IL State Championship

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Saint Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL Saint Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL Wolfpack 9 21 30
2 New Trier HS New Trier HS Trevian 15 19 34
3 Evanston Township HS Evanston Township HS Wildkits 26 14 40
4 University of Chicago Laboratory Schools University of Chicago Laboratory Schools Maroons 23 17 40
5 Loyola Academy Loyola Academy Ramblers 25 23 48
6 Jones College Prep Jones College Prep Eagles 28 32 60
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Saint Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL Saint Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL Wolfpack 1 1 1 1 3 2 9 Avery Baldwin '25
Sofia Sandoval '25
New Trier HS New Trier HS Trevian 4 2 3 2 1 3 15 Evan Wern '25
Alex Black '25
University of Chicago Laboratory Schools University of Chicago Laboratory Schools Maroons 5 5 4 3 2 4 23 Jack Colyer '25
Simon Vaang '27
Loyola Academy Loyola Academy Ramblers 3 6 5 6 4 1 25 Adler Johnston '27
Lia Nafe '25
Evanston Township HS Evanston Township HS Wildkits 2 4 6 4 5 5 26 Eva Decastro '24
Harper Jamison '24
Jones College Prep Jones College Prep Eagles 6 3 2 5 6 6 28 Quinn Frakt '27
Sarah Kaplan '27
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Evanston Township HS Evanston Township HS Wildkits 1 3 1 3 2 4 14 William Styslinger '24
Ralph Zemaitis '25
University of Chicago Laboratory Schools University of Chicago Laboratory Schools Maroons 2 1 4 5 4 1 17 Lydia Frost '25
Ray Han '26
New Trier HS New Trier HS Trevian 5 6 2 1 3 2 19 Olivia Gingue '26
Camila Benes '26
Saint Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL Saint Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL Wolfpack 4 4 3 6 1 3 21 Matthew Schmitt '25
Finn Connolly '26
Loyola Academy Loyola Academy Ramblers 3 2 5 2 6 5 23 Bleu Strnad '26 [1-4]
Frank Wildi '25 [5-6]
Laura Koszeghy '26 [1-2, 5-6]
Frank Wildi '25 [3-4]
Jones College Prep Jones College Prep Eagles 6 5 6 4 5 6 32 Norah Franklin '27
Myles Ishmael '27
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.110+0.11
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2021 (13 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
University of Chicago Laboratory SchoolsUniversity of Chicago Laboratory Schools Maroons662244
Evanston Township HSEvanston Township HS Wildkits113355
Jones College PrepJones College Prep Eagles224466
Loyola AcademyLoyola Academy Ramblers335511
New Trier HSNew Trier HS Trevian446622
Saint Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, ILSaint Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL Wolfpack551133

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B
University of Chicago Laboratory SchoolsUniversity of Chicago Laboratory Schools Maroons113355
Evanston Township HSEvanston Township HS Wildkits224466
Jones College PrepJones College Prep Eagles335511
Loyola AcademyLoyola Academy Ramblers446622
New Trier HSNew Trier HS Trevian551133
Saint Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, ILSaint Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL Wolfpack662244

Conditions — 05/18/2024 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 68%  ·  Pressure 1010.6 hPa

Temperature

76°F
↑ 80°F   ↓ 64°F
Feels like 79°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
4.8 kn
avg  ·  max 7.7 kn
Gusts to 15.0 kn
From SSE (163°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover18% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity68% Pressure1010.6 hPa Rain0.01 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: S 8 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Beacon Academy/Evanston Township HS/Glenbrook South/Loyola Academy: an underdogs’ day (−0.05)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.04 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast −0.02
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.15 ± 0.26)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.05 means a rating gap counts about 5% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Beacon Academy/Evanston Township HS/Glenbrook South/Loyola Academy by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 8 labelled days at Beacon Academy/Evanston Township HS/Glenbrook South/Loyola Academy, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →