Girls Catholic Schools Regatta

# SchoolTeam A TOT
1 Carrollton School of the Sacred Heart Carrollton School of the Sacred Heart Carrollton School 21 21
2 Bellarmine Preparatory School Bellarmine Preparatory School Lions 1 27 27
3 Maryvale Preparatory School Maryvale Preparatory School Lions 28 28
4 Bellarmine Preparatory School Bellarmine Preparatory School Lions 2 38 38
5 Notre Dame Preparatory School Notre Dame Preparatory School Blazers 2 46 46
6 Notre Dame Preparatory School Notre Dame Preparatory School Blazers 1 66 66
7 Ursuline Academy Ursuline Academy Lions 1 70 70
8 Marin Catholic Marin Catholic Wildcats 72 72
9 Ursuline Academy Ursuline Academy Lions 2 73 73
10 Ursuline Academy Ursuline Academy Lions 3 73 73
11 Archbishop Riordan Archbishop Riordan Crusaders 82 82
12 Nolan Catholic High School Nolan Catholic High School Vikings 83 83
13 Ursuline Academy Ursuline Academy Lions 4 90 90
14 Peninsula Catholic High School Peninsula Catholic High School Knights 95 95
15 Aquinas High School Aquinas High School Fighting Irish 106 106
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
Carrollton School of the Sacred Heart Carrollton School of the Sacred Heart Carrollton School 1 1 4 2 1 6 4 2 21 Isabella Storm '26 [1-8]
Carola Zapata '26 [1-2, 4-5, 8]
Martina Santos '26 [3, 6-7]
Bellarmine Preparatory School Bellarmine Preparatory School Lions 1 3 3 7 7 2 1 3 1 27 Hannah Welch '25 [1-8]
Genevieve Davis '26 [1-3, 6-7]
Annalise Landy '27 [4-5, 8]
Maryvale Preparatory School Maryvale Preparatory School Lions 2 2 1 1 6 2 10 4 28 Julia Kozlowski '24
Campbell Peters '24
Bellarmine Preparatory School Bellarmine Preparatory School Lions 2 4 5 2 5 10 3 6 3 38 Genie Greenfield '26 [1-8]
Annalise Landy '27 [1-3]
Skylar Vasko '26 [4-8]
Notre Dame Preparatory School Notre Dame Preparatory School Blazers 2 10 10 5 3 4 4 2 8 46 Claire Rowland '26
Gina Varacalle-Goetz '27
Notre Dame Preparatory School Notre Dame Preparatory School Blazers 1 14 13 11 6 9 7 1 5 66 Sophia Hammond '26
Katy Stansbury '27
Ursuline Academy Ursuline Academy Lions 1 6 6 8 13 8 9 8 12 70 Evie Barras '24
Madelyn Oster '24
Marin Catholic Marin Catholic Wildcats 5 4 6 11 7 13 15 11 72 Stella Ward Turko '27
Zoe Bruce '26
Ursuline Academy Ursuline Academy Lions 2 8 7 RAF 12 13 5 5 7 73 Emerson Goodlett '24 [1-8]
Ceceilia Zinsel '25 [1-6]
Kaybree Cushenberry '26 [7-8]
Ursuline Academy Ursuline Academy Lions 3 11 8 10 4 3 14 9 14 73 Julia Poche '24 [1-8]
Anna Koveleskie '25 [1-3]
Lauren Galligan '25 [4-8]
Archbishop Riordan Archbishop Riordan Crusaders 9 11 3 8 12 12 14 13 82 Eva Bennett '25
No Show
Nolan Catholic High School Nolan Catholic High School Vikings 7 12 12 9 14 8 12 9 83 Gentry Schneider '25
Lilly Moody '26
Ursuline Academy Ursuline Academy Lions 4 DNS DNS DNS 10 5 10 11 6 90 Estella Holland '26
Ella Ory '26
Peninsula Catholic High School Peninsula Catholic High School Knights 13 9 9 15 11 15 13 10 95 Madison Bivins '25
Zoe Hughes '25
Aquinas High School Aquinas High School Fighting Irish 12 DNS DNS 14 15 11 7 15 106 Emily Sternkopf '24
Grace Christman '24
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.090+0.09
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2023 (2 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A
Aquinas High SchoolAquinas High School Fighting Irish22222222
Archbishop RiordanArchbishop Riordan Crusaders33333333
Bellarmine Preparatory SchoolBellarmine Preparatory School Lions 144444444
Bellarmine Preparatory SchoolBellarmine Preparatory School Lions 255555555
Carrollton School of the Sacred HeartCarrollton School of the Sacred Heart Carrollton School66666666
Marin CatholicMarin Catholic Wildcats77777777
Maryvale Preparatory SchoolMaryvale Preparatory School Lions88888888
Nolan Catholic High SchoolNolan Catholic High School Vikings99999999
Notre Dame Preparatory SchoolNotre Dame Preparatory School Blazers 11010101010101010
Notre Dame Preparatory SchoolNotre Dame Preparatory School Blazers 21111111111111111
Peninsula Catholic High SchoolPeninsula Catholic High School Knights1212121212121212
Ursuline AcademyUrsuline Academy Lions 11313131313131313
Ursuline AcademyUrsuline Academy Lions 21414141414141414
Ursuline AcademyUrsuline Academy Lions 31515151515151515
Ursuline AcademyUrsuline Academy Lions 41616161616161616

Conditions — 02/03/2024 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 89%  ·  Pressure 1006.0 hPa

Temperature

59°F
↑ 63°F   ↓ 55°F
Feels like 55°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
12.9 kn
avg  ·  max 19.0 kn
Gusts to 34.6 kn
From ESE (105°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover100% Sunshine0.0 hrs Humidity89% Pressure1006.0 hPa Rain0.33 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: E 15 kn · NW 8 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Ursuline Academy: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.14)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.10 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.23
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.01 ± 0.17)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.14 means a rating gap counts about 12% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Ursuline Academy by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 10 labelled days at Ursuline Academy, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →