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MDISA SCC Tier 1 Regatta

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Severn School Severn School Admirals 21 25 46
2 Maret Maret Frogs 37 20 57
3 Leonardtown High School Leonardtown High School Raiders 21 37 58
4 Great Mills High School Great Mills High School Hornets 1 39 31 70
5 Great Mills High School Great Mills High School Hornets 2 51 40 91
6 Southern High School Southern High School Bulldogs 54 62 116
7 Gunston Gunston Herons 60 58 118
8 Kent Island High School Kent Island High School Buccaneers 66 66 132
9 Jackson-Reed High School Jackson-Reed High School Tigers 60 74 134
10 School Without Walls School Without Walls Penguins 71 72 143
11 Annapolis High School Annapolis High School Panthers 83 72 155
12 Walt Whitman High School Walt Whitman High School Vikings 77 89 166
13 South River High School South River High School Seahawks 97 90 187
14 St. Mary's Ryken St. Mary's Ryken Knights 109 107 216
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
Leonardtown High School Leonardtown High School Raiders 1 1 3 2 3 2 4 5 21 Joseph Murphy '24
Jared Werner '25
Severn School Severn School Admirals 11 2 1 1 1 1 3 1 21 Harrison Szot '27
John Szynal '24
Maret Maret Frogs 3 10 6 4 6 4 2 2 37 Alders Kulynych-Irvin '25
Great Mills High School Great Mills High School Hornets 1 6 6 2 3 10 3 6 3 39 Claire Sullivan '25
Eli Leopold '24
Great Mills High School Great Mills High School Hornets 2 2 4 14 5 2 10 5 9 51 Adam Nilsson '25
Owen Delwiche '25
Southern High School Southern High School Bulldogs 12 3 4 DNF 4 9 1 6 54 Scott Opert '24
Molly Dowling '25
Gunston Gunston Herons 5 9 8 9 5 7 10 7 60 Matthew Periconi '24 [1-8]
Owen Daffron '25 [1-4]
Caeden Harrison '24 [5-8]
Jackson-Reed High School Jackson-Reed High School Tigers 10 8 7 10 7 6 8 4 60 William Lindsley '24 [1-8]
Leif Carney '25 [1-4]
Kara Panjrath '26 [5-8]
Kent Island High School Kent Island High School Buccaneers 4 5 5 11 9 12 7 13 66 James Biles V '27
Teagan Leigh '28
School Without Walls School Without Walls Penguins 9 7 11 8 11 5 12 8 71 Jack Sieg '24 [1-8]
Morgan Rathjen '24 [1-4, 7-8]
Chi Chi Chao '27 [5-6]
Walt Whitman High School Walt Whitman High School Vikings 7 12 10 6 8 8 DSQ 11 77 Phoebe Milhollin '24
Ricardo Shayer '25
Annapolis High School Annapolis High School Panthers 8 11 9 7 14 13 9 12 83 Rylee Landry '27
Gemma Love '25
South River High School South River High School Seahawks 13 13 12 DNF 12 11 11 10 97 Fiona O'Rourke '28
Zen Corby '26
St. Mary's Ryken St. Mary's Ryken Knights DNS DNS 13 12 13 14 13 14 109 Leo Xiang '25
Logan Pavis '26
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
Maret Maret Frogs 1 1 7 3 1 1 3 3 20 Conor Mastromarco '26 [1-8]
Henry Oaten '25 [1-2, 5-8]
Arabelle Gemmell '25 [3-4]
Severn School Severn School Admirals 2 2 3 2 2 8 4 2 25 Sam De Los Reyes '26 [1-8]
Jack Lefever-Farino '24 [1-6]
Charlotte Macdonald '26 [7-8]
Great Mills High School Great Mills High School Hornets 1 4 4 4 1 9 3 5 1 31 Ryan Brelage '24
Alex Prior '24
Leonardtown High School Leonardtown High School Raiders 6 3 1 5 6 6 1 9 37 James Lilyquist '24
Giovanni Grandi '25
Great Mills High School Great Mills High School Hornets 2 3 5 2 4 4 5 2 DSQ 40 Beatrice De Santo '24 [1-8]
Eliza Szymendera '25 [1-2]
Mac Fitzgerald '24 [3-8]
Gunston Gunston Herons 9 10 11 10 3 2 7 6 58 Tommy Mcgeady '25
Justin Mccubbin '25
Southern High School Southern High School Bulldogs 5 6 6 8 13 10 6 8 62 Sophie Griggs '24
Eric Neilsen '24
Kent Island High School Kent Island High School Buccaneers 8 7 10 9 7 12 9 4 66 Zachary Wells '25
Adalyn Biles '27
Annapolis High School Annapolis High School Panthers 7 11 5 6 5 14 13 11 72 Henry Pachler '27
Ellie Katz '27
School Without Walls School Without Walls Penguins 11 8 8 12 10 4 12 7 72 Jackson Herritage '24 [1-4]
Amory Smith '26 [5-8]
William Brock '25 [1-4, 7-8]
Georgia Neaderland '26 [5-6]
Jackson-Reed High School Jackson-Reed High School Tigers 10 9 9 7 12 9 8 10 74 Caitlin Costello '24
Jonah Molinoff '25
Walt Whitman High School Walt Whitman High School Vikings 12 12 13 14 11 11 11 5 89 Shane Churilla '25
Grace Shields '25
South River High School South River High School Seahawks 13 13 DNS 11 8 7 10 13 90 Clara Neeland '26 [1-8]
Lily Moss '25 [1-6]
Annika Fisher '25 [7-8]
St. Mary's Ryken St. Mary's Ryken Knights 14 DNF 12 13 14 13 14 12 107 Ethan Depaola '24
Michael Finarelli '25
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.120+0.12
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2016 (31 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A
Annapolis High SchoolAnnapolis High School Panthers11335577
Great Mills High SchoolGreat Mills High School Hornets 122446688
Great Mills High SchoolGreat Mills High School Hornets 233557799
Jackson-Reed High SchoolJackson-Reed High School Tigers5577991111
Kent Island High SchoolKent Island High School Buccaneers668810101212
Leonardtown High SchoolLeonardtown High School Raiders779911111313
MaretMaret Frogs88101012121414
Severn SchoolSevern School Admirals10101212141422
South River High SchoolSouth River High School Seahawks111113131133
Southern High SchoolSouthern High School Bulldogs121214142244
St. Mary's RykenSt. Mary's Ryken Knights1313113355
GunstonGunston Herons4466881010
Walt Whitman High SchoolWalt Whitman High School Vikings1414224466
School Without WallsSchool Without Walls Penguins991111131311

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B
Annapolis High SchoolAnnapolis High School Panthers22446688
Great Mills High SchoolGreat Mills High School Hornets 133557799
Great Mills High SchoolGreat Mills High School Hornets 24466881010
Jackson-Reed High SchoolJackson-Reed High School Tigers668810101212
Kent Island High SchoolKent Island High School Buccaneers779911111313
Leonardtown High SchoolLeonardtown High School Raiders88101012121414
MaretMaret Frogs991111131311
Severn SchoolSevern School Admirals111113131133
South River High SchoolSouth River High School Seahawks121214142244
Southern High SchoolSouthern High School Bulldogs1313113355
St. Mary's RykenSt. Mary's Ryken Knights1414224466
GunstonGunston Herons5577991111
Walt Whitman High SchoolWalt Whitman High School Vikings11335577
School Without WallsSchool Without Walls Penguins10101212141422
School / Team SkipperCrew
Annapolis High School Annapolis High School Rylee Landry '27 Gemma Love '25
Panthers Henry Pachler '27 Ellie Katz '27
Great Mills High School Great Mills High School Claire Sullivan '25 Eli Leopold '24
Hornets 1 Ryan Brelage '24 Alex Prior '24
Great Mills High School Great Mills High School Adam Nilsson '25 Owen Delwiche '25
Hornets 2 Beatrice De Santo '24 [1-8] Eliza Szymendera '25 [1-2]
Mac Fitzgerald '24 [3-8]
Gunston Gunston Matthew Periconi '24 [1-8] Owen Daffron '25 [1-4]
Caeden Harrison '24 [5-8]
Herons Tommy Mcgeady '25 Justin Mccubbin '25
Jackson-Reed High School Jackson-Reed High School William Lindsley '24 [1-8] Leif Carney '25 [1-4]
Kara Panjrath '26 [5-8]
Tigers Caitlin Costello '24 Jonah Molinoff '25
Kent Island High School Kent Island High School James Biles V '27 Teagan Leigh '28
Buccaneers Zachary Wells '25 Adalyn Biles '27
Leonardtown High School Leonardtown High School Joseph Murphy '24 Jared Werner '25
Raiders James Lilyquist '24 Giovanni Grandi '25
Maret Maret Alders Kulynych-Irvin '25
Frogs Conor Mastromarco '26 [1-8] Henry Oaten '25 [1-2, 5-8]
Arabelle Gemmell '25 [3-4]
School Without Walls School Without Walls Jack Sieg '24 [1-8] Morgan Rathjen '24 [1-4, 7-8]
Chi Chi Chao '27 [5-6]
Penguins Jackson Herritage '24 [1-4]
Amory Smith '26 [5-8]		 William Brock '25 [1-4, 7-8]
Georgia Neaderland '26 [5-6]
Severn School Severn School Harrison Szot '27 John Szynal '24
Admirals Sam De Los Reyes '26 [1-8] Jack Lefever-Farino '24 [1-6]
Charlotte Macdonald '26 [7-8]
South River High School South River High School Fiona O'Rourke '28 Zen Corby '26
Seahawks Clara Neeland '26 [1-8] Lily Moss '25 [1-6]
Annika Fisher '25 [7-8]
Southern High School Southern High School Scott Opert '24 Molly Dowling '25
Bulldogs Sophie Griggs '24 Eric Neilsen '24
St. Mary's Ryken St. Mary's Ryken Leo Xiang '25 Logan Pavis '26
Knights Ethan Depaola '24 Michael Finarelli '25
Walt Whitman High School Walt Whitman High School Phoebe Milhollin '24 Ricardo Shayer '25
Vikings Shane Churilla '25 Grace Shields '25

Conditions — 04/06/2024 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 51%  ·  Pressure 1013.9 hPa

Temperature

50°F
↑ 54°F   ↓ 40°F
Feels like 40°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
12.0 kn
avg  ·  max 15.3 kn
Gusts to 33.2 kn
From NW (321°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover90% Sunshine8.2 hrs Humidity51% Pressure1013.9 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: N 14 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Great Mills/Leonardtown High: an underdogs’ day (−0.03)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.02 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast −0.00
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.12 ± 0.10)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.03 means a rating gap counts about 2% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Great Mills/Leonardtown High by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (16 labelled days at Great Mills/Leonardtown High).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →