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N. Pts. #6 JV/ Composite Fleet

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 John T. Hoggard High School John T. Hoggard High School Vikings JV Blue 2 3 5
2 River Bluff High School River Bluff High School Composite Blue 6 10 16
3 Academic Magnet High School Academic Magnet High School Raptors A 10 8 18
4 John T. Hoggard High School John T. Hoggard High School Vikings JV White 8 11 19
5 Greensboro High School (LTYC) Greensboro High School (LTYC) Greensboro Composite 10 11 21
6 New Hanover High School New Hanover High School Wildcats 20 8 28
7 Lucy Beckham High School Lucy Beckham High School Bengals 8 24 32
8 Ben Lippen School Ben Lippen School Falcons 18 19 37
9 James Island Charter High School James Island Charter High School JV 18 20 38
10 Philip Simmons High School Philip Simmons High School Iron Horses 14 25 39
11 Waccamaw High School Waccamaw High School Waccamaw Composite 26 17 43
12 Aquinas High School Aquinas High School Fighting Irish JV 27 18 45
13 Pine Lake Prep Pine Lake Prep Composite 23 24 47
14 Porter-Gaud School Porter-Gaud School Varsity 21 30 51
SchoolTeam R1 R2 TOT Sailors
John T. Hoggard High School John T. Hoggard High School Vikings JV Blue 1 1 2 Gavin Crowell '28
Jonah Ridout '28
River Bluff High School River Bluff High School Composite Blue 4 2 6 Anna Kate Horton '25
Logan Mosley '27
Lucy Beckham High School Lucy Beckham High School Bengals 3 5 8 Coleman Emrich '27
Holden Morgan '27
John T. Hoggard High School John T. Hoggard High School Vikings JV White 5 3 8 Emmy Teer '25
George Adams '25
Greensboro High School (LTYC) Greensboro High School (LTYC) Greensboro Composite 2 8 10 John Spinosa '25
Preston Miller '27
Academic Magnet High School Academic Magnet High School Raptors A 6 4 10 William Mccarty '26
Charlie Claus '26
Philip Simmons High School Philip Simmons High School Iron Horses 7 7 14 Brian Stambough '26
Atharva Patil '26
Ben Lippen School Ben Lippen School Falcons 9 9 18 Haolin Chen '28
Griffin Sorensen '24
James Island Charter High School James Island Charter High School JV 12 6 18 Peter Tetrov '25
Beckett Holley '25
New Hanover High School New Hanover High School Wildcats 8 12 20 Sam Warner '27
Lucian Lerose '27
Porter-Gaud School Porter-Gaud School Varsity 10 11 21 Saylor Hood '29
William Walker (Smoak) Copenhaver '29
Pine Lake Prep Pine Lake Prep Composite 13 10 23 Narayan Schmoyer '26
Barry Kaplan '27
Waccamaw High School Waccamaw High School Waccamaw Composite 11 DNF 26 Emma French '26
Collin Nalley '25
Aquinas High School Aquinas High School Fighting Irish JV 14 13 27 Ian Sternkopf '27
Ian Sternkopf '27
SchoolTeam R1 R2 TOT Sailors
John T. Hoggard High School John T. Hoggard High School Vikings JV Blue 2 1 3 Carlisle Janney '28
Lawson Kievit '27
New Hanover High School New Hanover High School Wildcats 1 7 8 Olivia Burdette '25
Jack Reuter '25
Academic Magnet High School Academic Magnet High School Raptors A 4 4 8 Garrett Davis '25 [1-2]
Alexa Conlon '24 [1]
Clayton Kotz '27 [2]
River Bluff High School River Bluff High School Composite Blue 7 3 10 Scott Thomas '26
Cecelia Stewart '25
John T. Hoggard High School John T. Hoggard High School Vikings JV White 3 8 11 Caroline Smith '25
Lee Wehr '25
Greensboro High School (LTYC) Greensboro High School (LTYC) Greensboro Composite 5 6 11 William Brady '25
Ellie Spinosa '27
Waccamaw High School Waccamaw High School Waccamaw Composite DNF 2 17 Chase Fidgeon '27
Duncan Rutherford '28
Aquinas High School Aquinas High School Fighting Irish JV 6 12 18 Harry Pendergrass '26
Alex Shaleesh '24
Ben Lippen School Ben Lippen School Falcons 8 11 19 Samuel Welsford '24
No Show
James Island Charter High School James Island Charter High School JV RAF 5 20 Noah Dailey '27
Thomas Bearden '27
Lucy Beckham High School Lucy Beckham High School Bengals 9 DSQ 24 Mary Wade Brewer '25
Waring Cantey '27
Pine Lake Prep Pine Lake Prep Composite DNF 9 24 Maggie Gross '25
Wesley Bassett '28
Philip Simmons High School Philip Simmons High School Iron Horses DNF 10 25 Dylan Casper '25
Presley Hancock '29
Porter-Gaud School Porter-Gaud School Varsity DNF DNS 30 Saylor Hood '29
William Walker (Smoak) Copenhaver '29
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.090+0.09
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2015 (7 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A
Academic Magnet High SchoolAcademic Magnet High School Raptors A84538453
Aquinas High SchoolAquinas High School Fighting Irish JV88
Ben Lippen SchoolBen Lippen School Falcons99999999
River Bluff High SchoolRiver Bluff High School Composite Blue476476
Greensboro High School (LTYC)Greensboro High School (LTYC) Greensboro Composite99
James Island Charter High SchoolJames Island Charter High School JV7777
John T. Hoggard High SchoolJohn T. Hoggard High School Vikings JV Blue87598759
John T. Hoggard High SchoolJohn T. Hoggard High School Vikings JV White401401
Lucy Beckham High SchoolLucy Beckham High School Bengals39073907
New Hanover High SchoolNew Hanover High School Wildcats90689068
Philip Simmons High SchoolPhilip Simmons High School Iron Horses5151
Pine Lake PrepPine Lake Prep Composite121121
Porter-Gaud SchoolPorter-Gaud School Varsity84518451
Waccamaw High SchoolWaccamaw High School Waccamaw Composite44

Division B

Team1B2B
Academic Magnet High SchoolAcademic Magnet High School Raptors A84538453
Aquinas High SchoolAquinas High School Fighting Irish JV88
Ben Lippen SchoolBen Lippen School Falcons99999999
River Bluff High SchoolRiver Bluff High School Composite Blue476476
Greensboro High School (LTYC)Greensboro High School (LTYC) Greensboro Composite99
James Island Charter High SchoolJames Island Charter High School JV7777
John T. Hoggard High SchoolJohn T. Hoggard High School Vikings JV Blue87598759
John T. Hoggard High SchoolJohn T. Hoggard High School Vikings JV White401401
Lucy Beckham High SchoolLucy Beckham High School Bengals39073907
New Hanover High SchoolNew Hanover High School Wildcats90689068
Philip Simmons High SchoolPhilip Simmons High School Iron Horses5151
Pine Lake PrepPine Lake Prep Composite121121
Porter-Gaud SchoolPorter-Gaud School Varsity84518451
Waccamaw High SchoolWaccamaw High School Waccamaw Composite44
School / Team SkipperCrew
Academic Magnet High School Academic Magnet High School William Mccarty '26 Charlie Claus '26
Raptors A Garrett Davis '25 [1-2] Alexa Conlon '24 [1]
Clayton Kotz '27 [2]
Aquinas High School Aquinas High School Ian Sternkopf '27 Ian Sternkopf '27
Fighting Irish JV Harry Pendergrass '26 Alex Shaleesh '24
Ben Lippen School Ben Lippen School Haolin Chen '28 Griffin Sorensen '24
Falcons Samuel Welsford '24 No Show
Greensboro High School (LTYC) Greensboro High School (LTYC) John Spinosa '25 Preston Miller '27
Greensboro Composite William Brady '25 Ellie Spinosa '27
James Island Charter High School James Island Charter High School Peter Tetrov '25 Beckett Holley '25
JV Noah Dailey '27 Thomas Bearden '27
John T. Hoggard High School John T. Hoggard High School Gavin Crowell '28 Jonah Ridout '28
Vikings JV Blue Carlisle Janney '28 Lawson Kievit '27
John T. Hoggard High School John T. Hoggard High School Emmy Teer '25 George Adams '25
Vikings JV White Caroline Smith '25 Lee Wehr '25
Lucy Beckham High School Lucy Beckham High School Coleman Emrich '27 Holden Morgan '27
Bengals Mary Wade Brewer '25 Waring Cantey '27
New Hanover High School New Hanover High School Sam Warner '27 Lucian Lerose '27
Wildcats Olivia Burdette '25 Jack Reuter '25
Philip Simmons High School Philip Simmons High School Brian Stambough '26 Atharva Patil '26
Iron Horses Dylan Casper '25 Presley Hancock '29
Pine Lake Prep Pine Lake Prep Narayan Schmoyer '26 Barry Kaplan '27
Composite Maggie Gross '25 Wesley Bassett '28
Porter-Gaud School Porter-Gaud School Saylor Hood '29 William Walker (Smoak) Copenhaver '29
Varsity Saylor Hood '29 William Walker (Smoak) Copenhaver '29
River Bluff High School River Bluff High School Anna Kate Horton '25 Logan Mosley '27
Composite Blue Scott Thomas '26 Cecelia Stewart '25
Waccamaw High School Waccamaw High School Emma French '26 Collin Nalley '25
Waccamaw Composite Chase Fidgeon '27 Duncan Rutherford '28

Conditions — 02/24/2024 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 54%  ·  Pressure 1016.5 hPa

Temperature

37°F
↑ 45°F   ↓ 22°F
Feels like 28°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
9.6 kn
avg  ·  max 12.4 kn
Gusts to 22.9 kn
From S (179°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover29% Sunshine10.0 hrs Humidity54% Pressure1016.5 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: S 13 kn · NW 6 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at James Island Yacht Club: a favourites’ day (+0.09)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.13 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.22
Actual: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.63 ± 0.30)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.09 means a rating gap counts about 8% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at James Island Yacht Club by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 3 labelled days at James Island Yacht Club, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →