NJISA 2024 TR Spring Series 6

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Colts 1 7 6 13
2 Donovan Catholic High School Donovan Catholic High School Griffins 1 13 11 24
3 Southern Regional High School Southern Regional High School Rams 1 9 17 26
4 Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Colts 2 16 11 27
5 Donovan Catholic High School Donovan Catholic High School Griffins 2 22 19 41
6 Southern Regional High School Southern Regional High School Rams 2 24 21 45
7 Toms River South Toms River South Indians 24 37 61
8 Trinity Hall Trinity Hall Monarchs 2 37 40 77
9 Ridge High School Ridge High School Red Devils 42 40 82
10 Trinity Hall Trinity Hall Monarchs 1 45 38 83
11 Ranney School Ranney School Panthers 37 48 85
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 TOT Sailors
Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Colts 1 1 1 4 1 7 Christopher Small '26 [1-4]
Matthew Dupree '25 [1-2]
Kyle Lombardino '25 [3-4]
Southern Regional High School Southern Regional High School Rams 1 2 2 2 3 9 Turner Ryon '25 [1-4]
Noah Tallman '25 [1-2]
No Show [3-4]
Donovan Catholic High School Donovan Catholic High School Griffins 1 4 4 3 2 13 James Kopack '24
Caroline Felser '24
Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Colts 2 3 8 1 4 16 Mitchell Hnatt '24
Daniel Stephan '24
Donovan Catholic High School Donovan Catholic High School Griffins 2 6 5 6 5 22 Cameron Hart '27 [1-4]
Nicholas Fatigate '24 [1-2]
Richard Mcgowan '25 [3-4]
Toms River South Toms River South Indians 5 7 5 7 24 Ella Demand '24
Maryn Demand '27
Southern Regional High School Southern Regional High School Rams 2 8 3 7 6 24 Jude Ryon '27 [1-4]
Erin Little '24 [1-2]
No Show [3-4]
Ranney School Ranney School Panthers 7 6 DNF DNF 37 Lewis Forrest '25
Sophia Behar '25
Trinity Hall Trinity Hall Monarchs 2 11 10 8 8 37 Alex Dacosta '24
Ava Santamaria '26
Ridge High School Ridge High School Red Devils 9 9 DNF DNF 42 Jack Schlenker '26
Ethan Law '25
Trinity Hall Trinity Hall Monarchs 1 10 11 DNF DNF 45 Allison Beisel '24
Greta Senft '24
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 TOT Sailors
Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Colts 1 2 2 1 1 6 Cole Buczkowski '27
Luke Pennisi '24
Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Colts 2 1 1 4 5 11 Jules Buczkowski '26
Donald Johnston '25
Donovan Catholic High School Donovan Catholic High School Griffins 1 3 3 2 3 11 Liam Marcell '26
Annabelle Arcuri '27
Southern Regional High School Southern Regional High School Rams 1 6 6 3 2 17 Gannon Botwinick '27 [1-4]
No Show [1-2]
Noah Tallman '25 [3-4]
Donovan Catholic High School Donovan Catholic High School Griffins 2 5 5 5 4 19 Grace Ciak '26 [1-2]
Nicole Small '27 [3-4]
Scarlett Colman '26 [1-2]
Oliver Roske '27 [3-4]
Southern Regional High School Southern Regional High School Rams 2 4 4 6 7 21 Erin Little '24
Ted Klopman '25
Toms River South Toms River South Indians DNF DNF 7 6 37 Emily Bell '27
Lilly Keenan '27
Trinity Hall Trinity Hall Monarchs 1 7 7 DNF DNF 38 Caroline Duffy '25
Julianna Walsh '24
Ridge High School Ridge High School Red Devils 8 8 DNF DNF 40 Annie Quincy '25
Ryan Amicone '25
Trinity Hall Trinity Hall Monarchs 2 DNF DNF 8 8 40 Sophia Galiano '26
Evelyn Magee '26
Ranney School Ranney School Panthers DNF DNF DNF DNF 48 Dylan Pagonis '26
Julien Wong '27
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.090+0.09
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2021 (8 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A
Christian Brothers AcademyChristian Brothers Academy Colts 120202020
Christian Brothers AcademyChristian Brothers Academy Colts 219191919
Donovan Catholic High SchoolDonovan Catholic High School Griffins 118181818
Donovan Catholic High SchoolDonovan Catholic High School Griffins 217171717
Ranney SchoolRanney School Panthers16161616
Ridge High SchoolRidge High School Red Devils15151515
Southern Regional High SchoolSouthern Regional High School Rams 114141414
Southern Regional High SchoolSouthern Regional High School Rams 213131313
Toms River SouthToms River South Indians11111111
Trinity HallTrinity Hall Monarchs 110101010
Trinity HallTrinity Hall Monarchs 29999

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B
Christian Brothers AcademyChristian Brothers Academy Colts 120202020
Christian Brothers AcademyChristian Brothers Academy Colts 219191919
Donovan Catholic High SchoolDonovan Catholic High School Griffins 118181818
Donovan Catholic High SchoolDonovan Catholic High School Griffins 217171717
Ranney SchoolRanney School Panthers16161616
Ridge High SchoolRidge High School Red Devils15151515
Southern Regional High SchoolSouthern Regional High School Rams 114141414
Southern Regional High SchoolSouthern Regional High School Rams 213131313
Toms River SouthToms River South Indians11111111
Trinity HallTrinity Hall Monarchs 110101010
Trinity HallTrinity Hall Monarchs 29999

Conditions — 05/08/2024 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 74%  ·  Pressure 1002.8 hPa

Temperature

74°F
↑ 83°F   ↓ 58°F
Feels like 75°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
9.4 kn
avg  ·  max 10.3 kn
Gusts to 20.4 kn
From SSW (209°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover76% Sunshine9.0 hrs Humidity74% Pressure1002.8 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: W 11 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Southern Regional: a typical day (−0.01)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment −0.02 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast −0.03
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.09 ± 0.20)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.01 means a rating gap counts about 1% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Southern Regional by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 9 labelled days at Southern Regional, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →