PCISA Gaucho Regatta - Silver

HostSanta Barbara
Date03/09/2024
TypeIn-District
BoatCFJ
Scoring2 Divisions

#		School	Team	A	B	TOT
1		The Urban School	Blues	41	33	74
2		San Pedro High School	Pirates	42	50	92
3		Palos Verdes High School	Sea Kings	40	63	103
4		Harvard-Westlake	Varsity	16	109	125
5		South Torrance High School	Spartans	96	39	135
6		Loyola High School (CA)	Cubs	82	54	136
7		Dos Pueblos	Chargers	27	123	150
8		Mission Bay High School	Buccaneer	100	54	154
9		Parker	Parker	61	105	166
10		San Domenico High School	Panthers	89	85	174
11		Tamalpais High School	Red Tailed Hawks 1	72	131	203
12		Carlmont	The Scots	111	101	212
13		Bishop Montgomery High School	Bishop Montgomery	146	78	224
14		Brophy College Preparatory	Brophy	126	99	225
15	$Sato Academy of Mathematics and Science$	Sato Academy of Mathematics and Science	Dragons	77	159	236
16		Mountain View High School (CA)	Mountain View	159	82	241
17		Pacific Palisades Charter High School	Pacific Palisades Ch	109	145	254
18		Marin Catholic	Wildcats 1	160	98	258
19		Acalanes High School	Dons	130	130	260
20		Palos Verdes Peninsula High School	Panthers	142	119	261
21		St. John Bosco High School	Braves	143	132	275
22		Design Tech High School	Dragons	153	133	286
23		Tamalpais High School	Red Tailed Hawks 2	159	140	299
24		St. Joseph Notre Dame HS - Alameda, CA	St Joseph Notre Dame	159	157	316
25		Marin Catholic	Wildcats 2	180	208	388
26		Campolindo High School	Cougars	215	200	415
27		Falcons 2	Falcons 2	214 MRP	216 MRP	430 MRP
28		Falcons 1	Falcons 1	235 MRP	239 MRP	474 MRP

	School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	R6	R7	R8	TOT	Sailors
	Harvard-Westlake	Varsity	1	1	2	3	6	1	1	1	16	Matthew Commons '25 [1-8] Sean Ozalpasan '25 [1-3] Cj Phelan '26 [4-8]
	Dos Pueblos	Chargers	5	4	1	1	3	5	5	3	27	Porter Murray '26 Leo Korman '26
	Palos Verdes High School	Sea Kings	9	3	5	2	4	3	6	8	40	Nic Messano '28 Gavin Steuerwald '24
	The Urban School	Blues	3	2	3	8	10	9	4	2	41	Zach Gordon '24 Stella Reynaga '24
	San Pedro High School	Pirates	2	11	4	4	8	4	2	7	42	Nicholas Parsnik '26 Gwen Hildebrand '25
	Parker	Parker	6	9	10	11	2	7	7	9	61	Emily Otto '26 Annika Baumgartner '24
	Tamalpais High School	Red Tailed Hawks 1	7	10	11	7	13	11	9	4	72	Evie Littler '25 Flynn Rossington '27
$Sato Academy of Mathematics and Science$	Sato Academy of Mathematics and Science	Dragons	4	5	6	5	11	2	15	DSQ	77	Jessica Green '25 [1-8] Elizabeth Nash '28 [1-2, 5-6] Elijah Soussan '26 [3-4] Aabid Fitzgerald '26 [7-8]
	Loyola High School (CA)	Cubs	20	17	9	12	5	10	3	6	82	Carsten Zieger '24 Giovanni Valencia '24
	San Domenico High School	Panthers	10	8	21	22	1	8	8	11	89	Merritt Sellers '26 [1-8] Alex Collier-Lake '24 [1-6] Willem Morrow '27 [7-8]
	South Torrance High School	Spartans	17	13	12	6	14	14	10	10	96	Joaquin Desrochers '25 Arianna Yiakas '27
	Mission Bay High School	Buccaneer	8	6	8	13	15	13	18	19	100	Ian Hamilton '26 Stella Rose Santo-Pietro '25
	Pacific Palisades Charter High School	Pacific Palisades Ch	14	16	16	17	9	6	13	18	109	Oliver '27 Catalina Brody '24
	Carlmont	The Scots	12	14	17	16	7	26	14	5	111	Ward Brouwer '24 Ansel Koche '28
	Brophy College Preparatory	Brophy	11	26	14	10	19	20	11	15	126	Weston Walker '25 Kilian Walker '28
	Acalanes High School	Dons	21	12	23	14	16	15	17	12	130	Molly Connelly '26 Kaivo Kadai '25
	Palos Verdes Peninsula High School	Panthers	23	18	18	20	18	12	12	21	142	Dersen Eddowes '24 Jarret Meza-Torne '26
	St. John Bosco High School	Braves	22	7	20	23	12	21	22	16	143	Samuel Mohinani '24 [1-8] Kaya Gagnon '27 [1-2, 5-6] Michael Beaird '25 [3-4, 7-8]
	Bishop Montgomery High School	Bishop Montgomery	18	20	7	9	25	23	19	25	146	Joaquin Jimenez '27 Robert Mccloskey '28
	Design Tech High School	Dragons	19	22	13	15	21	17	24	22	153	Will Kizer '25 Sam Cheng '25
	Tamalpais High School	Red Tailed Hawks 2	13	24	15	25	20	25	20	17	159	Reid Imwalle '26 Gabe Heller '27
	Mountain View High School (CA)	Mountain View	16	19	24	21	24	22	BKD	13	159	Adrian Maciuca '25 Frankie Wells '25
	St. Joseph Notre Dame HS - Alameda, CA	St Joseph Notre Dame	25	25	22	19	22	16	16	14	159	Melina Ahrens '27 Ella Schwartz '27
	Marin Catholic	Wildcats 1	15	15	19	18	28	19	26	20	160	Ben Brooks '24 Sophia Perotti '24
	Marin Catholic	Wildcats 2	24	21	25	26	17	18	25	24	180	Charlie Cain '25 [1-8] Stella Ward Turko '27 [1-2, 5-6] Zoe Bruce '26 [3-4, 7-8]
	Falcons 2	Falcons 2	26	23	27	24	23	27	21	23	214 MRP
	Campolindo High School	Cougars	27	DNF	26	DSQ	26	24	28	26	215	Liam Hearn '24 Kieran Whittome '27
	Falcons 1	Falcons 1	28	27	28	27	27	28	23	27	235 MRP

	School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	R6	R7	R8	TOT	Sailors
	The Urban School	Blues	2	4	3	3	8	8	1	4	33	Henry Scalise '26 Gabriel Ramirez '27
	South Torrance High School	Spartans	6	3	6	1	1	9	4	9	39	Reese Lieser '25 Aurora Pittman '25
	San Pedro High School	Pirates	7	1	5	2	14	4	11	BKD	50	Kennedy Hildebrand '27 [1-8] Niko Seiple '27 [1-2, 5-8] Bradley Uyematsu '25 [3-4]
	Loyola High School (CA)	Cubs	10	7	16	12	3	1	3	2	54	Luke Ondrey '25 Jonas Stroh '24
	Mission Bay High School	Buccaneer	21	19	1	4	2	2	2	3	54	Anna Huber '26 [1-8] Elliot Getz '25 [1-2] Kaden Miller '25 [3-8]
	Palos Verdes High School	Sea Kings	3	5	22	5	15	3	5	5	63	Jason Chan '26 [1-8] Tatianna Faragallah '27 [1-2, 5-8] Victoria Messano '24 [3-4]
	Bishop Montgomery High School	Bishop Montgomery	12	15	4	18	7	5	6	11	78	Kayla Spalding '24 Alden Snyder '27
	Mountain View High School (CA)	Mountain View	1	2	11	6	24	14	10	14	82	Liberty Evans '26 Lexi Stanford '25
	San Domenico High School	Panthers	17	11	2	9	6	12	16	12	85	Seamus Crain '26 [1-8] Willem Morrow '27 [1-2] Zach Mar-Elia '27 [3-6] Alex Collier-Lake '24 [7-8]
	Marin Catholic	Wildcats 1	18	10	14	7	4	20	8	17	98	Luca Hines '24 Josefina Pallmann '24
	Brophy College Preparatory	Brophy	14	8	24	13	19	11	9	1	99	Teague Walker '26 Stefano Wood '26
	Carlmont	The Scots	8	14	9	10	16	16	18	10	101	Anna Stolyarova '25 Leo Leckey '25
	Parker	Parker	9	13	20	8	23	6	7	19	105	Noelle Yuen '25 [1-8] Dominic Ciccimaro '25 [1-2, 5-6] Samantha Katz '24 [3-4, 7-8]
	Harvard-Westlake	Varsity	24	9	8	17	9	22	12	8	109	Helena Salas '25 [1-8] Mira Goldman '27 [1-3] Lily Yao '26 [4-8]
	Palos Verdes Peninsula High School	Panthers	11	18	13	27	11	18	14	7	119	Julia Musial '26 Lada Nosar '26
	Dos Pueblos	Chargers	15	17	17	16	17	10	15	16	123	Quincy Barnwood '26 Henry Janka '26
	Acalanes High School	Dons	16	6	19	22	13	15	19	20	130	Jenna Englehart '24 Emma Gerlings '24
	Tamalpais High School	Red Tailed Hawks 1	5	21	21	15	5	17	24	23	131	Jason Lester '24 Charles Winstead '24
	St. John Bosco High School	Braves	13	23	15	11	22	7	20	21	132	Roman Galindo '25 Ben Garza '25
	Design Tech High School	Dragons	22	20	7	21	21	13	23	6	133	Skye Crawford '25 John Nix '25
	Tamalpais High School	Red Tailed Hawks 2	23	12	23	23	10	21	13	15	140	Cameron Collman '26 Ronan Corbit '27
	Pacific Palisades Charter High School	Pacific Palisades Ch	20	22	10	20	20	BKD	17	18	145	Katelyn Chang '27 Lalo Miali '24
	St. Joseph Notre Dame HS - Alameda, CA	St Joseph Notre Dame	19	16	25	19	12	23	21	22	157	Amanda Wheeler '25 Reuben Butt '27
$Sato Academy of Mathematics and Science$	Sato Academy of Mathematics and Science	Dragons	4	24	18	14	18	DNS	25	27	159	Olivia Corzine '28 [1-2, 5-6] Eric Panebianco '28 [3-4] Asher Liebgold '26 [7-8] Asher Liebgold '26 [1-2] Aabid Fitzgerald '26 [3-4] Eric Panebianco '28 [5-6] Elijah Soussan '26 [7-8]
	Campolindo High School	Cougars	25	DNF	28	26	25	19	22	26	200	Micaela Jorcino '24 Sophie Hess '25
	Marin Catholic	Wildcats 2	26	25	27	28	26	26	26	24	208	Rj Scheuring '25 [1-8] Amelia Werstler '26 [1-2, 5-6] Victoria Krauss '27 [3-4, 7-8]
	Falcons 2	Falcons 2	27	DNF	12	24	27	25	27	25	216 MRP
	Falcons 1	Falcons 1	28	26	26	25	28	DNF	DNF	28	239 MRP

Boat Speed Analyzer

SlowExpected boat effectFast

−0.100+0.10

Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2022 (4 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

	Team	1A	2A	3A	4A	5A	6A	7A	8A
	Acalanes High School Dons	31	31	33	33	35	35	37	37
	Bishop Montgomery High School Bishop Montgomery	32	32	34	34	36	36	38	38
	Brophy College Preparatory Brophy	33	33	35	35	37	37	39	39
	Campolindo High School Cougars	34	34	36	36	38	38	40	40
	Carlmont The Scots	35	35	37	37	39	39	41	41
	Design Tech High School Dragons	36	36	38	38	40	40	42	42
	Dos Pueblos Chargers	37	37	39	39	41	41	60	60
	Parker Parker	46	46	49	49	50	50	52	52
	Harvard-Westlake Varsity	38	38	40	40	42	42	43	43
	Loyola High School (CA) Cubs	39	39	41	41	60	60	44	44
	Marin Catholic Wildcats 1	40	40	42	42	43	43	45	45
	Marin Catholic Wildcats 2	41	41	60	60	44	44	46	46
	Mission Bay High School Buccaneer	42	42	43	43	45	45	48	48
	Mountain View High School (CA) Mountain View	60	60	44	44	46	46	49	49
	Pacific Palisades Charter High School Pacific Palisades Ch	43	43	45	45	48	48	47	47
	Palos Verdes High School Sea Kings	44	44	46	46	49	49	50	50
	Palos Verdes Peninsula High School Panthers	45	45	48	48	47	47	51	51
	San Domenico High School Panthers	48	48	47	47	51	51	53	53
	San Pedro High School Pirates	49	49	50	50	52	52	54	54
$Sato Academy of Mathematics and Science$	Sato Academy of Mathematics and Science Dragons	47	47	51	51	53	53	55	55
	South Torrance High School Spartans	50	50	52	52	54	54	56	56
	St. John Bosco High School Braves	51	51	53	53	55	55	57	57
	St. Joseph Notre Dame HS - Alameda, CA St Joseph Notre Dame	52	52	54	54	56	56	31	31
	Tamalpais High School Red Tailed Hawks 1	53	53	55	55	57	57	32	32
	Tamalpais High School Red Tailed Hawks 2	54	54	56	56	31	31	33	33
	The Urban School Blues	55	55	57	57	32	32	34	34
	Falcons 1 Falcons 1	56	56	31	31	33	33	35	35
	Falcons 2 Falcons 2	57	57	32	32	34	34	36	36

Division B

	Team	1B	2B	3B	4B	5B	6B	7B	8B
	Acalanes High School Dons	32	32	34	34	36	36	38	38
	Bishop Montgomery High School Bishop Montgomery	33	33	35	35	37	37	39	39
	Brophy College Preparatory Brophy	34	34	36	36	38	38	40	40
	Campolindo High School Cougars	35	35	37	37	39	39	41	41
	Carlmont The Scots	36	36	38	38	40	40	42	42
	Design Tech High School Dragons	37	37	39	39	41	41	60	60
	Dos Pueblos Chargers	38	38	40	40	42	42	43	43
	Parker Parker	48	48	47	47	51	51	53	53
	Harvard-Westlake Varsity	39	39	41	41	60	60	44	44
	Loyola High School (CA) Cubs	40	40	42	42	43	43	45	45
	Marin Catholic Wildcats 1	41	41	60	60	44	44	46	46
	Marin Catholic Wildcats 2	42	42	43	43	45	45	48	48
	Mission Bay High School Buccaneer	60	60	44	44	46	46	49	49
	Mountain View High School (CA) Mountain View	43	43	45	45	48	48	47	47
	Pacific Palisades Charter High School Pacific Palisades Ch	44	44	46	46	49	49	50	50
	Palos Verdes High School Sea Kings	45	45	48	48	47	47	51	51
	Palos Verdes Peninsula High School Panthers	46	46	49	49	50	50	52	52
	San Domenico High School Panthers	49	49	50	50	52	52	54	54
	San Pedro High School Pirates	47	47	51	51	53	53	55	55
$Sato Academy of Mathematics and Science$	Sato Academy of Mathematics and Science Dragons	50	50	52	52	54	54	56	56
	South Torrance High School Spartans	51	51	53	53	55	55	57	57
	St. John Bosco High School Braves	52	52	54	54	56	56	31	31
	St. Joseph Notre Dame HS - Alameda, CA St Joseph Notre Dame	53	53	55	55	57	57	32	32
	Tamalpais High School Red Tailed Hawks 1	54	54	56	56	31	31	33	33
	Tamalpais High School Red Tailed Hawks 2	55	55	57	57	32	32	34	34
	The Urban School Blues	56	56	31	31	33	33	35	35
	Falcons 1 Falcons 1	57	57	32	32	34	34	36	36
	Falcons 2 Falcons 2	31	31	33	33	35	35	37	37

	School / Team	Skipper	Crew
	Acalanes High School	Molly Connelly '26	Kaivo Kadai '25
	Dons	Jenna Englehart '24	Emma Gerlings '24
	Bishop Montgomery High School	Joaquin Jimenez '27	Robert Mccloskey '28
	Bishop Montgomery	Kayla Spalding '24	Alden Snyder '27
	Brophy College Preparatory	Weston Walker '25	Kilian Walker '28
	Brophy	Teague Walker '26	Stefano Wood '26
	Campolindo High School	Liam Hearn '24	Kieran Whittome '27
	Cougars	Micaela Jorcino '24	Sophie Hess '25
	Carlmont	Ward Brouwer '24	Ansel Koche '28
	The Scots	Anna Stolyarova '25	Leo Leckey '25
	Design Tech High School	Will Kizer '25	Sam Cheng '25
	Dragons	Skye Crawford '25	John Nix '25
	Dos Pueblos	Porter Murray '26	Leo Korman '26
	Chargers	Quincy Barnwood '26	Henry Janka '26
	Harvard-Westlake	Matthew Commons '25 [1-8]	Sean Ozalpasan '25 [1-3] Cj Phelan '26 [4-8]
	Varsity	Helena Salas '25 [1-8]	Mira Goldman '27 [1-3] Lily Yao '26 [4-8]
	Loyola High School (CA)	Carsten Zieger '24	Giovanni Valencia '24
	Cubs	Luke Ondrey '25	Jonas Stroh '24
	Marin Catholic	Ben Brooks '24	Sophia Perotti '24
	Wildcats 1	Luca Hines '24	Josefina Pallmann '24
	Marin Catholic	Charlie Cain '25 [1-8]	Stella Ward Turko '27 [1-2, 5-6] Zoe Bruce '26 [3-4, 7-8]
	Wildcats 2	Rj Scheuring '25 [1-8]	Amelia Werstler '26 [1-2, 5-6] Victoria Krauss '27 [3-4, 7-8]
	Mission Bay High School	Ian Hamilton '26	Stella Rose Santo-Pietro '25
	Buccaneer	Anna Huber '26 [1-8]	Elliot Getz '25 [1-2] Kaden Miller '25 [3-8]
	Mountain View High School (CA)	Adrian Maciuca '25	Frankie Wells '25
	Mountain View	Liberty Evans '26	Lexi Stanford '25
	Pacific Palisades Charter High School	Oliver '27	Catalina Brody '24
	Pacific Palisades Ch	Katelyn Chang '27	Lalo Miali '24
	Palos Verdes High School	Nic Messano '28	Gavin Steuerwald '24
	Sea Kings	Jason Chan '26 [1-8]	Tatianna Faragallah '27 [1-2, 5-8] Victoria Messano '24 [3-4]
	Palos Verdes Peninsula High School	Dersen Eddowes '24	Jarret Meza-Torne '26
	Panthers	Julia Musial '26	Lada Nosar '26
	Parker	Emily Otto '26	Annika Baumgartner '24
	Parker	Noelle Yuen '25 [1-8]	Dominic Ciccimaro '25 [1-2, 5-6] Samantha Katz '24 [3-4, 7-8]
	San Domenico High School	Merritt Sellers '26 [1-8]	Alex Collier-Lake '24 [1-6] Willem Morrow '27 [7-8]
	Panthers	Seamus Crain '26 [1-8]	Willem Morrow '27 [1-2] Zach Mar-Elia '27 [3-6] Alex Collier-Lake '24 [7-8]
	San Pedro High School	Nicholas Parsnik '26	Gwen Hildebrand '25
	Pirates	Kennedy Hildebrand '27 [1-8]	Niko Seiple '27 [1-2, 5-8] Bradley Uyematsu '25 [3-4]
$Sato Academy of Mathematics and Science$	Sato Academy of Mathematics and Science	Jessica Green '25 [1-8]	Elizabeth Nash '28 [1-2, 5-6] Elijah Soussan '26 [3-4] Aabid Fitzgerald '26 [7-8]
$Sato Academy of Mathematics and Science$	Dragons	Olivia Corzine '28 [1-2, 5-6] Eric Panebianco '28 [3-4] Asher Liebgold '26 [7-8]	Asher Liebgold '26 [1-2] Aabid Fitzgerald '26 [3-4] Eric Panebianco '28 [5-6] Elijah Soussan '26 [7-8]
	South Torrance High School	Joaquin Desrochers '25	Arianna Yiakas '27
	Spartans	Reese Lieser '25	Aurora Pittman '25
	St. John Bosco High School	Samuel Mohinani '24 [1-8]	Kaya Gagnon '27 [1-2, 5-6] Michael Beaird '25 [3-4, 7-8]
	Braves	Roman Galindo '25	Ben Garza '25
	St. Joseph Notre Dame HS - Alameda, CA	Melina Ahrens '27	Ella Schwartz '27
	St Joseph Notre Dame	Amanda Wheeler '25	Reuben Butt '27
	Tamalpais High School	Evie Littler '25	Flynn Rossington '27
	Red Tailed Hawks 1	Jason Lester '24	Charles Winstead '24
	Tamalpais High School	Reid Imwalle '26	Gabe Heller '27
	Red Tailed Hawks 2	Cameron Collman '26	Ronan Corbit '27
	The Urban School	Zach Gordon '24	Stella Reynaga '24
	Blues	Henry Scalise '26	Gabriel Ramirez '27

Conditions — 03/09/2024 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky

Humidity 60% · Pressure 1019.5 hPa

Temperature

64°F

↑ 70°F ↓ 44°F

Feels like 64°F

Wind

● from ▲ toward

2.9 kn

avg · max 4.0 kn

Gusts to 15.2 kn

From SSW (207°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover47% Sunshine10.4 hrs Humidity60% Pressure1019.5 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SW 6 kn* · S 11 kn (*weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)

In this breeze at Santa Barbara: a favourites’ day (+0.09)

Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.

Fleet adjustment +0.03 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.12

Actual: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.36 ± 0.09)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.09 means a rating gap counts about 7% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Santa Barbara by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 8 labelled days at Santa Barbara, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

What a rating point is worthA one-point edge is a 73% chance to beat another boat in a race; two points is 88%.
Should the best sailor sail A?Add your two skippers’ ratings and compare with the field; above it the better skipper belongs in A.
Are the boats even?Boats differ by about 0.3 places a race; fleets are uneven from day one.
Which venues get orderly in a breeze?Some venues get orderly when it blows, a few get messier; the fleet comes first.

All notes →

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