MSS #3 @WBSS

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 White Bear Lake High School White Bear Lake High School Bears 7 5 12
2 Wayzata High School Wayzata High School Gold 13 19 32
3 Great River School Great River School Mixed 25 23 48
4 Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Mixed 1 32 25 57
5 Mounds Park Academy Mounds Park Academy Panthers 21 46 67
6 St. Paul Academy (MN) St. Paul Academy (MN) Mixed 49 18 67
7 Southwest High School Southwest High School Mixed 26 47 73
8 Mahtomedi Mahtomedi Zephyrs 1 32 46 78
9 Benilde St Margarets Benilde St Margarets Saturday Super Squad 37 48 85
10 Mahtomedi Mahtomedi Zephyrs 2 46 40 86
11 Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Mixed 2 65 23 88
12 Wayzata High School Wayzata High School Navy 42 50 92
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 TOT Sailors
White Bear Lake High School White Bear Lake High School Bears 1 1 2 2 1 7 Robbie Dresen '25
Elin Reigstad '25
Wayzata High School Wayzata High School Gold 3 4 1 3 2 13 Dominik Moncur '25
Ty Andrada '29
Mounds Park Academy Mounds Park Academy Panthers 2 6 4 5 4 21 Ethan Stabenow '24
Parker Ziegler '24
Great River School Great River School Mixed 4 2 6 10 3 25 Adi Narayan '27
Talia Cairns '25
Southwest High School Southwest High School Mixed 7 3 10 1 5 26 Nick Ross '25
Aden Lake '27
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Mixed 1 6 9 3 6 8 32 Maggie Mcgary '28 [1-5]
Tom Weisenahl '29 [1-2, 5]
Olly Bower '23 [3-4]
Mahtomedi Mahtomedi Zephyrs 1 8 5 8 4 7 32 Stella Demars '25 [1-5]
Matthew Fish '24 [1-2, 5]
Colin O'Gara '28 [3-4]
Benilde St Margarets Benilde St Margarets Saturday Super Squad 5 10 5 7 10 37 Ernest Hegstrom '28
Ella Bowers '28
Wayzata High School Wayzata High School Navy 10 8 7 8 9 42 Stonewall Anderson '26 [1-5]
Claudia Kroll '25 [1-2, 5]
Evan Weber '29 [3-4]
Mahtomedi Mahtomedi Zephyrs 2 11 11 9 9 6 46 Natalya Triplett '26 [1-5]
Logan Albrecht '27 [1-4]
Joshua Drivdahl '25 [5]
St. Paul Academy (MN) St. Paul Academy (MN) Mixed 9 7 11 11 11 49 Lorenzo Good '25 [1]
Leif Rush '27 [2-5]
Leif Rush '27 [1]
Lorenzo Good '25 [2-5]
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Mixed 2 DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 65 No Show
No Show
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 TOT Sailors
White Bear Lake High School White Bear Lake High School Bears 1 1 1 1 1 5 Jack Colosi '25
Kaitlyn Anderson '25
St. Paul Academy (MN) St. Paul Academy (MN) Mixed 3 5 6 2 2 18 Ben Padden '24
Ella Fritz '27
Wayzata High School Wayzata High School Gold 4 6 3 3 3 19 Britta Lundeen-Hetland '25
Harper Lundeen-Hetland '27
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Mixed 2 2 4 4 6 7 23 Jack Snyder '27
Angus Moore '29
Great River School Great River School Mixed 5 2 5 5 6 23 Claire Schendel '26
Silas Taylor '25
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Mixed 1 12 3 2 4 4 25 Linnea Martin '27
Landon Maul '29
Mahtomedi Mahtomedi Zephyrs 2 6 8 9 7 10 40 Nick Anderson '26 [1-5]
Madeline Koziar '29 [1-2, 5]
Olivia Koziar '29 [3-4]
Mahtomedi Mahtomedi Zephyrs 1 8 11 7 9 11 46 Sienna Alvarez '25
Charlie Griffin '27
Mounds Park Academy Mounds Park Academy Panthers 9 7 10 12 8 46 Marek Roe '27 [1-2, 5]
Niamh Mcmahon '26 [3-4]
Sofie Muschenheim '25 [1-2, 5]
Southwest High School Southwest High School Mixed 10 9 8 8 12 47 Soren Miller-Sardelis '24
Peter Jacobs '25
Benilde St Margarets Benilde St Margarets Saturday Super Squad 7 10 11 11 9 48 Nicholas Grimm '28
Josie Dvorak '25
Wayzata High School Wayzata High School Navy 11 12 12 10 5 50 Cooper Cullen '27 [1-5]
Owen Neus '29 [1-2, 5]
Evan Weber '29 [3-4]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.130+0.13
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2018 (2 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A
Benilde St MargaretsBenilde St Margarets Saturday Super Squad1212121212
Great River SchoolGreat River School Mixed88888
MahtomediMahtomedi Zephyrs 111111
MahtomediMahtomedi Zephyrs 21616161616
Minnetonka High SchoolMinnetonka High School Mixed 199999
Minnetonka High SchoolMinnetonka High School Mixed 21414141414
Mounds Park AcademyMounds Park Academy Panthers1313131313
Southwest High SchoolSouthwest High School Mixed1010101010
St. Paul Academy (MN)St. Paul Academy (MN) Mixed66666
Wayzata High SchoolWayzata High School Gold77777
Wayzata High SchoolWayzata High School Navy22222
White Bear Lake High SchoolWhite Bear Lake High School Bears1111111111

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B
Benilde St MargaretsBenilde St Margarets Saturday Super Squad1212121212
Great River SchoolGreat River School Mixed88888
MahtomediMahtomedi Zephyrs 111111
MahtomediMahtomedi Zephyrs 21616161616
Minnetonka High SchoolMinnetonka High School Mixed 199999
Minnetonka High SchoolMinnetonka High School Mixed 21414141414
Mounds Park AcademyMounds Park Academy Panthers1313131313
Southwest High SchoolSouthwest High School Mixed1010101010
St. Paul Academy (MN)St. Paul Academy (MN) Mixed66666
Wayzata High SchoolWayzata High School Gold77777
Wayzata High SchoolWayzata High School Navy22222
White Bear Lake High SchoolWhite Bear Lake High School Bears1111111111
School / Team SkipperCrew
Benilde St Margarets Benilde St Margarets Ernest Hegstrom '28 Ella Bowers '28
Saturday Super Squad Nicholas Grimm '28 Josie Dvorak '25
Great River School Great River School Adi Narayan '27 Talia Cairns '25
Mixed Claire Schendel '26 Silas Taylor '25
Mahtomedi Mahtomedi Stella Demars '25 [1-5] Matthew Fish '24 [1-2, 5]
Colin O'Gara '28 [3-4]
Zephyrs 1 Sienna Alvarez '25 Charlie Griffin '27
Mahtomedi Mahtomedi Natalya Triplett '26 [1-5] Logan Albrecht '27 [1-4]
Joshua Drivdahl '25 [5]
Zephyrs 2 Nick Anderson '26 [1-5] Madeline Koziar '29 [1-2, 5]
Olivia Koziar '29 [3-4]
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Maggie Mcgary '28 [1-5] Tom Weisenahl '29 [1-2, 5]
Olly Bower '23 [3-4]
Mixed 1 Linnea Martin '27 Landon Maul '29
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School No Show No Show
Mixed 2 Jack Snyder '27 Angus Moore '29
Mounds Park Academy Mounds Park Academy Ethan Stabenow '24 Parker Ziegler '24
Panthers Marek Roe '27 [1-2, 5]
Niamh Mcmahon '26 [3-4]
Sofie Muschenheim '25 [1-2, 5]
Southwest High School Southwest High School Nick Ross '25 Aden Lake '27
Mixed Soren Miller-Sardelis '24 Peter Jacobs '25
St. Paul Academy (MN) St. Paul Academy (MN) Lorenzo Good '25 [1]
Leif Rush '27 [2-5]
Leif Rush '27 [1]
Lorenzo Good '25 [2-5]
Mixed Ben Padden '24 Ella Fritz '27
Wayzata High School Wayzata High School Dominik Moncur '25 Ty Andrada '29
Gold Britta Lundeen-Hetland '25 Harper Lundeen-Hetland '27
Wayzata High School Wayzata High School Stonewall Anderson '26 [1-5] Claudia Kroll '25 [1-2, 5]
Evan Weber '29 [3-4]
Navy Cooper Cullen '27 [1-5] Owen Neus '29 [1-2, 5]
Evan Weber '29 [3-4]
White Bear Lake High School White Bear Lake High School Robbie Dresen '25 Elin Reigstad '25
Bears Jack Colosi '25 Kaitlyn Anderson '25

Conditions — 05/18/2024 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 51%  ·  Pressure 1003.9 hPa

Temperature

76°F
↑ 82°F   ↓ 66°F
Feels like 75°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
10.1 kn
avg  ·  max 12.9 kn
Gusts to 25.9 kn
From WSW (240°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover19% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity51% Pressure1003.9 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: W 12 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Mahtomedi/Mounds Park Academy/Mounds View/White Bear Lake: a typical day (+0.02)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment +0.09 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.11
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.21 ± 0.18)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.02 means a rating gap counts about 1% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Mahtomedi/Mounds Park Academy/Mounds View/White Bear Lake by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 1 labelled days at Mahtomedi/Mounds Park Academy/Mounds View/White Bear Lake, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →