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MSS #2

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Blake School Blake School Mixed 16 17 33
2 Wayzata High School Wayzata High School Gold 12 39 51
3 St. Paul Academy (MN) St. Paul Academy (MN) Mixed 29 56 85
4 Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 1 44 51 95
5 Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 3 79 23 102
6 Wayzata High School Wayzata High School Mixed 57 59 116
7 Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 2 63 68 131
8 Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 4 84 67 151
9 St. Paul Academy (MN) St. Paul Academy (MN) Spartans 78 78 156
10 Southwest High School Southwest High School Lakers 91 66 157
11 Benilde St Margarets Benilde St Margarets Saturday Super Squad 92 70 162
12 Mounds Park Academy Mounds Park Academy Mixed 69 97 MRP 166 MRP
13 White Bear Lake High School White Bear Lake High School Mixed 51 115 MRP 166 MRP
14 Orono High School Orono High School Mixed 92 112 204
15 Mahtomedi Mahtomedi Zephyrs 123 MRP 105 MRP 228 MRP
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
Wayzata High School Wayzata High School Gold 2 1 2 2 2 1 1 1 12 Dominik Moncur '25
Harper Lundeen-Hetland '27
Blake School Blake School Mixed 1 2 1 1 1 2 4 4 16 Teddy Bower '26
Olly Bower '23
St. Paul Academy (MN) St. Paul Academy (MN) Mixed 3 3 3 5 4 6 3 2 29 Lorenzo Good '25
Finnigan Cairns '25
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 1 6 5 5 8 5 5 5 5 44 Jack Brellenthin '26
Cayla Beddor '29
White Bear Lake High School White Bear Lake High School Mixed 8 4 8 3 3 4 12 9 51 Robbie Dresen '25
Elin Reigstad '25
Wayzata High School Wayzata High School Mixed 5 10 4 7 7 9 2 13 57 Stonewall Anderson '26
David Key '28
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 2 4 6 9 6 6 3 14 15 63 Reese Kottke '26
Adra Jasper '26
Mounds Park Academy Mounds Park Academy Mixed 7 12 7 13 10 7 6 7 69 Parker Ziegler '24
Sofie Muschenheim '25
St. Paul Academy (MN) St. Paul Academy (MN) Spartans 12 8 6 11 8 12 13 8 78 Adi Narayan '27
Talia Cairns '25
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 3 9 9 10 12 12 10 7 10 79 Jack Siefker '26
Tom Weisenahl '29
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 4 14 11 13 10 14 8 8 6 84 Hazel Eiden '25
Gloria Jorczak '24
Southwest High School Southwest High School Lakers 11 14 11 14 15 13 10 3 91 Ben Padden '24
Ella Fritz '27
Orono High School Orono High School Mixed 10 15 12 4 9 15 15 12 92 Cooper Cullen '27
Bridget Shaskin '28
Benilde St Margarets Benilde St Margarets Saturday Super Squad 13 7 14 9 13 11 11 14 92 Ernie Hegstrom '28
Laken Barrott '28
Mahtomedi Mahtomedi Zephyrs 15 13 15 15 11 14 9 11 123 MRP Stella Demars '25
No Show
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
Blake School Blake School Mixed 1 1 1 3 2 2 1 6 17 Max Barrett '25
Angus Moore '29
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 3 2 3 4 9 1 1 2 1 23 Maxwell Kelley '26
Joey Kim '26
Wayzata High School Wayzata High School Gold 8 7 2 2 3 10 3 4 39 Britta Lundeen-Hetland '25
Mara Lysaght '24
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 1 4 4 12 4 11 4 7 5 51 Maggie Mcgary '28
Anastasia Gilbert '26
St. Paul Academy (MN) St. Paul Academy (MN) Mixed 10 2 5 1 13 12 10 3 56 Peter Jacobs '25
Aden Lake '27
Wayzata High School Wayzata High School Mixed 5 13 6 6 9 5 5 10 59 Liam Strobel '29
Owen Neus '29
Southwest High School Southwest High School Lakers 11 12 3 11 15 8 4 2 66 Claire Schendel '26
Jamie Mcguffee '25
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 4 3 5 14 10 4 13 11 7 67 Jack Snyder '27
Eden Linnebach '27
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 2 7 8 9 13 6 6 8 11 68 Linnea Martin '27 [1-8]
Lia Getlin '26 [1-2, 5-6]
Katharine Woodburn '27 [3-4, 7-8]
Benilde St Margarets Benilde St Margarets Saturday Super Squad 9 11 11 5 5 3 14 12 70 Nicholas Grimm '28
Ella Bowers '28
St. Paul Academy (MN) St. Paul Academy (MN) Spartans 6 15 7 8 8 14 12 8 78 Leif Rush '27
Soren Miller-Sardelis '24
Mounds Park Academy Mounds Park Academy Mixed 12 9 8 7 14 9 9 9 97 MRP No Show
Joshua Drivdahl '25
Mahtomedi Mahtomedi Zephyrs 14 10 10 14 7 11 6 13 105 MRP Logan Albrecht '27
No Show
Orono High School Orono High School Mixed 15 14 DSQ 15 10 15 13 14 112 Evan Weber '29
Ty Andrada '29
White Bear Lake High School White Bear Lake High School Mixed 13 6 13 12 12 7 DNF DNS 115 MRP No Show
No Show
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.340+0.34
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2017 (3 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A
Benilde St MargaretsBenilde St Margarets Saturday Super Squad11111111
Blake SchoolBlake School Mixed22222222
MahtomediMahtomedi Zephyrs33333333
Minnetonka High SchoolMinnetonka High School Skippers 144444444
Minnetonka High SchoolMinnetonka High School Skippers 255555555
Minnetonka High SchoolMinnetonka High School Skippers 366666666
Minnetonka High SchoolMinnetonka High School Skippers 477777777
Mounds Park AcademyMounds Park Academy Mixed88888888
Orono High SchoolOrono High School Mixed99999999
Southwest High SchoolSouthwest High School Lakers1111111111111111
St. Paul Academy (MN)St. Paul Academy (MN) Mixed1313131313131313
St. Paul Academy (MN)St. Paul Academy (MN) Spartans1212121212121212
Wayzata High SchoolWayzata High School Gold1414141414141414
Wayzata High SchoolWayzata High School Mixed1515151515151515
White Bear Lake High SchoolWhite Bear Lake High School Mixed1616161616161616

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B
Benilde St MargaretsBenilde St Margarets Saturday Super Squad11111111
Blake SchoolBlake School Mixed22222222
MahtomediMahtomedi Zephyrs33333333
Minnetonka High SchoolMinnetonka High School Skippers 144444444
Minnetonka High SchoolMinnetonka High School Skippers 255555555
Minnetonka High SchoolMinnetonka High School Skippers 366666666
Minnetonka High SchoolMinnetonka High School Skippers 477777777
Mounds Park AcademyMounds Park Academy Mixed88888888
Orono High SchoolOrono High School Mixed99999999
Southwest High SchoolSouthwest High School Lakers1111111111111111
St. Paul Academy (MN)St. Paul Academy (MN) Mixed1313131313131313
St. Paul Academy (MN)St. Paul Academy (MN) Spartans1212121212121212
Wayzata High SchoolWayzata High School Gold1414141414141414
Wayzata High SchoolWayzata High School Mixed1515151515151515
White Bear Lake High SchoolWhite Bear Lake High School Mixed1616161616161616
School / Team SkipperCrew
Benilde St Margarets Benilde St Margarets Ernie Hegstrom '28 Laken Barrott '28
Saturday Super Squad Nicholas Grimm '28 Ella Bowers '28
Blake School Blake School Teddy Bower '26 Olly Bower '23
Mixed Max Barrett '25 Angus Moore '29
Mahtomedi Mahtomedi Stella Demars '25 No Show
Zephyrs Logan Albrecht '27 No Show
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Jack Brellenthin '26 Cayla Beddor '29
Skippers 1 Maggie Mcgary '28 Anastasia Gilbert '26
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Reese Kottke '26 Adra Jasper '26
Skippers 2 Linnea Martin '27 [1-8] Lia Getlin '26 [1-2, 5-6]
Katharine Woodburn '27 [3-4, 7-8]
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Jack Siefker '26 Tom Weisenahl '29
Skippers 3 Maxwell Kelley '26 Joey Kim '26
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Hazel Eiden '25 Gloria Jorczak '24
Skippers 4 Jack Snyder '27 Eden Linnebach '27
Mounds Park Academy Mounds Park Academy Parker Ziegler '24 Sofie Muschenheim '25
Mixed No Show Joshua Drivdahl '25
Orono High School Orono High School Cooper Cullen '27 Bridget Shaskin '28
Mixed Evan Weber '29 Ty Andrada '29
Southwest High School Southwest High School Ben Padden '24 Ella Fritz '27
Lakers Claire Schendel '26 Jamie Mcguffee '25
St. Paul Academy (MN) St. Paul Academy (MN) Lorenzo Good '25 Finnigan Cairns '25
Mixed Peter Jacobs '25 Aden Lake '27
St. Paul Academy (MN) St. Paul Academy (MN) Adi Narayan '27 Talia Cairns '25
Spartans Leif Rush '27 Soren Miller-Sardelis '24
Wayzata High School Wayzata High School Dominik Moncur '25 Harper Lundeen-Hetland '27
Gold Britta Lundeen-Hetland '25 Mara Lysaght '24
Wayzata High School Wayzata High School Stonewall Anderson '26 David Key '28
Mixed Liam Strobel '29 Owen Neus '29
White Bear Lake High School White Bear Lake High School Robbie Dresen '25 Elin Reigstad '25
Mixed No Show No Show

Conditions — 04/27/2024 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 52%  ·  Pressure 1031.9 hPa

Temperature

56°F
↑ 60°F   ↓ 45°F
Feels like 51°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
7.1 kn
avg  ·  max 11.4 kn
Gusts to 23.1 kn
From SSW (194°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover83% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity52% Pressure1031.9 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: S 10 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Benilde St Margarets/Orono/Providence Academy/Wayzata: a strongly underdogs’ day (−0.12)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.08 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast −0.04
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.07 ± 0.12)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.12 means a rating gap counts about 11% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Benilde St Margarets/Orono/Providence Academy/Wayzata by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 2 labelled days at Benilde St Margarets/Orono/Providence Academy/Wayzata, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →