley '26	Molly Fitzsimmons '25
Loyola Academy	Ramblers 2	Joseph Lattanzio '25	Bryce Banach '27
New Trier HS	Trevian	Ralph Lipford '27	Paula Kowalczyk '26
Saint Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL	Wolfpack 1	Frankie Ryba '27	Will Daly '27
Saint Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL	Wolfpack 2	Spongebob Squarepants '28	Cate Baldwin '28

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

What a rating point is worthA one-point edge is a 73% chance to beat another boat in a race; two points is 88%.
Should the best sailor sail A?Add your two skippers’ ratings and compare with the field; above it the better skipper belongs in A.
Are the boats even?Boats differ by about 0.3 places a race; fleets are uneven from day one.
Which venues get orderly in a breeze?Some venues get orderly when it blows, a few get messier; the fleet comes first.

All notes →

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April 13 Tier 3 Regatta

Division A

From the notes